Ford's approval ratings unshaken by international ridicule

Transcription

1 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Ford's approval ratings unshaken by international ridicule Majority agree with decision to strip his powers, NOVEMBER 20 th, 2013 In a random sampling of public opinion taken among 1049 Toronto voters after the week when he was featured on all the late night talk shows and a day after his duties were curtailed by council, just more than 4 in 10 approve of the job Rob Ford is doing as mayor (42%), and this is essentially unchanged from two weeks ago, after an equally controversial week capped by an admission he had smoked crack cocaine (44%). Ford's popularity is especially high among the least wealthy (less than $20K 49%, $20K to $40K 52%), males (49%), in York/Etobicoke (57%), the least educated (55%), Catholics (54%), those with children (49%) and those whose ethnic background is from somewhere other than the British Isles. Six in ten approve of decision to strip mayor of power Close to two thirds approve council's decision to strip Mayor Ford of most of his budget, staff and authority and give it to Deputy Mayor Norm Kelly (60%). One third disapprove (34%) and one twentieth have no opinion (5%). Those who don't approve are typical Ford supporters, (young, male, low income, less educated, suburbs) described in more detail below. Approval high for Deputy Mayor, also Olivia Chow Two thirds approve of the job Norm Kelly is doing as Deputy Mayor (65%), 6 in 10 approve of Olivia Chow (59%), about one half approve of John Tory (52%) and Karen Stintz (47%) while just one third approve of Doug Ford (36%). Minority want a civic election now Just fewer than one half think a municipal election should be held now (44%), and this is especially the case among the youngest (53%), mid income groups ($40K to $60K 53%) in the downtown and North York (47% each). Rob Ford supporters are less likely to support an election (39%) than are those who disapprove of the mayor (47%). One half want referendum on Rob Ford One half of Torontonians (49%) want a referendum on whether Rob Ford should remain in office (49%) while just fewer do not think this (47%). Rob Ford supporters are less likely to want a referendum (37%) than are those who disapprove of the mayor (59%). 1 MEDIA INQUIRIES: HIGHLIGHTS: Just more than 4 in 10 approve of the job Rob Ford is doing as mayor (42%), and this is essentially unchanged from two weeks ago. Close to two thirds approve council's decision to strip Mayor Ford of most of his budget, staff and authority and give it to Deputy Mayor Norm Kelly (60%). Two thirds approve of the job Norm Kelly is doing as Deputy Mayor (65%), 6 in 10 approve of Olivia Chow (59%), about one half approve of John Tory (52%) and Karen Stintz (47%) while just one third approve of Doug Ford (36%). Just fewer than one half think a municipal election should be held now (44%). One half of Torontonians (49%) want a referendum on whether Rob Ford should remain in office (49%) while just fewer do not think this (47%).

