Six Sigma Quality New Metrics vs Old Myths



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Six Sigma Quality New Metrics vs Old Myths James O. Westgard, PhD Professor, Dept Path & Lab Medicine University of Wisconsin Medical School President, Westgard QC, Inc. Madison, WI http://www.westgard.com/sixsigprimer.htm

Myths vs Metrics Analytical performance is better than needed for medical purposes! What metrics describe performance? There is no need for further improvement in test performance! What quality is needed for lab tests? Minimal QC to be in compliance with CLIA is still too much QC! What QC is appropriate based on the quality needed and the performance observed?

What is Six Sigma Quality Management? Latest version of Total Quality Management Major improvements include Quantitative goal for process performance Achieve six sigma performance Universal measure of process performance Measure Defects Per Million (DPM) Emphasis on the definition of tolerance limits for process or quality requirements for product

What is Total Quality Management? TQM Process Quality Laboratory Processes Quality Control Quality Assessment Quality Improvement Quality Planning Quality Standards Q Improvement Q Q Q Standards Planning Q Q Assessment Control Laboratory Processes

What does Six Sigma mean? - Tolerance Specification Target + Tolerance Specification -6 SDs should fit into spec +6 SDs should fit into spec -6s -5s -4s -3s -2s -s 0s s 2s 3s 4s 5s 6s

What s the rationale? Low DPM even with.5s shift.5s shift Few defects even with.5s shift -6s -5s -4s -3s -2s -s 0s s 2s 3s 4s 5s 6s

What s a defect? A product that doesn t meet specifications Must define the specification or tolerance limits Then compare product to specification A test result that is in error Can use CLIA proficiency testing criteria as specifications or tolerance limits Compare observed errors to allowable limits of error if greater, it s a defective result

How determine process performance in Sigma units? Measure Outcome Measure Variation Inspect Outcomes and Count Defects Measure Variation of Process Calculate Defect Per Million (DPM) Calculate SD and Process Capability Convert DPM to Sigma Metric Convert Capability to Sigma Metric

How do you calculate DPM? Example: Tiremaker for Ford SUVs 6,000,000 tires 2000 accidents 00 deaths DPM = accidents/million tires 2000/6,000,000 or 333 DPM

How convert DPM to Sigma? Approx 4.9-5.0 333 DPM

What are some benchmarks? World Class Quality is 3.4 DPM or 6 sigma Airline baggage handling 4000 DPM or 4.5 sigma process Airline safety (passenger fatalities) 0.43 DPM, better than 6 sigma process Typical business process is 4 sigma Initial Six Sigma target is 5 sigma Firestone tire production is 5 sigma

What performance is seen in labs? Nevelainen et al. Evaluating laboratory performance with the six sigma scale. Arch Pathol Lab Med 2000;24:56-9.

How about diagnostic tests? Do you know the Sigma metric for each of your test methods? Depends on Tolerance limits or quality requirement for the test (TEa) Imprecision of the method (SD or CV) Inaccuracy of the method (bias)

How determine Sigma metrics for laboratory tests? Measure Outcome Measure Variation Inspect Outcomes and Count Defects Evaluate analytic performance Calculate Defect Per Million (DPM) Estimate SD and measurement bias Convert DPM to Sigma Metric Calculate Sigma Metric

How calculate Sigma metric? Sigma metric = (TEa - Bias)/CV TEa=2%, Bias=0%, CV=2% Sigma metric is (2-0)/2 or 6 sigma TEa=2%, Bias=0%, CV=4 Sigma metric is (2-0)/4 or 3 sigma TEa = 2%, Bias = 3%, CV=2% Sigma metric is (2-3)/2 or 4.5 sigma

What s the Sigma metric for a cholesterol method that satisfies CLIA PT and NCEP performance guidelines? TEa = 0% CLIA PT criterion Bias = 3%, CV=3% NCEP specifications Sigma metric is (0-3)/3 or 2.33 sigma Process is not suitable for production according to industrial management guidelines!!!!!!!!

What performance is really needed for cholesterol? TEa = 0%, Bias = 0%, CV=2% Sigma metric is (0-0)/2 or 5.0 sigma This is the performance that is actually needed to have a reliable, controllable, routine production method A CV of.7% would be better! 6.0 sigma

What CVs are desirable based on CLIA criteria? Examples 5-sigma 6-sigma Cholesterol 2.0%.7% Glucose 2.0%.7% Digoxin 5.0% 4.0% Erythrocyte count.2%.0% Hemoglobin.4%.2% Prothrombin time 3.0% 2.5%

What QC is required? General Guidelines 6 sigma process - any QC will do! 5 sigma process - single rule QC with 3.0s limits and N of 2-3 4-sigma process single rule QC with 2.5s limits or multirule QC with Ns of 3-6 3-sigma process no practical QC Can t afford to run enough controls to detect medically important errors!

What QC is required? Specific Guidelines Critical Systematic Error is the sigma metric for selection/design of QC procedures ΔSE crit = [(TEa - bias meas )/s meas ] - z where TEa is allowable total error expressed in % bias meas is the observed inaccuracy for the method expressed in % s meas is the observed imprecision for the method expressed in % z commonly set as.65 to set maximum defect at 5% before a run is rejected

What systematic error must be detected in a 6 sigma process? Target -TE a 4.35s Shift Target + TE a SE= [(TE-bias)/s]-.65 = (2-0)/2 -.65 = 4.35-6s -5s -4s -3s -2s -s 0s s 2s 3s 4s 5s 6s

What QC will detect 4.35s SE? Probability for Rejection (P).0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0. Power Function Graph (SE) 0.0 0.0.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 Systematic Error (ΔSE, multiples of s) 2s 2.5s 3s /2 2s /R 4s 3s 3.5s 4.35s Error to be detected for 6 sigma process N 2 2 2 2 2 R

How does QC depend on Sigma? Probability for Rejection (P) N.0 3s /2of3 2s /R 4s /3 s /6 x 0.9 0.8 6 3s /2 2s /R 4s /4 s 4 0.7 2.5s 4 0.6 0.5 0.4 2.5s 3s /2 2s /R 4s 2 2 0.3 0.2 0. 3s 2 3.5s 2 3s 0.0 0.0.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 3σ Power Function Graph (SE) Systematic Error (SE, multiples of s) 6σ R.65s 2.65s 3.65s 4.65s 5.65s Sigma Scale

How determine QC design? EZ Rules program!

Where find Six Sigma training? American Society for Quality (ASQ) http://www.asq.org http://www.sixsigmaforum.com Master Black Belt, Black Belt, Green Belt, Champion, and Executive training Many private consultants and trainers See advertisements in Quality Progress Magazine from ASQ

Where find Six Sigma training for laboratory applications? Internet at http://www.westgard.com Six Sigma Quality Design and Control book Available through AACC bookstore Six Sigma Design and Control Workshop Madison, WI May 2-22, 2002 Includes Six Sigma book and EZ Rules computer program

What Six Sigma books are available in local bookstores? Mikel Harry and Richard Schroeder Six Sigma: The Breakthrough Management Strategy Revolutionizing the World s Top Corporations Currency, New York, 2000 George Eckes The Six Sigma Revolution: How General Electric and Others Turned Process into Profits John Wiley & Sons, 200