ADWEC (Winter 2008 / 2009) Electricity & Water Demand Forecast 2009-2030

ADWEC (Winter 2008 / 2009) Electricity & Water Demand Forecast 2009-2030 Mr Keith Miller Director of Planning & Studies Directorate Abu Dhabi Water and Electricity Company (ADWEC) Telephone: +971 (2) 694 3816 Fax: +971 (2) 642 5773 keithmiller@adwec.ae www.adwec.ae

Presentation Overview Purpose of presentation : Present ADWEC s 2009-2030 demand forecasts The ADWEC Winter 2008 / 2009 Demand Forecast was completed in April 2009. Based on available data in late 2008 / early 2009. Thus all 2009 data shown in this presentation are forecasts not actuals. Higher demand creates a need for more new IWPP capacity. ADWEC must purchase additional IWPP capacity to satisfy demand increases. Scope of presentation : Introduction ADWEC Electricity Demand Forecast 2009 2030 ADWEC Water Demand Forecast 2009 2030 Summary Annex: ADWEC Planning Process

Introduction

ADWEC and Law Number 2 of 1998 Within the Emirate of Abu Dhabi: ADWEC is the Single Buyer and Seller of electricity and water. ADWEC is responsible inter alia for : Electricity & Water Demand Forecasting. Electricity & Water Capacity Planning. Contracting of new IWPP capacity and BST preparation. Contracting for gas / fuel supply. Financial Settlement ADWEC s legal Demand Forecasting and Capacity Planning duties are fulfilled via annual : Electricity & Water Demand Forecasts. Statement of Future Capacity Requirements.

Article 30 of Law Number 2 of 1998 Also requires ADWEC to ensure that, at all times, all reasonable demands for water and electricity in the Emirate are satisfied. To satisfy Law Number 2 s requirements ADWEC prepares annual forecasts of electricity and water demand. ADWEC s Demand Forecasts are used to prepare : ADWEC Statement of Future Capacity Requirements TRANSCO 5 Year Planning Statement Bulk Supply Tariff, ADWEA Budget and Other Planning.

Key Recent Demand Developments 1. Global Financial Crisis (GFC) When this forecast was being prepared in late 2008 / early 2009 the full impact of the GFC on ADWEC s demand forecast was not fully known. Demand forecast based on available information in late 2008 / early 2009 of impact of GFC. ADWEC Winter 2009 / 2010 demand forecast will fully reflect impact of GFC on electricity / water demand. 2. Inclusion of significant additional exports to Northern Emirates. 3. Inclusion of significant additional ADNOC electricity demands. 4. Release of UPC s Plan Abu Dhabi 2030 in September 2007. 5. Releasing of surplus oil revenues for major infrastructure developments and industrial expansion (e.g. KPIZ / Zonescorp). 6. Changes in land ownership laws during 2005.

ADWEC Electricity Demand Forecasts 2009-2030

32,000 31,000 30,000 29,000 28,000 27,000 26,000 25,000 24,000 23,000 22,000 21,000 20,000 19,000 18,000 17,000 16,000 15,000 14,000 13,000 12,000 11,000 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 6,620 7,967 ADWEC Global & System Electricity Peak Demand Forecasts ADWEC Winter 2008 / 2009 Demand Forecast (Gross MW) 9,524 11,346 Global Demand = Emirate of Abu Dhabi System + Northern Emirates Supply 13,787 15,432 17,019 21,605 20,807 20,056 19,290 18,382 25,937 25,074 24,335 23,664 22,962 Global Demand (Winter 2008 / 2009) Emirate of Abu Dhabi System (Winter 2008 / 2009) Global Demand Forecast (Winter 2007 / 2008) (Diversified) Emirate of Abu Dhabi System (Winter 2007 / 2008) 30,192 29,487 28,844 28,212 27,618 27,002 26,878 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 23,554

