Q1 2016 Sales. Jacques Aschenbroich Chairman and CEO. April 26, 2016. April 26, 2016 I 1



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Transcription:

Q1 2016 Sales Jacques Aschenbroich Chairman and CEO April 26, 2016 I 1 April 26, 2016

Highlights Sales of 3,917m +10% like-for-like(1) +9.4% as reported OEM sales of 3.4bn +10% like-for-like(1) +10% as reported OEM sales outperformance Growth(1) Outperformance(2) Growth accelerating World Europe +10% +11% +9pts +10pts China +13% +9pts Asia (excluding China) +9% +10pts North America +11% +6pts South America -12% +13pts Aftermarket sales of 0.4bn +6% like-for-like(1) +3% as reported (1) Constant Group structure and exchange rates. (2) Versus automotive production April 26, 2016 I 2

2016 outlook Based on the following key assumptions for full-year 2016: Automotive production growth: World: around 2.5% Europe: around 2% China: around 5% North America: around 2% Raw material prices and exchange rates in line with current levels Valeo confirms its objectives for 2016: Strong sales growth, outperforming the market in the main production regions including China Slight increase in operating margin* (as a % of sales) despite higher net R&D expenditure to fuel future growth in CO 2 emission reductions and intuitive driving Mid term objectives: Confidence in achieving 2020 targets thanks to the high level of order intake * Including joint ventures and associates in accordance with new IFRS standards. April 26, 2016 I 3

Growth accelerating Sales of 3,917m, up 10% like-for-like up 9.4% as reported OEM sales, up 10% like-for like, 9-point outperformance up 10% as reported Aftermarket sales, up 6% like-for-like up 3% as reported April 26, 2016 I 4

Total sales growth accelerated as compared to 2015 Like-for-like +10% +6% +3% +10% 411 69 m 3,437 3,917 OEM Aftermarket Miscellaneous Total sales Reported +10% +3% +2% +9% Q1 2015 3,113 Q1 2015 400 Q1 2015 68 Q1 2015 3,581 Exchange rates -0.8% Exchange rates -3.0% Exchange rates -1.4% Exchange rates -1.1% Scope +1.0% Scope +0.0% Scope 0.0% Scope +0.9%* April 26, 2016 I 5

OEM sales accelerated in all production regions outperforming the global market by 9 percentage points Q1 Like-for-like 22% of Valeo sales**** North America Production*** +5% OEM sales** +11% 49% of Valeo sales**** Europe* Production*** +1% Outperf. +10pts OEM sales** +11% World Production***+1% Outperf. +9pts OEM sales** +10% Outperf. +6pts 2% of Valeo sales**** South America Production***-25% Outperf. +13pts OEM sales** -12% 12% of Valeo sales**** Asia* excl. China Production***-1% Outperf. +10pts OEM sales** +9% 15% of Valeo sales**** China Production***+4% OEM sales** +13% Outperf. +9pts * Europe including Africa; Asia including Middle East ** Valeo OEM sales by destination ***LMC estimates light vehicle production **** Weight in OE sales including JV sales proportionally, OE sales variation excluding JV Outperf. +6pts April 26, 2016 I 6

OEM sales accelerated in all Asian countries Q1 Like-for-like 27% of total sales*** Asia Production** +1% Outperf. +10pts OEM sales* +11% 21% of Asian sales*** Korea Production** -4% 17% of Asian sales*** Japan Production** -2% OEM sales* +24% Outperf. +2pts OEM sales* +0% Outperf. +28pts OEM 4% of Asian sales*** sales* +59% India Production** +10% 55% of Asian sales*** China Production** +4% Outperf. +9pts OEM sales* +13% Outperf. +49pts *Valeo OEM sales by destination **LMC estimates light vehicle production ***Weight in OE sales including JV sales proportionally, OE sales variation excluding JV April 26, 2016 I 7

