AZ Division of Children, Youth and Families External Data Questions Goals: What do we A. What is the unemployment rate by district, county and statewide Unemployment rates: Each county: State: Aggregate by DCYF districts Create chart with each district 1. A better understanding of the potential labor supply in the target classifications by district and statewide B. To what extent are colleges and universities graduating people who meet our entrance requirements? C. Of all social workers in AZ, what proportion does DCYF employ? Number of AZ graduates with required degrees Number of graduates with required degrees in other states (Jan will try to get info for adjacent states) Number of AZ BSW, MSW grads Jan will put BSW grads in districts. She will try to find district of residence. Survey of students re anticipated employment upon graduation Number of BSW, MSW grads from other states Number of licensed social workers (By district and statewide) NASW state chapter? Board of Examiners? Number of licensed social workers employed by DCYF (By district and statewide) Number of people employed in human services, by district Internal scan group will collect number of applications, CPS specialists, supervisors by district Number of employees of private agencies in comparable positions by district (AZ Council Survey or Jerry Boehm) Comparison of college and university graduates who meet DCYF requirements: Among AZ colleges & universities, Among states Trends over time Percentage of social workers that are employed with DCYF Percentage of AZ graduates with required degrees that DCYF hires (1.B above) 1
D. What are the employment backgrounds of DCYF employees? Internal scan sub-team data: Applicants previous employment New hires previous employment Percentage of applicants and new hires who are previously employed in: Unrelated fields Other types of social work Specific, human services positions Nonprofit child and family services Public child welfare agencies in other states/ jurisdictions Comparison of employment backgrounds by district E. Where (geographic location) do new DCYF employees come from? Internal scan sub-team data: Applicants places of residence New hires place of origin College or university where applicants/new hires graduate (Internal team plans to compile manually.) Percentage of applicants and new hires who come from in-state and out-of-state (by district and statewide) Comparison and ranking of places DCYF new hires come from (by district, across districts, and statewide). 2
A. What is the cost of living by district and county? Cost of living data by district Cost of living index for certain communities http://www.bestplaces.net/city/ Cost of living for other states/jurisdictions where candidates come from Comparison of COL among districts Comparison of COL for AZ and other key states, jurisdictions 2. To gather external data on factors that impact our ability to recruit and retain quality employees. B. What is the availability of affordable housing by county/district? Affordable housing index by district and statewide Affordable housing index for other key states/jurisdictions Arizona Housing Dept: County housing profiles (including housing affordability gap) Housing affordability for buyers & renters by county Median value of owner-occupied housing units, 2000 http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/04000.html Comparison among districts Comparison with other key states/jurisdictions Trends and projections C. What kinds of jobs and organizations compete with DCYF for the same kind of workers? Private sector AZ Council of Human Service Providers Compensation & Benefits Survey 2006: 1 st Line Supervisor (Certified & Non-Certified) Clinician MA Clinician BA Case Manager MA Case Manager 3
D. Are there any additional factors by district that impact our ability to recruit (isolation, etc?) Average number of miles driven per worker in each county/district Land area per county/district http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/04000.html Per capita income by county/district http://www.bea.gov/regional/ Demographic data by county/district, ages, ethnicity, home ownership rates, household income, land area, etc. http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/04000.html Quality of life factors: Social isolation, distance between towns, Schools systems, availability of health care, post-secondary education http://www.bestplaces.net/city/ 4