ADWEC Regional Electricity Peak Demand Forecasts ADWEC Winter 2008 / 2009 Demand Forecast (Gross MW) 32,000 31,000 30,000 Global Demand = Emirate of Abu Dhabi System + Northern Emirates Supply 30,192 29,487 28,844 29,000 28,000 Northern Emirates Supply 28,212 27,618 27,002 27,000 Abu Dhabi 25,937 26,000 25,074 26,878 24,335 26,173 25,000 Al Ain 23,664 25,530 24,000 22,962 24,899 Western Region 24,304 23,000 Northern 21,605 23,688 22,000 20,807 Emirates Supply Global Demand 22,623 21,000 20,056 21,760 19,290 20,000 Emirate of Abu Dhabi System 21,021 18,382 20,350 19,000 19,648 18,000 17,019 18,291 17,000 15,432 17,493 16,000 16,742 15,000 13,787 15,976 14,000 15,069 Abu Dhabi Region 13,000 13,863 11,346 12,000 12,426 11,000 9,524 10,000 10,955 9,000 7,967 8,0006,620 9,424 7,000 7,602 6,000 6,542 Al Ain 5,0005,616 4,000 3,000 2,000 Western Region 1,000 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Northern Emirates Supply includes electricity used for auxiliaries and pumping etc in addition to FEWA / FE(C) / SEWA demands etc.

32,000 31,000 30,000 29,000 28,000 27,000 26,000 25,000 24,000 23,000 22,000 21,000 20,000 19,000 18,000 17,000 16,000 15,000 14,000 13,000 12,000 11,000 10,000 9,000 8,0006,620 7,000 6,000 5,0005,616 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 7,967 6,542 ADWEC Global Electricity Peak Demand Forecast by Sector ADWEC Winter 2008 / 2009 Demand Forecast (Gross MW) Northern Emirates Supply (including auxiliaries, losses & pumping etc) Residential / Commercial Mega Projects (including Workers Camps) Industry ADNOC Auxilairies (Emirate of Abu Dhabi) Non-Mega Projects Global Demand (including Diversity Factor) Emirate of Abu Dhabi System 9,524 7,602 11,346 9,424 13,787 10,955 15,432 12,426 17,019 13,863 18,382 15,069 19,290 15,976 20,056 16,742 20,807 17,493 21,605 18,291 22,962 19,648 23,664 20,350 24,335 21,021 25,074 Northern Emirates Supply 21,760 25,937 22,623 Residential / Commercial Mega Projects Industry ADNOC Auxiliaries Non-Mega Projects 27,002 23,688 27,618 28,212 24,304 24,899 28,844 29,487 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Northern Emirates Supply includes electricity used for auxiliaries and pumping etc in addition to FEWA / FE(C) / SEWA demands etc. 25,530 26,173 30,192 26,878

4,000 3,750 ADNOC Peak Electricity Imports from ADWEC ADWEC Winter 2008 / 2009 Demand Forecast (MW) 3,528 3,603 3,617 3,623 3,668 3,745 3,745 3,745 3,745 3,745 3,745 3,745 3,745 3,745 3,745 3,745 3,500 3,250 3,078 3,000 2,750 2,892 2,954 2,965 2,970 3,007 3,070 3,070 3,070 3,070 3,070 3,070 3,070 3,070 3,070 3,070 3,070 2,500 2,450 2,523 TAKREER 2,250 2,000 1,750 1,500 1,416 1,983 1,626 2,009 1,514 1,490 1,554 1,581 1,592 1,596 1,613 1,744 1,771 1,781 1,804 1,677 Example Auxiliaries (approx 4%) 1,863 1,903 1,945 1,988 2,032 2,077 1,250 1,096 Example Transmission Losses 2% 1,000 1,161 TAKREER 674 678 750 740 ADCO / GASCO ADCO / GASCO 500 340 415 Example Required Capacity (approx 15% margin) Total ADNOC Power Import from ADWEC 250 278 340 Total ADNOC Power Import from ADWEC Winter 2007 / 2008 Forecast 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

