Current situation on global markets for ferrous scrap

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Current situation on global markets for ferrous scrap by Tom Bird Managing Director Sims Metal Management UK and President of EFR (European Ferrous Recovery and Recycling Federation) Sims Metal Management World s largest metals recycler (public company ASX/NYSE) +17 million tonnes of metal processed annually World leader for recycling innovations Sales circa US$5.5 bn. Global Presence (+230 sites, 4 continents) Carbon neutral when savings versus virgin material exploitation are taken into account Innovest s Global 100 most sustainable companies 2009 (released at the Davos Summit 2009) Diverse activities include electronics recycling and plastic recycling. New York City s municipal recycling. 2 1

located in Brussels, Belgium created in 1992 from COFENAF the Liaison Committee for ferrous scrap within the E.E.C. which was founded in 1970. Members: national associations in the EU Member States representing the interests of commercial firms that are primarily involved in the collection, trade, processing and recycling of ferrous scrap. EFR 's particular objective is to give the sector the place it deserves in all current and future European Community environmental protection and recycling programs. European Shredder Group created in December 2000, represents the interest of the European Shredder operators in light of the implementation of the European Directive on end-of-life vehicles (ELVs). 2 Objectives : to study and examine all commercial, legal, environmental and technical problems concerning the European trading, recovering, processing, recycling and transport of ferrous metals and alloys by the member Associations and their affiliated firms, and to act accordingly whenever necessary. to recommend all measures to ensure the proper representation of the member associations and of the ferrous scrap trade and industry. to gather, exchange and disseminate all information relevant to these objectives. to ensure a permanent link between the national member Associations of the European Union Member States; 3 to represent the European ferrous metals trading, recovery, processing and recycling industry in dealing with the EU authorities and institutions and with private organisations inside or outside the Community 2

The EU & EFR issues 2009 4 EU (27 Member States) Framework Directive 2008/98/EC on Waste Relative to Ferrous metal issues incl. Art.6 End-of-Waste Priority Waste Stream Directives End-of-Life Vehicles Directive (ELV) [Waste Electrical & Electronic Equipment (WEEE)] Other EU issues Shipments of Wastes q.v. current hazardous waste laws imposed by India Extension of the scope of IPPC [Possible benefits from Eco-design legislation] EU 27 Steel Production, Scrap Consumption and Deliveries 2008 (million tonnes) Steel Production E.A.F. Production Part Steel Scrap Consumption (incl. own arisings) 2008 2007 197.8 41.4% 209.6 40.7% 111.7 117.2 Steel Scrap Recycling Rate 56.0% 55.8% Steel Scrap Export 12.8 10.8 Steel Scrap Import 5.3 5.8 5 Sources: EUROFER/ Worldsteel 3

EU 27 Steel Production/Steel Scrap Consumption (million tonnes) 6 Source: EUROFER EU 27 Scrap Trade Balance (million tonnes) 15.0 12.1 11.0 11.7 10.9 12.9 10.0 5.0 7.8 7.0 7.0 5.8 5.3 * 7 0.0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Steel Scrap Import Steel Scrap Export Source:EUROFER 4

EU 27 Scrap Trade Balance (million tonnes) Exports Third Countries ex EU 2008 Imports Third Countries into EU 2008 8 Total 12.900 (+18.4%) Biggest Buyers Turkey 6.885 (+16.2%) India 1.279 (+102.1%) Egypt 0.986 (+9.9%) Switzerland 0.528 (+19.2%) China 0.436 (-16.2%) Taiwan 0.418 (+83.3%) Total 5.300 (-8.6%) Biggest Suppliers Russia 1.479 (-10.3%) Switzerland 0.658 (+12.1%) USA 0.585 (-17.9%) Norway 0.313 (+12.7%) Sources: EUROFER/Außenhandelsstatistik WV Stahl Worldwide Steel Production, Steel Scrap Consumption and Purchase (million tonnes) 9 5

World Trade Steel Scrap (million tonnes) 10 Source: Iron and Steel Statistics Bureau (ISSB) Steel Scrap Prices 11 2005 2006 2007 2008 EU-Export Price: HMS1/2 (80:20), Average Price Fob Rotterdam (USD/t) USA: HMS1, delivered steel work, Composite Price (Pittsburgh, Chicago) (USD/t) 2009 Source: BDSV 6

Lower volumes of: Steel production Scrap consumption New scrap arisings hand-to-mouth market with fluctuating prices 12 Affected industries: Construction Automotive sector 13 7

Consequences for recycling industry: Major restructuring programmes, resulting in Job losses Plant closures Vanishing margins 14 Situation in EU: Some positive activity in last 2 months High inventory levels need to go down 15 8

Situation in USA: Still a long way to recovery Domestic steel industry at 43% of their capacity 16 Situation in China: Aggressive buyer of scrap Projected scrap import increase from 3.6 million tonnes (2008) to 10 million tonnes (2009) However, drop in crude steel production by 4% compared to same period last year 17 9

Drop in crude steel production worldwide: Asia - 9.5% Africa - 23.8% Russia - 31.5% South America - 36.5% EU - 44.2% Oceania - 49.4% USA - 53.1% 18 India: Increased demand for scrap but new regulations and certification requirements 19 10

Overall decline in steel production: Estimate for 2009 246 million tonnes of steel less drop of scrap consumption by 107 million tonnes 20 Additional factors: Credit availability Ocean freight rates Vessel dismantling Cancelled or renegotiated contracts 21 11

CONTACT DETAILS: Tel: +32 2 627 5771 Fax: +32 2 627 5773 E-mail c/o: bir@bir.org EFR c/o BIR Avenue Franklin Roosevelt 24, 1050 Brussels, Belgium Website: www.efr2.org 22 12