PGE - Polish Energy Group. Nuclear power development in Poland - we need decision today. Organisation of the Polish Power Sector After Consolidation

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1 Nuclear power development in Poland - we need decision today Hanna Trojanowska Director of International Affairs and New Technologies Department PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna S.A. Organisation of the Polish Power Sector After Consolidation PGE Polska Grupa Dolna Energetyczna Odra 1% 9% PGE SA Tauron 17% 6% BOT Ł L5 + RZE Energia Pro PKE Stalowa Wola Enion ENEA ENEA Energa Energa Ostrołęka Kozienice 11% 16% Producer Share in generaion market % 15% Share in dystrybution market PGE - Polish Energy Group Dolna Odra Turów BOT Belchatów PGE - without transmission assets 8 distribution companies Installed capacity Electricity production Consumers Employment Assets 11 8 MW 61.5 TWh.9 million 3,8 11 billion USD Opole Integrator generation distribution 3 1

2 Challenges for the Polish Power Sector 1. Security of electricity supply Diversification of fuel mix Development of interconnections and transmission grid. Restrictions on SO, NOx, CO emissions 3. Development of new generation sources. Increase in electricity generation efficiency EU Green Package The New Challenges 1. New Emission Trade Scheme (ETS) linear decrease of available CO allowances up to 1% in compared to 5 emissions. Full auctioning for electricity sector since % share of RES in final energy consumption in target for Poland. Implementation of CCS technology participation in the EU Flagship Programme 5 Fuel Structure of Electricity Generation in Poland 58.7% 35.% 1.7%.3%.1%.%.% Hard coal power stations and CHPs Lignite power stations Gas power stations Hydro power stations (included pumped-storage) Wind power stations Biogas and biomass power stations Other fuels 6

3 Age Structure of the Existing Power Plants in Poland 6% 7% 5% 5% 16% % 17% to 5 years 5-1 years 1-15 years 15- years -5 years 5-3 years over 3 years 7 Consumption of Electricity kwh per capita Sweden Finland Luxembourg Belgium France Austria Germany Netherlands Denmark Slovenia Gr. Britain Ireland Czech Rep. Spain Italy Estonia Cyprus Slovakia Greece Malta Portugal Bulgaria Hungary POLAND Lithuania Latvia Romania Source: UNDP Human Development Report 5 8 Nuclear Option for Poland Programme for Electric Power Industry, March 6 Energy Policy for Poland until 3 Nuclear power a component of energy security: Diversification of fuel sources No CO, SO, NO X emissions Least cost electricity generation Lesson learnt from śarnowiec NPP experience Experience gained from the international cooperation: GNEP; specific support of the Polish R&D Institutes 9 3

4 PGE s Studies on Nuclear Power Programme in Poland Economic comparison of electricity generation technologies in Poland Determination of the optimal scope and pace of nuclear power development in Poland until 3 Survey of potential sites of NPPs in Poland Scope of necessary activities to build the first NPP in Poland Assessment of the legal framework for launching the nuclear programme in Poland The study on the public concern related to the development of nuclear power in Poland 1 Capacities of the Existing Power Plants After Decommissioning 5 5 Available capacity [MWe] Lignite Hard coal Gas Hydro CHP Demand 11 New capacities in the Polish Electric Power System 6 Available capacity [MWe] Existing Renewable CHP Hard coal Gas Nuclear Lignite Demand 1

5 Comparison of Electricity Generation Costs for Various Technologies PLN / MWh Source: Energoprojekt-Katowice 1 Hard coal pulverized Hard coal fluidized H.c.+ sludge fluidized Lignite pulverized Lignite fluidized Hard coal IGCC Natural gas GTCC EPR AP1 Wood Straw Wind Wind + backup Invest. Fuel O&M CO 13 Competitiveness of Nuclear Power Plants Coal PP Nuclear PP Common assumptions: output 1 MW, operating time 6 5 hours per year Variable cost: ca. 186 mln EUR Fixed cost: ca. 3 mln EUR CO cost: ca. 171 mln EUR Total: ca. 38 mln EUR Variable cost: ca. 3 mln EUR Fixed cost: ca. 88 mln EUR CO cost: Total: ca. 91 mln EUR 1 Annual difference in costs: ca. 89 mln EUR Construction of NPP is Necessary to Provide Energy Security Macroeconomic predictions show that demand of electricity will almost double in perspective up to 3. Without development of nuclear power, it will not be possible to meet electricity demand on rational cost base complying environmental requirements, especially in terms of CO reduction, and providing energy security (including decrease in gas import dependence). PGE is going to participate actively in the Polish nuclear power development programme 15 5

6 Nuclear Power Renaissance Worldwide Continent Europe Asia (including Russia) North America South America Africa Sum Installed nuclear capacity [GW] Operating units Source: WNA, PRIS (IAEA), INSC, WANO Units under construction 1-31 Nuclear power is entering dynamic phase of development. 16 Planned units In France (Flamanville), construction of a new reactor was begun. In Finland, works on Olkiluoto Power Plant are well advanced. Construction of two reactors will start soon in Bulgaria (Belene) and Romania (Cernavoda). Slovakia intends to develop its nuclear potential due to increasing demand. In Lithuania, a common investment is being prepared in cooperation of Lithuania, Poland, Latvia and Estonia new power plant in Visaginas. The chancellor Angela Merkel stated that current position to phase out nuclear programme in Germany was a mistake. In January 8, government of the United Kingdom switched on green light to develop nuclear power. Russian Federal Agency for Atomic Energy Rosatom announced launching design works on a new nuclear power plant in Kaliningrad District. Scope of Necessary Activities 1. Activities initiating nuclear power development: Administrative, legal and regulatory activities Organisational activities Education and information Studies and analyses International cooperation. Preparatory work for the construction of the first NPP 3. Investment process. Related activities 17 N u c l e a r E n e r g y E v o l u t i o n i n p r o g r e s s Thank You For Your Attention 6