6,500 6,000 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 356 655 ADWEC Industrial Electricity Peak Demand Forecast ADWEC Winter 2008 / 2009 Demand Forecast (MW) 1,206 582 Winter 2008 / 2009 Demand Forecast Winter 2007 / 2008 Demand Forecast 971 2,233 1,447 2,526 1,920 2,903 2,224 3,421 2,687 3,510 3,081 3,608 3,347 3,717 3,933 3,573 3,836 4,599 4,715 4,880 3,970 4,044 4,121 5,109 4,202 5,439 4,286 5,927 5,982 5,999 6,016 6,034 6,083 4,373 4,464 4,559 Industrial Demand includes KPIZ, ZonesCorp & Al Waha Land etc, but excludes ADNOC. Excludes Distribtution & Transmission Losses and Auxiliaries 4,658 4,658 4,658 0 165 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

3,600 3,400 3,200 3,000 2,800 2,600 2,400 2,200 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0-200 -400-600 -800-1,000-1,200-1,400-729 -591 ADWEC Final Consumption Electricity Peak Demand Forecast (MW) ADWEC Winter 2008 / 2009 versus Winter 2007 / 2008 Demand Forecasts Worker Camps Non-Mega Projects Residential / Commercial Mega Projects ADNOC Industry Total Final Consumption -215-507 -145 273 460 876 Emirate of Abu Dhabi 1,183 1,414 1,757 2,454 2,599 2,739 2,918 3,181 3,563 3,541 3,479 3,439 3,484 3,562 Excludes Distribution & Transmission Losses and Auxiliaries 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

1,250 1,000 750 500 ADWEC Regional Electricity Peak Demand Forecasts (MW) ADWEC Winter 2008 / 2009 versus Winter 2007 / 2008 Demand Forecasts Abu Dhabi Region Al Ain Region Western Region Total System (Pre-Diversity) 250 0-250 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014-500 -750-1,000 Includes Distribution & Transmission Losses and Auxiliaries -1,250

3,600 3,400 3,200 3,000 2,800 2,600 2,400 2,200 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0-200 -400-600 -800-1,000-1,200-1,400-729 ADWEC Regional Final Consumption Electricity Peak Demand Forecast ADWEC Winter 2008 / 2009 v 2007 / 2008 Demand Forecasts (MW) -591 Western Region Al Ain Region Abu Dhabi Region Total Final Consumption -215-507 -145 273 460 876 Emirate of Abu Dhabi 1,183 1,414 1,757 2,454 2,599 2,739 2,918 3,181 3,563 3,541 3,479 3,439 3,484 3,562 Excludes Distribution & Transmission Losses and Auxiliaries 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

22,000 21,000 20,000 19,000 18,000 17,000 16,000 15,000 14,000 13,000 12,000 11,000 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 ADWEC Cumulative Change in Electricity Peak Demand Forecast ADWEC Winter 2008 / 2009 Demand Forecast (MW) Transmission Losses (2%) Distribution Losses (8%) Worker Camps Residential / Commercial Mega Projects Industry ADNOC Auxiliaries Non-Mega Projects Total System (Undiversified) 966 2,043 3,895 256 709 887 5,451 420 886 1,362 1,536 Demonstrates that 70% - 80% of increase in Emirate of Abu Dhabi's demand comes from Industry, ADNOC & Residential / Commercial Mega Projects 6,947 428 1,360 1,835 1,919 8,407 428 1,894 2,139 2,433 9,633 428 2,213 2,602 10,555 428 2,540 Emirate of Abu Dhabi 11,333 428 12,097 428 2,943 3,327 2,996 3,262 3,488 12,908 428 3,708 3,848 14,287 4,153 4,514 4,595 4,955 4,630 4,795 5,024 2,802 2,864 2,875 2,880 2,980 2,980 2,980 2,980 2,917 428 5,842 5,897 5,914 5,931 5,949 5,998 2,980 2,980 2,980 2,980 234 709 887 1,071 502 585 721 706 676 643 688 694 742 683 746 804 881 967 1,059 1,157 1,260 1,361 1,456 1,556 1,662 888 15,000 428 15,683 428 16,434 428 5,294 17,311 428 5,637 5,354 2,980 18,393 428 5,996 19,019 428 19,623 428 6,385 6,792 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20,265 428 7,239 20,919 428 7,689 2,980 21,635 428 8,162 2,980