2 Ford seen best for budget, Chow best for vision In a rating of candidate attributes, Rob Ford is seen to best able to handle the city budget (34%), compared to Olivia Chow (28%), John Tory (22%) or Karen Stintz (8%). Chow is seen to have the best vision for the city (34% to 30% for Rob Ford, 21% for John Tory and 9% for Karen Stintz). Despite his success in uniting council against him, Olivia Chow is seen to be better able to make councillors work together (33%) than Rob Ford (20%). John Tory is seen to be best at this by a quarter (26%), while a tenth choose Stintz (8%). Olivia Chow is seen as the candidate most likely to leave the city better than she found it (34%), followed by Rob Ford (31%), John Tory (21%) and Karen Stintz (8%). Six in ten still want Ford to resign Six in ten Toronto voters want Rob Ford to resign (60%) and this hasn't changed in two weeks (61%). More than a quarter of those who voted for him think resignation is a good idea (28%). Sharp increase in those who think mayor has substance abuse problem Close to 7 in 10 believe Mayor Ford has a substance abuse problem (69%), well up from just more than half two weeks ago (54%). Just fewer think he should take a leave of absence to deal with substance abuse problems (64%). Of note, more than a third of those who support Rob Ford agree he has a problem (36%) and should deal with it (37%). One third will vote for Ford in 2014 One third of Toronto voters say they will vote for Rob Ford in 2014 (33%), and this percentage barely increases if it is posited that the mayor goes to rehab first (34%). This group may be considered to be the bedrock of Ford Nation, and they are characteristically mid aged (45 to 54 40%), male (43%), in mid to higher income groups ($80K to $100K 46%), in Etobicoke/York (46%), drivers (41%), those with some college or university (45%), Catholics (45%), non British Europeans (46%) and non Europeans (44%) and those with children (42%). Of note, one tenth of Rob Ford's supporters will not vote for him next year (10%). One third think Rob Ford is good for Toronto One third of Torontonians think Rob Ford is good for Toronto (35%), and this group is essentially the same as the core supporters described previously. Six in ten think he is bad for Toronto (61%) and very few don't have an opinion (4%). MEDIA INQUIRIES: HIGHLIGHTS: In a rating of candidate attributes, Rob Ford is seen to best able to handle the city budget (34%). Six in ten Toronto voters want Rob Ford to resign (60%) and this hasn't changed in two weeks (61%). Close to 7 in 10 believe Mayor Ford has a substance abuse problem (69%), well up from just more than half two weeks ago (54%). One third of Toronto voters say they will vote for Rob Ford in 2014 (33%), and this percentage barely increases if it is posited that the mayor goes to rehab first (34%). One third of Torontonians think Rob Ford is good for Toronto (35%). 2

3 Just one fifth support Ford for PM One fifth of Torontonians say they would support Rob Ford for Prime Minister, an ambition he has espoused (19%). Three quarters would not (75%) and one twentieth have no opinion (5%). Those who support this ambition are young (29%), male (23%), low income (32%), in Etobicoke/York (30%), non Christians (28%), non Europeans (29%) and Ford supporters (43%). Of note, most Ford supporters would not support him for Prime Minister (45%). What we can see from this is that, to his core supporters, the true citizens of Ford Nation, who comprise about one third of the voters in Toronto, Rob Ford is a viable candidate for mayor. Nothing more he can do will surprise them or put them off. They've seen the worst there is, and they still stand by their man," said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff. Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at or at (416) HIGHLIGHTS: One fifth of Torontonians say they would support Rob Ford for Prime Minister, an ambition he has espoused (19%). What we can see from this is that, to his core supporters, the true citizens of Ford Nation, who comprise about one third of the voters in Toronto, Rob Ford is a viable candidate for mayor. Nothing more he can do will surprise them or put them off. They've seen the worst there is, and they still stand by their man," said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff. 3

4 Methodology The Forum Poll was conducted by Forum Research with the results based on an interactive voice response telephone survey of 1049 randomly selected Torontonians 18 years of age and older. The poll was conducted on November 20 th, Results based on the total sample are considered accurate +/ 3%, 19 times out of 20. Subsample results will be less accurate. Margins of error for subsample (such as age, gender) results are available at Where appropriate, the data has been statistically weighted by age, region, and other variables to ensure that the sample reflects the actual population according to the latest Census data. This research is not necessarily predictive of future outcomes, but rather, captures opinion at one point in time. Forum Research conducted this poll as a public service and to demonstrate our survey research capabilities. With offices across Canada and around the world, 100% Canadian owned Forum Research is one of the country s leading survey research firms. This Forum Poll and other polls may be found at Forum's poll archive at 4

5 Mayoral Attribute Summary Rob Olivia John Karen Don t % Ford Chow Tory Stintz Know Handle the city budget the best? Best vision for the city? Get councilors to work together as one? Leave the city in better shape than he or she found it? Approval Summary % Approve Disapprove Norm Kelly Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Rob Ford Doug Ford

6 Rob Ford Approval Trending % Sample Approve Disapprove Nov. 20 th, Nov. 6 th, Nov. 4 th, Oct 31 st, Oct th, Sep 23 rd, Aug 29 th, July 29 th, June 25 th, May 24 th, May 10 th, April 11 th, April 5 th, March 20 th, March 11 th, Feb. 26 th 28 th, Feb. 22 nd, Jan. 25 th, Dec. 14 th, Nov. 26 th, Nov 16 th 17 th, Oct 25 th, Sep 28 th 29 th, Sep 7 th 8 th, Aug 9 th 10 th, Jun 28 th, Jun 7 th, May 28 th, Apr 18 th, Mar 15 th, Feb 13 th, Feb 1 st, Oct 24 th, Sep 13 th, Jun 1 st, Feb 25 th 26 th, MEDIA INQUIRIES:

