NATCO PHARMA LIMITED

Similar documents
Mahindra CIE Automotive Ltd.

Apollo Tyres BUY. March 21, Investor s Rationale

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd. INR 135

Company Overview. Financial Performance

BUY RSWM LTD SYNOPSIS. CMP Target Price SEPTEMBER 1 st Result Update(PARENT BASIS): Q1 FY16

Flexituff International Ltd. (FIL)

Smruthi Organics Limited BSE Scrip Code:

PI Industries. 2QFY16 Result Review HOLD. Custom synthesis restricted 2Q revenue growth ; maintain HOLD. Sector: AGRI

BUY. KELLTON TECH SOLUTIONS LTD Result Update (CONSOLIDATED): Q1 FY16. CMP Target Price JANUARY 9 th 2015 SYNOPSIS ISIN: INE164B01022

PEER GROUPS CMP MARKET CAP EPS P/E (X) P/BV(X) DIVIDEND Company Name (Rs.) Rs. in mn. (Rs.) Ratio Ratio (%)

PEER GROUPS CMP MARKET CAP EPS P/E (X) P/BV(X) DIVIDEND Company Name (Rs.) Rs. in mn. (Rs.) Ratio Ratio (%)

Bata India Ltd. (BIL)

Salzer Electronics. 2QFY16 Result Review BUY. Steady performance continued; maintain BUY. Sector: Electric Equipment

BUY. ECLERX SERVICES LIMITED (CONSOLIDATED) Result Update: Q1 FY16. CMP Target Price SEPTEMBER 2 nd, 2015 SYNOPSIS ISIN: INE738I01010

Dr. Reddy s Q3 and 9M FY16 Financial Results

Simplex Infrastructures

Sphere Global Services Limited

GAIL (India) Ltd. INR 346

Natco Pharma (NATPHA)

RAJESH EXPORTS LIMITED GLOBAL PRESENCE IN GOLD AND GOLD PRODUCTS. Earnings Presentation Q2 FY16

HCC BUY. Infrastructure January 29, 2016

BUY. Muted Q3; Brands & Retail story to unfold ARVIND. Target Price: Rs 344. Segmental highlights

GlaxoSmithKline Consumer Healthcare

Minda Industries Ltd. INR 886

HOLD. The case of missing sales growth ZYDUS WELLNESS. Target Price: Rs 780. Q3highlights

Coal India Ltd. Subdued e-auction realization impacted profitability BUY. Nov. 17, 2015

SUPREME INDUSTRIES LTD Plastic Products HOLD RETAIL EQUITY RESEARCH

Tree House Education & Accessories

Polaris BUY. Virtusa acquires majority in Polaris. Institutional Equity Research. November 05, Target Price Rs220. IT India.

Strong operational performance

Graphite Electrodes. Imposition of antidumping duty augurs well. Sector Update. ICICI Securities Ltd Retail Equity Research.

2014 FIRST QUARTER RESULTS CONFERENCE CALL. May 15th, 2014

Quant Picks United Breweries

Havells India Ltd. BUY. March 04, Investor s Rationale

Axis Bank. Strong core performance. Source: Company Data; PL Research

Just Dial Ltd Bloomberg Code: JUST IN

2015 FIRST HALF RESULTS CONFERENCE CALL. August 31st, 2015

HOLD HEXAWARE TECHNOLOGIES. Q4 lackluster; CY16 holds promise. Target Price: Rs 252. Q4earnings concall highlights

Khambatta Securities Ltd.

Granules India Ltd. INR 113

East India Hotels (EIH) 114

UltraTech Cement Ltd.

Mangalam Cement Weak volumes marred performance

Britannia Industries

Navin Fluorine International

Sundaram Finance. Target price (INR) 452 Momentum in loans sustains, upgrade to Hold

HCL Technologies BUY. Performance Highlights CMP. `857 Target Price `1,132. 1QFY2016 Result Update IT. 3-year price chart

Maruti Suzuki. Source: Company Data; PL Research

Techno Electric & Engineering Limited

RamKrishna Forgings Ltd.

