Private drilling fluid technology service leader



Similar documents
E 2013E 2014E

Leading enterprise in domestic TFT liquid crystal material market

BDI BioEnergy Intern Neutral. Activity level in Q3 might not support FY estimates

Cinda International. Hold (Initiation) Target price: HK$1.55. Facing intense competition from Chinese brokers in HK; initiate at Hold

Kingdee (268 HK) Buy (maintained) Target price: HK$3.58. Solidifying leadership in cloud services; maintain Buy but revise TP down to HK$3.

Exhibit 1: Financial summary of First Tractor in 1H12-1H14 1H12 2H12 1H13 2H13 1H14 (% YoY)

Bright Smart (1428 HK)

SOHO China (410) Buy Nov 20, Company update. 4 Acquisitions within 6 Months. Samson Man, CFA (852) samson.man@firstshanghai.com.

Satisfactory Top-Line; Disappointing Bottom-Line

DATRON AG. Investor day supports our positive view. Buy (Buy) EUR (12.50 EUR ) BANKHAUS LAMPE // 1 17/09/2015

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd. INR 135

Aksa Enerji Outperform (Maintained)

Longfor (960 HK) Unrated Real Estate Development Industry

G5 Entertainment. G5 Entertainment. Quarter Update Q3 15. Amended strategy and boosted profitability

Company Report. New China Life (1336 HK) Hold Life & Health Insurance Industry 2013E target price: HK$34.30 (from HK$24.

Background information. Changes in the shareholder structure and balance sheet. Contract with Google prolonged for two years

SK Networks ( KS)

China Property Sector Expecting lower policy risk due to stabilizing home prices

Tough Quarters Ahead, Downgrade to Reduce

2014 FIRST QUARTER RESULTS CONFERENCE CALL. May 15th, 2014

In line performance. Results update 4Q2015. Banks UAE 28 January 2016 DUBAI ISLAMIC BANK

Ituran Location & Control Ltd. In-line Quarter, Big Dividend, Maintain Outperform

Consolidated and Non-Consolidated Financial Statements

MATELAN Research. Intelligent Transportation Systems MEGATRENDS DRIVE MARKET GROWTH FINANCIALS ACCELERATING IVU AND INIT SHOW HIGHEST UPSIDES

Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect

Techno Electric & Engineering Limited

BDI BioEnergy Internat Buy

1H15 Results Review: Table-1: Chanjet s Income Statement Analysis RMB (Thousand) 1H15 1H14 YoY Comments -Sale of software 170, ,278 0.

Flexituff International Ltd. (FIL)

2015 FIRST HALF RESULTS CONFERENCE CALL. August 31st, 2015

Closed-end fund update

The Sumitomo Warehouse Co., Ltd.

Promising FY 2018 targets

Graphite Electrodes. Imposition of antidumping duty augurs well. Sector Update. ICICI Securities Ltd Retail Equity Research.

Aoyuan (3883 HK) Site visit to Guangzhou: Key takeaways

Hyundai Wia ( KS)

BUY Target: 215p. Strategic impact: cross-selling. Financial impact: good value

Mangalam Cement Weak volumes marred performance

Tupras OUTPERFORM (M) 15 February Strong 2009 results on refining side...

SOHO CHINA (410.HK) At the Key Phase of Business Transformation. Neutral (Update) HONG KONG PROPERTY COMPANY UPDATE.

Understanding Financial Information for Bankruptcy Lawyers Understanding Financial Statements

EUROPE S LEADING ONLINE FASHION DESTINATION Q4 / Full-Year 2014 Earnings Call 5 March 2015

November 4, 2015 Consolidated Financial Results for the Second Quarter of Fiscal Year 2015 (From April 1, 2015 to September 30, 2015) [Japan GAAP]

THIS CIRCULAR IS IMPORTANT AND REQUIRES YOUR IMMEDIATE ATTENTION

Britannia Industries

EUROPE S LEADING ONLINE FASHION DESTINATION Q Earnings Call 12 November 2015

euromicron AG Corrections to financial statements Hold EUR

Renminbi Depreciation and the Hong Kong Economy

Earnings Conference Call Q Update Wednesday, May 25 th 2016

Coal India Ltd. Subdued e-auction realization impacted profitability BUY. Nov. 17, 2015

