The Economic Impact of Tourism in Wisconsin April 2012
State Overview
Key themes for 2011 The Wisconsin tourism recovery accelerated in 2011 with a 7.6% rise in visitor spending after a 7.9% increase in 2010. Visitor volumes rose for a second straight year, 95.4 million people visited Wisconsin in 2011. Growth in overnight visitation remains strong. Domestic overnight visitation grew 3.7% buoyed by strong room demand growth of 3.6% in 2011. Per trip spending rose as gas prices rose and other tourism providers start to recoup recessionary price cuts. Visitor spending of $10 billion generated $16 billion in total business sales in 2011 as tourism dollars flowed through the Wisconsin economy. 3
Key results The visitor economy represents a significant source of business sales, employment, and taxes in Wisconsin. Total tourism business sales of $16.0 billion in 2011 sustained 181,000 jobs, both directly and indirectly. These jobs represent 7.8% of total employment in Wisconsin; 1 in every 13 jobs in the state is sustained by tourism activity. Including indirect and induced impacts, tourism in Wisconsin generated $1.3 billion in state and local taxes and $950 million in Federal taxes last year. In the absence of the state and local taxes generated by tourism, each Wisconsin household would need to pay $565 to maintain the current level of government services. 4
Visitor Spending
A recovery in visitor spending Wisconsin visitor spending reached $10 billion in 2011, posting 7.6% growth after a 7.9% increase in 2010. More overnight stays along with higher prices pushed accommodations spending up 7.8% in 2011. Sector 2009 2010 2011 % Change Lodging $2,147 $2,380 $2,564 7.8% Other Transport $834 $957 $1,057 10.4% Air $384 $388 $405 4.3% Food & bev. $2,146 $2,252 $2,447 8.7% Retail $1,850 $2,065 $2,200 6.5% Recreation $1,162 $1,155 $1,225 6.1% Visitor Spending US$ Billions $10.5 $10.0 $9.5 $9.0 $8.5 $8.0 $7.5 Visitor Spending (US$ Million) TOTAL $8,522 $9,197 $9,898 7.6% $8.5 $9.2 $9.9 2009 2010 2011 6
Lodging 2nd Home Rental Food & bev. Retail Recreation Transportation Visitor spending by sector $ Million, 2011 values shown 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,995 2,447 2,200 2010 2011 Visitors spent $2.4 billion on food & beverages and $1.9 billion in the lodging sector last year. The retail sector received $2.2 billion from visitors. 1,500 1,000 500 0 569 1,184 1,461 In 2011, visitor spending increased 8.7% on food and beverage, 6.5% on shopping, and 7.8% on lodging. 7
Visitor spending by sector Visitor Spending by Sector Food & bev. 25% Air 4% Other Transport 11% Retail 22% Lodging 26% Recreation 12% Strong growth in overnight stays along with increasing room rates increased the share of spending on accommodations to 26%. Food & beverage spending ranks second, capturing a quarter of visitor spending., followed by retail at 22%. Higher gas prices in 2011 increased the transportation share of tourism spending up to 11%. 8
Visitor spending by sector Wisconsin's Visitor Spending by Year, Billions of $ $12 $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 $1.2 $1.8 $2.1 $0.4 $0.8 $1.2 $2.1 $2.3 $1.2 $2.2 $2.4 $0.4 $0.4 $1.0 $1.1 $2.1 $2.4 $2.6 Recreation Retail Food & bev. Air Other Transport Lodging Wisconsin s robust recovery continued in 2011 across all tourism sub-sectors. Lodging sales have increased 18% from the low seen in 2009. $0 2009 2010 2011 9
Visitor spending by market segment Leisure tourism represents 88% of visitor spending in Wisconsin. Overnight visitors spend $6.9 billion in Wisconsin, 70% of the total. International visitors to Wisconsin spent $0.6 billion in 2011, 6% of all visitor spending. Purpose Visitor Spending in 2011 (US$ Billion) Stay Market Business $1.2 Day $3.0 Domestic $9.3 Leisure $8.7 Overnight $6.9 Overseas $0.5 Canada $0.1 Total $9.9 Total $9.9 Total $9.9 Share Purpose Stay Market Business 12.1% Day 30.1% Domestic 94.1% Leisure 87.9% Overnight 69.9% Overseas 5.2% Canada 0.7% 10
Percentage distribution Visitor spending by market segment 100% 90% 0.7% Canada 5.2% Overseas 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% Leisure 87.9% Overnight 69.9% Domestic 94.1% 30% 20% Day 30.1% 10% Business 0% 12.1% Purpose Stay Market Source : Tourism Economics 11
State Tourism Impacts
How visitor spending generates impact Travelers create direct economic value within a discreet group of sectors (e.g. recreation, transportation). This supports a relative proportion of jobs, wages, taxes, and GDP within each sector. Each directly affected sector also purchases goods and services as inputs (e.g. food wholesalers, utilities) into production. These impacts are called indirect impacts. Lastly, the induced impact is generated when employees whose incomes are generated either directly or indirectly by tourism, spend those incomes in the state economy. 13
