Poultry Pocketbook 2015

Poultry Pocketbook 2015

BPEX Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board Stoneleigh Park Kenilworth Warwickshire CV8 2TL Tel: 024 7669 2051 www.bpex.org.uk Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board 2015. All rights reserved. Cover Images: Hen - Sevenke/Shutterstock.com Raw Chicken - Marek Gottschalk/Shutterstock.com While the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board, operating through its BPEX division, seeks to ensure that the information contained within this document is accurate at the time of printing, no warranty is given in respect thereof and, to the maximum extent permitted by law, the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board accepts no liability for loss, damage or injury howsoever caused (including that caused by negligence) or suffered directly or indirectly in relation to information and opinions contained in or omitted from this document. BPEX is a division of the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board (AHDB). ISBN 978-1-904437-85-0

Contents Poultry Pocketbook 2015 Page Chapter 1 Marketing chain Table 1.1 UK poultry meat supply balance... 3 Table 1.2 UK eggs supply balance... 3 Table 1.3 EU poultry meat supply balance... 4 Table 1.4 EU egg supply balance... 4 Chapter 2 Poultry numbers Figure 2.1 Density of poultry flock, June 2013... 5 Table 2.1 UK poultry numbers, June survey... 6 Table 2.2 UK chick and poult placings... 6 Chapter 3 Slaughterings and production Table 3.1 UK poultry slaughterings... 7 Table 3.2 UK poultry meat production... 7 Figure 3.1 UK broiler meat production... 8 Figure 3.2 Average liveweight of broilers in England and Wales... 8 Table 3.3 UK egg packing station throughput... 9 Table 3.4 UK production of egg products by processors... 9 Figure 3.3 EU broiler meat production, 2014... 10 Figure 3.4 EU egg production for human consumption, 2014... 10 Chapter 4 Poultry and egg prices Table 4.1 Average UK egg packer price paid to producers... 11 Figure 4.1 Average poultry compound feed price, GB... 12 Figure 4.2 UK wholesale chicken prices... 12 1

Contents Page Figure 4.3 UK wholesale hens egg prices... 13 Figure 4.4 EU and UK broiler (65%) meat wholesale market price... 13 Figure 4.5 EU and UK egg (large and medium) wholesale market price... 14 Chapter 5 Imports and exports Table 5.1 UK egg trade by volume... 15 Table 5.2 Volume and value of UK poultry meat imports... 16 Table 5.3 Volume and value of UK poultry meat exports... 16 Table 5.4 UK fresh/frozen poultry meat imports by source... 17 Table 5.5 UK fresh/frozen poultry meat exports by destination... 17 Table 5.6 UK processed poultry meat imports by source... 18 Table 5.7 UK processed poultry meat exports by destination... 18 Chapter 6 Consumption Table 6.1 UK per capita consumption of poultry meat and total meat... 19 Table 6.2 GB retail chicken and egg value sales by type of outlet... 19 Figure 6.1 Trends in GB household chicken purchases by volume... 20 Figure 6.2 Trends in GB household egg purchases by volume... 20 Figure 6.3 Change in GB retail volume and value sales of chicken by product, 2014... 21 Figure 6.4 GB volume sales of chicken by product, 2014... 21 Figure 6.5 Change in GB retail volume and value sales of eggs, 2014... 22 Figure 6.6 GB volume sales of eggs, 2014... 22 Figure 6.7 Average GB retail price of chicken cuts, 2014... 23 Figure 6.8 Average GB retail price of eggs, 2014... 23 Figure 6.9 Proportion of chicken products sold on promotion in GB retail outlets... 24 Figure 6.10 Proportion of eggs sold on promotion in GB retail outlets... 24 2

