2015 Global Feed Survey



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Transcription:

2015 Global Feed Survey

2015 ALLTECH GLOBAL FEED EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2015 marks the fourth consecutive year that Alltech has conducted this global feed survey. This undertaking has required a significant amount of work each year, mainly because the feed industry is measured differently and in varying degrees of thoroughness from country to country. Yet, each year, better information is discovered and more is learned about how farmers around the world feed their livestock. Alltech isn t the only entity interested in feed production trends. Increasingly, more farmers, supply companies, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Non-Governmental Organizations, food businesses and indeed consumers are interested in what goes into the food humans consume. What foods are truly nutritious? How do farmers raise livestock that are healthy? How can agriculture increase efficiency and therefore, feed more people? Answers to these questions and many others can be found by starting with an examination of the feed animals are eating worldwide. This report outlines Alltech s estimate of the world s feed tonnage and trends to date and is intended to serve as an industry resource for the coming year. Alltech assessed the compound feed production of 130 countries. Where possible, information was gathered in partnership with local feed associations and, when that wasn t possible, it was done utilizing information collected by the more than 600 members of Alltech s global salesforce, who had direct contact with more than 31,000 feed mills. When reviewing the data, there are two considerations to bear in mind. First, numbers for less developed countries may be less accurate, but given their size, this had little numerical influence on the overall dataset. Second, the definition of feed, feed mill and species varied from country to country. The findings based on the data from 2014 reveal an increase of 2 percent in the feed industry. Global feed tonnage was measured at 980 million metric tons, while last year it was roughly 960 million metric tons. Feed industry trends throughout 2014 were impacted by myriad events, including widespread droughts, high costs of raw feed materials, fluctuating governance over import/export standards, and animal diseases such as avian influenza and the PED virus in pigs, which proved to be disastrous for many farmers. 2

SURVEY RESULTS COUNTRY TOTALS (IN MILLION TONS) 1 China 182.69 34 Venezuela 5.04 67 Bulgaria 0.99 100 Kuwait 0.27 2 USA 172.45 35 Saudi Arabia 4.96 68 Costa Rica 0.96 101 Cote D'ivoire 0.27 3 Brazil 66.15 36 Ukraine 4.71 69 Honduras 0.92 102 Senegal 0.25 4 Mexico 30.70 37 Peru 4.55 70 Panama 0.82 103 Armenia 0.24 5 India 29.43 38 Malaysia 4.40 71 UAE 0.82 104 Ghana 0.24 6 Spain 29.18 39 Hungary 4.05 72 Cuba 0.80 105 Georgia 0.22 7 Russia 25.66 40 Romania 4.00 73 Kenya 0.80 106 Estonia 0.21 8 Japan 24.31 41 Algeria 4.00 74 Sri Lanka 0.77 107 Kyrgyzstan 0.20 9 Germany 23.58 42 Denmark 3.80 75 Iraq 0.75 108 Turkish Cyp 0.20 10 France 22.16 43 Israel 3.50 76 Nepal 0.75 109 Macedonia 0.18 11 Canada 20.35 44 Norway 3.36 77 Slovakia 0.70 110 Mauritius 0.18 12 Indonesia 19.98 45 Greece and Cyprus 3.20 78 Sudan 0.70 111 Botswana 0.13 13 Korea 18.58 46 Portugal 3.15 79 El Salvador 0.64 112 Bahrain 0.13 14 Thailand 16.91 47 Morocco 3.10 80 Croatia 0.62 113 Namibia 0.13 15 Turkey 15.42 48 Bangladesh 3.05 81 Oman 0.62 114 Albania 0.11 16 Netherlands 14.33 49 Czech Rep 2.48 82 Yemen 0.60 115 Turkmenistan 0.10 17 Vietnam 14.10 50 Ecuador 2.40 83 Lebanon 0.60 116 Trinidad & Tobago 0.10 18 Italy 14.04 51 Nigeria 2.28 84 Cameroon 0.60 117 Haiti 0.09 19 UK 13.49 52 Serbia 2.21 85 Bosnia 0.55 118 Iceland 0.09 20 Philippines 12.38 53 Sweden 2.13 86 Uzbekistan 0.50 119 Luxembourg 0.09 21 Argentina 11.80 54 Tunisia 2.10 87 Paraguay 0.48 120 Kosovo 0.08 22 Iran 11.80 55 Bolivia 1.86 88 Lithuania 0.46 121 Malta 0.08 23 South Africa 11.38 56 Switzerland 1.48 89 Uganda 0.45 122 Singapore 0.06 24 Poland 9.30 57 Austria 1.46 90 Nicaragua 0.44 123 Caribbean 0.04 25 Australia 8.34 58 Uruguay 1.42 91 Zimbabwe 0.43 124 Barbados 0.04 26 Belgium 6.71 59 Finland 1.39 92 Latvia 0.40 125 Mozambique 0.04 27 Taiwan 6.50 60 Kazakhstan 1.28 93 Slovenia 0.38 126 Guyana 0.03 28 Colombia 6.30 61 Guatemala 1.27 94 Libya 0.34 127 Mongolia 0.03 29 Ireland 6.22 62 Dominican Republic 1.24 95 Tanzania 0.34 128 Seychelles 0.02 30 Pakistan 6.20 63 Jordan 1.17 96 Jamaica 0.32 129 Suriname 0.01 31 Chile 6.19 64 New Zealand 1.06 97 Puerto Rico 0.29 130 Bahamas 0.01 32 Belarus 6.10 65 Myanmar 1.00 98 Zambia 0.29 33 Egypt 6.00 66 Moldova 1.00 99 Azerbaijan 0.28 FEED INDUSTRY BUSINESS VALUE $460 BILLION 3