Business Valuation of Sample Industries, Inc. As of June 30, 2008

Consolidated Financial Results for Fiscal Year 2013 (April 1, 2013 March 31, 2014)

Rating Action: Moody's changes Nexteer's Ba1 ratings outlook to positive Global Credit Research - 24 Nov 2015

Preliminary Consolidated Financial Statements 2015 >

Introduction of Chinese Debt Capital Market From Private Sector Perspective

INVESTMENT CASE FULLY INTACT

CMP: JUNE 2016 SWARAJ ENGINES LTD

Maruti Suzuki. Source: Company Data; PL Research

PI Industries. 2QFY16 Result Review HOLD. Custom synthesis restricted 2Q revenue growth ; maintain HOLD. Sector: AGRI

Time to reap synergies

2 September 2015 YOC AG. FIRST BERLIN Equity Research

EUROPE S LEADING ONLINE FASHION DESTINATION Q Earnings Call 12 May 2015

DETAILED Q RESULTS FOR PROVEN WINNERS

CIO Flash Chinese equities: what happens next? July 8, 2015

Summary of Consolidated Financial Results for the Year Ended March 31, 2016 (Based on Japanese GAAP)

Mouwasat Medical Services Company - Mouwasat

Oceaneering Reports First Quarter 2016 Results

Increasing estimates and PT on expectation of solid earnings momentum. Growth momentum and turnaround of insurance business

EUROPE S LEADING ONLINE FASHION DESTINATION Q3 Earnings Call 26 November 2014

CHINA ENERGY ENGINEERING CORPORATION LIMITED*

Biostime International (1112 HK) Expensive acquisition brings more challenges; maintain SELL

Interpretation of Financial Statements

DISCLOSEABLE TRANSACTION PROVISION OF ENTRUSTED LOAN TO ZHONGTIAN SYNERGETIC COMPANY

Kuehne + Nagel International AG Analyst Conference Call First quarter 2016 results. April 19, 2016 (CET 14.00) Schindellegi, Switzerland

Consolidated Financial Results for the nine months of Fiscal Year 2010

HMS Group 3 months 2015 IFRS Results Conference call presentation. 16 June 2015

FSA Note: Summary of Financial Ratio Calculations


Consolidated Financial Highlights for the Third Quarter Ended December 31, 2015 [under Japanese GAAP] SMC Corporation

HCC BUY. Infrastructure January 29, 2016

Consolidated Financial Results for the Six Months Ended September 30, 2015 [Japanese GAAP]

Year-end Dec 2013A 2014E 2015E 2016E Key data. # Priced at market close, 29/09/14

Hanwha Corp. ( KS)

Consolidated Financial Statements (For the fiscal year ended March 31, 2013)

Company Report. Ping An (2318 HK) Sell Life & Health Insurance Industry 2013E target price: HK$68.46 (from HK$58.04 previously)

price target of We reiterate our Buy rating. Figure 1: Reported figures versus forecasts Source: First Berlin Equity Research, SFC Energy AG

Summary of Financial Report for the FY ending March 2015 (Non-Consolidated)

SAF-HOLLAND Annual Financial Statements Detlef Borghardt, CEO Wilfried Trepels, CFO. March 14, 2013

Doosan Heavy I&C ( KS)

Chapters 3 and 13 Financial Statement and Cash Flow Analysis

Closing Announcement of First Quarter of the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2009

CEWE Stiftung & Co. KGaA

GAIL (India) Ltd. INR 346

Transcription:

