Challenges and Opportunities The emerging EU market for electricity Eforis conference Stockholm

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Challenges and Opportunities The emerging EU market for electricity Eforis conference 24.11.2014 Stockholm Matti Supponen Unit B2: Wholesale markets; electricity & gas

Questions in the summer package 1-2) Scarcity pricing 3-4) Integrating intraday and balancing markets 5) Long-term contracts for new generation investments 6) Distortion through taxes and charges 7) Investment in renewables driven by market signals 8) Integrating renewables into the markets 9) Coordinated renewables support schemes 10) Kick-starting demand-response 11) Regional Security Coordination Initiatives ("RSCIs") of TSOs 12) Strengthening ACER 13) Strengthening the role of the ENTSOs 14) Role and governance for DSOs, data handling 15) European approach to distribution tariffs 16) Governance rules for power exchanges 17-19) Harmonised methodology for system adequacy 20-21) European framework for capacity mechanisms

Questions in the communication 6 7-9 16 17-21 12 11 13 5 3-4 15 1-2 14 10

Balancing mfrr (Manual frequency restoration reserve) FCR (Frequency containment reserve) RR (Replacement reserve) afrr (Automatic frequency restoration reserve)

Or is nodal pricing better?

Short term price signals (Example: Finnish balancing power prices in August 2015) = upward regulation = downward regulation Source: Fingrid

Investments

Who takes the risk? Source: IEA Technology Perspectives 2014

Influence of uncertainty Source: KMI

Revenues versus costs for wind power in Germany Capacity mechanisms? Source: Kopp & al

Coordinated renewables support schemes Source: EWI (2010)

Smart meters and grids

The Danish DataHub-solution Datahub: The central register of all metering points in Denmark Lowers entry barriers for new suppliers: One point of entry at changes of supplier etc. Creates a level playing field for all suppliers: Functional unbundling of suppliers and DSO s Standardized and role based processes for registering and distributing market data per metering point Standardized aggregation processes on metered data to balance responsible etc. 22-05-2015 15

Load control = incentive based demand response SOURCE: Quora

Price based demand response Source: Helen Sävel system

Curtailment of electricity infeed Source: BMWi

DSO tariff reform Source: ILSR

TSOs' Regional Security Cooperation Initiatives Source: ENTSO-E

Regional TSO coordinators = Border between regional coordinators 2a 1 2a = Regional Centre (RC) = Sub Centre of a Regional Centre 3 2b Functions RCC Regional capacity calculator 1a 1b RSC Regional security coordinator 5b RAC Regional adequacy coordinator 4 5a + RBC: Regional balancing coordinator (responsible for common dimensioning, procurement of automatic and manual reserves, and development of secondary markets)

European power exchange landscape in November 2015 (day-ahead spot markets) Nord Pool Spot Nord Pool Spot influence EPEX Spot EPEX Spot Influence Own solution Competition Nord Pool Spot and EPEX Spot

Strengthening ACER

Definition and methodology System adequacy = ability of a power system to supply demand Power balance = monthly assessment over the timeframe 2016-2020-2025

Capacity mechanisms

Market Market design Per gross electricity generated / MWh Commi8ed capacity MW Ireland Capacity payment 20 7.000 Greece Capacity payment 9 11.000 PJM Capacity market 5.5 136.000 UK Capacity market 5 49.000 UK Strategic reserve 4 2.000 Spain Capacity payment 2.7 25.000 Italy Capacity payment 0.5 - Finland Strategic reserve 0.3 600 Norway Strategic reserve 0.2 300 Sweden Strategic reserve 0.1 2.000 SOURCE: Thema consulting

Reversibility of capacity mechanisms

Level of action Day-ahead and intraday market coupling Tariffs?? Capacity mechanisms?? Retail markets? Security of supply analysis Capacity calculation? Wholesale markets Demand response?

Legislative process

Future market design legislative proposals? Enhanced and more integrated intraday and balancing markets with deployment of short term price signals and demand response. Renewable support and operation more market based, with interaction between national schemes. Sorting out roles in distribution, supply and services, imposing collection and access to data, discussion on tariffs. Capacity remuneration mechanism guidance with regional adequacy analysis, adequacy standard and cross border participation. TSOs to cooperate more, oversight by ACER. More: power exchanges' governance, retail stuff, interconnectors, price zones,, and.

Thank you for your Attention!

Electricity network codes and guidelines adoption timetable 2015 (indicative) DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Capacity allocation Congestion management Voted Scrutiny Adopted Implementation Forward capacity allocation Update text Committee and Translation Voted Scrutiny Requirements for generators Committee and Translation Voted Scrutiny High voltage direct current connection Committee and Translation Voted Scrutiny Demand connection Voted Scrutiny System operation Redrafting and Combining Committee Balancing Update text Emergency and restoration Update text

Electricity network codes and guidelines adoption timetable 2016 (indicative) DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Capacity allocation Congestion management Implementation Forward capacity allocation Scrutiny Adopted Implementation Requirements for generators Scrutiny Adopted Implementation High voltage direct current connection Scrutiny Adopted Implementation Demand connection Scrutiny Adopted Implementation System operation Committee and Tr. Voted Scrutiny Adopted Implementation Balancing Update text and impact assessment Committee and Translation Voted Emergency and restoration Update text and impact assessment Committee and Translation Voted