Tourism sales by industry Tourism Sales (US$ Million) Direct Indirect Induced Total Agriculture, Fishing, Mining - 29.6 22.6 52.2 Construction and Utilities - 244.4 91.1 335.5 Manufacturing - 419.2 222.0 641.3 Wholesale Trade - 92.5 139.2 231.6 Air Transport 404.6 3.5 5.7 413.7 Other Transport 367.6 133 54 554.3 Retail Trade 2,200.0 14.0 258.7 2,472.7 Gasoline Stations 689.3 1.2 17.8 708.2 Communications - 227.6 112.1 339.7 Finance, Insurance and Real Estate 569.3 628.3 1,004.3 2,201.8 Business Services 61.3 666.0 208.1 935.3 Education and Health Care - 5.3 643.2 648.5 Recreation Business and Entertainment Day 1,004.5 54.8 36.1 1,095.4 Lodging 1,995.0 2.4 2.0 1,999.4 Food & Beverage 2,447.2 112.6 211.0 2,770.8 Personal Services 159.3 106.5 153.3 419.1 Government - 128.4 73.2 201.6 TOTAL 9,897.8 2,869.5 3,253.9 16,021.2 14
F&B Retail Trade FIRE Lodging Recreation Bus. Services Gas Education Manu Other Transp Personal Serv. Air Transport Tourism sales by industry All business sectors of the Wisconsin economy benefit from tourism activity directly and/or indirectly. Tourism Sales by Industry $ million 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 Induced Indirect Direct Sectors that serve the tourism industry, like business services, gain as suppliers to a dynamic industry. 1,000 500 0 15
Total tourism employment Tourism Employment Direct Indirect Induced Total Agriculture, Fishing, Mining - 283 198 481 Construction and Utilities - 921 311 1,233 Manufacturing - 1,247 522 1,769 Wholesale Trade - 592 892 1,484 Air Transport 1,812 16 26 1,855 Other Transport 2,194 1,485 611 4,290 Retail Trade 15,473 226 4,249 19,947 Gasoline Stations 1,591 20 292 1,903 Communications - 1,013 422 1,435 Finance, Insurance and Real Estate 3,392 4,135 4,008 11,536 Business Services 436 7,758 2,511 10,705 Education and Health Care - 82 6,962 7,044 Recreation and Entertainment 23,532 1,234 881 25,648 Lodging 31,865 43 37 31,945 Food & Beverage 45,946 2,375 4,423 52,743 Personal Services 2,353 1,316 2,397 6,066 Government - 925 366 1,291 TOTAL 128,594 23,672 29,108 181,374 The tourism sector directly and indirectly supported 181,374 jobs, or 7.8% of all employment in Wisconsin last year. 16
F&B Lodging Recreation Retail Trade FIRE Bus. Services Education Personal Serv. Other Transp Gas Air Transport Manu Thousands Total tourism employment Tourism is an employment intensive industry with particularly high job creation in the restaurant, hotel, and recreation sectors. Tourism Employment by Industry 60 Induced 50 Indirect 40 Direct 30 Significant indirect and induced benefits Secondary benefits are realized across the entire economy through the supply chain and incomes as they are spent. 20 10 0 Day 17
Tourism employment intensity Tourism is a significant part of several industries 92% of lodging, 35% of recreation, and 22% of food & beverage employment is supported by tourism spending. Tourism Employment Intensity by Industry Lodging 92% Transportation 15% Recreation 35% Retail Business 10% Day Food & bev. 22% Total 4% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 18
Tourism personal income Tourism Labor Income (Compensation) (US$ Million) Direct Indirect Induced Total Agriculture, Fishing, Mining - 3.6 3.1 6.7 Construction and Utilities - 66.1 23.7 89.7 Manufacturing - 71.0 30.0 101.0 Wholesale Trade - 39.8 59.9 99.7 Air Transport 91.2 0.8 1.3 93.4 Other Transport 104.8 69.1 27.2 201.1 Retail Trade 322.7 6.2 112.6 441.5 Gasoline Stations 38.9 0.5 7.2 46.6 Communications - 51.1 23.2 74.2 Finance, Insurance and Real Estate 58.2 138.1 137.8 334.1 Business Services 19.4 342.5 110.8 472.8 Education and Health Care - 2.8 349.1 352.0 Recreation Business and Entertainment Day 400.1 22.9 14.7 437.7 Lodging 560.8 0.6 0.5 562.0 Food & Beverage 698.0 35.9 75.5 809.4 Personal Services 74.9 55.3 68.7 198.8 Government - 72.0 25.7 97.7 TOTAL 2,369.1 978.4 1,071.1 4,418.5 19
F&B Lodging Bus. Services Retail Trade Recreation Education FIRE Other Transp Personal Serv. Manu Wholesale Tr. Gov. Tourism personal income The larger employment numbers in F&B and recreations support significant labor income in those industries. Business services and the FIRE (finance, insurance and real estate) sectors depend on tourism activity as suppliers to tourism companies and their employees. Tourism Labor Income by Industry $ million 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Day Induced Indirect Direct Significant indirect and induced benefits 20
Tourism tax generation Traveler Generated Taxes (US$ Million) Tax Type 2010 2011 Federal Taxes Subtotal 917.6 951.7 Corporate 81.9 87.4 Indirect Business 104.8 112.0 Personal Income 212.6 218.9 Social Security 518.2 533.5 State and Local Taxes Subtotal 1,202.1 1,270.9 Corporate 113.2 120.9 Personal Income 101.9 104.9 Sales 425.3 453.1 Bed 72.7 77.3 Property Business 370.9Day 391.7 Excise and Fees 108.5 113.1 State Unemployment 9.6 9.9 TOTAL 2,119.6 2,222.6 Taxes of $2.2 billion were directly and indirectly generated by tourism in 2011. State and local taxes alone tallied $1.3 billion. Each household in Wisconsin would need to be taxed an additional $565 per year to replace the tourism taxes received by state and local governments. 21