21 March 2012 Equity Research Report Company Research Petroleum & Petrochemical Sichuan Renzhi Oilfield Technology Services (002629) Investment value analysis report Private drilling fluid technology service leader Investment Highlights A leading private drilling fluid service provider in China. Originated from the Sinopec system, the company is one of the leading enterprises in China that are able to provide integrated one-stop drilling fluid technology services. In 2011, the company took 1.5% of the drilling fluid technology service market in China, and 13.3% in Sichuan market. More than 85% of the company s core business revenue comes from Southwest China. The drilling fluid technology service market will grow along with the number of drillings. The drilling fluid technology service refers to the integrated services including the dispensing, circulation, and recycle of drilling fluid, accounting for around 5%-8% of the exploration and development investment of oil companies. The drilling fluid technology service market is positively correlated with the number of oil and gas field drillings. During the 12 th Five Year Plan period, the number of drillings in China will increase by 40% from the level in the 11 th Five Year Plan period. Thus the drilling fluid technology service market will expand by more than 30%, revealing a bright future of the market. Based in Southwest China, the company s development will be boosted by the exploitation of new market. The company values the R&D, and is able to provide special drilling fluid technology services of deep drilling and ultra-deep drilling. The company s core business is based in Southwest China. As Petro China and Sinopec made plans of 30bn cubic meters gas field and 10bn cubic meters gas field respectively in Southwest China during the 12 th Five Year Plan period, the company has great growth potential. Besides, the company has made presence in Northwest, North China, and overseas market. The proportion of revenue from areas outside Southwest China will likely grow from around 12% to 20% in the next two years. Projects financed with proceeds will boost the company s capacity and reduce the raw material costs. The proceeds raised through IPO will be mainly used in the construction of the drilling fluid technology service capacity and the transformation and expansion of the drilling fluid material production capacity. The two projects will likely be put into operation by the end of 2012E and 2013E. The company owns 38 drilling fluid technology service teams. When the projects complete, the company will have 27 more drilling fluid technology service teams, increasing its capacity by 70%, and the ratio of self-processed drilling fluid material will be raised from 35.18% to 72.16%, which will effectively reduce the raw material costs. Overweight (Initial Coverage) Current price: Rmb 19.08 Target price: Rmb 22.00 CITIC Securities Research Lili Huang Tel: 010-60838728 Email: hll@citics.com Practicing license no.: S1010510120048 Xiaodong Yin Tel: 010-60838901 Email: yinxd@citics.com Practicing license no.: S1010510120011 Contact: Chen Rong Tel: 010-60838699 Email: rongchen@citics.com Performance Relative to lndices Growth% Source: CITIC Securities Quantitative Investment Analysis System Main Data S&P/ CITIC300 (Points) 2203.5 Total equity/shares o/s (mn) S&P/CITIC 300 Sichuan Renzhi Oilfield Technology Services (002629) Equipment service 114.4/28.6 LTM High/low 24.87/14.69 1-month absolute gain 9.7% YTD Absolute gain 28% Source: CITIC Securities Quantitative Investment Analysis System Oil & gas equipments Please read the disclaimer at the end of the report

Potential risks: the company s business relies on single client; high difficulty in regional exploitation; large amount of accounts receivable. Earning forecast, valuation and investment advice. Based in Southwest China, the company is one of the leading enterprises in China that are able to provide integrated one-stop drilling fluid technology services. With the development of natural gas in Southwest China and the exploitations in new markets at home and abroad, the company will likely maintain rapid growth. We predict the company s 2011-13E EPS at Rmb0.63/Rmb0.82/Rmb1.04, with net CAGR of the next two years at 28% (with the data of 2011 as the base). We apply 27x 2012E PE to the counter, equivalent to target price of Rmb22. Initiate our coverage with OVERWEIGHT rating. 2009 2010 2011E 2012E 2013E Turnover (Rmb mn) 368 430 519 672 843 Growth rate YoY % 10.38 16.86 20.50 29.55 25.43 Net (Rmb mn) 41 60 72 94 120 Growth rate YoY% 1.49 47.12 20.06 30.08 27.00 EPS (Rmb) 0.62 0.70 0.63 0.82 1.04 Gross margin % 28.93 29.48 30.68 30.68 30.95 ROE % 21.13 25.41 10.02 11.60 12.92 cash flow per share (Rmb) 0.76 0.47 0.30 0.71 0.96 P/E 31 27 30 23 18 P/B 11.3 9.2 3.0 2.7 2.4 EV/EBITDA 37 24 20 15 12 Source: CITIC Securities Quantitative Investment Analysis System Note: Closing prices as of 20 March 2012 Please read the disclaimer at the end of the report

