Slide 1 UNECE-Committee on Sustainable Energy 20th Session of the Working Party on Gas 19-20 January 2010 BOTAŞ Projects at the Center of the Energy Arena Strategy and Busines Development Department 03.02 Mürside TAYMAZ- Deputy Head of Department Hülya AKTAN-Foreign Relations and EU Coordination Manager
Slide 2 ABOUT BOTAŞ BOTAŞ was founded in August 1974 in order to transport Iraqi crude oil to World markets via the Kirkuk-Ceyhan Crude Oil Pipeline. Since 1987 BOTAŞ has expanded its original mission of transporting crude oil via pipelines to cover the natural gas transportation and trade activities In 1995, the company was restructured as a State Economic Enterprise (SEE) considering the company's task at present and in the future. Monopoly rights of BOTAS on natural gas import, distribution, sales and pricing under the Decree No. 397 have been abolished by the natural Gas Market Law No 4646 that was enacted on May 2000. BOTAS, having thirtyfive years experience in the business, steps further and accelerates the studies on re-structuring liberalized natural gas market in the country.
Slide 3 STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT - TURKISH STRAITS BY PASS PROJECTS 3 million barrels/day (150 million tons per year) Russian Federation Oil : 62 million tons :41%
Slide 4 CRUDE OIL PIPELINES IN TURKEY BULGARIA GREECE Edirne Çanakkale Kırklareli İstanbul Bursa Sakarya Eskişehir Zonguldak Bartın Ankara Samsun Amasya Yozgat Kırıkkale Sivas Ordu Trabzon Gümüşhane Bayburt Artvin C Erzincan Erzurum GEORGIA Ardahan Kars Horasan ARMENIA Aliağa Afyon İzmir Turgutlu Kırşehir Kayseri Nevşehir Malatya Konya Aksaray Adıyaman Kahramanmaraş Muğla Karaman Gaziantep Şanlıurfa Antalya Ceyhan İskenderun 3400 kms of Crude Oil Pipeline E SYRIA D Şelmo Batman Diyarbakır B F Mardin A Şırnak IRAQ IRAN A : I. KERKUK-CEYHAN CRUDE OIL PL 40" 641 KM B : II. KERKUK-CEYHAN CRUDE OIL PL 46" 656 KM 71 MTA CAPACITY C : BAKU TBILISI CEYHAN CRUDE OIL PL 30"-42"-46 1076 KM 50 MTA CAPACITY D : BATMAN-DORTYOL CRUDE OIL PL 18 511 KM 4.5 MTA CAPACITY E : CEYHAN-KIRIKKALE CRUDE OIL PL 24" 448 KM 7.2 MTA CAPACITY F : SELMO-BATMAN CRUDE OIL PL 6"-9 5/8"-12" 41 KM 0.8 MTA CAPACITY
Slide 5 STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT - SUPPLY DIVERSIFICATION B 16 Turkmenistan LNG (Algeria + Nigeria) M BC 10 5.2 BC M 1 CM B 6 BC M Russian Fed (Blue Stream) 6. 6 M BC 14 Azerbaijan Russian Fed (West 6 BCM+ Turusgaz 8 BCM) Iran CM 4B CM B 10 Iraq Egypt Existing Imports (Plateau Period) Planned/Hanging Gas Contracts CM
Slide 6 LENGTH OF NATURAL GAS PIPELINES BY YEARS 14000 12000 10000 8000 kms Length of Pipelines in 1989 845 km Length of Pipelines in 2005 7,800 km Length of Pipelines, end 2009 >12,000 km Provinces reached: 65 Upon completion of existing investments: 72 Target: All over the country 7,809 8.333 10,620 11,629 12,024 6000 6,078 4000 2000 0 1989 845 2,000 3,490 1,490 1,731 1,899 1,270 1,693 1,704 1,878 1,878 1,035 1,220 1,220 1,239 845 845 1,020 833 1,009 735 912 190 185 423 19 31 11 174 122 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 4,510 2003 5,245 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 395 2009
Slide 7 NATURAL GAS IMPORTS AND CONSUMPTION Import Volumes Supply Sources 2008 (Long Term Contract Values) 37.8 BCM Nigeria LNG 2007 36.5 BCM (2008) Iran 11% Algeria LNG 11% 3% Azerbaijan 13% 2002 17 BCM Russian Fed 62% Consumption Breakdown (2008) Industrial 22,07% Fertilizer 0,07% 1987 500 MCM ResidentialR 22,30% Powerr 55,55% %
Slide 8 CONSUMPTION GROWTH IN ELECTRICITY AND NATURAL GAS Source: OECD Statistics
Slide 9 NEED FOR NEW IMPORTS