7 Should Ford Resign Trending % Sample Should Resign Should Not Resign Don t Nov 20 th, Nov 6 th, Nov 4 th, Oct 31 st, Agreement with Ford having a Substance Abuse Problem Trending % Sample Yes / Agree No / Disagree Don t Nov 20 th, Nov 4 th, Should Ford take a Leave of Absence? Trending % Sample Yes No Don t Nov 20 th, Nov 6 th, Nov 4 th, Voting for Ford in 2014 Trending % Sample Yes No Don t Nov 20 th, Nov 6 th, Voting for Ford in 2014 after Rehab Trending % Sample Yes No Don t Nov 20 th, Nov 6 th,

8 Approval of Ford Overall do you approve or disapprove of the job Rob Ford is doing as Mayor of Toronto? [All Respondents] MEDIA INQUIRIES: Age / Gender Male Female Sample Approve Disapprove Region Toronto or East York North York Etobicoke or York Scarborough Sample Approve Disapprove Transportation / Own Property Drive TTC or other public transit Other Yes No Sample Approve Disapprove Household Income <$20K $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $40K $60K $80K $100K $250K $250K+ Sample Approve Disapprove Education Secondary Some college or Completed college Post graduate school or less university or university studies Sample Approve Disapprove

9 Religion % Tota l Christi an Protestant Christian Evangelical Christian Catholic Other Christi an Non Christi an Sample Approve Disapprove None Ethnicity Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Welsh Other European Non European Sample Approve Disapprove Have Children Yes No Sample Approve Disapprove Past Mayoral Vote Rob George Joe Someone Didn t Ford Smitherman Pantalone else vote Sample Approve Disapprove

10 Approval of City Council Limiting Ford City council has stripped Mayor Ford of most of his authority and office budget and has given them to Deputy Mayor Norm Kelly instead. Do you approve or disapprove of this decision? MEDIA INQUIRIES: [All Respondents] Age / Gender Male Female Sample Approve Disapprove Region Toronto or East York North York Etobicoke or York Scarborough Sample Approve Disapprove Transportation / Own Property Drive TTC or other public transit Other Yes No Sample Approve Disapprove Household Income <$20K $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $40K $60K $80K $100K $250K $250K+ Sample Approve Disapprove

11 Education Secondary Some college or Completed college Post graduate school or less university or university studies Sample Approve Disapprove MEDIA INQUIRIES: Religion % Tota l Christia n Protestan t Christian Evangelic al Christian Catholi c Other Christia n Non Christia n Sample Approve Disapprov e Ethnicity Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Welsh Other European Non European Sample Approve Disapprove Have Children Yes No Sample Approve Disapprove Past Mayoral Vote Rob George Joe Someone Didn t Ford Smitherman Pantalone else vote Sample Approve Disapprove Non e 11

12 Rob Ford Approval Approve Disapprove Sample Approve Disapprove

13 Approval of Kelly Overall do you approve or disapprove of the job councilor Norm Kelly is doing as Deputy Mayor of Toronto? MEDIA INQUIRIES: [All Respondents] Age / Gender Male Female Sample Approve Disapprove Region Toronto or East York North York Etobicoke or York Scarborough Sample Approve Disapprove Transportation / Own Property Drive TTC or other public transit Other Yes No Sample Approve Disapprove Household Income <$20K $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $40K $60K $80K $100K $250K $250K+ Sample Approve Disapprove Education Secondary Some college or Completed college Post graduate school or less university or university studies Sample Approve Disapprove

14 Religion % Tota l Christia n Protestan t Christian Evangelic al Christian Catholi c Other Christia n Non Christia n Sample Approve Disapprov e Non e Ethnicity Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Welsh Other European Non European Sample Approve Disapprove Have Children Yes No Sample Approve Disapprove Past Mayoral Vote Rob George Joe Someone Didn t Ford Smitherman Pantalone else vote Sample Approve Disapprove Rob Ford Approval Approve Disapprove Sample Approve Disapprove