New Residential / Commercial (Electricity) Mega Projects ADWEC Winter 2008 / 2009 Demand Forecast (Peak MW) 1,100 1,000 900 800 Nations Towers Lagoon Club Al Bateen Park Motor World Baniyas shopping Mall 751 784 817 850 883 917 950 983 1,016 700 600 500 Hydra Village Capital District Al Wathba Development Total 468 538 609 680 400 326 397 300 200 100 0 256 203 145 101 0 6 20 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

ADWEC Water Demand Forecasts 2009-2030

Key Water Issues (i) Constrained versus Unconstrained Forecasts Water network constraints limit the amount of water than can be delivered to customers. Currently not all of the water desalination capacity can be fully utilised because of water network constraints. Water demand is by definition unconstrained, i.e. how much water consumers would like to consume. Water network constraints limits the amount of water than customers can consume. ADWEC prepares two water demand forecasts: 1. Constrained Demand Forecast (including impact of transmission constraints) 2. Unconstrained Demand Forecast (assuming no transmission constraints). Until 2012 Constrained Demand Forecast < Unconstrained Demand Forecast 2012-2030 2030 Constrained Demand Forecast = Unconstrained Demand Forecast

Key Water Issues (ii) Removal of Water Network Constraints TRANSCO s s water network constraints are assumed to be fully removed by 2012. 2 TRANSCO s s water network constraints primarily reduce the amount of water that can be supplied to Al Ain region (AADC). The removal of TRANSCO s s network constraints will enable more water to be delivered to the Al Ain region. New Short Term Demands Substantial new water demands notified to ADWEC since March 2008. 08.

1,400 1,300 1,200 1,100 1,000 900 800 700 614 600 587 500 649 617 ADWEC Constrained Mean Regional Water Peak Demand Forecasts ADWEC Winter 2008 / 2009 Demand Forecast (Gross MIGD) Global Demand = Emirate of Abu Dhabi System + Northern Emirates Supply 729 683 758 711 956 887 997 928 1,036 966 1,061 1,081 1,102 991 1,011 1,032 1,124 1,054 1,144 1,170 1,073 Abu Dhabi 1,099 1,194 1,123 1,216 1,237 1,256 1,145 1,165 1,185 1,276 1,204 1,293 1,310 1,328 1,221 Auxilliaries 1,238 1,255 Northern Emirates Supply Abu Dhabi Al Ain Western Region Global Demand 1,345 1,362 1,272 Emirate of Abu Dhabi System (excluding Auxiliaries) 1,290 400 300 Al Ain 200 100 Western Region 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

1,400 1,300 1,200 1,100 1,000 ADWEC Mean Global Water Peak Demand Forecasts (Gross MIGD) ADWEC Winter 2008 / 2009 versus 2007 / 2008 Demand Forecasts 900 876 823 828 800 742 791 705 700 684 649 809 738 758 614 729 600 613 630 500 400 Global Demand = Emirate of Abu Dhabi System + Northern Emirates Supply 956 861 997 894 1,036 930 1,061 1,081 1,102 964 992 1,016 1,124 1,144 1,170 1,194 1,041 1,065 1,084 1,216 1,237 1,256 1,276 1,293 1,104 1,124 1,143 1,160 1,174 1,186 1,200 Change in Constrained Global Demand Forecast 1,310 1,328 1,345 1,362 1,215 1,226 Unconstrained Winter 2008 / 2009 Global Demand Forecast Constrained Winter 2008 / 2009 Global Demand Forecast Unconstrained Winter 2007 / 2008 Demand Forecast 1,245 300 200 100 0-100 Constrained Winter 2007 / 2008 Global Demand Forecast 95 103 106 97 89 86 83 79 86 90 92 94 96 102 107 110 113 119 117 1 19-9 -51 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

