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1 Houston Sustainability Indicators Sustainable Communities: Regional Confusion of Affordability in Houston Presented at the 2015 State of Affordable Housing in Houston Symposium, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Houston, TX. Lester O. King, PhD, AICP, LEED Sustainability Fellow, Shell Center for Sustainability, Rice University (713)
2 Background/ Project Overview - Interdisciplinary Consensus Building Advisory Board Rice University John Anderson, PhD Geologist Research in Geosciences for 40 years Jim Blackburn Environmental Lawyer Environmental Law for 30 years Stephen Klineberg, PhD Sociologist Houston Area Survey for 29 Years Lyn Ragsdale, PhD Political Scientist Political Science for 30 Years Ron Soligo, PhD Economist Energy Economics for 48 years Social Development Experts Michael Emerson, PhD Rice University Peter Brown Robert Bullard, PhD David Crossley Marlene Gafrick Rocaille Roberts, PhD Diane Schenke Laura Solitare, PhD Former City Council Texas Southern University Houston Tomorrow City of Houston Planning Director Healthy Living Matters Greater East End Management District Texas Southern University Experts - City of Houston Economic Development Experts Theresa DeBose Centerpoint Energy Gavin Dillingham, PhD George Granias Carol Lewis, PhD Qisheng Pan, PhD Laura Spanjian Fred Welch Houston Advanced Research METRO, Chief Executive Texas Southern University Texas Southern University Houston Sustainability Director Greater Houston Partnership, VP Environmental Development Experts Phil Bedient, Ph.D. Rice University Jun Chang City of Houston Public Works Deputy Director Thomas Colbert University of Houston Aston Hinds, Ph.D. Port of Houston Environmental Director Jim Lester, Ph.D. Houston Advanced Research Brandt Mannchen Sierra Club Martin Melosi, Ph.D. University of Houston Jeff Taebel Houston Galveston Area Council Matt Tejada, Ph.D. Air Alliance Houston Page 2 of 32
3 Project Results HSI Report 2012 Source: King, L. (2012). Houston Sustainability Indicators: A Comprehensive Development Review for Citizens Analysts and Decision Makers. Houston, TX: Shell Center for Sustainability, Rice University Download Report: Publications link Page 3 of 32
4 Project Results - HSI Report 2013 Source: King, L. (2013). Sustainable Development of Houston Districts: A Sustainability Indicators Study. Houston, TX: Shell Center for Sustainability, Rice University Download Report: Publications link Page 4 of 32
5 Project Results - HSI Report 2014 Source: King, L. (2014). Houston Community Sustainability: The Quality of Life Atlas. Houston, TX: Shell Center for Sustainability, Rice University Download Report: Publications link Page 5 of 32
6 Data Sharing! Online Visualization! Data Sharing! Data Sharing! Page 6 of 32
7 SD Pillar SNBR Theme SNBR SubTheme SNBR Indicator SNBR Metrics Social Development (15) Economic Development (9) Environmental Development (9) Social Demography Poverty Livability Economic Development Consumption and Production Transportation Page 7 of 32 Population Growth Population Growth Rate Population growth Race and ethinicity (%White) Race and ethinicity (%Hispanic) Race and ethinicity (%Black) Race and ethinicity (%Other) Education High School Completion Rate Percent of population with graduate degrees Community Involvement Voting Participation Rate %Voting by Super Neighborhood Inequality Income Inequality Ratio of Share in income of highest to lowest quintile Poverty Level Population living below poverty Percent below poverty Population without health Healthcare Delivery insurance Average healthcare spending Cost of Living Affordability % housing units spending > 30% income on housing Housing + transportation costs as percentage of income Quality of Life Accessibility of Public Parks %Pop within 1/4 mile to parks Health & Nutrition Population in Food Deserts Percent of population in food desert