Focus 2015 al Employment & Career Technical Education in California California s Labor Market in Recovery There are more than 18.6 million participants in California s labor force. 1 Of these, 17.1 million are employed. In February 2014, the unemployment rate for California dropped again to 8.0 percent, a decrease of 1.4 percent since February of the previous year. Over those same 12 months, the number of employed increased by 233,500 while the labor force overall decreased slightly by about 13,000 participants. Employment by Preparation Level 2013 To better understand the demand for career technical education, this report focuses on jobs where the typical worker attains more than moderate-term on the job training but less than a bachelor s degree (referred to here as CTE-relevant jobs). There are more than 17 million jobs in California. Workers in more than a third of these positions attain some level of college education (39%). 2 CTE-relevant jobs make up 14% of this group. 3 s where a postsecondary non-degree award is important account for close to 880,000 jobs (5%). Completing some college courses and/or long-term on-the-job training impacts workers in almost 825,000 jobs or 5% of all employment in California. Associate degree level occupations weigh in at 4% of the state s employment or more than 687,000 jobs. Current Employment by Attainment Level California, 2013 Bachelor's or higher, 4,360,912, 25% Work experience in a related occupation, 1,246,442, 7% CTE-relevant, 2,388,156, 14% Postsecondary nondegree award, 876,412, 5% Some college or longterm OJT, 823,916, 5% Short to moderateterm OJT, 9,521,802, 54% Associate degree, 687,828, 4% 1 Labor force is a count of residents who are at least 16 years old, have jobs or are seeking a job, are not serving in the military and are not institutionalized. Labor force, employment and unemployment rate data from California s Employment Development Department s Labor Market Information Division, website accessed 4/1/2014 (www.labormarketinfo.edd.ca.gov). 2 Employment data from this point forward from Economic Modeling Specialists, Intl. (EMSI), dataset version 2014.1 Class of Worker (QCEW Employees + Non-QCEW Employees + Self-Employed), website accessed 4/1/2014 (www.economicmodeling.com). 3 al data included determined by education, experience and/or on-the-job training level attained by a majority of workers in the occupation. Excluded from this analysis are occupations in the Bachelor s or higher and Work experience in a related occupation groups where pathways to employment allow more than one type of education or workforce preparation to a significant degree or where continuing education via a community college vehicle is important to sustaining employment in a field. Centers of Excellence for Labor Market Research March 2014 [1]
Career Technical Education and Employment Outlook 2013 to 2015 In total, of the more than 1.3 million openings projected for California through 2015, CTE-relevant occupations account over 175,000 jobs. 4 Employment Outlook 2013 to 2015 New Job Growth Replacements California 424,139 949,628 1,373,767 $46,613 CTE-relevant occupations 55,427 120,121 175,548 $50,731 Associate degree 24,026 31,730 55,396 $56,451 Postsecondary non-degree award 23,814 44,806 68,620 $44,158 Some college and/or long-term OJT 7,587 43,945 51,532 $48,651 The overall greatest demand projected for CTE-relevant occupational groups will be for Postsecondary non-degree awards more than 23,000 new jobs and close to 45,000 replacement jobs may require this level of preparation. Associate degree occupations continue to generate demand in the workplace more than 55,000 openings are expected. With close to 22,000 openings estimated through 2015, Registered Nurses generates 40% of the demand for Associate degree workers. Demand for workers with some college coursework and/or long-term OJT is dominated by replacement needs almost 44,000 workers will be needed to fill vacated positions. This demand will have a significant impact on the skills builder student population. Looking forward, projected demand for workers in CTE-relevant occupations through 2015 cuts across a variety of community college sectors programs and courses designed to train workers for a specific industry, industry cluster or occupational cluster. CTE-relevant occupations reflecting key criteria most job openings, highest annual wages, and attainment level, among others are detailed on the following pages. Due to large demand and subsequent impact on data, Registered Nurses was removed from the initial analysis and will be shown separately in each section. This allows other occupations in demand to be showcased while highlighting the importance of Registered Nursing to community college instruction. 4 is the sum of New Job Growth and Replacements. Replacements are openings created when a worker leaves an occupation permanently to work in another occupation, to retire, etc., creating an opening for an entrant to the occupation and should not be confused with turnover or when workers separate from an employer to work in the same occupation for another employer. Centers of Excellence for Labor Market Research March 2014 [2]