3. To gain a better understanding of external forces that will affect the numbers and type of clients we will be required to serve in the future. A. What is the projected number of clients in the future and their demographic make-up? If not what do we need to be able to estimate that? David Longo Gary will contact. Does DCYF or DES already have data? 5
AZ DCYF Regional Data Comparisons - 2007 Date: November 30, 2007 Data 1 2 3 4 5 6 DCYF Total Number of CPS Specialists Authorized Percentage of CPS Specialists by District Total Number of CPS Specialist Vacancies Vacancy rate by District Turnover Rate: CPS All Levels 22.3% 16.4% 25.7% 19.7% 21.5% 30.0% 22.2% Turnover Rate: CPS I 136.4% 100.0% 66.7% 50.0% 133.3% 50.0% 112.7% Turnover Rate: CPS II 87.9% 75.0% 125.0% 300.0% 130.4% Turnover Rate: CPS III 9.2% 9.3% 14.3% 7.8% 11.5% 14.3% 10.7% Turnover Rate: CPS Unit Supervisors 7.0% 9.4% 27.3% 7.7% 8.0% Total Turnover Rate 19.1% 14.9% 24.1% 16.7% 17.1% 22.5% 19.2% Average Length of Service: CPS Specialist Average Length of Service: CPS Unit Supervis Percentage of CPS Specialists under 1 year Percentage of CPS Specialists under 2 year Percentage of CPS Specialists under 5 year Percentage of CPS Specialists under 10 year Percentage of Unit Supervisors under 3 years Percentage of Unit Supervisors under 4 years Percentage of Unit Supervisors under 5 years 76.6% 85.5% 88.5% 92.3% 89.0% 97.5% 82.1% Percentage of Unit Supervisors eligible for retirement Average Age of CPS Specialists Percent of CPS Specialists having BSW/MSW CPS Specialist Race and Ethnicity Overtime cost per CPS Specialist Workers Comp Costs per CPS Specialist No. CPS I under 5 years 27 4 6 6 3 2 48 No. CPS II under 5 years 30 8 4 1 43 No. CPS III under 5 years 335 182 47 47 55 28 694 No. Total CPS under 5 years 392 186 61 57 59 30 785 No. CPS Super under 5 years 74 29 11 12 10 8 144 No. Total under 5 years 489 224 77 72 73 39 974 Total Number CPS Workers 638 262 87 78 82 40 1187
External Data Comparisons by District - Date External Data District I District II District III District IV District V District VI DCYF Unemployment Rate 3.2% 3.7% Apache 8.9% Cochise 4.2% La Paz 5.3% Coconino 3.8% Gila 4.4% Graham 4.1% Mohave 4.6% Navajo 6.6% Pinal 4.8% Greenlee 3.2% Yuma 14.5% Yavapai 3.7% Santa Cruz 7.7% Cost of Living Index Phoenix Tucson Flagstaff Yuma Casa Grande Sierra Vista US Average= 100 104 95 122 91 90 92 Housing Availability Housing Affordability Gap by District/County 9.60% 7.60% Avg 10.5% Avg 10.1% Avg 8.15% Avg 8.2% range 1.1-17.1% range 6.2-14.1% range 3.2-13.1% range 2.7-17.5% Housing Info by City Phoenix Tucson Flagstaff Yuma Casa Grande Sierra Vista Affordability Gap 10.2% 12.1% 20.8% 9.9% 0.0% 2.5% Hourly Wage Needed to Buy 40.90 30.73 54.14 25.60 26.34 31.05 Hourly Wage Needed to Rent (2 BR) 15.04 14.85 18.06 13.37 15.04 11.87 Ability to Own based on avg CPS I & II median hourly wage of 18.28 no no no no no no Ability to Own based on avg CPS I & II median hourly wage + a second income at 70% (31.08) no yes no yes yes yes Ability to Rent based on avg CPS I & II median hourly wage of 18.28 yes yes yes yes yes yes Availability of College Grads 05-06 AA Degrees Total 6217 1755 852 728 279 1197 11028 AA Degrees Human Services 108 8 60 23 35 36 270 BSW 159 Bachelors in CPS related field 10072 MSW 240 Masters in CPS related field 9991 Out of state most MSW/BSW CA NY MI PA OH IL TX FL Mean commute time (in minutes) 26.1 23.9 23.1 18.8 23.9 20.6 Caseworker under 5 years Population Demographics Population, 2006 estimate 3,768,123 946,362 515,484 400,846 323,268 212,235 percent change, April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2006 22.60% 12.20% Avg 12.07% Avg 14.8% Avg 26.4% range 2.4-24.2% range 2.7-24.5% range 1.7-51% Persons under 5 years old, percent, 2005 8.20% 6.90% 7.60% 6.70% 6.75% 7.15% Persons under 18 years old, percent, 2005 27.40% 24.40% 28.60% 23.80% 24.55% 28.45% Female persons, percent, 2005 49.70% 51.10% 50.60% 50.03% 49.15% 49.35% Ethnicity %/County or district- 2005 Caucasian 89.0% 88.7% 58.1% 90.5% 85.2% 91.1% African American 4.3% 3.4% 0.9% 1.6% 2.1% 2.0% American Indian/Alaska Native 2.2% 3.6% 39.1% 5.9% 11.0% 5.1% Asian 2.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% Persons reporting more than one race 1.6% 1.7% 1.2% 1.1% 0.9% 0.8% Persons of Hispanic/Latino origin- Avg 2.93% range (-9.5)-8.5% 29.0% 31.9% 9.2% 30.3% 23.1% 46.5% (Census bureau reports as a subset of Caucasian) Language other than English spoken at home 24% 28% 35% 26% 22% 40% Population density-persons/sq. mile 333.8 91.9 10.7 15.0 22.2 15.5