15 Approval of Doug Ford Overall do you approve or disapprove of Doug Ford? [All Respondents] Age / Gender Male Female Sample Approve Disapprove Region Toronto or East York North York Etobicoke or York Scarborough Sample Approve Disapprove Transportation / Own Property Drive TTC or other public transit Other Yes No Sample Approve Disapprove Household Income <$20K $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $40K $60K $80K $100K $250K $250K+ Sample Approve Disapprove Education Secondary Some college or Completed college Post graduate school or less university or university studies Sample Approve Disapprove

16 Religion % Tota l Christia n Protestan t Christian Evangelic al Christian Catholi c Other Christia n Non Christia n Sample Approve Disapprov e Non e MEDIA INQUIRIES: Ethnicity Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Welsh Other European Non European Sample Approve Disapprove Have Children Yes No Sample Approve Disapprove Past Mayoral Vote Rob George Joe Someone Didn t Ford Smitherman Pantalone else vote Sample Approve Disapprove Rob Ford Approval Approve Disapprove Sample Approve Disapprove

17 Approval of Stintz Overall do you approve or disapprove of Karen Stintz? [All Respondents] MEDIA INQUIRIES: Age / Gender Male Female Sample Approve Disapprove Region Toronto or East York North York Etobicoke or York Scarborough Sample Approve Disapprove Transportation / Own Property Drive TTC or other public transit Other Yes No Sample Approve Disapprove Household Income <$20K $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $40K $60K $80K $100K $250K $250K+ Sample Approve Disapprove Education Secondary Some college or Completed college Post graduate school or less university or university studies Sample Approve Disapprove

18 Religion % Tota l Christia n Protestan t Christian Evangelica l Christian Cath olic Other Christia n Non Christia n Sample Approve Disapprov e Non e MEDIA INQUIRIES: Ethnicity Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Welsh Other European Non European Sample Approve Disapprove Have Children Yes No Sample Approve Disapprove Past Mayoral Vote Rob George Joe Someone Didn t Ford Smitherman Pantalone else vote Sample Approve Disapprove Rob Ford Approval Approve Disapprove Sample Approve Disapprove

19 Approval of Chow Overall do you approve or disapprove of Olivia Chow? [All Respondents] Age / Gender Male Female Sample Approve Disapprove Region Toronto or East York North York Etobicoke or York Scarborough Sample Approve Disapprove Transportation / Own Property Drive TTC or other public transit Other Yes No Sample Approve Disapprove Household Income <$20K $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $40K $60K $80K $100K $250K $250K+ Sample Approve Disapprove Education Secondary Some college or Completed college Post graduate school or less university or university studies Sample Approve Disapprove

20 Religion % Tota l Christia n Protestan t Christian Evangelic al Christian Catholi c Other Christia n Non Christia n Sample Approve Disapprov e Non e Ethnicity Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Welsh Other European Non European Sample Approve Disapprove Have Children Yes No Sample Approve Disapprove Past Mayoral Vote Rob George Joe Someone Didn t Ford Smitherman Pantalone else vote Sample Approve Disapprove Rob Ford Approval Approve Disapprove Sample Approve Disapprove

21 Approval of Tory Overall do you approve or disapprove of John Tory? [All Respondents] Age / Gender Male Female Sample Approve Disapprove Region Toronto or East York North York Etobicoke or York Scarborough Sample Approve Disapprove Transportation / Own Property Drive TTC or other public transit Other Yes No Sample Approve Disapprove Household Income <$20K $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $40K $60K $80K $100K $250K $250K+ Sample Approve Disapprove Education Secondary Some college or Completed college Post graduate school or less university or university studies Sample Approve Disapprove

22 Religion % Tota l Christia n Protestan t Christian Evangelical Christian Cath olic Other Christia n Non Christia n Sample Approve Disapprov e Non e Ethnicity Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Welsh Other European Non European Sample Approve Disapprove Have Children Yes No Sample Approve Disapprove Past Mayoral Vote Rob George Joe Someone Didn t Ford Smitherman Pantalone else vote Sample Approve Disapprove Rob Ford Approval Approve Disapprove Sample Approve Disapprove