Methodology and Background
Why quantify the tourism economy? By monitoring tourism s economic impact, policy makers can make informed decisions regarding the funding and prioritization of tourism development. It can also carefully monitor its successes and future needs. In order to do this, tourism must be measured in the same categories as other economic sectors i.e. tax generation, employment, wages, and gross domestic product. 23
Why is this a challenge? Most economic sectors such as financial services, insurance, or construction are easily defined within a country s national accounts statistics. Tourism is not so easily measured because it is not a single industry. It is a demand-side activity which affects multiple sectors to various degrees. Tourism spans nearly a dozen sectors including lodging, recreation, retail, real estate, air passenger transport, food & beverage, car rental, taxi services, travel agents 24
Methods and data sources Domestic visitor expenditure estimates are provided by Longwoods International s representative survey of US travelers. These are broken out by sectors (lodging, transport at destination, food & beverage, retail, and recreation), by purpose (business and leisure), and by length of stay (day and overnight). Tourism Economics then adjusts these levels of spending based on a range of known measures of tourism activity: Overseas visitor spending (source: OTTI, TE) Canada visitor spending (source: Statistics Canada, TE) Bed tax receipts Spending on air travel which accrues to all airports and locally-based airlines Gasoline purchases by visitors (source: TE calculation) Smith Travel Research data on hotel revenues Construction Value by McGraw-Hill Construction Industry data on employment, wages, GDP, and sales (source: BEA, BLS, Census) 25
Methods and data sources An IMPLAN model was compiled for the State of Wisconsin. This traces the flow of visitor-related expenditures through the local economy and their effects on employment, wages, and taxes. IMPLAN also quantifies the indirect (supplier) and induced (income) impacts of tourism. All results are benchmarked and cross-checked and adjusted based on the following: US Bureau of Labor Statistics and Bureau of Economic Analysis (employment and wages by industry) US Census (business sales by industry) The source of the employment and wage data is the Regional Economic Information System (REIS), Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce. All employment rankings are based on Bureau of Labor Statistics (ES202/QCEW) data. 26
Selected recent economic impact clients Associations / Companies Center for Exhibition Industry Research (Economic Impact of Visa Restrictions) DMAI (Event Impact Calculator for 80 CVBs) US Travel Association (Impact of travel promotion) InterContinental Hotels States California Georgia Maryland New York North Carolina Ohio Pennsylvania Wisconsin Cities Baltimore, MD Columbus, OH Kansas City, MO London, United Kingdom New York City Omaha, NE Orlando, FL Philadelphia, PA Pittsburgh, PA Rockford, IL Countries / Provinces Bahamas Bermuda Cayman Islands Dubai Ontario Canada St. Lucia United Kingdom 27
About Tourism Economics Tourism Economics, headquartered in Philadelphia, is an Oxford Economics company dedicated to providing high value, robust, and relevant analyses of the tourism sector that reflects the dynamics of local and global economies. By combining quantitative methods with industry knowledge, Tourism Economics designs custom market strategies, project feasibility analysis, tourism forecasting models, tourism policy analysis, and economic impact studies. Our staff have worked with over 100 destinations to quantify the economic value of tourism, forecast demand, guide strategy, or evaluate tourism policies. Oxford Economics is one of the world s leading providers of economic analysis, forecasts and consulting advice. Founded in 1981 as a joint venture with Oxford University s business college, Oxford Economics is founded on a reputation for high quality, quantitative analysis and evidence-based advice. For this, it draws on its own staff of 40 highly-experienced professional economists; a dedicated data analysis team; global modeling tools; close links with Oxford University, and a range of partner institutions in Europe, the US and in the United Nations Project Link. For more information: info@tourismeconomics.com. 28
For more information: Adam Sacks, President adam@tourismeconomics.com Christopher Pike, Senior Economist cpike@tourismeconomics.com 29