Communicating Bushfire CRC Research: The ANU Fire Science Course
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1 Communicating Bushfire CRC Research: The ANU Fire Science Course Geoff Cary Fenner School of Environment & Society, The Australian National University, Acton 0200, ACT
2 ENVS2004 Weather, Climate & fire ENVS3008 Fire in the Environment Geoff Cary
3 Fire in the Environment Fire in Australian & overseas ecosystems 250,000 year fire history for Australia Fire regimes and biota Measuring and modelling of fire regimes Natural and human drivers of fire regimes Integrated bushfire risk to management
4 Bushfire CRC contributors Presenter Dr Malcolm Gill Lyndsey Vivan Dr Adam Leavesley Ms Carola Kuramotto Dr Karen King Prof. Ross Bradstock Mr Jim Gould Dr Matt Plucinski Dr Miguel Cruz Dr Colleen Bryant Prof. Steve Dovers Dr Geoff Cary Topic Bushfires in Australian life and landscapes Fire response of plant species Ecology of fire mosaics Fire, climate change and biota Landscape scale-modelling of fire risk Prescribed burning & integrated risk management Project Vesta Bushfire suppression research Crown fire modelling Arson research Policy and fire disasters Fire ecology, fuel dynamics, fire and climate change, Simulation models of fire regimes and biota etc
5 Forest Fire Behaviour : Project Vesta Jim Gould 1, Lachie McCaw 2 & Phil Cheney 1 1 Bushfire Dynamics and Applications CSIRO Sustainable Ecosystems 2 Department of Environment and Conservation, Western Australia
6
7 FHS= 1 FHS=2 FHS=2.5 FHS=3 FHS=3.5 FHS=4 Near-surface fuel: FHS X Ht FHS=1 FHS=2 FHS=2.5 FHS=3 FHS=3.5 FHS=4 Surface fuel hazard scores Near-surface fuel height (cm) Open Wind Speed at 10 m 5 km/hr 10 km/hr 15 km/hr 20 km/hr 25 km/hr 30 km/hr Rate of spread on level ground FMC=7% 375m/hr X Data Rate of spread on level ground FMC=7%
8 Bushfire Suppression & Research Matt Plucinski & Jim Gould Bushfire Dynamics and Applications CSIRO Sustainable Ecosystems 14 February 2008
9 Suppression Research Questions Effectiveness Physical measure of productivity Efficiency In terms of economic cost and savings Bushfire CRC suppression project (A3.1) Aim: Optimise the effectiveness and efficiency of aircraft use in conjunction with ground suppression during fire fighting operations CSIRO. Bushfire Suppression and Research
10 Decision tree for predicting first attack success (ground & aerial resources) FFDI <24 (L, M, H) 24 (VH, E) FFDI <50 (VH) 50 (E) Time to first attack Time to first attack 2 hours >2 hours 0.5 hour >0.5 hour 0.5 hour p a =0.8 p 0 =0.3 n=40 p a =0.4 p 0 =0.3 n=7 p a =0.5 p 0 =0.1 n=8 p a =0.2 p 0 =0.2 n=13 p a =0.4 p 0 =0.3 n=8 CSIRO. Bushfire Suppression and Research p a = probability of first attack success with aerial suppression support p o = probability of first attack success without aerial suppression support n= number of fires in each section
11 Human caused: Reducing the impact of deliberately lit bushfires Colleen Bryant, Damon Muller, Matthew Willis Australian Institute of Criminology Bushfire CRC Ltd. 2005
12 National Parks - Forests 1993/ /04 2,079 fires / /03 2,511 fires Rural FS 1997/ /04 8,603 fires / /04 1,534 fires , /76 Oct ,573 fires / /04 25,693 fires 18.9 Accidental Deliberate 29.3 Suspicious Natural Re-ig./Exp. Other 0.5 Unknown Bushfire CRC Ltd Accidental Deliberate Suspicious Natural Other Unknown
13 Measuring and modelling fire regimes Dr Karen King
14 South west Tasmania Mixed forest kilom etres Rainforest Pasture Dry eucalypt forest Wet eucalypt forest Buttongrass Alpine Wet scrub Program? : Presentation Title
15 Prescribed burning effects SW Tasmania
16 Patterns in the Probability of Burning with Time- Since-Fire in the Greater Sydney Region Rob de Ligt
17 Influence of fire on boundaries between subalpine eucalypt stands Lyndsey Vivian
18 Determinants of fire severity in the Cotter River catchment, Canberra region Carola Kuramotto
19 The response of birds to the fire regimes of mulga woodland in central Australia 5 Splendid fairy wren Birds.ha Adam Leavesley 0 Burnt Burnt 1976 Long Unburnt
20 Communicating Bushfire CRC Research: The ANU Fire Science Course Geoff Cary Fenner School of Environment & Society, The Australian National University, Acton 0200, ACT
AMICUS: National Fire Behaviour Knowledge Base Bringing together the best information for best decision
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Mapping Potential Rate of Spread and Intensity of Bushfires using Project Vesta GIS Toolbox
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National Fire Behaviour Knowledge Base- Bringing together the best information for best decisions
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