Mumbai-Ahmedabad High Speed Railway Corridor

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Mumbai-Ahmedabad High Speed Railway Corridor February 2013 Dr. Toshiji TAKATSU, Executive Vice President Japan International Consultants for Transportation Co., Ltd. (JIC)

Basis of this Presentation Preliminary Study on the Formation of High-Speed Railway Project in Western India Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism of Japan 1

Route Alignment Design and Stations (DRAFT) (Source; Google) 2

Basic Information on Gujarat State & Maharashtra State Gujarat Maharashtra Area 196,024 Km 2 307,713 km 2 Population 60.4 million 112 million Population Density (per km 2 ) 308 365 Population Rank 10 2 Population Density Rank 15 12 Urban Population 37.4% 42.4% GDP (in millions) $90,650 $190,310 GDP (per Capita) $1,510 $1,700 3

Principle of Technical Specification for HSR To build a standard-gauge HSR line completely separating from the existing network would be recommended. In Japan, conventional line: narrow gauge, HSR: standard gauge. We propose standard gauge for HSR in India (even though conventional line has broad gauge), as following reasons: Main stream of world HSR is standard gauge Capacity of the conventional line would be limited for HSR Securing safety in different speeds of railway operations 4

Design Specifications of HSR (DRAFT) Item Design Specification Gauge 1435mm Number of line Double track (One way) Maximum design speed 350km/h Maximum operation speed 320km/h Distance between track centerline 4.3m Width of formation level 11.3m 5

Design Specifications of HSR (DRAFT) Item Cross-section of tunnel Maximum axle load Feeder voltage Signaling system Train radio Rolling stock 63.4m 2 (double track) 16t AC 2x25kV Digital-ATC LCX (Leaky CoaXial Cable) Design Specification Maximum 16 cars (Number of passenger capacity High-speed type 1300/ Double-decker type 1600) Car body width : 3.4m 6

Cross section double track in embankment (Slab track) 20200 11300 3500 4300 3500 800 900 800 7

The Basic Policy of Alignment for HSR No.1 in India Station Stations layout in consideration of the convenience for users and city planning, etc. The locations of Mumbai and Ahmedabad stations and big station were examined in the center of the city area. The intermediate stations were also examined for the convenience of passengers along the railroad line, and future development along the line. Small stations were examined in the location to the center of the town as close as possible. 8

The Basic Policy of Alignment for HSR No.1 in India Between stations Alignment to secure the high-speed operation in consideration of the natural and social environment A plane and profile were determined in consideration of high speed operation for HSR. A national park and a sanctuary were avoided for an effect of the natural environment. Existing buildings were also avoided for an effect of the human community and the social environment. Location of the large bridge were considered where is the best way pass through the big river. 9

Stations layout to secure the high-speed operation and to expect maximizing demand Station Layout (tentative) No. of station: 11 Total length: 498.5km Average length between stations: 49.8km 10

Conceptual Drawing for HSR in Ahmedabad (draft) Plan Profile 11

Demand Forecasting The future demand of current transport modes (railway, airplane, private car and bus) is estimated by using the four-step model. Four- Step Method of Demand Forecast 1) Trip Generation / Attraction Model 2) Trip Distribution Model 3) Modal Split Model 4) Traffic Assignment 12

Demographic Conditions along the proposed Line of HSR Population Density (2011) (Source; Population Census 2001, 2011) Annual Average Population Growth Ratio 2001-2011 13

Fare Level Setting and Fare Revenue HSR fare is set more than 1A class of existing railway and less than air fare. Fare revenue is the highest in case of ALT2. ALT2: HSR fare is 1.5 times fare of 1A class of existing railway. 59,000,000 54,000,000 Rs./Day 49,000,000 44,000,000 39,000,000 Fare Level Setting 34,000,000 ALT1(1A*1.0) ALT2( 1A*1.5) ALT3(1A*2.0) HSR Fare Revenue by Fare Level 14

247 253 Sectional Passengers of Route No.1 HSR in 2020 (ALT2 Case) Ahmedabad 180 186 Vadodara Daily Boarding Passengers: 29,529 Persons/day Maximum Sectional Passengers: 25,326 Persons/day 232 Unit : Persons/day Surat 235 248 248 247 194 Thane Mumbai 15

Sectional Passengers of Route No.1 HSR in 2050 (ALT2 Case) Ahmedabad 1364 Surat Mumbai 1953 1810 1954 1787 1950 1517 1943 1415 1994 Vadodara Thane 200,000 180,000 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 - Daily Boarding Passengers: 231,522 Persons/day Maximum Sectional Passengers: 199,410 Persons/day 151,739 Mumbai - Thane 194,291 Thane - Virar Passengers (2050) ALT2 194,986 Virar - Dhanu 195,276 Dhanu - Vapi 195,409 Vapi - Valsad 199,410 Valsad - Surat 180,967 Surat - Bharuch Unit : Persons/day 178,650 Bharuch - Vadodara 141,488 Vadodara - Anand/Nadiad 136,429 Anand/Nadiad - Ahmedabad 16

Traffic Volume and Number of Trains (tentative) year 2020 2030 2040 2050 Number of cars per train Capacity (seat) Traffic Volume (day/direction) Number of Trains (day/direction) Number of Trains at peak hour (train/hour/direction) 10 10 16 16 750 750 1270 1270 13000 27000 55000 100000 25-30 50-60 60-70 120-130 2 4 6 10 Traffic volume is tentativeness. Traffic volume may change in the future. With it, Number of trains change, too. 17

Image of Train Diagram (in 2050) Mumbai Thane Virar Dahanu Vapi Valsad 7 8 9 Mumbai Ahmedabad Rapid train: 1 h 57 min. Each stop train: 2 h 40 min. Surat Bharuch Number of Trains at peak hour (train/hour/direction) Vadodara Anand/Nadiad 2 trains (2020) 10 trains (2050) Ahmedabad Rapid train Each stop train 18

Conclusion Mumbai-Ahmedabad corridor has huge potential as an industrial and economic growth zone in India. To build a standard-gauge line completely separating from the existing network would be recommended. High volume of railway demand would be expected in the HSR. Collaboration of railway development and town development would be quite important in station planning. 19