100 80 ADWEC Constrained Mean Water Peak Demand Forecast ADWEC Winter 2008 / 2009 versus 2007 / 2008 Demand Forecast (MIGD) 87 95 98 60 46 52 40 20 20 25 10 10 6 4 35 11 30 30 30 19 11 8 11 0-13 -3-20 Abu Dhabi Region -40-60 -80-49 -59 Al Ain Region Western Region Northern Emirates Global excluding Auxiliaries -100-98 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 25 40 29 47 33 53 38 ADWEC Constrained Industrial Water Peak Demand Forecast ADWEC Winter 2008 / 2009 Demand Forecast (MIGD) 59 48 64 55 Industrial Demand includes KPIZ, ZonesCorp, Al Waha Land & ADNOC ADWEC Winter 2008 / 2009 Demand Forecast ADWEC Winter 2007 / 2008 Demand Forecast 75 61 80 67 85 73 90 79 93 85 97 92 100 98 104 102 111 105 117 107 121 110 124 112 128 132 The difference between the ADWEC Winter 2008 / 2009 and Winter 2007 / 2008 Demand Forecasts in the initial years is due to the increase in KPIZ demands and the new water demands of (Al Waha Land). After 2020, the ADWEC Winter 2008 / 2009 Demand Forecast excludes demands by Baynounah Industrial City that were included in the ADWEC Winter 2007 / 2008 Demand Forecast. 135 138 140 114 116 117 118 120 20 25 10-2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

160 140 ADWEC Constrained Mean Water Peak Demand Forecast ADWEC Winter 2008 / 2009 versus 2007 / 2008 Demand Forecasts (MIGD) Includes Losses but excluding Auxiliaries. 120 100 80 87 95 98 88 80 76 73 70 76 82 85 86 90 95 101 104 106 112 112 60 Northern Emirates Al Ain Region 40 Western Region 20 19 Abu Dhabi Region Global excluding Auxiliaries 0-8 -13-20 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030-40 -60-80 -100-59 Note: The Winter 2008 / 2009 Demand Forecast uses within Region Patterning, which wasn't used in the Winter 2007 / 2008 Demand Forecast, which Ceteris Paribus lowers each Region's total. Summing individual Regional totals to obtain Abu Dhabi Emirate therefore less inaccurate than before, however still inaccurate as some diversity will exist between Regions. Note conclusion is that these regional changes between the two demand forecasts is not comparable.

1,400 1,200 1,000 ADWEC Constrained Mean Global Water Peak Demand Forecast by Sector ADWEC Winter 2008 / 2009 Demand Forecast (Gross MIGD) 956 997 1036 1061 1081 1102 1124 1144 1170 1194 1216 1237 1256 1276 1293 1310 1328 1345 1362 800 614 600 649 729 758 Total Auxiliaries Northern Emirates Agricultural Shabiat 400 Villas Domestic Industrial (including ADNOC) 200 Residential / Commercial Mega Projects Bulk and Other Global Demand including Auxiliaries 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 15 30-1 ADWEC Cumulative Change Constrained Mean Peak Water Demand Forecast ADWEC Winter 2008 / 2009 Demand Forecast (MIGD) Industrial (including ADNOC) Residential / Commercial Mega Projects Agricultural Bulk and Other Shabiat Villas Domestic Total 124 95 79 58 9 16 300 142 340 177 379 214 404 245 424 272 Emirate of Abu Dhabi including losses but excluding auxiliaries and excluding Northern Emirates. 444 290 466 307 486 318 512 333 536 346 117 135 145 153 161 167 173 178 182 186 190 193 196 198 201 203 205 206 208 557 356 578 366 597 374 616 382 634 388 651 394 668 401 685 407 702 413-100 -200 Demonstrates that 80% - 90% of increase in Emirate of Abu Dhabi's Peak Water Demand comes from Residential / Commercial Mega Projects and Bulk & Other consumers 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

Summary Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and economic downturn has lowered the demand forecast in the early years to some extent. A significant increase in exports to the Northern Emirates has been committed to. Significant increase in electricity to be supplied to ADNOC. Short medium term slower electricity demand growth in: (1) Residential / Commercial Mega Projects (2) Industry is partially offset by higher ADNOC demand in short run. More than fully offset in the medium-term and increased in the long-run. ADWEC demand forecasts will be updated in late 2009 / early 2010 and will become the ADWEC Winter 2009 / 2010 Demand Forecast.