23 Municipal Election Now Do you think a municipal election should be held now or not? [All Respondents] MEDIA INQUIRIES: Age / Gender Male Female Sample Yes No Region Toronto or East York North York Etobicoke or York Scarborough Sample Yes No Transportation / Own Property Drive TTC or other public transit Other Yes No Sample Yes No Household Income <$20K $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $40K $60K $80K $100K $250K $250K+ Sample Yes No Education Secondary Some college Completed college Post graduate school or less or university or university studies Sample Yes No

24 Religion Christian Protestant Evangelical Other Non Catholic Christian Christian Christian Christian None Sample Yes No Ethnicity Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Other Non Welsh European European Sample Yes No Have Children Yes No Sample Yes No Past Mayoral Vote Rob George Joe Someone Didn t Ford Smitherman Pantalone else vote Sample Yes No Rob Ford Approval Approve Disapprove Sample Yes No

25 Referendum on Ford Do you think there should be a referendum on whether Rob Ford should remain in office or not? [All Respondents] Age / Gender Male Female Sample Yes No Region Toronto or East York North York Etobicoke or York Scarborough Sample Yes No Transportation / Own Property Drive TTC or other public transit Other Yes No Sample Yes No Household Income <$20K $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $40K $60K $80K $100K $250K $250K+ Sample Yes No

26 Education Secondary Some college or Completed college Post graduate school or less university or university studies Sample Yes No Religion Christian Protestant Evangelical Other Non Catholic Christian Christian Christian Christian None Sample Yes No Ethnicity Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Other Non Welsh European European Sample Yes No Have Children Yes No Sample Yes No Past Mayoral Vote Rob George Joe Someone Didn t Ford Smitherman Pantalone else vote Sample Yes No

27 Rob Ford Approval Approve Disapprove Sample Yes No

28 Best Handle City Budget Which mayoral candidate would handle the city budget the best? [All Respondents] MEDIA INQUIRIES: Age / Gender Male Female Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Region Toronto or East York North York Etobicoke or York Scarborough Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Transportation / Own Property Drive TTC or other public transit Other Yes No Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz

29 Household Income <$20K $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $40K $60K $80K $100K $250K $250K+ Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Education Secondary Some college or Completed college Post graduate school or less university or university studies Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Religion Christian Protestant Evangelical Other Non Catholic Christian Christian Christian Christian None Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz

30 Ethnicity Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Other Non Welsh European European Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Have Children Yes No Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Past Mayoral Vote Rob George Joe Someone Didn t Ford Smitherman Pantalone else vote Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Rob Ford Approval Approve Disapprove Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz

31 Best Vision for the City Which mayoral candidate would have the best vision for the city? [All Respondents] Age / Gender Male Female Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Region Toronto or East York North York Etobicoke or York Scarborough Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Transportation / Own Property Drive TTC or other public transit Other Yes No Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz

32 Household Income <$20K $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $40K $60K $80K $100K $250K $250K+ Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Education Secondary Some college or Completed college Post graduate school or less university or university studies Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Religion Christian Protestant Evangelical Other Non Catholic Christian Christian Christian Christian None Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz

33 Ethnicity Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Other Non Welsh European European Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Have Children Yes No Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Past Mayoral Vote Rob George Joe Someone Didn t Ford Smitherman Pantalone else vote Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Rob Ford Approval Approve Disapprove Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz

34 Able to get Council Working as One Which mayoral candidate would be able to get councilors to work together as one? [All Respondents] Age / Gender Male Female Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Region Toronto or East York North York Etobicoke or York Scarborough Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Transportation / Own Property Drive TTC or other public transit Other Yes No Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz

35 Household Income <$20K $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $40K $60K $80K $100K $250K $250K+ Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Education Secondary Some college or Completed college Post graduate school or less university or university studies Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Religion Christian Protestant Evangelical Other Non Catholic Christian Christian Christian Christian None Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz

36 Ethnicity Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Other Non Welsh European European Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Have Children Yes No Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Past Mayoral Vote Rob George Joe Someone Didn t Ford Smitherman Pantalone else vote Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Rob Ford Approval Approve Disapprove Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz

37 Leave City in Better Shape Which mayoral candidate would leave the city in better shape than he or she found it? [All Respondents] MEDIA INQUIRIES: Age / Gender Male Female Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Region Toronto or East York North York Etobicoke or York Scarborough Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Transportation / Own Property Drive TTC or other public transit Other Yes No Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz

38 Household Income <$20K $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $40K $60K $80K $100K $250K $250K+ Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz MEDIA INQUIRIES: Education Secondary Some college or Completed college Post graduate school or less university or university studies Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Religion Christian Protestant Evangelical Other Non Catholic Christian Christian Christian Christian None Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz

39 Ethnicity Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Other Non Welsh European European Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Have Children Yes No Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Past Mayoral Vote Rob George Joe Someone Didn t Ford Smitherman Pantalone else vote Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz Rob Ford Approval Approve Disapprove Sample Rob Ford Olivia Chow John Tory Karen Stintz

40 Should Ford Resign Do you think Mayor Ford should resign or not? [All Respondents] MEDIA INQUIRIES: Age / Gender Male Female Sample Mayor Ford should resign Mayor should not resign Region Toronto or East North Etobicoke or York York York Scarborough Sample Mayor Ford should resign Mayor should not resign Transportation / Own Property Drive TTC or other public transit Other Yes No Sample Mayor Ford should resign Mayor should not resign Household Income <$20K $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $40K $60K $80K $100K $250K $250K+ Sample Mayor Ford should resign Mayor should not resign

41 Education Secondary school or less Some college or university Completed college or university Post graduate studies Sample Mayor Ford should resign Mayor should not resign Religion Christian Protestant Evangelical Other Non Catholic Christian Christian Christian Christian None Sample Mayor Ford should resign Mayor should not resign Ethnicity Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Other Non Welsh European European Sample Mayor Ford should resign Mayor should not resign Have Children Yes No Sample Mayor Ford should resign Mayor should not resign

42 Past Mayoral Vote Rob George Joe Someone Didn t Ford Smitherman Pantalone else vote Sample Mayor Ford should resign Mayor should not resign Rob Ford Approval Approve Disapprove Sample Mayor Ford should resign Mayor should not resign

43 Agreement with Ford having a Substance Abuse Problem Do you agree or disagree Mayor Ford has a substance abuse problem? [All Respondents] MEDIA INQUIRIES: Age / Gender Male Female Sample Agree Disagree Region Toronto or East York North York Etobicoke or York Scarborough Sample Agree Disagree Transportation / Own Property Drive TTC or other public transit Other Yes No Sample Agree Disagree Household Income <$20K $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $40K $60K $80K $100K $250K $250K+ Sample Agree Disagree Education Secondary Some college Completed college Post graduate school or less or university or university studies Sample Agree Disagree

44 Religion Christian Protestant Evangelical Other Non Catholic Christian Christian Christian Christian None Sample Agree Disagree Ethnicity Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Other Non Welsh European European Sample Agree Disagree Have Children Yes No Sample Agree Disagree Past Mayoral Vote Rob George Joe Someone Didn t Ford Smitherman Pantalone else vote Sample Agree Disagree Rob Ford Approval Approve Disapprove Sample Agree Disagree

45 Should Ford take a Leave of Absence? Should Mayor Ford take a leave of absence and seek help for substance abuse problems or not? [All Respondents] MEDIA INQUIRIES: Age / Gender Male Female Sample Yes No Region Toronto or East York North York Etobicoke or York Scarborough Sample Yes No Transportation / Own Property Drive TTC or other public transit Other Yes No Sample Yes No Household Income <$20K $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $40K $60K $80K $100K $250K $250K+ Sample Yes No

46 Education Secondary Some college Completed college Post graduate school or less or university or university studies Sample Yes No MEDIA INQUIRIES: Religion Christ Protestant Evangelical Cath Other Nonian Christian Christian olic Christian Christian None Sample Yes No Ethnicity Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Welsh Other European Non European Sample Yes No Have Children Yes No Sample Yes No Past Mayoral Vote Rob George Joe Someone Didn t Ford Smitherman Pantalone else vote Sample Yes No Rob Ford Approval Approve Disapprove Sample Yes No