Marketing chain Chapter 1 Marketing chain Table 1.1 UK poultry meat supply balance (a) '000 tonnes 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Production 1,538 1,558 1,607 1,661 1,643 Imports (b) 774 857 817 824 872 Exports (b) 315 344 334 382 385 Total consumption 1,998 2,070 2,091 2,103 2,129 Self-sufficiency (%) 77 75 77 79 77 (a) Includes offals. (b) Data now includes trade in salted poultry meat. All data in carcase weight equivalent. Source: Defra, GTIS/HMRC, AHDB Market Intelligence Table 1.2 UK eggs supply balance million dozen 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013* Production (for human consumption) 751 826 821 797 829 of which: sold in shell 597 673 664 654 695 processed 154 152 158 143 134 Imports (a) 149 136 126 163 153 Exports (b) 9 8 11 19 23 Total consumption 890 953 937 941 958 Self-sufficiency (%) 84 87 88 85 87 (a) Includes shell egg equivalent of whole egg (dried, frozen and liquid), egg yolk and albumen. (b) Includes hatching eggs for export and waste. Note: Defra has made major revisions to the trade data compared with last year s edition of the pocketbook. * Provisional Source: Defra 3

Marketing chain Table 1.3 EU poultry meat supply balance '000 tonnes 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 (e) Indigenous production 12,953 13,215 13,484 13,731 14,091 Imports 783 798 797 752 755 Exports 1,157 1,215 1,246 1,238 1,281 Total consumption 12,578 12,797 13,034 13,245 13,566 Self-sufficiency (%) 103 103 103 104 104 Includes poultry offals. (e) estimate Note: EU-27 to 2012, EU-28 from 2013 onwards. Source: EU Commission Table 1.4 EU egg supply balance '000 tonnes 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 (e) Gross indigenous production 7,297 7,303 7,265 7,333 7,434 Imports 33 20 37 21 13 Exports 182 217 186 215 229 Eggs for hatching 880 874 987 812 870 Human consumption 6,268 6,231 6,129 6,327 6,348 Self-sufficiency (%) 102 103 102 103 103 All data is in whole egg equivalent. (e) estimate. Note: EU-27 for all years Source: EU Commission 4

Poultry numbers Chapter 2 Poultry numbers Figure 2.1 Density of poultry flock, June 2013 Data covers commercial holdings only. Source: AHDB Market Intelligence, Defra, Welsh Government, DARD, Scottish Government 5

Poultry numbers Table 2.1 UK poultry numbers, June survey million head (a) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Total poultry 164 163 160 163 170 Total breeding and laying fowl 47 49 47 47 48 of which: Hens and pullets laying eggs for eating 37 38 37 36 37 Total breeding flock 10 10 10 11 11 Table chickens (broilers) 105 102 103 105 110 Other poultry 11 11 11 11 11 of which: Turkeys 4 4 4 4 4 (a) Due to production cycles, subgroups within the poultry population are often volatile as the point in time nature of the June Survey can lead to large variations in the numbers in each category. Source: Defra Table 2.2 UK chick and poult placings million head 2010 (a) 2011 2012 2013 2014 Commercial broilers 904 896 918 943 937 Commercial layers 34 32 35 34 35 Turkeys (b) 16 17 18 17 16 Female broiler breeders (c) 6 7 7 7 8 (a) 53-week statistical year. (b) Includes female breeder poults. (c) Female parents only. Excludes grandparent chicks and by-product chicks. Includes imported female parent chicks. Source: Defra 6

Slaughterings and production Chapter 3 Slaughterings and production Table 3.1 UK poultry slaughterings million head Broilers Boiling fowl Turkeys 2000 760 38 27 2005 827 37 19 2006 813 36 18 2007 805 37 16 2008 792 39 16 2009 799 40 15 2010 (a) 863 41 16 2011 855 44 17 2012 874 46 18 2013 902 42 18 2014 900 41 15 (a) 53-week statistical year. Note: Boiling fowl includes spent hens and spent breeders. Source: Defra Table 3.2 UK poultry meat production (a) '000 tonnes Broilers Boiling fowl Turkey Ducks Total 2000 1,163 51 264 41 1,519 2005 1,282 51 192 42 1,567 2006 1,237 53 178 41 1,509 2007 1,212 52 165 36 1,464 2008 1,214 56 160 33 1,462 2009 1,220 50 157 30 1,457 2010 (b) 1,323 53 162 30 1,568 2011 1,297 56 171 33 1,558 2012 1,322 58 196 32 1,607 2013 1,388 55 187 30 1,661 2014 1,384 52 173 32 1,641 (a) Excludes other bird types, eg geese. (b) 53-week statistical year. Source: Defra 7