Environmental Justice Waste Exposure Population Within 1/4 Mile to Waste Sites Employment Employment Status Unemployment rate by neighborhood Economic Performance Primary Jobs Primary jobs as a percentage of total jobs Business Location Jobs/ Housing Balance Percent of housing units in business centers Capital Improvements Infrastructure Condition Street condition neighborhood ranking Adequate storm sewers Access Access to Transit Access to transit stops Intersections by neighborhood Demand Vehicle Miles Traveled Annual VMT per household Mode Travel Choice Transit to work Atmosphere Air Quality Ambient Air Pollutants Maximum Ozone Index Concentration Freshwater Water Demand Water Use Household Water Use by Neighborhood Flooding Floodplain Expansion Population within 100 Yr Floodplain Land Land Cover Land Cover Change High intensity development by neighborhood Low-Mid intensity development by neighborhood % Open Space Distance to CBD Population Density Land Use Land Use Mix Land Use Mix index
8 SUSTAINABILITY INDICATORS AND COMMUNITY SORTING What the HSI Reports and the Online Visualization Portal tells us - 1. How City of Houston performs on sustainability indicators. e.g. How many households spend more than 30% income on Housing costs? 30% 2. How Council Districts perform on sustainability indicators. e.g. Which council district is most unaffordable? District F (33.6%) a. How Council Districts compare. e.g. Which council district is most affordable and which is least affordable? District E (24%) - District F (33.6%) 3. How Super Neighborhoods perform on sustainability indicators. e.g. Which Super Neighborhood is most affordable? Hunterwood (44%) a. How Super Neighborhoods compare. e.g. Which Super Neighborhood is most affordable and which is least affordable? Gulfton (13%) Hunterwood (44%) Page 8 of 32
9 SUSTAINABILITY INDICATORS AND COMMUNITY SORTING How can HSI Data be used to understand major and complex problems in city General Planning and Housing and Community Development in Houston? e.g. 1. How should we define distressed communities in Houston? 2. Which communities are the distressed communities and can they be ranked? 3. What are the types and levels of intervention necessary to create improvements among communities in Houston? Page 9 of 32
10 How should we define distressed communities in Houston? Wealthy Inner City Growth Areas African American zmedianincome zvmt (-) zwateruseperhouse zperhisp (-) zlandusemix Single Use zhealthspending zperbusstopaccess zpopgrowth90-10 zpervoting zperpoorlanemiles zperbelpoverty (-) zperopenspace (-) zpopdense zperaa zperspendthirtyormore (-) zh+tcosts zinterpersqml zpopclosewaste zmedvaluehouse zperpopfooddesert (-) zperwhite zperhighdev zpermasters zdistcbd (-) zperunemp (-) zpertransit (-) zperhubc zperparkaccess Literature: Indicators which explain distressed communities Median household income Percent below poverty Median value of housing Percent home ownership High school completion College completion Unemployment rate Percent in top jobs Diez Roux, A.V. et al., Area Characteristics and Individual-Level Socioeconomic Position Indicators in Three Population- Based Epidemiologic Studies, Annals of Epidemiology, Vol. 11, No. 6. Page 10 of 32
11 Which communities are the distressed communities and can they be ranked? Median Income.95 Average Spent Healthcare.93 Per Below Poverty -.89 H + T Costs.87 Median Value Houses.83 Per White.83 Per Masters Degrees.80 Per Unemployed -.69 Per Using Transit -.53 #1 Kashmere Gardens #2 Greater Fifth Ward #3 Westwood #88 Afton Oaks/ River Oaks #87 University Place #86 Lake Houston Page 11 of 32