IFGL REFRACTORIES LTD. RESULT UPDATE PRESENTATION, February 2016

Tim Howkins, CEO. Steve Clutton, Finance Director

Jubilant Life Sciences

HOLD. Q4 earnings beat but order backlog flat ABB. Target Price: Rs 1,213. Key drivers

Cipla Ltd. INR 542. India Equity Institutional Research Pharma. Muted quarter; outlook remains robust. Target Price (INR): 646. Potential Upside : 19%

The Ramco Cements. Source: Company Data; PL Research

Zicom Electronic Security Systems 06 Jan., D

BUY GUJARAT STATE PETRONET. Operationally in line; other income surprises. Target Price: Rs 160. Valuations comfortable. Visible triggers ahead

JCT Limited. Stock Performance Details Shareholding Details September 2015

HOLD ASTRAL POLYTECHNIK. Q3 muted; recovery ahead. Target Price: Rs 377. Key highlights. Key drivers

Bharat Electronics. Strong margins, improved inflows! Source: Company Data; PL Research

Mphasis. FY17 could be a year of revenue growth. Source: Company Data; PL Research

Shriram Transport Finance Subsidiaries witness sharp increase in NPA

Emkay. Revenues traction improves; Retain BUY HSIL. Healthy revenue performance; miss on margins

Natco Pharma BUY. Filing momentum underscores strong R&D base. Results Review INDIA TP: INR 3, % NTCPH IN

BUY. JYOTHY LABORATORIES LTD Result Update (CONSOLIDATED BASIS): Q2 FY16. CMP Target Price DECEMBER 29 th 2015.

PEER GROUPS CMP MARKET CAP EPS P/E (X) P/BV(X) DIVIDEND Company Name (Rs.) Rs. in mn. (Rs.) Ratio Ratio (%)

How To Understand And Value Gsk Pharma

Mobile Advertising Market - India

Orchid Chemicals NEUTRAL. Performance Highlights. Target Price - 1QFY2011 Result Update Pharmaceutical. Investment Period -

BDI BioEnergy Intern Neutral. Activity level in Q3 might not support FY estimates

Cipla Ltd. Rs India Equity Institutional Research Pharma. One off revenues from Nexium supply drives earnings HOLD. Target Price (Rs): 765

Pidilite Industries. Source: Company Data; PL Research

Va Tech Wabag. Source: Company Data; PL Research

Butterfly Gandhimathi (GANAP) 188

Conference Call Q3-2015/2016 GEROLD LINZBACH, CEO I DIRK KALIEBE, CFO. February 10, 2016 ON THE RIGHT TRACK

East India Hotels (EIH) 109

April 20, 2015 Pressman Advertising Limited Good play in the growing advertising business

JSW Energy Ltd. Interest expenses dragged the bottom-line BUY. Jan. 25, 2016

BUY. Key Risks. Technology - Technology Services - Information Services. Nov 19, CRISIL Ltd. Recommendation (Rs.)

CMP: JUNE 2016 SWARAJ ENGINES LTD

Bharti Infratel (BHAINF) 370


Natco Pharma Ltd 3 rd December, 2012 BUY

XING Q results presentation. May 14, 2012

London Stock Exchange Symbol: PLUS

Conference Call Q1-2015/2016

Wipro BUY. Performance Highlights CMP. `573 Target Price `719. 2QFY2016 Result Update IT. Investment Period 12 Months. 3-year price chart

PEER GROUPS CMP MARKET CAP EPS P/E (X) P/BV(X) DIVIDEND Company Name (Rs.) Rs. in mn. (Rs.) Ratio Ratio (%)

How To Value Hpl In India

XING Q results presentation. August 14, 2012

Accumulate. Exide Industries Ltd(EIL) Automobile Ancillaries RETAIL EQUITY RESEARCH

Transcription:

Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 s. NATCO PHARMA LIMITED. March 4, 2016 BSE Code: 524816 NSE Code: NATCOPHARM Reuters Code: NATP.NS Bloomberg Code: NTCPH:IN Natco Pharma Ltd. is one of the major Indian pharmaceutical companies with a focus on niche therapeutic areas and complex products in Finished Dosage Formulations (FDF) and Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (APIs). Natco has six manufacturing facilities spread across India with dedicated modern research laboratories and capabilities in new drug development. The Company is a prominent player in India s generic oncology space. Key Developments Performance of the International Formulations business: International formulations business accounted for 21% of Natco s total revenues in FY15. In the international market, the products span across several therapeutic segments namely oncology, gastrointestinal, central nervous system, etc. The company has filed a total of 37 ANDAs, of which 24 (including 15 para IVs) are awaiting approval from the USFDA. Majority of these drugs are high value complex generics like Copaxone, Fosrenol, Vidaza, Gleevec, etc. Oncology and gsovaldi: major drugs in the domestic segment Natco also operates in the domestic oncology segment with the segment contributing 51% to domestic formulations revenues in FY15. The oncology product range of the company has increased from 6 in 2004 to 24 in 2015. In-house API development: The Company manufactures API for sales in the domestic and international markets, apart from captive consumption. APIs contributed 30% to total revenues in FY15. Natco has a portfolio of 31 USDMFs (Drug Master Files) and a pipeline of over 15 products under various stages of development with focus on complex molecules in oncology and CNS segments. R&D capabilities: The Company annually spends 6-7% of revenues on R&D. Natco has expanded its R&D team from a modest 50 in 2000 to over 200 in 2014-15. Market Data CMP (Rs.) 477 Face Value 2 52 week H/L (Rs.) 624/296 Adj. all time High (Rs.) 624 Decline from 52WH (%) 23.5 Rise from 52WL (%) 61.2 Beta 0.9 Mkt. Cap (Rs. Cr) 8,312 Enterprise Value(Rs. Cr) 8,265 Fiscal Year Ended Total revenue (Rs. cr) Adj. Net Profit (Rs. cr) Share Capital (Rs. Cr) 250 200 150 100 50 0 NATCOPHARM 661 739 825 83 103 150 31 33 33 EPS (Rs.) 26.6 31.0 45.1 P/E (x) 16.1 25.7 46.8 P/BV (x) 2.5 3.6 8.2 ROE (%) 16.6 16.3 19.1 One year Price Chart NIFTY Shareholding Dec15 Sep15 Diff. Promoters 51.3 51.3 0.0 DII 20.6 10.9 9.7 FII 5.8 5.9 (0.1) Others 22.3 32.0 (9.6)

% Rs. Crores Natco Pharma Ltd: Business overview Natco operates in the domestic oncology segment and it also has presence in Gastroenterology and Orthopedics. Natco Pharma Ltd. is a vertically integrated pharmaceutical company with focus on niche therapeutic areas and complex products in Finished Dosage Formulations (FDF) and Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (APIs). The company has a diversified business model with presence across segments including Domestic & International formulations, API manufacturing and drug discovery products which are marketed in 40 countries. The company has a considerable presence in the domestic oncology segment along with a presence in Gastroenterology and Orthopedics. Its formulations facility at Kothur (Telangana) and API facility at Mekaguda (Telangana) have been approved by USFDA. Segment wise revenue break-up (FY15) USA Retail/ Other subsidiaries 20% International formulations 21% APIs 30% Domestic formulations 29% Sou Financial snapshot of Natco Pharma Ltd. 1,000 800 600 400 200 661 825 739 22.7% 24.3% 25.9% 18.1% 12.6% 13.9% 150 179 213 83 103 150 - Revenue EBITDA Adj. PAT EBITDA Margin (%) Adj. PAT Margin (%) 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Return Ratios Trend 20 19 18.9 19.1 18.4 18 17.7 17 16.6 16 16.3 15 14 ROE (%) ROCE (%)