Slaughterings and production Figure 3.1 UK broiler meat production '000 tonnes 1,400 1,388 1,384 1,300 1,282 1,323 1,297 1,322 1,237 1,212 1,214 1,220 1,200 1,163 1,100 1,000 2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: Defra Figure 3.2 Average liveweight of broilers in England and Wales kg 2.26 2.24 2.24 2.24 2.23 2.22 2.20 2.18 2.21 2.19 2.16 2.21 2.20 2.21 2.18 2.19 2.16 2.14 2.12 2.10 2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: Defra 8

Slaughterings and production Table 3.3 UK egg packing station throughput '000 cases Total Enriched Barn Free range Organic 2000 22,460 16,187 1,675 4,598 n/a 2005 24,584 15,558 1,564 7,462 n/a 2006 24,021 15,053 1,229 6,541 1,198 2007 23,537 14,544 937 6,692 1,363 2008 24,680 14,395 926 8,000 1,359 2009 24,616 13,445 1,035 9,137 999 2010 27,067 13,522 1,334 11,283 928 2011 26,921 13,128 1,075 11,879 838 2012 25,922 12,596 948 11,716 662 2013 26,901 13,606 890 11,795 610 2014 27,097 14,097 782 11,591 627 1 case = 360 eggs n/a = Not available Source: Defra Table 3.4 UK production of egg products by processors tonnes Liquid egg Hard boiled Other Total 2000 75,022 n/a 16,756 91,778 2005 78,066 28,649 13,630 120,345 2006 72,786 31,663 9,065 113,514 2007 75,027 28,002 2,590 105,619 2008 73,502 30,490 103,991 2009 63,442 30,282 93,724 2010 64,459 33,188 97,648 2011 67,908 32,518 100,426 2012 66,338 24,503 90,841 2013 62,338 32,667 95,005 2014 66,910 34,968 101,878 n/a = Not available Source: Defra 9

Slaughterings and production Figure 3.3 EU broiler meat production, 2014 '000 tonnes 2,500 2,000 2,060 1,855 1,500 1,000 1,384 1,255 1,112 1,053 872 770 500 329 246 0 PL UK DE FR ES IT NL HU BE Others Source: Eurostat Figure 3.4 EU egg production for human consumption, 2014 '000 tonnes 1,400 1,200 1,260 1,000 927 800 790 785 656 645 632 600 520 400 350 200 0 Source: EU Commission FR IT DE NL ES UK PL RO Others 10

Chapter 4 Poultry and egg prices Table 4.1 Average UK egg packer price paid to producers Poultry and egg prices pence per dozen All Enriched Barn Free range Organic 2000 39.7 32.3 48.6 62.3 2005 45.7 34.4 52.0 67.9 2006 50.2 37.1 51.5 67.9 c 2007 58.6 43.3 55.8 77.8 c 2008 70.7 52.8 70.6 89.8 c 2009 72.6 55.4 72.7 90.2 c 2010 70.1 53.6 72.2 84.4 135.5 2011 70.0 53.9 72.6 83.1 131.6 2012 86.2 72.2 c 97.7 c 2013 90.2 74.3 c 105.2 c 2014 84.1 67.8 c 100.1 c 1 case = 360 eggs Note: Data cover all Class A eggs passed over a grader, including seconds. Prices include bonus payments from 2012. From Q1 2006 the average UK All types price includes organic eggs. c = confidential Source: Defra 11