Projected s with the most projected openings tend to have large base employment to begin with. In the group below, current employment in these CTE-relevant occupations ranges from about 30,000 (Coaches and Scouts) to 120,000 (Carpenters). Larger base employment yields higher numbers of new jobs (as a rate of growth) as well as larger replacement needs (as a share of current employment). Top s Projected 5 6 Health Nursing Assistants (CNAs) 12,422 $28,080 14 Health Licensed Vocational Nurses (LVNs) 6,682 $50,814 33 Commercial Services Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists 6,093 $22,152 25 ICT Computer User Support Specialists 5,512 $53,019 20 Transportation Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics 4,976 $36,941 67 Education Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 4,656 $30,160 13 Construction Carpenters 3,926 $41,496 8 Construction Electricians 3,489 $56,992 13 Education Coaches and Scouts 3,418 $37,107 4 Health Dental Assistants 3,418 $36,275 27 Top s by Projected : may account for close to 55,000 job openings through 2015; range in median annual wages from $28,080 (CNAs) to $56,992 (Electricians); and, are prepared for through 224 community college programs statewide. 1 st in Projected Health Registered Nurses 21,817 $94,723 78 5 Annual median wages calculated using Hourly median wage multiplied by 2,080 hours (40 hours per week, 52 weeks per year). This is a standard calculation for determining annual wage figures and is also in use by the EDD s Labor Market Information Division. 6 CCC program information included here is an estimate of the number of related programs, using one representative 6-digit TOP code and the California Community Colleges Datamart Program Outcomes Query, accessed 4/2/2014 (www.datamart.cccco.edu). Centers of Excellence for Labor Market Research March 2014 [3]
s s with the highest annual wages tend to require very specific, technical training a factor in driving up demand for these workers and resulting in competitive wages. In the table, median wages for the profiled occupations exceed $80,000 annually. However, these CTE-relevant occupations are more likely to have lower overall employment and to yield fewer job openings. In the group below, openings range from as low as 38 jobs (Fish and Game Wardens) to a high of 2,265 jobs (Dental Hygienists). Top s s Commercial services Air Traffic Controllers 287 $137,072 2 Health Dental Hygienists 2,265 $99,070 17 Health Radiation Therapists 149 $95,930 1 Health Nuclear Medicine Technologists 126 $92,914 0 Industrial Technology Elevator Installers and Repairers 187 $92,061 16 Industrial Technology Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers 951 $91,458 4 Industrial Technology Nuclear Technicians 133 $86,174 0 Health Magnetic Resonance Imaging Technologists 210 $84,947 0 Health Diagnostic Medical Sonographers 693 $84,510 4 Natural Resources Fish and Game Wardens 38 $81,078 11 Top s by s: may account for as many as 5,000 job openings through 2015; range in median annual wages from $81,078 (Fish and Game Wardens) to $137,072 (Air Traffic Controllers); and, are prepared for through 55 community college programs statewide. 4 th in s Health Registered Nurses 21,817 $94,723 78 Centers of Excellence for Labor Market Research March 2014 [4]
Regional Demand Aggregate demand for CTE-relevant occupations by Region, sorted by. California Community Colleges 16 Economic Regions Region Counties # of Colleges Los Angeles County Los Angeles 38,613 $46,987 18 San Diego-Imperial San Diego, Imperial 14,802 $46,363 9 Orange County Orange 13,605 $46,883 9 Inland Empire Riverside, San Bernardino 13,428 $40,976 12 East Bay Alameda, Contra Costa 10,529 $53,082 10 Greater Sacramento Sacramento, El Dorado, Placer, Yolo, Yuba, Sutter, Nevada 9,949 $47,965 8 Central Valley-South Fresno, Kern, Kings, Madera, Tulare 9,344 $43,909 9 Silicon Valley Santa Clara, San Benito 9,244 $55,432 7 SF/San Mateo San Francisco, San Mateo 8,868 $58,469 4 South Central Coast San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara, Ventura, Los Angeles (partial; northern zip codes only) 8,360 $46,571 8 North Bay Solano, Napa, Sonoma, Marin 5,068 $48,402 4 Central Valley-North Merced, San Joaquin, Stanislaus 4,378 $42,037 3 Northern Inland Butte, Colusa, Glenn, Lassen, Modoc, Plumas, Shasta, Sierra, Siskiyou, Tehama 2,298 $40,269 5 Santa Cruz/Monterey Santa Cruz, Monterey 1,963 $47,174 3 Northern Coastal Humboldt, Lake, Mendocino, Trinity, Del Norte 979 $40,955 2 Mother Lode Mariposa, Mono, Tuolumne, Alpine, Amador, Calaveras, Inyo 760 $41,434 1 Demand for Registered Nurses by Region Region # of Colleges Northern Coastal 166 $66,664 2 Northern Inland 444 $83,616 4 Greater Sacramento 1,603 $109,179 3 SF/San Mateo 870 $119,101 2 East Bay 1,472 $117,874 5 Silicon Valley 1,213 $129,230 4 North Bay 615 $112,195 4 Santa Cruz/Monterey 357 $100,880 3 Orange County 1,801 $85,966 4 Los Angeles County 5,780 $85,779 19 San Diego-Imperial 1,835 $85,862 6 Inland Empire 2,303 $84,490 7 Central Valley-North 813 $93,059 3 Central Valley-South 1,465 $79,144 6 Mother Lode 124 $90,896 0 South Central Coast 1,117 $81,973 5 Centers of Excellence for Labor Market Research March 2014 [5]
