International Education The Current Picture in Australia IDP Conference, Gold Coast Queensland 13 October 2005 Ms Fiona Buffinton, CEO Australian Education International (AEI) 1
AEI Market Indicator Data Presentation will cover: Overview of AEI data and latest trends Market intelligence projects Australia s Response 2
AEI Market Indicator Data Onshore and Offshore Enrolments Year To Date Enrolments with Australian Providers Onshore Higher Education VET ELICOS Schools Other (Non AQF Courses) Total enrolments in Australia YTD July 2002 YTD July 2003 YTD July 2004 YTD July 2005 111,151 130,263 146,260 158,848 46,142 48,588 49,545 55,872 40,958 43,371 43,233 43,906 21,451 25,479 26,133 23,930 19,656 21,547 21,497 21,479 239,358 269,248 286,668 304,035 Annual Enrolments with Australian Providers Offshore Higher Education VET ELICOS 2003 estim. 2004 estim. 50,000 52,000 18,300 n/a 8,400 n/a 3
Australia has experienced overall growth of around 6% each year in education exports for the last 3 years 250,000 International Student Enrolments in Australia All sectors 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2002 2003 2004 2005 Projection 4
The current picture - latest trends as at July 2005 Year to date Enrolments All Nationalities China and India Nationalities other than China and India South America Middle East Growth 2003/04 6.5% 26.3% 0.4% 3.2% 20.3% Growth 2004/05 6.1% 21.5% 0.2% 28.8% 22.0% Year to date Commencements All Nationalities China and India Nationalities other than China and India South America Middle East 4.0% 27.4% -3.2% 8.3% 12.2% 3.4% 11.3% 0.2% 40.6% 27.7% 5
The current picture - latest trends as at July 2005 Double-digit growth is emerging in 6 sizeable markets (defined as over 3,500 enrolments) Nationality South America Bangladesh Middle East Vietnam Canada Sri Lanka July YTD Enrolments 6,843 6,216 5,395 4,619 3,545 3,525 Growth as at July 2005 28.8% 14.1% 22.0% 14.9% 10.9% 14.9% 6
Selected Fields of Study Business Administration, Management English Language Study (ELICOS) Services, Hospitality, Transport Arts, Humanities and Social Sciences Education Economics Health, Community Services Nursing Medical Science, Medicine Physical Sciences Visual and Performing Arts Multi-Field Education Computer Science, Information Systems Engineering, Surveying Science Architecture, Building YTD Commencements Jan - July 2005 36,334 28,788 9,252 7,505 5,268 3,423 2,442 2,034 1,191 1,077 2,426 22,593 9,963 5,543 2,368 1,377 YTD Growth 2004 to 2005 10.70% 3.40% 39.40% 0.70% 1.20% 7.90% 33.10% 29.10% 12.70% 14.00% 0.20% -2.70% -22.60% -7.80% -2.60% -5.70% 7
Market intelligence Data is obtained through various sources such as government bodies, media sources and our extensive off-shore counsellor network AEI is interested in statistics and resources from other countries to not only gauge competitor countries progress, but to provide a global perspective of the international market Competitor countries are recognising the benefits international education brings 8
Current and forthcoming projects User Research of Information Services delivered via AEI online A survey to obtain and analyse feedback from the Australia s international education industry on the quality, value and relevance of AEI services delivered through the AEI-Online website. Detailed annual and monthly statistics Ongoing provision of AEI data via the AEI-Online website Research snapshots Tuition fees for international students, 2002 05; Explanatory notes for international student numbers; Competitor update 9
Current and forthcoming projects Market Analyses Research into market trends and future demand Development of Leading Indicators Exploring 8 to 12 possible leading indicator data that could provide a guide to future business activity Analysis of the Schools sector Examine the underlying factors affecting the student enrolment performance of the schools sector Offshore Delivery Research into the magnitude and structure of future growth of the offshore delivery component of the market 10
International Students Survey Information to be obtained Reasons for studying in Australia Influencing factors Level of satisfaction Career plans and perceptions Outcomes 11
How can this information help industry? The ability for AEI to continue to be innovative and to be aware of the needs and wants of our market namely the students Knowledge of how the Australian Government can help providers to respond to their needs How to maintain Australia s traditional markets, but also where to develop new markets 12
Australia s Response Australia needs to maintain global competitiveness as new competitors emerge High quality Respond to emergence of high growth economies Respond to market movements such as Credentialism vs. Just in time Strategies for VET and Schools sectors Look towards 2007 International Education Package 13
International Education The Current Picture in Australia IDP Conference, Gold Coast Queensland 13 October 2005 Ms Fiona Buffinton, CEO Australian Education International (AEI) 14