Poultry and egg prices Figure 4.1 Average poultry compound feed price, GB /tonne 350 300 270 271 298 270 280 264 250 223 235 200 150 100 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 Source: Defra Figure 4.2 UK wholesale chicken prices p/kg 400 350 300 320 250 200 150 155 140 100 Fresh broiler - 1.35kg - 1.55kg Fresh skinless breast fillets Fresh skinless breast fillets (callibrated) broiler - 1.15kg - 2.05kg 50 Jan 10 Jul 10 Jan 11 Jul 11 Jan 12 Jul 12 Jan 13 Jul 13 Jan 14 Jul 14 Jan 15 Note: DEFRA has made some changes to the price series compared with last year s edition of this pocketbook. Source: Defra/London wholesale market 12

Poultry and egg prices Figure 4.3 UK wholesale hens egg prices p/dozen 140 120 100 128 118 80 60 40 Large 63-73 g Medium 53-63 g 20 Jan 10 Jul 10 Jan 11 Jul 11 Jan 12 Jul 12 Jan 13 Jul 13 Jan 14 Jul 14 Jan 15 Source: Defra/London wholesale market Figure 4.4 EU and UK broiler (65%) meat wholesale market price p/kg dw 170 160 150 140 EU UK 142 130 134 120 110 100 90 UK is frozen bird price, EU is mixture of fresh and frozen 80 Jan 10 Jul 10 Jan 11 Jul 11 Jan 12 Jul 12 Jan 13 Jul 13 Jan 14 Jul 14 Jan 15 Source: EU Commission 13

Poultry and egg prices Figure 4.5 EU and UK egg (large and medium) wholesale market price p/kg 180 160 140 UK EU 120 100 108 102 80 60 Jan 10 Jul 10 Jan 11 Jul 11 Jan 12 Jul 12 Jan 13 Jul 13 Jan 14 Jul 14 Jan 15 Source: EU Commission 14

Chapter 5 Imports and exports Table 5.1 UK egg trade by volume Imports and exports '000 cases 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 (e) Imports Shell eggs (a) 1,548 1,395 2,281 1,718 1,857 Egg products (a) (b) 2,987 2,815 3,157 3,382 3,326 Total 4,535 4,210 5,438 5,099 5,183 Exports Shell eggs (a) 165 221 269 280 242 Egg products (a) (b) 127 137 363 504 135 Total 291 358 632 784 377 1 case = 360 eggs (a) Data based on the following Standard Industrial Trade Classifications (SITCs): 025.21, 025.22 and 025.30. (b) From 2012, shell eggs SITC code changed from 04070030 to 040721000, 040729100 and 040790100. All data converted to shell egg equivalent. (e) estimate. Note: 1 case = 360 eggs Source: Defra 15

Imports and exports Table 5.2 Volume and value of UK poultry meat imports tonnes, product weight 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Fresh/frozen poultry (inc offals) 378,926 412,368 382,067 383,812 407,688 Salted poultry 36,111 47,508 43,439 49,610 56,098 Processed poultry 254,079 278,732 292,288 291,197 305,889 Total 669,116 738,608 717,794 724,619 769,675 Value, '000 Fresh/frozen poultry (inc offals) 945,617 1,078,530 936,144 956,793 1,020,550 Salted poultry 72,630 102,571 85,009 103,090 113,318 Processed poultry 684,074 797,679 802,476 848,425 888,694 Total 1,702,321 1,978,780 1,823,629 1,908,308 2,022,562 Source: GTIS, HM Revenue and Customs Table 5.3 Volume and value of UK poultry meat exports tonnes, product weight 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Fresh/frozen poultry (inc offals) 270,450 295,241 289,787 342,161 347,676 Salted poultry 5,145 3,971 2,929 2,433 3,411 Processed poultry 38,341 45,511 45,850 42,586 48,517 Total 313,936 344,723 338,566 387,180 399,604 Value, 000 Fresh/frozen poultry (inc offals) 260,864 306,725 273,987 329,627 295,543 Salted poultry 9,356 9,623 6,646 5,466 8,592 Processed poultry 126,382 143,602 137,584 126,483 135,489 Total 396,602 459,950 418,217 461,577 439,624 Source: GTIS, HM Revenue and Customs 16

