FLORIDA VOTERS WANT BRIGHT FUTURES SCHOLARSHIPS 4-1, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; VOTERS OPPOSE LAW BANNING GAY ADOPTION

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1 Peter Brown, Assistant Director, Quinnipiac University Polling Institute (203) (203) Rubenstein Associates, Inc. Public Relations Contact: Pat Smith (212) FOR RELEASE: JANUARY 22, 2009 FLORIDA VOTERS WANT BRIGHT FUTURES SCHOLARSHIPS 4-1, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; VOTERS OPPOSE LAW BANNING GAY ADOPTION By an overwhelming percent margin Florida voters oppose any cuts in the state s Bright Futures college scholarship program despite the budget crisis, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Democrats oppose the cuts percent, as do Republicans percent and independent voters percent. Voters support percent raising the cigarette tax an additional $1 a pack, the independent Quinnipiac (KIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. The survey also finds that Floridians oppose percent a state law that prohibits homosexuals from adopting children. Republicans support the law percent, as do White Evangelical Christians percent. Democrats oppose the law percent, along with independent voters percent. Gays should be allowed to marry, 27 percent of voters say, while 35 percent favor civil unions but not marriage and 31 percent say there should be no legal recognition of gay unions. The Bright Futures program, funded by proceeds from the state lottery, has grown dramatically in recent years. It pays up to 100 percent of tuition and fees at any public university in Florida for students who qualify based on their high school grades and test scores. There may be a lot of opinion leaders talking about the need to reign in Bright Futures because of its cost in these times of tight budgets, but it is hard to imagine a less popular idea for cuts with the voting public, said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. -more-

2 Quinnipiac University Poll/January 22, 2009 page 2 When 85 percent of voters think the program is a good thing and more than three out of four oppose cutting its funding, that pretty much makes it a political non-starter, Brown added. Even Republicans opposed cuts by almost 4 1. Voters oppose percent trying to save money by raising test and grade standards so fewer students receive the scholarships. By a smaller percent margin, voters oppose giving the scholarships only to students whose family income is below a certain level. Smokers are the only group opposed to the possible cigarette tax hike, percent. There is little difference among Republicans, Democrats and independents on the question. When voters are then asked the same question and told the money would go for public health programs, support rises slightly to percent. Looking at the possible effects of a cigarette tax hike, Florida voters say: 65 percent that it would be very effective or somewhat effective in discouraging young people from smoking; 50 percent that it would be very effective or somewhat effective in reducing smoking among current smokers; 58 percent that it would be very effective or somewhat effective in reducing state costs for medical care. And 49 percent of smokers say they would cut down or quit if taxes are raised. Voters generally are opposed to raising taxes, even in order to balance the budget, but they seem to make an exception for cigarette taxes, said Brown. Given the public support, even normally anti-tax lawmakers might see this as a politically acceptable notion to the voting public. Interestingly, the public is split on whether raising cigarette taxes will lead to fewer people smoking, although they think it would be effective in reducing smoking among young people, Brown said. They do think, however, it might reduce the state s medical costs. Voters don t see hiking cigarette taxes as unfair to smokers; they seem to view it as a user fee. From January 14 19, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,370 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed or call (203)

3 24. How much have you heard or read about Florida's lottery funded college scholarship program called Bright Futures - A lot, some, not much or nothing at all? A lot 23% 26% 22% 23% 21% 25% 21% Some Not much Nothing at all DK/NA PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE A lot 27% 22% 23% 24% 21% Some Not much Nothing at all DK/NA A lot 33% 32% 16% 18% 31% 32% 19% 35% Some Not much Nothing at all DK/NA As you may be aware, the merit based Bright Futures program helps pay college tuition for Florida students who meet required high school grades and S.A.T. test scores. Do you think the Bright Futures scholarship program is a good thing or a bad thing for Florida? Good thing 85% 82% 88% 86% 84% 86% 86% Bad thing DK/NA HvKids Heard a lot PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE <18 or some Q24 Good thing 86% 84% 88% 82% 83% 88% 92% Bad thing DK/NA Good thing 87% 90% 82% 86% 86% 81% 85% 84% Bad thing DK/NA

4 26. Some have suggested reducing state funding to the Bright Futures scholarship program. In general do you support or oppose reducing funding to the Bright Futures program? Support 17% 18% 13% 17% 20% 14% 17% Oppose DK/NA HvKids Heard a lot PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE <18 or some Q24 Support 18% 21% 15% 16% 14% 13% 15% Oppose DK/NA Support 8% 17% 20% 17% 14% 14% 17% 16% Oppose DK/NA To help lower the cost of the Bright Futures Scholarship program Do you support or oppose - Raising the required level of high school grades and S.A.T. test scores so that fewer students would qualify for scholarship money? Support 32% 37% 30% 32% 37% 28% 33% Oppose DK/NA HvKids Heard a lot PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE <18 or some Q24 Support 28% 35% 31% 28% 37% 29% 31% Oppose DK/NA Support 25% 35% 33% 31% 33% 39% 33% 32% Oppose DK/NA