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Annex ADWEC Planning Process

Implementation Schedules IWPPs require up to 4 years from decision to proceed to completion Mega Projects Infrastructure Projects 2-3 Years 2-3.5 Years Mega Projects Infrastructure Projects Conventional IWPPs Gas / Oil Supplies Conventional IWPPs 3-4 Years Gas / Oil Supplies 5+ Years 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Years

ADWEC Electricity Map Ras Al Khaimah Umm Al Quwain Galailah Khowr Khawer To Salwa (GCC interconnection) 900 1,150 MW (2010) Sila Delma (May 2009) Shuweihat 1,615 MW Jebel Dhanna Ruwais GUP- TAKREER (ADNOC) 676 MW NGI Plant (ADCO Load) 186 MW Mirfa Tarif Dhabiya (ADCO Load) 2,433 MW Saadiyat Mina (ADST) Central 4,651 MW Taweelah Yas Island E48 GIC Bahia Rumaitha (ADCO Load) Airport UAN Mussaffah EMAL 2,220 MW (2010) To Dubai (ENG interconnection) Samha 1,150 MW Shahama Shamkha Wathba Khazna Ajman Sweihan Warsan Dubai Dahma Ramah Salamat Zakher SEWA Network Saja NetworkSharjah DEWA (Nov2009) Hayer Al Ain SW Al Ain Sanaiya Dhaid Gurfa Al Oha/Al Foa 256 MW Mazyad Hamariya Tawian 1,150 MW (2010) Fujairah Dibba Khorfakkan 861 MW Qidfa Fujairah 250 MW (2009) 400 MW (2010) To Al Wassit (GCC interconnection) X Existing 400kV circuits Existing 220kV circuits Existing 132kV circuits ADNOC 132kV circuits Power Station Sub-Station Station ADNOC Oil & Gas Plant EMAL Smelter Under Construction Planned Planned line cut Ghayathi Bu Hasa (ADCO Load) 109 MW Liwa West (Eradah) Bab (ADCO Load) Madinat Zayed Liwa AGD II (ADCO Load) ONGS (ADCO Load) Habshan (ADCO Load) Sahil (ADCO Load) Asab (ADCO Load) Hameem (ADCO Load) (Oct 2009) Abu Dhabi (Nov2009) Arad Wagan Umm El Oush 10,110 MW TOTAL (GROSS MW) Existing Capacity as of 31/12/2009 along with ADNOC, ENG, GCC & EMAL interconnection. February 11, 2010

Sila 1600 mm 1400 mm 1200 mm 1000 mm 900 mm 800 mm 600 mm 500 mm Pumping Station (PS) Desalination Plant Proposed PS Under Construction / Proposed 101 MGD Shuweihat Ghayathi ADPS LULU ISLAND ADWEC Water Map UNIT 1 UNIT 2 SADIYAT ISLAND REEM ISLAND N-4268 Dec 2010 Mirfa New Mirfa PS N-3850 Sep 2009 N-5807 Jul 2009 39 MGD PS1 PS2 Abu Dhabi Dubai Includes planned extensions as of 31/12/2009, excluding isolated Plants and Al Ain Network. 145 MGD UAN DETAIL A Tarif TO UNIT 3 Abu Al Abyad Madinat Zayed Liwa 145 MGD ADPS Lulu Island UAN Units I & II Mussaffah 297 MGD Taweelah UNIT 3 Jurf Ajban Jebel Ali Sih Shoib Samha Al-Maha Forests Adla UNIT 4 UNIT 5 Bani Yass Shoubaisi Ramah Tao Off 9A Tap Off 12 Sweihan Wagan Al-Saad Jazirat Al- Hamra Sharjah N-6139 Jul 2011 Al Ain Ras Al Khaimah N-4381 Aug 2010 Fujairah Tanks N-5805 May 2010 N-6820/6821 July 2011 684 MGD TOTAL 102 MGD Qidfa February 11, 2010