47 Voting Ford in 2014 Would you vote for Rob Ford in the municipal election in 2014 or not? [All Respondents] Age / Gender Male Female Sample Yes No Region Toronto or East York North York Etobicoke or York Scarborough Sample Yes No Transportation / Own Property Drive TTC or other public transit Other Yes No Sample Yes No Household Income <$20K $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $40K $60K $80K $100K $250K $250K+ Sample Yes No

48 Education Secondary Some college or Completed college Post graduate school or less university or university studies Sample Yes No MEDIA INQUIRIES: Religion Christ Protestant Evangelical Cathol Other Nonian Christian Christian ic Christian Christian None Sample Yes No Ethnicity Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Welsh Other European Non European Sample Yes No Have Children Yes No Sample Yes No Past Mayoral Vote Rob George Joe Someone Didn t Ford Smitherman Pantalone else vote Sample Yes No Rob Ford Approval Approve Disapprove Sample Yes No

49 Voting Ford in 2014 after Rehab Would you vote for Rob Ford in the municipal election of 2014 if he attended rehab and dealt with his substance abuse problems or not? [All Respondents] MEDIA INQUIRIES: Age / Gender Male Female Sample Yes No Region Toronto or East York North York Etobicoke or York Scarborough Sample Yes No Transportation / Own Property Drive TTC or other public transit Other Yes No Sample Yes No Household Income <$20K $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $40K $60K $80K $100K $250K $250K+ Sample Yes No Education Secondary Some college Completed college Post graduate school or less or university or university studies Sample Yes No

50 Religion Christian Protestant Evangelical Other Non Catholic Christian Christian Christian Christian None Sample Yes No MEDIA INQUIRIES: Ethnicity Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Welsh Other European Non European Sample Yes No Have Children Yes No Sample Yes No Past Mayoral Vote Rob George Joe Someone Didn t Ford Smitherman Pantalone else vote Sample Yes No Rob Ford Approval Approve Disapprove Sample Yes No

51 Is Ford Good or Bad for Toronto? Do you think Rob Ford is good or bad for Toronto? [All Respondents] MEDIA INQUIRIES: Age / Gender Male Female Sample Good Bad Region Toronto or East York North York Etobicoke or York Scarborough Sample Good Bad Transportation / Own Property Drive TTC or other public transit Other Yes No Sample Good Bad Household Income <$20K $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $40K $60K $80K $100K $250K $250K+ Sample Good Bad Education Secondary Some college or Completed college Post graduate school or less university or university studies Sample Good Bad

52 Religion Christian Protestant Evangelical Other Non Catholic Christian Christian Christian Christian None Sample Good Bad Ethnicity Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Welsh Other European Non European Sample Good Bad Have Children Yes No Sample Good Bad Past Mayoral Vote Rob George Joe Someone Didn t Ford Smitherman Pantalone else vote Sample Good Bad Rob Ford Approval Approve Disapprove Sample Good Bad

53 Ford for Prime Minister Would you vote for Rob Ford for Prime Minister of Canada or not? [All Respondents] MEDIA INQUIRIES: Age / Gender Male Female Sample Yes No Region Toronto or East York North York Etobicoke or York Scarborough Sample Yes No Transportation / Own Property Drive TTC or other public transit Other Yes No Sample Yes No Household Income <$20K $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $40K $60K $80K $100K $250K $250K+ Sample Yes No Education Secondary Some college or Completed college Post graduate school or less university or university studies Sample Yes No

54 Religion Christian Protestant Evangelical Other Non Catholic Christian Christian Christian Christian None Sample Yes No Ethnicity Canadian British, Scots, Irish or Welsh Other European Non European Sample Yes No Have Children Yes No Sample Yes No Past Mayoral Vote Rob George Joe Someone Didn t Ford Smitherman Pantalone else vote Sample Yes No Rob Ford Approval Approve Disapprove Sample Yes No

55 For more information: Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. President Forum Research Inc. Tel: (416) Fax: (416) E mail: 55