Regional Demand Top 3 s by Region (not including Registered Nurses) Northern Coastal 3. Forest and Conservation Technicians Northern Inland 1. Forest and Conservation Technicians 2. Nursing Assistants 3. Licensed Vocational Nurses Greater Sacramento 3. Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics SF/San Mateo 1. Computer User Specialists 2. Carpenters 3. Nursing Assistants East Bay 3. Preschool Teachers, except special education Silicon Valley 1. Computer User Support Specialists 2. Nursing Assistants 3. Preschool Teachers, except special education North Bay 2. Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics 3. Licensed Vocational Nurses Santa Cruz/Monterey 3. Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists Orange County 3. Dental Assistants Los Angeles County 3. Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists San Diego Imperial 3. Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists Central Valley North 3. Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics Central Valley South 3. Industrial Machinery Mechanics Mother Lode 2. Forest and Conservation Technicians 3. Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics Inland Empire 2. Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists 3. Licensed Vocational Nurses South Central Coast 3. Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics Centers of Excellence for Labor Market Research March 2014 [6]
Focus 2015 al Employment & Career Technical Education in California Preparation Level For the majority of occupations, there is usually more than one pathway to employment in the occupation educational attainment, work experience and the employer s preferences are just three variables at work in the hiring process. CTE-relevant occupations include three attainment levels of education and training; the occupations with the most job openings through 2015 are shown in the following table. 7 Top s Most by Attainment Level Associate Degree ICT Computer User Support Specialists 5,512 $53,019 20 Education Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 4,656 $30,160 13 Health Dental Hygienists 2,265 $99,070 17 Health Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technicians 2,119 $40,955 8 Professional Services Paralegals and Legal Assistants 1,958 $56,451 42 Health Radiologic Technologists 1,369 $70,970 24 ICT Computer Network Support Specialists 1,130 $69,618 47 Industrial Technologies Electrical and Electronics Engineering Technicians 1,108 $59,842 0 Health Respiratory Therapists 897 $73,382 29 Health Physical Therapist Assistants 705 $60,174 5 Top s by Associate Degree: may account for as many as 21,700 job openings through 2015; range in median annual wages from $30,160 (Preschool Teachers) to $99,070 (Dental Hygienists); and, are prepared for through 205 community college programs statewide. 1 st in Associate Degree Health Registered Nurses 21,817 $94,723 78 7 Educational attainment levels are different than minimum requirements for entry into an occupation. Educational attainment levels (used for this report) reflect the attainment of education by workers currently in the position. For classification purposes, the U.S. Department of Labor s Bureau of Labor Statistics education and training levels consist of three categories of information that analysts assign to each occupation: 1) typical education needed for entry, 2) commonly required work experience in a related occupation, and 3) typical on-the-job training needed to obtain competency in the occupation. Centers of Excellence for Labor Market Research March 2014 [7]
Top 10 Most by Attainment Level Postsecondary non-degree award Health Nursing Assistants (CNAs) 12,422 $28,080 14 Health Licensed Vocational Nurses (LVNs) 7,863 $50,814 33 Commercial Services Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists 6,093 $22,152 25 Transportation Automotive Service Technicians & Mechanics 4,976 $36,941 67 Health Dental Assistants 3,418 $36,275 27 Health Emergency Medical Technicians & Paramedics 2,793 $30,576 29 Public Safety Firefighters 2,061 $71,240 58 Industrial Technology Health Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers Medical Records and Health Information Technicians 2,039 $46,467 34 2,033 $39,042 13 Professional Services Library Technicians 1,919 $41,392 13 Top s by Postsecondary Non-degree Award: may account for as many as 45,600 job openings through 2015; range in median annual wages from $22,152 (Hairstylists) to $71,240 (Firefighters); and, are prepared for through 313 community college programs statewide. Top 10 Most by Attainment Level Some college and/or long term on-the-job training Construction Carpenters 3,926 $41,496 8 Construction Electricians 3,489 $56,992 13 Education Coaches and Scouts 3,418 $37,107 4 Industrial Technology Industrial Machinery Mechanics 2,195 $53,144 0 Industrial Technology Machinists 2,057 $39,582 24 Industrial Technology Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters 2,031 $53,685 6 Commercial Services Bakers 2,019 $24,274 39 Professional Services Claims Adjusters, Examiners, & Investigators 1,976 $63,378 0 Commercial Services Butchers and Meat Cutters 1,928 $29,162 39 Entertainment Musicians and Singers 1,850 $48,776 25 Top s by Associate Degree: may account for close to 25,000 job openings through 2015; range in median annual wages from $24,274 (Bakers) to $56,992 (Electricians); and, are prepared for through 158 community college programs statewide. Centers of Excellence for Labor Market Research March 2014 [8]