STAT 2080/MATH 2080/ECON 2280 Statistical Methods for Data Analysis and Inference Fall 2015

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Faculty of Science Course Syllabus Department of Mathematics & Statistics STAT 2080/MATH 2080/ECON 2280 Statistical Methods for Data Analysis and Inference Fall 2015 Instructor: Michael Dowd Email: michael.dowd@dal.ca Office: Chase 116 Lectures: Section 1: MWF 13:30-14:30, LSC C242 Section 2: MWF 10:30-11:30, LSC C240 Tutorial: Thursday, 16:30-17:30, Dunn 117 Office Hours: MWF 13:00-13:30, MW 14:30-15:30 Course Description This course introduces a number of techniques for data analysis and inference commonly used in the experimental sciences. Topics covered include simple and multiple regression, one- way and teo- way analysis of variance, and parametric and non- parametric statistics (see detailed list of topics later in this document). Course Prerequisites STAT 1060 or STAT 2060 or DISP The material you are expected to be familiar with is the following. The computation and use of various measures of central tendency and variability; the preparation and interpretation of graphical displays of data such as boxplots, histograms and scatterplots; the normal and t distributions and the use of tables for these distributions; the difference between populations and samples, parameters and estimates; the

concept of sampling distributions and why they are important; the construction and interpretation of confidence intervals; the elements of hypothesis testing; the formation of null and alternative hypotheses and the computation and interpretation of p- values. Course Objectives & Learning Outcomes The main objective of this course is to provide a solid practical grounding in practical data analysis and common statistical methods that one will encounter in scientific research. Towards this end the central emphasis of the course is on Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) and Regression. Outcomes A full understanding of the statistical comparison of two means using both parametric and non- parameteric methods A thorough understanding of one- way and two- way analysis of variance (including assumptions, setup, calculations of key quantities, interpretation, and post- hoc diagnostics). A through understanding of correlation as a measure of dependence, including both parametric (Pearsons) and non- parametric (Spearmans) measures of correlation. A basic understanding of regression methods for both simple linear regression and multiple regression (assumptions, key quantities and formulae, implementation, interpretation, and graphical assessment via residuals) Experience in the statistical analysis of categorical/count data in one- way and two- way tables (e.g. chi- squared tests and contingency tables). The ability to use modern statistical software (MINITAB) Course Materials There is no required text for this course. However, a detailed set of course notes will be provided. It is suggested that the books used recently in STAT 1060 (Stats, Data and Models by DeVeaux, Velleman and Bock), and STAT 2060 (Probability and Statistics by J. Devore) will provide further information on the course topics. There is an OWL/BbLearn site for the course (https://dalhousie.blackboard.com/). This is where class notes, assignment information and announcements will be posted. Students are encouraged to use the discussion board for questions about assignments etc. The grading features will NOT be used, but marks will be disseminated via the LON- CAPA learning environment used for assignments and midterms (see below). The Minitab statistical package will be used in the course. It will be required for portions of some assignments. For a list of campus labs with Minitab installed, see http://its.dal.ca/services/computer_ services/labs/software_list.html. Minitab is also available in Killam, Kellogg and Sexton libraries Learning Commons. Minitab for Windows is available to students through Dalhousie ITS free of charge (NOTE: PC only). In August of 2014, Minitab incorporated released a new product, Minitab Express for both PC and Mac. The early releases of this product unfortunately do not have, so far, the full complement of statistical features available in Minitab.

The LON- CAPA (Learning Online Network with Computer- Assisted Personalized Approach) e- learning software will be used for assignments, and for the midterms (as well as for disseminating assignment and midterm marks). LON- CAPA can be accessed from the BbLearn course space, or directly at capa.mathstat.dal.ca. Details on its use will be provided at the beginning of the course. Course Assessment Component Weight (% of final grade) Date Midterm 1 15% Thursday, Oct 15, 1730-1900 Midterm 2 15% Thursday, Nov 19, 1730-1900 Final exam 45% (Scheduled by Registrar, exam period) Assignments 25% weekly to bi- weekly The midterms (80 minutes each) are scheduled OUTSIDE OF CLASS TIME on Thursday October 15 and Thursday November 19 from 17:35PM - 18:55PM. They are computer based and use the same CAPA software you will be using for your assignments. The exams will take place in computer labs in the Dunn and McCain buildings (details TBA). Note that since extra hours outside class time will be required for the midterms, two classes will be cancelled to accommodate this. The dates of these cancelled classes will be announced in class when midterm time approaches. Assignments are computer- based and will be done using the CAPA software. These will be due on a roughly weekly- biweekly basis, depending on class progress and midterms. Other course requirements There is a weekly tutorial that takes place Thursdays 3:30-4:30PM in Dunn 117. There are no marks associated with this tutorial. The tutorial will be given by the Teaching Assistant for the course. Its primary purpose is the review assignment materials, and to provide assistance with MINITAB. Note that tutorials are not mandatory, but you are strongly encouraged to attend. Conversion of numerical grades to Final Letter Grades follows the Dalhousie Common Grade Scale A+ (90-100) B+ (77-79) C+ (65-69) D (50-54) A (85-89) B (73-76) C (60-64) F (<50) A- (80-84) B- (70-72) C- (55-59) Course Policies Assignments: late assignments will receive a zero grade. Midterms: Since the midterms are scheduled outside of class time, a small number of people may have a legitimate conflict with the time of the midterm exam (this means another course or an exam scheduled for the same time), inform me at least 3 weeks in advance of the exam with