Imports and exports Table 5.4 UK fresh/frozen poultry meat imports by source tonnes, product weight 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Total 378,926 412,368 382,067 383,812 407,688 of which from: Netherlands 144,066 169,462 180,940 178,619 178,355 Poland 39,531 43,497 46,817 51,874 55,873 Ireland 63,956 66,799 28,694 25,456 35,154 Belgium 23,703 20,644 28,008 25,887 30,786 Germany 25,304 31,272 25,979 26,331 30,133 France 20,125 20,276 14,877 13,224 13,475 Italy 9,182 9,709 14,679 12,449 10,583 Chile 9,887 9,877 8,792 8,048 8,392 Denmark 8,577 7,593 5,489 5,476 7,585 Source: GTIS, HM Revenue and Customs Table 5.5 UK fresh/frozen poultry meat exports by destination tonnes, product weight 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Total 270,450 295,241 289,787 342,161 347,676 of which to: (EU 28) (203,784) (197,773) (203,352) (249,115) (241,237) Netherlands 59,588 52,799 66,378 100,521 107,917 Ireland 44,165 46,048 48,786 46,437 45,873 South Africa 7,810 24,722 26,602 38,341 43,013 Hong Kong 26,236 40,215 25,449 20,876 25,811 Germany 34,669 26,212 15,882 19,339 22,701 France 21,824 23,986 18,657 21,073 18,534 Benin 10,912 7,721 5,150 10,036 17,278 Spain 14,123 15,555 17,029 16,020 12,454 Belgium 3,195 5,917 8,862 14,822 11,569 Source: GTIS, HM Revenue and Customs 17

Imports and exports Table 5.6 UK processed poultry meat imports by source tonnes, product weight 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Total 254,079 278,732 292,288 291,197 305,889 of which from: (EU 28) (90,830) (111,180) (128,400) (134,143) (132,490) Thailand 134,894 138,900 134,479 116,651 124,650 Brazil 20,414 19,939 21,456 29,008 40,414 Netherlands 19,279 28,164 33,467 31,370 32,311 Ireland 23,668 27,674 28,539 33,300 29,969 Poland 6,897 10,490 11,989 14,633 16,474 Germany 14,084 13,092 15,607 14,665 14,324 France 4,164 4,817 9,013 11,411 11,375 Denmark 3,667 9,266 7,983 8,518 8,855 Source: GTIS, HM Revenue and Customs Table 5.7 UK processed poultry meat exports by destination tonnes, product weight 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Total 38,341 45,511 45,850 42,586 48,517 of which to: Ireland 24,011 27,602 25,598 22,159 22,124 Netherlands 3,987 5,912 6,543 5,642 9,299 Germany 4,088 4,981 5,972 6,724 5,705 Source: GTIS, HM Revenue and Customs 18

Consumption Chapter 6 Consumption Table 6.1 UK per capita consumption of poultry meat and total meat Poultry meat All meat kg/person/year 2000 30.5 79.2 2005 31.9 83.6 2006 31.4 83.5 2007 30.1 83.3 2008 29.6 80.5 2009 30.1 78.5 2010 32.1 80.1 2011 33.0 80.7 2012 32.8 79.7 2013 32.8 78.6 2014 33.1 79.9 All data in carcase weight equivalent. Source: AHDB Market Intelligence calculations based on data from Defra, HMRC, ONS Table 6.2 GB retail chicken and egg value sales by type of outlet % Multiples Freezer centres Butchers Other Chicken 2012 89.3 4.8 3.2 2.6 2013 88.3 5.3 3.5 3.0 2014 87.9 5.0 4.0 3.1 Eggs 2012 86.1 4.9 1.7 7.3 2013 86.8 4.7 1.6 7.0 2014 86.8 5.3 1.4 6.4 Data covers 52 weeks ended early January of the following year. Source: Kantar WorldPanel 19

