2012 CBECS: Preliminary Results and Timeline for Data Release Joelle Michaels, CBECS Survey Manager Interagency Sustainability Working Group September 18, 2012 Washington, DC U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis www.eia.gov
Overview CBECS background 2012 CBECS preliminary characteristics results 2012 CBECS timeline and data release schedule Questions? J. Michaels, Interagency Sustainability Working Group, September 18, 2014 2
CBECS provides essential, unique information The Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey (CBECS) is the only independent, statistically representative source of national-level data on the characteristics and energy use of commercial buildings Mandated by Congress in 1977, it has been conducted every 3 to 5 years since 1979 The 2012 CBECS is currently wrapping up the final stage of data collection; we are gathering the usage data from energy providers across the country 2012 CBECS final sample of over 6,700 buildings, one of the largest CBECS ever J. Michaels, Interagency Sustainability Working Group, September 18, 2014 3
CBECS uses a two-stage survey process Phase I: Buildings survey In-person or telephone interview conducted by a trained interviewer Computer-assisted survey instrument (since 1995) Voluntary Approximately 30-45 minutes in length 2012 field period was ~ 8 months long Phase II: Energy suppliers survey Follow-up with energy suppliers for about half of the building cases (usage data for the others collected in Phase I) Historically a mail survey; for 2012, it is mainly an internet data collection Mandatory 2012 field period began in March 2014 and will be ending this month (~7 months long) J. Michaels, Interagency Sustainability Working Group, September 18, 2014 4
CBECS requires a multi-frame approach No comprehensive source of buildings exists 1. Select PSUs (counties or groups of counties) Area frame Randomly select small, geographic areas Within them, list and stratify all commercial buildings in those areas Randomly select buildings within strata List frames Supplemental lists ensure adequate representation of special buildings (hospitals, govt bldgs, college/universities, airports, other large buildings) 2. Select segments Main St Diagonal Ave 3. Select buildings J. Michaels, Interagency Sustainability Working Group, September 18, 2014 5
2012 CBECS preliminary results: in recent years, commercial floorspace has grown more rapidly than the number of buildings Million buildings 9 Billion square feet 90 8 7 Total commercial floorspace 80 70 6 60 5 50 4 3 Number of commercial buildings 40 30 2 20 1 Note: The lower 1992 estimates are adjusted to match the 1995-2012 CBECS definition of target population by removing enclosed parking garages and commercial buildings on manufacturing industrial facilities. 10 0 1979 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1999 2003 2012 Year of survey 0 J. Michaels, Interagency Sustainability Working Group, September 18, 2014 6
Thousand square feet New commercial buildings are larger, on average, than old commercial buildings 20 18 16 14 Average building size by year constructed Before 1960 Average = 12,000 sqft 1960 to 1999 Average = 16,300 sqft 2000 to 2012 Average = 19,100 sqft 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Before 1920 1920 to 1945 1946 to 1959 1960 to 1969 1970 to 1979 1980 to 1989 1990 to 1999 2000 to 2003 2004 to 2007 2008 to 2012 J. Michaels, Interagency Sustainability Working Group, September 18, 2014 7
Buildings over 100,000 square feet make up only about 2% of the building count but about 35% of the total floorspace 100% 90% 80% 70% 0.1% 0.7% 1.6% 3.6% 6.0% 15.9% 8.1% 12.3% 14.2% Size of buildings (square feet) Over 500,000 200,001 to 500,000 60% 22.1% 16.0% 100,001 to 200,000 50% 50,001 to 100,000 40% 13.8% 25,001 to 50,000 30% 20% 10% 0% 49.9% Percent of total commercial buildings 16.3% 10.2% 9.2% Percent of total commercial floorspace 10,001 to 25,000 5,001 to 10,000 1,001 to 5,000 J. Michaels, Interagency Sustainability Working Group, September 18, 2014 8
The CBECS building population is diverse and smaller building types are the most common Office Number of buildings (thousand) 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 Warehouse and storage Service Mercantile Religious worship Education Food service Public assembly Vacant Food sales Lodging Health care Other Public order and safety Average building size for all commercial buildings = 15,720 square feet 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 Average building size (square feet) Average Building Size Number of Buildings J. Michaels, Interagency Sustainability Working Group, September 18, 2014 9
About half the building types show an increase in the number of buildings from 2003 to 2012 in order of largest to smallest relative growth from 2003 to 2012 Vacant (**) Other (**) Warehouse and storage (*) Food service (**) Public assembly (*) Office (**) Health care Public order and safety Religious worship Lodging Education Service Mercantile Food sales (*) 2003 CBECS 2012 CBECS 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 Number of buildings (thousand) (*) indicates change is statistically significant at the 90% confidence level (**) indicates change is statistically significant at the 90% and 95% confidence levels J. Michaels, Interagency Sustainability Working Group, September 18, 2014 10
Publication of 2012 water usage data is still uncertain 2007 CBECS included experimental water data collection; 2012 CBECS built upon that experience Initial results show that respondents find it difficult to access and report this information; the rate of reporting is much lower than it was in 2007 Thorough data review will determine 20% if water usage can be estimated for 10% certain subpopulations 0% 8% 6% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 40% 52% 65% 29% 2007 2012 Unable to report any water data Reported water use and/or cost Water not used J. Michaels, Interagency Sustainability Working Group, September 18, 2014 11
2012 CBECS timeline spans four years 2012 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Stakeholder meetings Questionnaire design & programming Field Update Sampling 2013 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Field prep & training Buildings Survey Data Collection Monitoring, validation & editing 2014 Flash Estimates Characteristics Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Supplier Survey Data Collection Monitoring, editing, weighting, imputation, estimation, modeling, tabulation & data inoculation Detailed Tables Characteristics Microdata Characteristics Flash Estimates Consumption & Expenditures (C&E) Detailed Tables C&E Microdata C&E 2015 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Editing, imputation, modeling, tabulation & data inoculation J. Michaels, Interagency Sustainability Working Group, September 18, 2014 12
CBECS home page provides status updates www.eia.gov/consumption/commercial Projected schedule of 2012 CBECS data releases Building characteristics (BC) preliminary estimates BC detailed tables Fall 2014 BC public use microdata Winter 2014 Consumption & expenditures (C&E) preliminary estimates Released June 19, 2014 Spring 2015 C&E detailed tables Fall 2015 C&E public use microdata Winter 2015 J. Michaels, Interagency Sustainability Working Group, September 18, 2014 13
For More Information CBECS home page www.eia.gov/consumption/commercial Joelle Michaels, Survey Manager joelle.michaels@eia.gov Tom Leckey, Director, Office of Energy Consumption and Efficiency Statistics thomas.leckey@eia.gov J. Michaels, Interagency Sustainability Working Group, September 18, 2014 14