Rs. Crores Domestic business gsovaldi the major drug in the segment The company launched the Sofosbuvir in India and Nepal (first ever generic version of Sovaldi manufactured by Gilead Sciences Inc. and used to treat chronic Hepatitis C) in March 2015 under the brand HEPCINAT (Revenue contribution of Rs. 63 Crores during Q2FY16 with own brand contributing Rs 40 Crores). Natco signed a non-exclusive licensing agreement with Gilead Sciences to manufacture and market generic versions of chronic Hepatitis-C medicines in 101 developing countries. Recently, Natco has also launched a combination drug Harvoni (Sofosbuvir + Ledipasvir). Further, the company s product pipeline consists of drugs used for curing various types of cancers - blood, lung, liver, kidney, breast, brain, ovary and prostate. It marketed 24 products in the Indian market during FY2014-15; its key products (Rs. 10 Crore brands) comprises of Geftinat, Erlonat, Veenat, Sorafenat and Lenalid. Apart from oncology, the company has presence in neuro-psychiatry, gastroenterology, orthopaedic and antiasthmatic spaces and it has also forayed into the hepatology/virology therapeutic space. CAGR of 11.8% in the domestic formulations business 1000 500 0 661 739 825 26.1% 11.9% 11.7% Revenue Growth YoY 40% 20% 0% International Formulations International formulations business accounted for 21% of Natco s total revenues in FY15. In the international market, the products span across several therapeutic segments namely oncology, gastrointestinal, central nervous system, etc. The company has filed a total of 37 ANDAs, of which 24 (including 15 para IVs) are awaiting approval from USFDA. Majority of these drugs are high value complex generics (USD12bn market size) like Copaxone, Fosrenol, Vidaza, Gleevec, etc. Key Brands Molecule Indication Filing type Copaxone 20 Glatiramer Multiple Sclerosis Para IV Copaxone 40 Glatiramer Multiple Sclerosis Para IV Gilenya Fingolimod Multiple Sclerosis Para IV Tamiflu Oseltamivir Influenza Para IV Treanda Bendamustine Leukemia Para IV Revlimid Lenalidomid Myloma Para IV Jevtana Cabazitaxel Prostate Cancer Para IV Nuvugil Armodafinil Antidepressant Para IV Fosrenol Lanthanum End stage renal Para IV Nexavar Tosylate Anti-cancer Para IV Tykerb Lapatinib Anti-cancer Para IV Tracleer Bosentan Hypertension Para III Entocort Budesonide Crohns disease Para III Vidaza Azacitidine Myeldysplastic Para III

Rs. Crores Rs. Crores International business revenue trend 200 150 100 50 0 103 163 157 RoW: New launches in EU and gsovaldi launch in EMs The company has filed gsovaldi in 8-9 countries and launched the drug in Nepal and few smaller countries in Africa. Natco follows a similar strategy of partnership based model in Europe. Beyond USA and Europe, Natco has expanded its global footprint to countries like Brazil (Natco Farma Do Brazil), Canada (Natco Pharma Inc), Australia (Natco Pharma Australia Pty) and South- East Asia (Natco Asia Pte Ltd., Singapore). The company has filed gsovaldi in 8-9 countries and launched the drug in Nepal and few smaller countries in Africa. Natco also operates a retail pharmacy in the US. In FY15, revenue from the pharmacy and its subsidiaries contributed 20% to total sales and incurred a loss of 21 crores. US retail and subsidiaries revenue trend 120 110 100 103 117 110 90 Europe, Brazil and Canada markets The company sells products in UK and Germany through distribution arrangements with business partners. As regards to Brazil, the Company commenced operations in 2011 and has filed 12 products with ANVISA (Brazilian regulatory authority), which are at various stages of approval. In Canada, The Company had received Drug Establishment License in 2015 and submitted 11 applications to provincial formularies. Research and development capabilities The Company annually spends 6-7% of revenues on R&D. Natco has expanded its R&D team from a modest 50 in 2000 to over 200 in 2014-15. The Company has a portfolio of 31 USDMFs (Drug Master Files). API Development Natco manufactures API for sales in the domestic and international markets, apart from captive consumption. APIs contributed 30% to total revenues in FY15. The Company has a portfolio of 31 USDMFs (Drug Master Files).

