Water and Planning: The Fluid Challenge. How can we secure our future water resources?
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1 Water and Planning: The Fluid Challenge How can we secure our future water resources?
2 Water and Planning: The Fluid #FluidChallenge Proudly sponsored by:
3 Tse-Hui Teh UCL Geoff Darch - ATKINS Toni Scarr - Environment Agency Kevin Reid - Greater London #FluidChallenge
4 @RTPI_London #FluidChallenge
5 The Planning and Water Challenge The water challenge is not just about water, but about the way we value and interact with our environment.
6 Chertsey Abbey c1432
7 Urban Water System
8 Culture, Technology and Everyday Life
9 Coevolution Change does happen, but so far change has been for greater convenience and greater comfort. How we start coevolution towards fitting within local water availabilities?
10 Start Small for Better Water Resource Use
11 Coevolve for Better Water Efficiency
12 Coevolve for Resource and Water Efficiency
13 Water Spills Over Everywhere Personal needs and values Environmental constraints Uses for water Organisation of people, water, space and technologies
14 Planning Water resources are planned and managed to maintain the current water supply and drainage network. Who is planning to make a water sustainable culture and infrastructure?
15 Revaluing Resources
16 @RTPI_London #FluidChallenge
17 Future Proofing Water Dr Geoff Darch 7 November 2013
18 Why look at the future? The future is different (probably always has been) Stationarity Is Dead: Wither Water management? (Milly et al., 2008, Science) We can see the future (even if the vision is blurred) We are locked in to certain changes e.g. demographic, climatic, economic; we know something of potential shocks We have opportunities to design our own futures All of humanity is not concerned with day-to-day survival
19 A wider nexus
20 Types of water risk
21 Scenario planning: Future Proofing the UK Water Sector
22 Uncertainty... The past Today
23 Uncertainty... The past Today The future
24 Uncertainty... The past Today The future
25 Uncertainty... to scenarios The past Today The future A D B C
26 Top drivers of change Top drivers of change discussed UK population: shape and composition, urbanisation impact on infrastructure Consumer attitudes towards sustainability & resources Shape & demand of UK industry (incl. Agriculture) Technology innovation Energy source, price and availability Global & local resource rivalry: e.g. materials, natural resources, food UK political landscape Ability to attract and retain workforce talent Competition for investment & financial resources Security (resilience, terrorism, health, cyber)
27 How different could the future look?
28 What does this mean for the water sector? Scenario Customers Assets Competition The Graphene Era The Wood Economy The Concrete Jungle The Steel Squeeze Customers engaged and willing to pay Customers engaged, but high prices drive them to cheaper local solutions Customers disengaged; seeking lowest priced water Customers not willing to pay; water is a right Assets centralised Quality matched to use Assets decentralised Lower regulation leads to Infrastructure investment Assets centralised, but deteriorating Tight national regulation; limited new entrants but competition for capital Investment in innovation More competitive with new local entrants More competition from new asset owners and operators Strict regulation limits competition and companies squeezed
29 No-regrets options Data and knowledge management Customer engagement and understanding Skills and workforce Innovation
30 Robust Decision Making: Water resource planning under climate uncertainty in London
31 Climate change impacts Demand of 1 million people = ~ 165 Ml/d Darch et al. (2011) for Adaptation Sub-Committee and Thames Water
32 (Adaptation) options Darch et al. (2011) for Adaptation Sub-Committee and Thames Water
33 Adaptation pathways Darch et al. (2011) for Adaptation Sub-Committee and Thames Water
34 Concluding thoughts...
35 Navigating the 21 st century Put water in sight and in mind Understand the risk, recognise the value and opportunities Think long-term To improve robustness Act collaboratively To realise a secure future
36 Thanks for listening
37 @RTPI_London #FluidChallenge
38 Working with Natural Processes Toni Scarr - Environment Agency EU RESTORE Sharing Knowledge
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41 Delivering River Restoration: Recipes for Success 41
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43 What do we mean by river restoration? Before After
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46 Before After
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55 Delivering River Restoration: Recipes for Success 55
56 Case studies Discussion forum Web-based GIS Technical data Free text mode
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59 Planning for Surface Water Management in London Kevin Reid International Planning Day Thursday 7 th November 2013
60 Content Drain London Project Planning System and applications Next Steps in sustainable surface water management
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67 Drain London Background Poor understanding of surface water flood risk, identified in Regional Flood Risk Appraisal 2007 Lack of records of flooding Inconsistent records of drainage infrastructure London identified as particularly high risk
68 Key Outputs (1) Detailed Surface Water Risk map Surface Water management Plans x33
69 Key Outputs (2) Detailed Flood Risk investigations 20 local hotspots 12 hospitals 8 Fire Stations 21 secondary schools
70 Example Hospital
71 Example Hospital
72 Example Schools
73 Links to Planning (1) Sustainable drainage London Plan policy 5.13 Development should utilise SUDS unless there are practical reasons for not doing so and should aim to achieve greenfield run-off rates Store rainwater for later use Use infiltration techniques Attenuate in open features Attenuate in sealed features Discharge direct to a watercourse Discharge to surface water sewer Discharge to combined sewer
74 Links to Planning (2) Most strategic scale development achieves 50% reduction in discharge Many sites achieve greenfield run-off rates
75 Links to Planning (3) Green roofs Permeable pavements/geo cellular storage Discharge direct to Thames/Docks Multi functional use of open spaces Some dedicated features such as ponds/swales Some Emergency Flood Storage eg car parks
76 Links to Planning (4) BUT Lots of subsurface tanks Most require pumping Quick dismissall of infiltration Limited natural features
77 Next Steps Need a step change in delivery SABS are coming London Sustainable Drainage Action Plan
78 London Sustainable Drainage Action Plan Planning system Retrofit - sectors Transport Housing Health Education Retail parks Community/Household measures Financial incentives
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80 Tse-Hui Teh - UCL Geoff Darch - ATKINS Toni Scarr - Environment Agency Kevin Reid - Greater London #FluidChallenge
81 Now to continue the Debate!...downstairs in the... South Cloisters
LONDON INFRASTRUCTURE PLAN 2050 BUILDING A BIGGER AND BETTER LONDON
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