2015 ALLTECH GLOBAL FEED REGIONAL HIGHLIGHTS Although China was once again the leading producer of feed with 183 million tons manufactured in the official estimate of more than 9,500 feed mills, this is the second year of decline in its production. The country experienced a notable 4 percent decline from last year s numbers. Some analysts contribute this downturn to a slow hog market and bird flu that suppressed consumer demand. India, on the other hand, had a considerable increase in feed production, up to 29.4 million tons (a 10 percent increase over 2013), owing mainly to favorable weather conditions and consistently-improving farming methods and technology. The United States and Brazil ranked second and third respectively, with 172 million tons from 6,718 feed mills and 66 million tons from 1,698 feed mills. When grouped into regions, Africa and Latin America saw the greatest growth in 2014. Asia Pacific, Europe, North America and the Middle East all showed a slight incline. Several individual countries can be highlighted as bright spots of growth and development. Among them were Turkey, Indonesia, Romania, Tunisia and Bolivia, all of which experienced their second consecutive year of significant increase in feed production. Number of Feed Mills Globally (estimate) Total Global Tonnage 31,043 980 mil tons AVERAGE TONNAGE PER REGION Region Total No Feedmills Total Tonnage Africa 1,150 34,570,000 Asia 13,736 350,540,000 Europe 5,165 232,580,000 Latin America 3,914 144,840,000 Middle East 288 24,750,000 North America 6,790 192,800,000 Total 31,043 980,070,000 4

SURVEY RESULTS TOTAL FEED BY SPECIES (METRIC TONS) Poultry Pet 439 M 22 M Pig Aqua 256 M 41 M Ruminant Equine 196 M 11 M Country TOP 10 IN-DEPTH RESULTS Total Mil Tons Pig Dairy Beef Calf Layer Broiler Turkey Aqua Pets Horse China 183 85 6 2 0.2 24 41 0 18 0.4 0 USA 173 24 19 21 0 20 55 7 11 9 6 Brazil 66 14 5 3 0 6 31 1 1 2 1 Mexico 31 5 5 3 0.2 4 11 0.3 0.2 1 0.5 Spain 29 14 3 4 0.2 2 3 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.2 India 29 0 8 0.1 0.1 9 11 0 1 0 0 Russia 26 9 2 0.3 0 4 10 0.6 0 0.5 0 Japan 24 6 3 5 0 6 4 0 0 0.3 0 Germany 24 10 7 0 0.3 2 4 0 0 0 0.3 France 22 5.3 3 2 0.4 2 3 1 0 1.1 0.3 Looking at global livestock species, poultry held its position as industry leader with a 45 percent share of the feed market at 439 million tons. Pet and pigs saw the largest percentage of growth, with 5 percent increase in pet food and 5.3 percent increase in pig feed. Aqua saw a slight 1.8 percent increase and poultry and horse both saw a decline. 5

2015 ALLTECH GLOBAL FEED SPECIES BREAKDOWN (MILLION METRIC TONS) 111.8 67.2 5.4 130.3 280.6 14.3 255.7 41.1 21.7 11.4 SPECIES TOTALS BY REGION Region Pig Ruminant Poultry Aqua Pets Horse Other Africa 1.1 11.0 21.1 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.2 Asia 128.5 40 151.3 27.0 1.7 0.5 0.5 Europe 70 65 85 3.2 5.7 1.5 5 North America 32.3 46.1 87 1.8 9 6.5 0.3 Middle East 0.1 7.1 17.6 0.7 0 0.2 0 Latin America 26 27 77 8 5 2 3 GLOBAL TONNAGE PER YEAR 6

SURVEY RESULTS 2014 Average Price Pig Finisher Diet FEED COST AVERAGES BY REGION (PER TON) Average Price Layer Finisher Diet Africa $390.00 $425.00 $490.00 Asia Pacific $390.00 $425.00 $490.00 Europe $361.00 $346.00 $370.00 Latin America $452.00 $432.00 $476.00 Middle East ND $485.50 $573.00 North America $429.00 $413.00 $440.00 Overall Average $427.00 $430.00 $480.00 Average Price Broiler Finisher Diet ABOUT ALLTECH Founded in 1980 by Dr. Pearse Lyons, Alltech improves the health and performance of people, animals and plants through natural nutrition and scientific innovation. With more than 3,500 employees in 128 countries, the company has developed a strong regional presence in Europe, North America, Latin America, the Middle East, Africa and Asia. For further information, visit Alltech.com. For media assets, visit Alltech.com/news. The findings from this survey will form the basis of discussions at Rebelation Week May 16-20, 2015 in Lexington, Kentucky, USA 7

CONTACT US For more information on Alltech, or if you have comments on the 2015 Alltech Global Feed Survey, please contact us via e-mail at info@alltech.com with the subject line 2015 Alltech Global Feed Survey or via mail at the address below. ALLTECH 3031 Catnip Hill Road Nicholasville, Kentucky 40356 USA Tel.: 859.885.9613 Alltech.com Twitter.com/Alltech Facebook.com/AlltechNaturally