Balanced geographic positioning Asia and emerging markets account for 53% of OEM sales % of OEM sales by production region 54% in Asia & emerging countries Asia 26% Eastern Europe & Africa 15% Western Europe 35% 53% in Asia & emerging countries Asia 26% Eastern Europe & Africa 16% Western Europe 35% SA 2% Mexico 11% US 11% SA 1% Mexico 10% US 12% Q1 2015 Q1 2016 April 26, 2016 I 8

Balanced customer portfolio % of OEM sales Other 6% Other 5% French* 17% German 29% French* 16% German 30% American 23% Asian** 25% Asian** 26% American 23% Asian** 26% Q1 2015 Q1 2016 * Excluding Nissan ** Including Nissan April 26, 2016 I 9

Strong growth in Comfort & Driving Assistance and Visibility Above-market performance in Powertrain and Thermal VIS 28% CDA 20% OEM sales growth like-for-like +17% +6% +7% +13% THS 27% Group 3.9bn PTS 25% % Q1 2016 total sales Total sales In m Comfort & Driving Assistance Powertrain Thermal Visibility Total sales growth On a reported basis +21% +4% +6% +10% April 26, 2016 I 10

2016 outlook April 26, 2016 I 11

2016 outlook Based on the following key assumptions for full-year 2016: Automotive production growth: World: around 2.5% Europe: around 2% China: around 5% North America: around 2% Raw material prices and exchange rates in line with current levels Valeo confirms its objectives for 2016: Strong sales growth, outperforming the market in the main production regions including China Slight increase in operating margin* (as a % of sales) despite higher net R&D expenditure to fuel future growth in CO 2 emission reductions and intuitive driving Mid term objectives: Confidence in achieving 2020 targets thanks to the high level of order intake * Including joint ventures and associates in accordance with new IFRS standards. April 26, 2016 I 12

Valeo Siemens joint venture April 26, 2016 I 13

Valeo and Siemens are complementary Power converters and inverters Battery Charger Electric motor Lithium-ion battery April 26, 2016 I 14

Valeo activites for electric and hybrid vehicles Valeo develops high voltage power electronics (300V+): inverters to control electrical machines, embedded battery chargers, voltage converters, and a highvoltage generator for BMW Inverter (Renault Zoe) Range extender generator (BMW i3) Battery charger (BMW PHEV, Volvo XC90) DCDC converter (GM) April 26, 2016 I 15

Footprints & Reference Personnel Figures (by 31/12/2015) Valeo PEL High voltage (205 employees) France Cergy: 89 China Shenzhen: 36 Hungary Vezprem: 37 Norway Drammen: 20 Poland Czechowice: 16 Germany Frankfurt: 7 Total: 701 employees Siemens E-car Business (496 employees) Germany Erlangen & Bad Neustadt: 370 China Shanghai & Changzhou & Tianjin: 126 April 26, 2016 I 16

Contact Investor Relations Thierry Lacorre 43, rue Bayen F-75848 Paris Cedex 17 France Tel.: +33 (0) 1.40.55.37.93 E-mail: thierry.lacorre@valeo.com Website: www.valeo.com April 26, 2016 I 17

Share information Share data Bloomberg Ticker Reuters Ticker ISIN Number Shares outstanding as of March 31, 2016 FR FP VLOF.PA FR 000130338 79,462,540 ADR data Ticker/trading symbol CUSIP Number Exchange Ratio (ADR: ord) Depositary Bank Contact at J.P. Morgan ADR broker relationship desk VLEEY 919134304 OTC 1:2 J.P. Morgan Jim Reeves +1 212-622-2710 April 26, 2016 I 18

