IEA Wind Roadmap: Comments from the IEA Wind Implementing Agreement

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Transcription:

IEA Wind Roadmap: Comments from the IEA Wind Implementing Agreement Presented by Hugo Chandler for Brian Smith, Chair IEA Wind IEA Experts Group on R&D Priority Setting and Evaluation Paris, France November 2-3, 2009

Mission of IEA Wind to stimulate co-operation on wind energy research and development and to provide high quality information and analysis to member governments and commercial sector leaders by addressing technology development and deployment and its benefits, markets, and policy instruments. IEA Wind Strategic Plan

75% of the world wind capacity is in IEA Wind member countries Map Rest of World 25% IEA Wind Countries 75% IEA Wind Countries World Wind Capacity

Data for IEA Wind Table 1 Key Statistics of IEA Wind Member Countries 2008 2007 2008 Total installed capacity 74.84 GW 91.77 GW Total offshore wind capacity 1,125 MW 1,431 MW Total new wind capacity installed 13,315 MW 17,000 MW Annual increase in capacity from previous year 21% 23% Total annual output from wind 155 TWh/yr 194 TWh/yr Wind generation as % of national electric demand 1.6% 2.3%

IEA Wind has broad membership OECD Participating Countries Europe: Austria, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, and the European Commission. At ExCo 63, Russia was invited to join. N orth America: Canad a, Mexico, and the United States. Asia and Pacific: Australia, Japan, and South Korea. At ExCo 64, November 3 IEA Wind will invite India to attend the next meeting as a prelude to joining. International Organizations (sponsors) Eu ropean Wind Energy Association

IEA Wind Roadmap Contributions from Wind IA Wind IA represented by Ian Baring Gould (Task 19 participant) at 1 st Wind Roadmap Workshop focused on technology (March 2009). Wind IA represented by Felix Avia (Operating Agent for Task 11) at 2 nd Wind Roadmap Workshop focused on deployment and policy (June 2009). Wind IA members submitted detailed comments on draft Roadmap in late August 2009. The IEA Wind End of Term Report and Strategic Plan were also sent to Wind Roadmap authors for reference. Current version of Wind Roadmap incorporates Wind IA comments. Wind IA perspectives presented by Hugo Chandler at IEA CERT Workshop on behalf of IEA Wind on N ovem ber 2, 2009.

IEA Wind Strategic Plan is well aligned with Wind Roadmap Priorities from IEA Wind Strategic Plan for 2009-2013 1. Wind Technology Research to Improve Performance and Reliability at Com petitive Costs 2. Power System Operation and Grid Integration of High Amounts of Wind Generation Including Development of Fully controllable, Grid -friendly Wind Pow er Plants 3. Planning and Performance Assessment Methods for Large Wind Integration 4. Offshore Wind in Shallow and Deep Waters 5. Social, Ed u cational, and Environm ental Issu es

IEA Wind supports national programs with information exchange and joint R&D Information Exchange Planning and execution of large-scale wind energy deployment Tariffs, permits, credits, certificates, mandates, and other incentive and regu latory environm ents Integration w ith electrical grid s Experiences w ith national technology research projects

Information Exchange (cont.): Country and Task reports at meetings of the IEA Wind Executive Committee (2 times per year, 20 countries, the European Commission, and the European Wind Energy Association) IEA Wind Annual Report (315 pages) containing country and research Task chapters and Executive Summary is distributed to all participating organisations Final reports for research Tasks Public Web site: www.ieawind.org Mem bers-only Web pages

Topical Experts Meetings: Remote wind speed sensing techniques using SODAR and LIDAR 31 people from 11 countries Sound propagation models and validation 17 people from 9 countries Wind turbine drivetrain dynamics and reliability 47 people from 9 countries Application of smart structures for large wind turbine rotor blad es 22 people from 7 countries Long-term research need s for w ind energy Social acceptance of w ind energy projects Wind and wave measurements at offshore locations Radar, radio, and wind turbines Social acceptance of w ind energy projects Periodic symposia on aerodynamics, fatigue, wind characteristics, and forecasting New IEA Wind Recommended Practices under consideration: SODAR and LIDAR; noise measurement immission; cost of wind energy; sm all w ind tu rbine labeling