Income statement (Rmb mn) Balance Sheet (Rmb mn) Indicators 2009 2010 2011E 2012E 2013E Indicators 2009 2010 2011E 2012E 2013E Revenue 368 430 519 672 843 Cash and cash equivalents 110 126 564 518 500 Cost 262 303 360 466 582 Inventory 32 42 50 65 81 Gross Margin 28.9% 29.5% 30.7% 30.7% 30.9% Accounts receivable 149 198 233 306 385 Business tax and Other current 5 4 5 7 8 surcharges 10 21 28 37 46 28 26 31 40 50 Current 301 387 876 925 1013 7.7% 5.9% 6.0% 5.9% 5.9% Fixed 37 61 63 131 219 Administrative Long term equity 27 31 39 50 64 investments 12 18 18 18 18 Administrative 7.4% 7.2% 7.5% 7.5% 7.6% Intangible 5 10 10 11 11 Finance Other long term 2 1 (2) (3) (3) 19 7 5 45 55 Finance Non-current 0.6% 0.2% -0.3% -0.4% -0.3% 74 95 96 204 303 Investment (2) 4 2 0 0 Total 374 483 972 1129 1316 42 67 86 111 140 Short term loans 0 0 0 0 0 margin 11.5% 15.6% 16.6% 16.5% 16.6% Accounts payable 118 130 162 212 268 Non-operating Other current 0 2 1 1 1 63 111 83 101 118 Non-operating expense 1 0 2 1 0 Current 180 240 245 313 386 Income-total 42 69 85 111 141 Long term 0 5 5 5 5 Income tax 1 9 13 17 21 Other long term 0 0 0 0 0 Income tax ratio 2.1% 13.3% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% Non-current 0 5 5 5 5 Minority shareholders (0) (0) 0 0 0 Total 180 245 250 318 391 interests Net profit attributable to 41 60 72 94 120 Share capital 86 86 114 114 114 parent company Net Profit 11.1% 14.0% 14.0% 14.0% 14.2% Capital reserves 29 29 417 417 417 Total shareholders 194 237 722 812 925 equity Minority interest 0 (0) (0) (0) (0) Total and Cash flow statement (Rmb mn) shareholders' 374 483 972 1129 1316 equity Indicators 2009 2010 2011E 2012E 2013E Pre-tax profit 42 69 85 111 141 Key financial indicators 2009 2010 2011E 2012E 2013E Income tax paid -1-9 -13-17 -21 Growth rate (%) Depreciation & amortization 7 8 10 16 23 revenue 10.4% 16.9% 20.5% 29.6% 25.4% Changes in working capital 30-2 -46-28 -32 profit 4.5% 58.2% 28.2% 28.6% 26.1% Others 8-12 -2-1 -1 Net profit 1.5% 47.1% 20.1% 30.1% 27.0% cash flow 87 54 34 81 109 Profit margin (%) Capital expenditure -9-15 -12-125 -123 Gross margin 28.9% 29.5% 30.7% 30.7% 30.9% Investment -2 4 2 0 0 EBIT Margin 11.9% 16.4% 16.1% 16.0% 16.4% Disposal of EBITDA Margin 13.9% 18.3% 18.1% 18.4% 19.1% Others 7-6 0 0 0 Net margin 11.1% 14.0% 14.0% 14.0% 14.2% Please read the disclaimer at the end of the report 21 March 2012 1

Cash flow from investments -3-17 -10-125 -123 Rate of return (%) Equity issuance 43 0 416 0 0 ROE 21.1% 25.4% 10.0% 11.6% 12.9% Changes in 0 5 0 0 0 ROTA 10.9% 12.4% 7.4% 8.3% 9.1% Dividends payout 0 0-4 -5-6 Others (%) Other -53-26 2 3 3 Debt-to-asset ratio 48.2% 50.9% 25.7% 28.1% 29.7% Financing cash flow -10-21 414-2 -3 Income tax rate 2.1% 13.3% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% Indicators 74 16 438-46 -17 Dividend yield 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% Source: CITIC Securities Quantitative Investment Analysis System Please read the disclaimer at the end of the report 21 March 2012 2