Back-up April 26, 2016 I 19

Comfort & Driving Assistance Systems Sales performance 2015 key figures: Sales: 2.7bn (18% of Group sales) EBITDA: 14.5% (21% of Group EBITDA) OEM sales Like-for-like change +13% +13% +12% +15% +17% 15,300 employees 26 production units 8 development centers 9 research centers Total sales ( m) Total sales - change as reported 794 657 679 721 663 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 +19% +19% +16% +17% +21% Market share* and competitors: - Driving Assistance: Valeo no.1 Valeo + Bosch + Continental ~ 55%* - Interior Controls: Valeo no.2 Visteon + Valeo + Continental > 35%* Key growth drivers: Development, particularly in emerging countries Increasingly stringent regulatory and certification environment (Euro NCAP in Europe and NTHSA in the US) Innovation driven market: active safety, interface between drive and vehicle controls, telematics Latest business developments: Acquisition of peiker, a tech leader in connected vehicle solutions First contracts in 2016 with European and American OEMs, with Valeo Front Cameras powered by MobilEye EyeQ processors A number of new orders worldwide for the 360Vue 3D bowl view system Preliminary contact with one of the leading global automakers for the Sightstream (camera system that supersedes the traditional rearview mirror) First order for the Head-up Display with a European automaker * Valeo estimate April 26, 2016 I 20

Powertrain Systems Sales performance 2015 key figures: Sales: 3.8bn (26% of Group sales) EBITDA: 12.8% (26% of Group EBITDA) OEM sales Like-for- like change +4% +7% +8% +12% +6% 19,400 employees 36 production units 15 development centers 6 research centers Total sales ( m) Total sales - change as reported 948 978 959 983 877 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 +12% +15% +10% +14% +4% Market share* and competitors: - Transmission Systems: Valeo no.2 Luk + Valeo + ZF Sachs = 45%* - Electrical Systems: Valeo no.1 Valeo + Denso + Bosch = 76%* Key growth drivers: Objective of reducing CO 2 emissions and fossil fuel consumption based on 3 priorities for engines: Downsizing /Downspeeding Gearbox automation Powertrain electrification and development of 12V, 48V and 300V+ hybrid solutions Latest business developments: Several new orders for 48 volt in Europe and Asia Second order for the E-Supercharger (was in 2015) Several new orders for on-board battery chargers in Europe and China New orders for the dual clutch and dual mass flywheels Award of major programs in Nafta, Europe & Asia for alternators. *Valeo estimate April 26, 2016 I 21

Thermal Systems Sales performance OEM sales Like-for-like change Total sales ( m) +4% +1% 1,007 1,039 +3% 992 +6% +7% 1,036 1,063 2015 key figures: Sales: 4.1bn (28% of Group sales) EBITDA: 10.7% (24% of Group EBITDA) 20,100 employees 48 production units 10 development centers 3 research centers Market share* and competitors: Total sales - change as reported Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 +14% +11% +12% +11% +6% Thermal Systems: Valeo joint no.2 Denso + Valeo + Mahle + Hanon = 56%* Key growth drivers: Innovative solutions to comply with new regulations on gas pollutants and fuel consumption Thermal solutions for Electrified vehicles (PHEV/EV) Latest business developments: Acquisition of Spheros: a market leader in the fast-growing air conditioning market for buses Record order intake particularly in Asia and in North America Engine cooling module: big orders with new generation of high-performing radiators and condensers Battery thermal management: start of production of new generation chiller and several orders for German and Chinese automakers New generation of air intake modules sold to German customers *Valeo estimate April 26, 2016 I 22