ADWEC Planning Overview Demand Forecast (including losses & auxiliary consumption) + Add Reserve Margin (Electricity GSS LOLE 0.1 / Water DSS 1 day in 50 years) = Required Capacity Forecast Versus Existing / Planned / Under Construction Capacity = New Capacity Requirements

ADWEC Electricity and Water Demand Forecasting Regions 2006 peak per capita consumptions Electricity 3 kw per capita Water 86 gallons per capita Abu Dhabi Region Al Ain Region Western Region Emirate of Abu Dhabi Population (2005 Census) Peak Electricity Demand (2008 Gross MW) Peak Water Supply (2008 Gross MIGD) Abu Dhabi Region 757,523 3,511 375 Al Ain Region 422,340 1,538 165 Western Region 112,356 634 55 Total 1,292,219 5,616 595 Note: The sum of regional peaks is not equal to the system peak because of timing differences.

ADWEC Demand Forecasting Process Inputs Population Inputs: 1. Urban Planning Council (UPC) 2. Mega Projects Population Forecasts 3. 2005 Census 4. Government Organisations 5. ADWEC Historical Population Forecasts ADWEC Electricity & Water Demand Forecasts Residential / Commercial Industrial Inputs: 1. Zonescorp 2. ADBIC ` 3. Khalifa Port Industrial Zone (KPIZ) 4. ADNOC / GASCO / ADCO etc ADWEA Company Demand Forecasts: 1. AADC 2. ADDC 3. TRANSCO (e.g. transmission losses) 4. ADWEC Auxiliary Consumption Industrial Sector All Sectors Transmission Code Other Demand Forecasts / Inputs: 1. Mega Projects Developers Forecasts 2. Mega Projects Master plans 3. Government Organisations 4. Other Emirates Demand Forecasts 5. ADWEC Assumptions All Sectors Mega Projects / Non-Mega Projects Other Emirates

ADWEC Demand Forecast Data Sources Official Data Sources Urban Planning Council Transmission Code Distribution Companies Transmission Company 2005 Census Developers Plans 2001 Census Customer Databases Abu Dhabi Departments UAE Ministries Customer Requests ADWEC Independent Research ADWEC Site Visits Publications MEED magazine Gulf News Khaleej Times Property Weekly Arabic Newspapers Internet gulfnews.com khaleejtimes.com uaeinteract.com ameinfo.com gulfconstructionworldwide.com aldar.com sorouh.com other developers websites google.co.uk live.com Arabic websites ADWEC Public Sources Database Database created using public sources only Private developer information is not used in the Public Database. Public Database is used as Project Checklist Project Population Check Create Comparison Forecast ADWEC generic assumptions (e.g. 3 kw per capita) + Public Sources Database = Comparison Forecast

Abu Dhabi Metropolitan Area 3,500,000 Population Forecasts 3,100,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 Residents Residential Units 2,000,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,300,000 1,000,000 930,000 686,000 500,000 180,000 251,000 411,000 0 2007 2013 2020 2030 ADWEC s Base Demand Forecasts now based on UPC s Plan Abu Dhabi 2030 Source: Urban Planning Council Plan Abu Dhabi 2030

ADWEC Base Electricity Methodology for Residential / Commercial Mega Projects Mega Projects Developers Connected Load Forecasts ADWEC Mega Project Implementation Lags (based on Site Visits / Progress / Past Experience etc) ADWEC Demand / Diversity Factors Developers Connected Load x ADWEC Demand / Diversity Factors = Unadjusted Developers Mega Projects Peak Demand Forecast Peak Demand Forecast Adjustment Factors for 2013 / 2020 / 2030 UPC s Total Population Forecasts versus Mega Projects Developers Total Population Forecasts Mega Projects Population Curve Pro-rated to obtain Intermediate Years ADWEC Base Electricity Demand Forecast