Nigeria s Health Statistics and Trends Dr Zipporah Kpamor Being a presentation at the Nigeria Behind the Headlines: Population, Health, Natural Resources, and Governance Conference organized by The Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars Environmental Change and Security Program, Global Health Initiative, and Africa Program 25 April 2012
Introduction 1 Nigeria is a country on the West Coast of Africa; It is the most populous black country in the world Nigeria has a young population 52% live in rural areas Nigeria is rich in diversity: with substantial oil reserves over 70% poor. significantly economic growth unimproved everyday livelihoods. Nigeria has some of the poorest health indicators in the world Why?
Introduction cont d Nigeria operates a Federal System of Government with three levels; There are 774 LGAs within the 36 states and Federal Capital Territory (FCT) Abuja. The states and FCT are grouped into six geopolitical zones: Source: NSHDP 2009
The Health System The Nigeria Health System is fashioned after the 3 tiers of Government Players Government Non- Government Players: Donors USG; DFID, Global Fund PHC adopted to provide health for all Nigerians. Very little community participation Quality of care needs substantial improvement.
Trend and Targets of Selected Health indicators Indicator 2003 2008 2015 Target Population 124 million 158 million* Life expectancy at birth 46.5 47 years 70 years TFR 5.7 5.7 children Modern method CPR 8% 10% 36% Unmet need for FP 17% 20% 0% Maternal Mortality Ratio 800/100,00 0 LB 545/100,000 LB 136/100, 000 LB Women with at least 4 antenatal 48% 45% care (ANC) visits Births delivered by a skilled provider 43% 39% 100% Sources: 2003 NDHS; 2008 NDHS; UNDESA, 2010*; FMOH**
Trends and Targets of Selected Health Indicators cont d Indicator 2003 2008 2015 Target Infant mortality rate (IMR) 100/1000 LB 75/1,000 LB 30/1000 LB Under-five MR 201/1000 LB 157/1,000 LB 75/1000 LB Proportion of 1 year old children 60% 41 % 95% immunized against Measles Children under 5 who are 29% 23% 18% underweight for age Children under 5 who slept under an 1.2% 23% 60 % ITN the night before the survey HIV prevalence 5.0% 4.1% ** 1% Sources: 2003 NDHS; 2008 NDHS; UNDESA 2010*; FMOH**; MDG 2010 Report
Population of Nigeria Rapid Growth Grew 12 fold in a century! Source: PRB 7
Large Population In Perspective Nigeria Source: www.worldmapper.org 8
Projected Population 2050 Why is Nigeria failing to meet its goal Nigeria Source: www.worldmapper.org 9
Fertility Comparison Nigeria and selected countries In Perspective Births per Woman (average) 8 6 4 2 0 6.3 5.7 4.0 Nigeria has a very high fertility compared to other nations, whether they be Muslim, Christian, richer or poorer, larger or smaller Why? 3.0 2.7 2.5 1.9 Chad Nigeria Ghana Egypt India Brazil Iran Source: 2008 NDHS 10
Maternal Mortality In Perspective Nigeria Source: www.worldmapper.org 11
MDG Goal #5: Lower Maternal Mortality Why is Nigeria failing to meet its goal? In Perspective Maternal Mortality Ratio 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 MDG goal 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Sources: 1990, 1999, 2003, and 2008 NDHS; MDG 2010 Report 12
Child Mortality In Perspective Nigeria Source: www.worldmapper.org 13
MDG Goal #4: Lower Child Mortality Why is Nigeria failing to meet its goal? In Perspective Child Deaths per 1000 Live Births 250 200 150 100 50 MDG goal Photo by Joachim Huber 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Sources: 1990, 2003, and 2008 NDHS; MDG 2010 Report 14
Government Spending on Healthcare In Perspective Source: www.worldmapper.org 15
Health Comparison, 2010 Many countries with less wealth than Nigeria have achieved better health 70 Life Expectancy at Birth (years) 60 50 Guinea Malawi Bangladesh Ghana Senegal Chad Nigeria Why? In Perspective 40 500 1,500 2,500 GDP per Person in US Dollars (purchasing power adjusted) Source: www.gapminder.org 16
HIV Prevalence Source: FMOH 2010 17
GON s Response thus far Political will country ownership Policies, Guidelines; Coordination bodies o National Strategic Health Development Plan (NSHDP) 2010-2015 o National Policy on Population for Sustainable Development (NPPSD) o National Primary Health Care Development Agency (NPHCDA) o MDG Office - Oversight of Public Expenditure in Nigeria (OPEN) o NEEDS; NAPEP Health Bill
What must Nigeria do? Ensure leadership, governance, management and accountability Improve Human Resources for Health (HRH) Improve delivery of the highest impact interventions, particularly at the PHC level Reduce poverty Poverty Ignorance Disease Curb Population growth