Visibility Systems Sales performance 2015 key figures: Sales: 4.2bn (28% of Group sales) EBITDA: 12.4% (28% of Group EBITDA) OEM sales Like-for- like change +9% +7% +6% +15% +13% 26,300 employees 35 production units 15 development centers 5 research centers Total sales ( m) 1,022 1,072 967 1,124 1,119 Market share* and competitors: Total sales - change as reported Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 +17% +16% +13% +18% +10% - Lighting Systems: Valeo no.2 Koito + Valeo-Ichikoh + Magnetti Marelli > 55%* - Wiper Systems: Valeo no.1 Valeo + Bosch + Denso = 71%* Key growth drivers in 2015: Increasing LED take rate, in particular in the B&C Segment with VW (Passat), Renault (Megane), and Geely (GC9) Increasing LED content on premium vehicles with Volvo (XC90) and Jaguar (XJ) Increasing Wiper market share in China, with Ford and VW Latest business developments: Continuous order intake increase on LED Front Lighting in Europe (VW Passat & Polo, Audi A1), North America (Toyota Avalon and Corolla, GM Silverado) and China (Ford Mondeo, Volvo XC90, Geely) Re-entered Mercedes Panel in Europe in Front and Rear Lighting First significant Ambient Lighting orders Valeo AquaBlade Wiper technology selected for premium vehicles, Wet Arm technology awarded at 2 new customers 4 poles electronised Motors technology introduced for 3 new customers in Europe, North America and China Growing interest in sensor cleaning activity *Valeo estimate April 26, 2016 I 23

Quarterly information In m (2014 restated in accordance with IFRIC 21) Sales by segment Q1-13 Q2-13 Q3-13 Q4-13 Q1-14 Q2-14 Q3-14 Q4-14 Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15 Q4-15 Q1-16 Comfort & Driving Assistance Systems Powertrain Systems 623 569 515 531 552 572 573 614 657 679 663 721 794 774 817 752 818 848 848 798 843 948 978 877 959 983 Thermal Systems 818 885 832 837 880 934 889 934 1,007 1,039 992 1,036 1,063 Visibility Systems 733 762 711 764 876 925 856 957 1,022 1,072 967 1,124 1,119 Total sales 2,927 3,017 2,792 2,926 3,112 3,235 3,069 3,309 3,581 3,717 3,449 3,797 3,917 Sales by type Q1-13 Q2-13 Q3-13 Q4-13 Q1-14 Q2-14 Q3-14 Q4-14 Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15 Q4-15 Q1-16 Original Equipment 2,470 2,567 2,348 2,449 2,677 2,755 2,644 2,814 3,113 3,203 2,990 3,294 3,437 Aftermarket 375 374 361 377 376 377 366 376 400 413 387 399 411 Miscellaneous 82 76 83 100 59 103 59 119 68 101 72 104 69 Total sales 2,927 3,017 2,792 2,926 3,112 3,235 3,069 3,309 3,581 3,717 3,449 3,797 3,917 April 26, 2016 I 24

Safe Harbor Statement Statements contained in this press release, which are not historical fact, constitute "Forward-Looking Statements". These statements include projections and estimates and their underlying assumptions, statements regarding projects, objectives, intentions and expectations with respect to future financial results, events, operations, services, product development and potential, and statements regarding future performance. Even though Valeo's management feels that the Forward-Looking Statements are reasonable as at the date of this press release, investors are put on notice that the Forward-Looking Statements are subject to numerous factors, risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict and generally beyond Valeo's control, which could cause actual results and events to differ materially from those expressed or projected in the Forward-Looking Statements. Such factors include, among others, the Company s ability to generate cost savings or manufacturing efficiencies to offset or exceed contractually or competitively required price reductions. The risks and uncertainties to which Valeo is exposed mainly comprise the risks resulting from the investigations currently being carried out by the anti-trust authorities as identified in the Registration Document and risks relating to legal action resulting from such investigations, risks which relate to being a supplier in the automotive industry and to the development of new products and risks due to certain global and regional economic conditions. Also included are environmental and industrial risks as well as risks and uncertainties described or identified in the public documents submitted by Valeo to the French financial markets authority (Autorité des marchés financiers AMF), including those set out in the Risk Factors section of Valeo s Registration Document registered with the AMF on March 25, 2016 (under no. D.16-0211). The company assumes no responsibility for any analyses issued by analysts and any other information prepared by third parties which may be used in this press release. Valeo does not intend or assume any obligation to review or to confirm the estimates of analysts or to update any Forward-Looking Statements to reflect events or circumstances which occur subsequent to the date of this press release. April 26, 2016 I 25

April 26, 2016 I 26