Balance Sheet (Consolidated) (Rs. Cr) Share Capital 31 33 33 Reserve and surplus 502 693 813 Net Worth 534 726 846 Minority Interest 7 5 5 Total Debt 286 194 266 Other non-current liabilities 54 55 22 Total Equity & Liabilities 880 980 1,139 Fixed Assets 689 769 839 Investments (1) - 2 Net current assets 133 154 238 Other non-current assets 60 57 61 Total Assets 880 980 1,139 Cash Flow (Consolidated) Y/E (Rs. Cr) Profit & Loss Account (Consolidated) (Rs. Cr) Net revenue 661 739 825 Expenses 511 560 612 EBITDA 150 179 213 Depreciation 22 30 47 EBIT 128 149 166 Interest cost 26 37 32 Other Income 12 17 15 Profit Before Tax 114 129 149 Tax 36 31 4 Profit After Tax 77 98 145 Minority Interest (6) (5) (4) P/L from Associates - - - Adjusted PAT 83 103 150 E/o income / (Expense) (12) - (15) Reported Profit 72 103 135 Key Ratios (Consolidated) EBITDA Margin (%) 22.7 24.3 25.9 Net profit/loss before tax & extraordinary items Net cashflow from operating activities Net cash used in investing activities Net cash used from financing activities Net inc/dec in cash and cash equivalents 102 129 134 33 110 65 (111) (109) (117) 58 (1) 59 (20) (0) 7 EBIT Margin (%) 21.2 22.4 21.9 NPM (%) 12.6 13.9 18.1 ROCE (%) 18.4 18.9 17.7 ROE (%) 16.6 16.3 19.1 EPS (Rs.) 26.6 31.0 45.1 P/E (x) 16.1 25.7 46.8 BVPS(Rs.) 170.1 219.3 254.6 P/BVPS (x) 2.5 3.6 8.2 EV/EBITDA (x) 10.9 15.8 34.0 Financial performance snapshot Net sales of the company stood at Rs. 825 Crores in FY15, a growth of 11.7% as compared to Rs. 739 Crores in FY14. The operating expenses of the company increased by 9.4% YoY to Rs. 612 Crores from Rs. 560 Crores during the year. The company s EBITDA grew by 19.9% YoY to Rs. 213 Crores in FY15 from Rs. 179 Crores in FY14. EBITDA margins expanded by 160 bps to 25.9% in FY15 from 24.3% in FY14. Adjusted profit increased by 45.8% to Rs. 150 Crores in FY15 from Rs. 103 Crores in FY14. The NPM margins expanded by 420 bps to 18.1% from 13.9% during the above period.

Indbank Merchant Banking Services Ltd. I Floor, Khiviraj Complex I, No.480, Anna Salai, Nandanam, Chennai 600035 Telephone No: 044 24313094-97 Fax No: 044 24313093 www.indbankonline.com Disclaimer @ All Rights Reserved This report and Information contained in this report is solely for information purpose and may not be used as an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. The investment as mentioned and opinions expressed in this report may not be suitable for all investors. In rendering this information, we assumed and relied upon, without independent verification, the accuracy and completeness of all information that was publicly available to us. The information has been obtained from the sources that we believe to be reliable as to the accuracy or completeness. While every effort is made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of information contained, Indbank Limited and its affiliates take no guarantee and assume no liability for any errors or omissions of the information. This information is given in good faith and we make no representations or warranties, express or implied as to the accuracy or completeness of the information. No one can use the information as the basis for any claim, demand or cause of action. Indbank and its affiliates shall not be liable for any direct or indirect losses or damage of any kind arising from the use thereof. Opinion expressed is our current opinion as of the date appearing in this report only and are subject to change without any notice. Recipients of this report must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and needs of the specific recipient. The recipient should independently evaluate the investment risks and should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this document and should consult their advisors to determine the merits and risks of such investment. The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and meant solely for the selected recipient and is not meant for public distribution. This document should not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced, duplicated or sold in any form.