12 Which communities are the distressed communities and can they be ranked? Median Income.95 Rank Sn# Neighborhood Average Spent Healthcare.93 Per Below Poverty -.89 H + T Costs.87 Median Value Houses.83 Per White.83 Per Masters Degrees.80 Per Unemployed -.69 Per Using Transit KASHMERE GARDENS 2 55 GREATER FIFTH WARD 3 29 WESTWOOD 4 67 GREATER THIRD WARD 5 68 OST / SOUTH UNION 6 13 INDEPENDENCE HEIGHTS 7 50 SETTEGAST 8 27 GULFTON 9 2 GREATER GREENSPOINT SUNNYSIDE WASHINGTON AVENUE COALITION / MEMORIAL PARK CLEAR LAKE BRAESWOOD PLACE GREATER UPTOWN GREENWAY / UPPER KIRBY AREA KINGWOOD AREA MEMORIAL LAKE HOUSTON UNIVERSITY PLACE AFTON OAKS / RIVER OAKS AREA Page 12 of 32
13 Project Results - HSI Report 2015 Source: King, L. (2015). Opportunity Among the Districts. Houston, TX: Shell Center for Sustainability, Rice University Download Report: Page 13 of 32 Publications link Gentrification. Affordability. Quality of Life
14 Regional Confusion HSI Report Growth Numbers 2. Affordability 3. Gentrification Page 14 of 32
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16 2.5% x 2.1M persons each year Page 16 of 32
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21 Recent increases in home values by the county government conflict with Houston s marketability as an affordable destination. The prevailing rhetoric of Houston gaining 3.5 million people by 2035 is both incorrect and may be a contributing factor to damage wealth retention among the middle class in Houston. This is because the 3.5 million people are not forecasted for the City of Houston municipal boundaries (665 sqml), but for the region, which consists of 8 counties and covers a massive (7,978 sqml). The City of Houston is only projected to grow by 896,000 by The majority of the 3.5 million people forecasted to move to our region are expected to live in the suburban communities outside of the City of Houston. Therefore while it may seem strategically attractive to market the city as a major growth hub expecting 3.5 million people, the City may be indirectly eroding its affordability and middle class wealth base, since land values are increasing to meet the needs of 3.5 million people, who are in fact not moving here at all. Page 21 of 32
22 What is Affordable in Houston? 2013 Houston Metro Income Limits Low Moderate Median Medium Median Permit Income Income Income** Income value* Annual Income 28,856 46,170 57,712 69,254 77,760 Monthly Income 2,405 3,847 4,809 5,771 6,480 30% Monthly Income 802 1,282 1,603 1,924 2,160 Housing Value*** 80, , , , ,000 - Low income (CDBG/ Section 8) 50% AMI; Moderate Income 80% AMI; Medium Income 120% AMI 2013 Houston City Income Limits Low Moderate Median Medium Median Permit Income Income Income** Income value* Annual Income 22,505 36,008 45,010 54,012 77,760 Monthly Income 1,875 3,001 3,751 4,501 6,480 30% Monthly Income 625 1,000 1,250 1,500 2,160 Housing Value*** 62, , , , ,000 *2015 Analysis to Impediments and fair housing choice. ** Median incomes from ACS_5Yr13. *** Housing value is calculated using the 1% of value rule (100 times the affordable income based payment of 30% income). Page 22 of 32
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29 1. How should we define distressed communities in Houston? 2. Which communities are the distressed communities and can they be ranked? 3. What are the types and levels of intervention necessary to create improvements among communities in Houston? Page 29 of 32
30 3. What are the types and levels of intervention necessary to create improvements among communities in Houston? Bring back the o We need COMMUNITY community level planning in - Housing and Community Development! not just housing development. o Empower Superneighborhoods to be the special district complement to the successful management districts. Page 30 of 32
31 Wish list for new Mayor and 8 year city council: ONE MAJOR COMPREHENSIVE COMMUNITY PLANNING PROJECT IMPLEMENTED IN EACH SUPERNEIGHBORHOOD BY 2023!!! Page 31 of 32
32 Benefits of comprehensive data analytics using the Houston Sustainability Indicators. Gauge of a well functioning community is the presence of happy children! (713) LOK1@rice.edu Page 32 of 32
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