Slide 10 STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT : ENERGY CORRIDOR KAZAKİSTAN RUSYA FEDERASYONU HAZAR DENİZİ KARADENİZ TÜRKİYE GÜRCİSTAN ~70% of World ERMENİSTAN AZERBAYCAN Oil&Gas Reserves Region TÜRKMENİSTAN ÖZBEKİSTAN AKDENİZ SURİYE IRAK İRAN AFGANİSTAN 180
Slide 11 PROJECTION TO 2020 Transbalkan 14 BCM Bluestream 16-32 BCM Azerbaijan Turkmenistan Kazakhistan 30-40 BCM POTENTIAL TRANSIT DOMESTIC DEMAND POTENTIAL SUPPLY 64-104 BCM 66 BCM 126-166 BCM Iran 30-40 BCM LNG 12 BCM Egypt-Iraq 14-18 BCM
Slide 12 STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT - GAS TO EUROPE Diversification of gas supply Enhanced security of supply Enhancement of cooperation with the gas producing countries
Slide 13 EUROPE NATURAL GAS IMPORT SOURCES Rusya % 82 Algeria, Nigeria, Libya, Egypt LNG %16 Qatar, Omman, UAE Portekiz İspanya Hollanda Beyaz Rusya Polonya Almanya Çek Cum. Ukrayna 82% Pipeline GasSlovakya Fransa Avusturya Macaristan,3 18% LNG İtalya Romanya Hırvatistan Bosna Sırbistan Hersek Bulgaristan Arnavutluk Makedonya Yunanistan Moldovya 80% Azerbaycan Kazakistan Özbekistan Türkmenistan Fas 18% Cezayir Tunus 0,3% Libya Mısır Suriye Irak Suudi Arabistan Kuveyt İran Katar
Slide 14 BOTAŞ Projects: Turkey as an Energy Center NABUCCO TURUS GAZ BLUE STREAM I BLUE STREAM II NABUCCO TRANS- CASPIAN KAZAKH GAS TRANS-CASPIAN ITGI ITG SHAH SEA AZERBAIJAN GAS TURKMEN GAS ALGERIAN LNG CEYHAN LNG IRAQ GAS (ITGEP) ARAB GAS P/L IRANIAN GAS NIGERIAN LNG PHASE-III TERGAS EGYPTIAN GAS ARAB GAS P/L NABUCCO
Slide 15 GAS TO EUROPE SOUTH EUROPEAN GAS RING TURKEY-GREECE-ITALY NATURAL GAS PIPELINE FAZ I :ITG 3.6 billion cm/year-2010 ITALY GREECE Operated since Nov.2007 FAZ II :ITGI 4 billion cm/year-2014 8 Billion cm/year-2016
Slide 16 GAS TO EUROPE NABUCCO PROJECT TURKEY-BULGARIA-ROMANIA-HUNGARY-AUSTRIA AVUSTURYA MACARİSTAN BULGARİSTAN ROMANYA 8 billion cm/year-2014 2016-15.7 billion cm/year 2020-25.5 billion cm/year 2030-31 billion cm/year
Slide 17 GAS TO EUROPE TAP PROJECT TURKEY-GREECE-ALBANIA-ITALY N.G. PIPELINE ITALY GREECE 5 billion cm/year 13 billion cm/year
Slide 18 SOURCES SAH DENIZ, AZERBIJAN-GEORGIA-TURKEY N.G.P. 2008 Consumption: 8.3 bcm Production : 9.3 bcm Export : 4.6 bcm (Turkey) 6.6 billion cm/year Proved Natural Gas Reserves :1.20 tcm Share of World Total: 0.6% 1 July 2007 GEORGIA AZERBAIJAN 12-16 billion cm/year 2012-2013
Slide 19 SOURCES: TRANS-CASPIAN N.G.P.PROJECTS TURKMENISTAN AND KAZAKHISTAN 2008 Kazakhstan Consumption: 19.83 bcma Production : 30.2 bcma Export : Russian Fed. Proved reserves: 1.82 tcm Share of Total : 1% TUrkmenistan Consumption: 19 bcm Production : 66.1 bcm Export : 6.5 bcm (Iran) and RF 16 billion cm/year GEORGIA AZERBAIJAN KAZAKHISTAN TURKMENISTAN 30 billion cm/year Proved reserves: 7.94 tcm Share of Total : 4.3%
Slide 20 EAST ANATOLIAN NATURAL GAS PIPELINE 2008 Iran Consumption: 117.6 bcma Production : 116.3bcma Export : 4.1 bcma (Turkey) Proved reserves: 29.61 tcm Share of Total : 16% 10 billion cm/year December 2001 IRAN 5+30 billion cm
Slide 21 SOURCES IRAK-TURKEY NATURAL GAS PIPELINE PROJECT 2008 Iraq Proved reserves: 3.17 tcm Share of Total : 1.7% IRAK 10 Billion cm/year 2012-2015
Slide 22 SOURCES ARAP GAS PIPELINE EGYPT-JORDAN-SYRIA-TURKEY 2008 Egypt Consumption: 40.9 bcma Production : 58.9 bcma Export : 2.72 bcma (Jordan) 0.14 bcma (Syria) 14.6 bcma LNG Proved reserves: 2.17 tcm Share of Total : 1.2% 4-10 billion cm/year MISIR SURİYE ÜRDÜN
Slide 23 SOURCES DOMESTIC EXPLORATION ACTIVITIES Source: Turkish Petroleum Corporation
Slide 24 SOURCES TPAO IN BLACK SEA Source: Turkish Petroleum Corporation
Slide 25 SOURCES FIRST ECONOMIC GAS DISCOVERY BY TPAO Source: Turkish Petroleum Corporation
Slide 26 THANK YOU VERY MUCH FOR YOUR ATTENTION