Consumption Figure 6.1 Trends in GB household chicken purchases by volume tonnes (52 weeks ending) 615,000 610,000 2012 2013 2014 605,000 600,000 595,000 590,000 585,000 580,000 575,000 570,000 02 Feb 02 Mar 30 Mar 27 Apr 25 May 22 Jun 20 Jul 17 Aug 14 Sep 12 Oct 09 Nov 07 Dec 04 Jan Note: Figures include Ready to cook and Chilled main meal accompaniment products. Source: Kantar WorldPanel Figure 6.2 Trends in GB household egg purchases by volume '000s (52 weeks ending) 5,400,000 2012 2013 2014 5,300,000 5,200,000 5,100,000 5,000,000 4,900,000 4,800,000 02 Feb 02 Mar 30 Mar 27 Apr 25 May 22 Jun 20 Jul 17 Aug 14 Sep 12 Oct 09 Nov 07 Dec 04 Jan Source: Kantar WorldPanel 20

Consumption Figure 6.3 Change in GB retail volume and value sales of chicken by product, 2014 yoy % change 30 20 Volume Value 24.6 18.7 10 0-10 1.6-1.2-0.9 0.0-2.9-5.1-8.4-9.5-3.0-5.8-9.0-10.2 0.5-2.1-20 -30 Fresh breasts Fresh whole Fresh leg Fresh roll/roast breasts -22.0-23.9 whole Leg roll/roast Sliced cooked chicken Data covers 52 weeks ended early January of the following year. Source: Kantar WorldPanel Figure 6.4 GB volume sales of chicken by product, 2014 tonnes 250,000 200,000 214,181 150,000 122,173 100,000 75,411 50,000 0 Fresh breasts Fresh whole Fresh leg 2,846 Fresh roll/roast 43,334 breasts Data covers 52 weeks ended early January of the following year. Source: Kantar WorldPanel 3,501 6,233 3,769 whole Leg roll/roast 22,248 Sliced cooked chicken 21

Consumption Figure 6.5 Change in GB retail volume and value sales of eggs, 2014 yoy % change 18 16.8 Volume Value 14 12.5 10 6 5.9 2-2 -6-0.5-1.1-10 -14-10.7-8.0-18 -17.2 Barn Free range organic Free range non-organic Data covers 52 weeks ended early January of the following year. Source: Kantar WorldPanel Figure 6.6 GB volume sales of eggs, 2014 Non-free range '000 eggs 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,708,140 2,408,726 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 158,068 61,168 Barn Free range organic Free range non-organic Data covers 52 weeks ended early January of the following year. Source: Kantar WorldPanel Non-free range 22

Consumption Figure 6.7 Average GB retail price of chicken cuts, 2014 price per kg ( ) 9 8 7 7.75 8.81 7.15 6 5.56 5 4 3 2 2.92 3.58 4.15 2.32 2.03 1 0 Fresh breasts Fresh whole Fresh leg Fresh roll/roast breasts roll/roast whole leg Sliced cooked chicken Data covers 52 weeks ended early January of the following year. Source: Kantar WorldPanel Figure 6.8 Average GB retail price of eggs, 2014 price per egg (p) 40 37 35 30 25 20 20 15 10 5 0 13 Barn Free range organic Free range non-organic 11 Non-free range Data covers 52 weeks ended early January of the following year. Source: Kantar WorldPanel 23

Consumption Figure 6.9 Proportion of chicken products sold on promotion in GB retail outlets % of total volume 60 52 w/e 05 Jan 14 50 45.8 45.4 49.8 46.1 52 w/e 04 Jan 15 40 30 20 39.3 36.6 32.0 27.8 36.7 34.9 15.8 28.7 31.5 30.2 21.8 23.6 28.7 27.9 10 0 Fresh breasts Fresh whole Source: Kantar WorldPanel Fresh leg Fresh roll/roast breasts roll/roast whole leg Sliced cooked chicken Figure 6.10 Proportion of eggs sold on promotion in GB retail outlets % of total volume 25 20 23.4 52 w/e 05 Jan 14 52 w/e 04 Jan 15 15 13.3 15.6 15.5 10 5 5.6 5.1 7.2 0 0.4 Barn Free range organic Free range non-organic Non-free range Source: Kantar WorldPanel 24