Four New Tasks Address Key Issues Cost of wind energy (Task 26) Bring economists and engineers together Consumer labels for small wind turbines (Task 27) Bring IEC standards and test practices together Produce a recommended practice for quality labeling of small wind systems Social acceptance of w ind energy projects (Task 28) Bring social scientists, planners, and project developers together MexNex(T): Analysis of wind tunnel measurements and improvement of aerodynamic models (Task 29) Bring aerodynamic experts together

9 Active IEA Wind Research Tasks Task 29 Aerodynamic Analysis of Data from the EU MEXICO Project Task 28 Social Acceptance of Wind Energy Projects Task 27 Consumer Labeling of Small Wind Tu rbines Task 26 Cost of Wind Energy Task 25 Power Systems with Large Amounts of Wind Power Task 24 Integration of Wind and Hydropower System s Task 23 Offshore Wind Technology and Deploym ent Task 19 Wind Energy in Cold Climates Task 11 Base Technology Information Exchange

Final thoughts on Wind Roadmap Wind IA fully supports the development of the Wind Roadmap to unify international efforts Current Wind IA activities and five-year strategy are well-aligned with Roadmap Wind Executive Committee will discuss its specific role in Roadmap implementation and fu rther alignm ent of long-term strategy Recommend that IEA develop a report card for the Roadmap to track annual progress toward timeline and targets

For more information on IEA Wind, visit www.ieawind.org or contact: Chair Brian Smith, United States (brian.smith@nrel.gov) Vice Chair Hannele Holttinen, Finland (hannele.holttinen@vtt.fi) Vice Chair Joachim Kutscher, Germany (joachim.kutscher@fz-juelich.de) Secretary Patricia Weis-Taylor, United States (ieawind@comcast.net)

IEA Disclaimer The IEA Wind agreement, also known as the Implementing Agreement for Co-operation in the Research, Development, and Deployment of Wind Energy Systems, functions within a framework created by the International Energy Agency (IEA). Views, findings, and publications of IEA Wind do not necessarily represent the views or policies of the IEA Secretariat or of all its ind ivid u al member cou ntries.

BACK UP SLIDES

Task 19 addresses cold climate issues for wind energy Experts Recommendations report 2009. State-of-the-art Report 2009 Final Report and extension of work throu gh 2012

Task 23 explored issues of offshore wind development Workshops on regulation, grid connection, and ecological issues Technical research for deeper water New Task 30 proposal on systems for deep water to be considered at ExCo 64

Capacity credit State-of-the-art report on integration (Task 25) Capacity credit of wind power 45 % 40 % 35 % 30 % 25 % 20 % 15 % 10 % 5 % 0 % 0 % 10 % 20 % 30 % 40 % 50 % 60 % Wind power penetration as % of peak load Germany Mid Norway 3 wind farms Mid Norway 1 wind farm Ireland ESBNG 5GW Ireland ESBNG 6.5GW UK 2007 US Minnesota 2004 US Minnesota 2006 US New York on-off-shore US California

Euros/MWh wind More state-of-the-art report Increase in balancing cost 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0 % 5 % 10 % 15 % 20 % 25 % 30 % Wind penetration (% of gross demand) Nordic 2004 Finland 2004 UK Ireland Colorado Minnesota 2004 Minnesota 2006 California Greennet Germany Greennet Denmark Greennet Finland Greennet Norway Greennet Sweden

Aerodynamic research Task 29 will analyse wind tunnel measurements and improve aerodynamic models Using measurements of a wind turbine in the large German Dutch Wind Tunnel, DNW Measurements are available from EU-funded project Measurements and Experiments in Controlled Conditions, MEXICO