5 28. To help lower the cost of the Bright Futures Scholarship program Do you support or oppose - Only giving scholarship money to students whose family income is below a certain level? Support 42% 37% 45% 47% 46% 39% 41% Oppose DK/NA HvKids Heard a lot PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE <18 or some Q24 Support 44% 37% 43% 47% 43% 32% 42% Oppose DK/NA Support 33% 41% 44% 47% 36% 41% 44% 38% Oppose DK/NA To help lower the cost of the Bright Futures Scholarship program Do you support or oppose - Reducing the amount of scholarship money given to each student? Support 22% 29% 19% 19% 24% 21% 25% Oppose DK/NA HvKids Heard a lot PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE <18 or some Q24 Support 21% 20% 24% 21% 23% 29% 20% Oppose DK/NA Support 22% 21% 22% 22% 23% 23% 21% 24% Oppose DK/NA

6 30. Do you think same-sex couples should be allowed legally to marry, should be allowed legally to form civil unions but not marry, or should not be allowed to obtain legal recognition of their relationships? Marry 27% 13% 36% 31% 28% 27% 10% Civil unions No recognition DK/NA PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE Marry 19% 20% 29% 27% 38% Civil unions No recognition DK/NA Marry 39% 26% 24% 25% 29% 35% 24% 35% Civil unions No recognition DK/NA TREND: Do you think same-sex couples should be allowed legally to marry, should be allowed legally to form civil unions, but not marry, or should not be allowed to obtain legal recognition of their relationships? Jan 22 Sep 8 Aug Marry Civil unions No recognition DK/NA Florida law bans gay or lesbian individuals and couples from adopting children. Do you approve or disapprove of this law? Approve 39% 52% 32% 34% 41% 37% 58% Disapprove DK/NA PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE Approve 44% 39% 41% 43% 30% Disapprove DK/NA Approve 31% 37% 42% 42% 35% 36% 42% 31% Disapprove DK/NA

7 32. Florida's cigarette tax is now 34 cents a pack. Some legislators and public health groups are suggesting raising the cigarette tax an additional dollar a pack. Do you support or oppose raising cigarette taxes in Florida one dollar a pack? Support 71% 66% 72% 74% 68% 73% 62% Oppose DK/NA Support 69% 65% 68% 57% 84% 34% Oppose DK/NA Support 84% 64% 69% 66% 73% 79% 68% 78% Oppose DK/NA Would you support or oppose raising the cigarette tax one dollar a pack if the money was used for health care programs? Support 77% 69% 82% 78% 74% 79% 66% Oppose DK/NA Support 73% 71% 77% 64% 88% 46% Oppose DK/NA Support 86% 73% 75% 75% 77% 82% 75% 81% Oppose DK/NA

8 34. How effective do you think a one dollar increase in the cigarette tax would be in reducing smoking among current smokers - very effective, somewhat effective, not too effective, or not effective at all? Very effective 13% 11% 17% 9% 9% 15% 7% Smwht effective Not too effective Not effective DK/NA Very effective 13% 13% 13% 6% 14% 14% Smwht effective Not too effective Not effective DK/NA Very effective 18% 9% 12% 15% 7% 11% 13% 10% Smwht effective Not too effective Not effective DK/NA How effective do you think a one dollar increase in the cigarette tax would be in discouraging young people from starting to smoke - very effective, somewhat effective, not too effective, or not effective at all? Very effective 23% 20% 30% 18% 20% 25% 22% Smwht effective Not too effective Not effective DK/NA Very effective 20% 22% 24% 17% 27% 23% Smwht effective Not too effective Not effective DK/NA Very effective 29% 19% 24% 26% 20% 17% 24% 20% Smwht effective Not too effective Not effective DK/NA

9 36. How effective do you think a one dollar increase in the cigarette tax would be in reducing the states costs for medical care to smokers - very effective, somewhat effective, not too effective, or not effective at all? Very effective 15% 10% 21% 12% 14% 16% 11% Smwht effective Not too effective Not effective DK/NA Very effective 20% 12% 12% 14% 18% 16% Smwht effective Not too effective Not effective DK/NA Very effective 19% 13% 16% 18% 12% 10% 16% 13% Smwht effective Not too effective Not effective DK/NA Regardless of whether you personally favor or oppose an increase in the tax on cigarettes, overall do you think an increase in this tax is fair or unfair to smokers? Fair 52% 48% 57% 55% 49% 56% 48% Unfair DK/NA Fair 49% 46% 54% 43% 62% 29% Unfair DK/NA Fair 62% 52% 48% 49% 54% 60% 50% 57% Unfair DK/NA

10 38. Do you currently smoke cigarettes? Yes 16% 16% 17% 14% 16% 16% 19% No DK/NA PnHnd Bay Cntrl SthW SthE Yes 20% 18% 15% 16% 11% No DK/NA Yes 16% 22% 13% 22% 14% 7% 19% 8% No DK/NA (Smokers q38) If cigarette taxes are raised one dollar per pack, do you think it would cause you to cut down on your smoking, quit smoking altogether or would it have no effect on your smoking? SMOKERS Q38... Tot Men Wom Cut down 30% 36% 25% Quit No effect DK/NA 1 1 -

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