details of the conflict. Please plan ahead! If an exam is missed for medical reasons, you must contact us either before, or within 24 hours of the exam, to inform us you have missed the exam. Documentation for your absence (e.g. medical) must be provided within 48 hours. If an exam is missed without a valid reason, I reserve the right to assign a zero grade for the missed midterm. Makeup midterms will be scheduled on a case- by- case basis. Final Exam: I must be informed in advance of non- attendance for the final exam. Proper written documentation of your absence is required within 48 hours. Other information relevant to class logistics will be communicated via messages on the course BBlearn site. Course Content Listed below are the topics to be covered. Note that these may be altered slightly as the term progresses. Inference: hypothesis testing and confidence intervals Comparison of two means - paired samples and independent samples Comparison of two means - permutation test, Wilcoxon rank- sum test One way analysis of variance Bonferroni method for multiple comparisons Assessing the model assumptions - residual plot Non- parametric one way ANOVA - Kruskall- Wallis test Two way ANOVA without interaction Two way ANOVA, with interaction, Randomized block design, Post- hoc comparisons of means Categorical data, multinomial distribution and goodness of fit test χ2 tests and contingency tables Scatterplots, Pearson s correlation, Spearman s rank correlation Regression and least squares estimates Coefficient of determination, Residual plots, remedies and transformation Inference in regression Multiple regression basics, hypothesis testing and inference Issues in multiple regression ANOVA using regression Special topics and review Extra Help The Mathematics and Statistics Student Resource Centre is in Room 119 of the Chase building. Please refer to the website www.dal.ca/faculty/science/math- stats/about/learning- centre.html for more information. Tutors with expertise in Statistics will be there and available to answer questions (on a first come first served basis). There are large tables available for groups to work together. THIS IS YOUR PRIMARY SOURCE FOR EXTRA HELP make good use of it!

ACCOMMODATION POLICY FOR STUDENTS Students may request accommodation as a result of barriers related to disability, religious obligation, or any characteristic protected under Canadian Human Rights legislation. The full text of Dalhousie s Student Accommodation Policy can be accessed here: http://www.dal.ca/dept/university_secretariat/policies/academic/student- accommodation- policy- wef- sep- - 1- - 2014.html Students who require accommodation for classroom participation or the writing of tests and exams should make their request to the Advising and Access Services Centre (AASC) prior to or at the outset of the regular academic year. More information and the Request for Accommodation form are available at www.dal.ca/access. ACADEMIC INTEGRITY Academic integrity, with its embodied values, is seen as a foundation of Dalhousie University. It is the responsibility of all students to be familiar with behaviours and practices associated with academic integrity. Instructors are required to forward any suspected cases of plagiarism or other forms of academic cheating to the Academic Integrity Officer for their Faculty. The Academic Integrity website (http://academicintegrity.dal.ca) provides students and faculty with information on plagiarism and other forms of academic dishonesty, and has resources to help students succeed honestly. The full text of Dalhousie s Policy on Intellectual Honesty and Faculty Discipline Procedures is available here: http://www.dal.ca/dept/university_secretariat/academic- integrity/academic- policies.html STUDENT CODE OF CONDUCT Dalhousie University has a student code of conduct, and it is expected that students will adhere to the code during their participation in lectures and other activities associated with this course. In general: The University treats students as adults free to organize their own personal lives, behaviour and associations subject only to the law, and to University regulations that are necessary to protect the integrity and proper functioning of the academic and non academic programs and activities of the University or its faculties, schools or departments; the peaceful and safe enjoyment of University facilities by other members of the University and the public; the freedom of members of the University to participate reasonably in the programs of the University and in activities on the University's premises; the property of the University or its members. The full text of the code can be found here: http://www.dal.ca/dept/university_secretariat/policies/student- life/code- of- student- conduct.html

SERVICES AVAILABLE TO STUDENTS The following campus services are available to help students develop skills in library research, scientific writing, and effective study habits. The services are available to all Dalhousie students and, unless noted otherwise, are free. Service Support Provided Location Contact General Academic Advising In person: Rm G28 Dalhousie Libraries Studying for Success (SFS) Writing Centre Help with - understanding degree requirements and academic regulations - choosing your major - achieving your educational or career goals - dealing with academic or other difficulties Help to find books and articles for assignments Help with citing sources in the text of your paper and preparation of bibliography Help to develop essential study skills through small group workshops or one- on- one coaching sessions Match to a tutor for help in course- specific content (for a reasonable fee) Meet with coach/tutor to discuss writing assignments (e.g., lab report, research paper, thesis, poster) - Learn to integrate source material into your own work appropriately - Learn about disciplinary writing from a peer or staff member in your field Ground floor Rm G28 Bissett Centre for Academic Success Ground floor Librarian offices 3 rd floor Coordinator Rm 3104 Study Coaches Rm 3103 Ground floor Learning Commons & Rm G25 By appointment: - e- mail: advising@dal.ca - Phone: (902) 494-3077 - Book online through MyDal In person: Service Point (Ground floor) By appointment: Identify your subject librarian (URL below) and contact by email or phone to arrange a time: http://dal.beta.libguides.com/sb.php?subject_id=34328 To make an appointment: - Visit main office ( main floor, Rm G28) - Call (902) 494-3077 - email Coordinator at: sfs@dal.ca or - Simply drop in to see us during posted office hours All information can be found on our website: www.dal.ca/sfs To make an appointment: - Visit the Centre (Rm G25) and book an appointment - Call (902) 494-1963 - email writingcentre@dal.ca - Book online through MyDal We are open six days a week See our website: writingcentre.dal.ca