Top 10 Global Growth Markets

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1 Top 10 Global Growth Markets 67 th Virginia Conference on World Trade November 5, 2015 Courtney Rickert McCaffrey

2 Developed markets Canada and the UK continue to provide export opportunities for U.S. businesses United Kingdom Canada 2016 growth: 2.2% Consumption growth: 2.7% Investment growth: 3.8% Imports growth: 2.7% Share of U.S. exports: 5.0% Share of services exports: 9.0% Sources of opportunity Long-time economic partner of the United States Consumer confidence and spending growth is high British pound has risen in value against the US dollar this year Sources: International Monetary Fund, Economist Intelligence Unit, U.S. Census Bureau, A.T. Kearney analysis 2016 growth: 1.7% Consumption growth: 1.7% Investment growth: 0.5% Imports growth: 2.3% Share of U.S. exports: 16.0% Share of services exports: 8.6% Sources of opportunity NAFTA and TPP member United States is largest source of imports New government is seeking to stimulate the economy, especially through infrastructure spending 2

3 Emerging markets An analysis of eight factors reveals which emerging markets are poised to drive new business opportunities and global growth Identifying the next wave of emerging market growth Policy factors Size of economy factors Reform status performance Regulations and governance Emerging growth markets imbalances Infrastructure Growth-facilitating factors Labor force resilience Source: A.T. Kearney analysis 3

4 Emerging markets The 2020-Seven Growth Markets China Malaysia Chile Poland Peru Mexico Philippines Indonesia Turkey Colombia Romania Thailand India Kazakhstan South Africa Nigeria Hungary Brazil Iran Russia Argentina Pakistan Algeria Egypt Venezuela Size of economy performance resilience Scores imbalances Very High Labor force Infrastructure Regulations and governance Sources: Economist Intelligence Unit, International Monetary Fund, World Bank, World Forum, United Nations, A.T. Kearney analysis High Moderate Low Reform status Very Low Growth market 4

5 Frontier markets The Sub-Saharan Africa region is also an increasingly attractive business opportunity Community of West African States $ and Monetary Community of Central Africa $105 Southern African Customs Union $ data are 2015 estimates at current prices and market exchange rates Sources: International Monetary Fund, World Trade Organization, A.T. Kearney analysis Star performers East African Community $146 Southern Africa Development Community $ (s) growth Côte d Ivoire $ % Ethiopia $ % Kenya $ % Nigeria $ % Tanzania $ % 5

6 A.T. Kearney is a leading global management consulting firm with offices in more than 40 countries. Since 1926, we have been trusted advisors to the world's foremost organizations. A.T. Kearney is a partner-owned firm, committed to helping clients achieve immediate impact and growing advantage on their most missioncritical issues. For more information, visit Americas Atlanta Bogotá Calgary Chicago Dallas Detroit Houston Mexico City New York Palo Alto San Francisco São Paulo Toronto Washington, D.C. Asia Pacific Bangkok Beijing Hong Kong Jakarta Kuala Lumpur Melbourne Mumbai New Delhi Seoul Shanghai Singapore Sydney Taipei Tokyo Europe Amsterdam Berlin Brussels Bucharest Budapest Copenhagen Düsseldorf Frankfurt Helsinki Istanbul Kiev Lisbon Ljubljana London Madrid Milan Moscow Munich Oslo Paris Prague Rome Stockholm Stuttgart Vienna Warsaw Zurich Middle East and Africa Abu Dhabi Doha Dubai Johannesburg Manama Riyadh 6

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