Analyst Certification The analysts primarily responsible for the preparation of all or part of the research report contained herein hereby certify that: (i) the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the personal views of each such analyst about the subject securities and issuers; and (ii) no part of the analyst s compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this research report. Disclaimer The report is not intended for distribution to, or any distribution, publication, availability or use by, any person who is a citizen or resident of, or located in any locality, country or other jurisdiction, which would cause CITIC Securities Company Limited and its affiliates (collectively, CITIC Securities ) to be in violation of the relevant laws and regulations in such jurisdictions or to be subject to such laws and regulations in such jurisdictions. All materials contained herein, unless otherwise specifically stipulated, are under the copyright of CITIC Securities. None of the report, its materials contained herein or its content, may be altered, transmitted, or copied in any way, without the prior express written consent of CITIC Securities. All trademarks, service marks and logos used herein are trademarks, service marks and logos held by CITIC Securities. This report is confidential, and only for the use of the recipient. The information, material and tools contained herein are provided for your reference only and are not to be used or considered as an offer or an invitation for offer to sell, to buy or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. CITIC Securities will not deem the recipient as its clients by reason of their receiving this report. The sources of information and opinions contained herein have been believed by CITIC Securities to be reliable, but CITIC Securities makes no representation, warranty or guarantee as to their accuracy or completeness. CITIC Securities assumes no liability for any losses or damages arising from the use of the material contained herein unless such liability is stipulated under specific laws or regulations. Any securities referred to herein may involve significant risk, may be illiquid and may not be suitable for al investors. The prices, values and s of the securities or financial instruments referred to herein may decline or increase. Past performance shall not be considered as a reliable indication of future performance. Information, opinions and estimates contained herein reflect a judgment of the analyst at the date of its original publication by CITIC Securities and are subject to changes without notification, and also may be different from or contrary to the opinions presented by the other business departments, units or affiliates of CITIC Securities, as different assumptions and standards, different views and analytical methods may be adopted in the preparation of such other materials, and CITIC Securities is under no obligation to bring such other materials to the attention of any recipient of this report. The report contained herein neither constitutes personal investment advice or recommendation nor considers individual clients specific investment targets, financial standing or needs. Recipients should consider if any of the opinions or advice contained herein are relevant to their individual circumstances, and should make their own independent evaluation of the information contained in this research report, consider their own individual investment objectives and financial situation and consult their own financial, tax and legal advisers, as necessary, before deciding whether to enter in to a transaction in the securities of any companies covered in this report. While certain divisions of CITIC Securities may be in possession of material non-public information, CITIC Securities has implemented structural safeguards, including appropriate information barriers, so that such information is not disclosed to research analysts. Compensation of analysts who prepared this research report is determined solely by the management of research department and senior management of CITIC Securities. Compensation of analysts is not decided based on revenue of CITIC Securities Investment Banking business but may be linked with overall revenue of its Investment Bank business, including investment banking, sales and trading businesses. To the extent permitted by applicable laws, one of or more of CITIC Securities directors, executives or employees (including those that participated in preparing and distributing this report) may 1) establish or maintain investment banking, securities or advisory service relationships with any of the companies mentioned in the report, 2) have provided recommendations and investment services to any of the companies mentioned herein. To the extent permitted by applicable laws, one of or more of CITIC Securities directors, executives or employees may serve as one of the members of the board of directors of companies mentioned herein. To the extent permitted by applicable laws, CITIC Securities may participate in or invest in financial transactions of companies mentioned herein, and provide services to or receive services from such companies, and/or hold or trade securities thereof or options thereon. If any financial institution other than CITIC Securities distributes this report, then this financial institution should be independently responsible for its distribution. That financial institution s clients should contact that institution if they intend to trade securities mentioned herein or require additional information. This report does not constitute CITIC Securities investment advice for clients of the financial institution that distributes this report. CITIC Securities directors, executives and employees do not assume any liability for direct or indirect losses or damages incurred by clients of that financial institution distributing this report using this report and content contained herein. CITIC Securities Limited Company and Subsidiaries and Affiliates 2011 copyright. All rights reserved. As per securities businesses license issued by CSRC, scope of businesses of CITIC Securities includes securities investment advisory service. Notes on Ratings 1. Comparison Standard for Investment Recommendations Investment ratings are divided into stock ratings and industry ratings. The comparison standard is the market performance over the 6-month period upon the report issuance day with appreciations and depreciations of company stock prices (or industry indexes) over the 6-month period upon the report issuance day compared to S&P/CITIC 300 of the same period as the benchmark; 2. Ratings Standard for Investment Recommendations Appreciations or depreciations of company stock prices (or industry indexes) over the 6-month period upon the report issuance day compared to S&P/CITIC 300 of the same period. Stock ratings Industry ratings Ratings Description Buy Relative performance over CITIC/S&P 300 Index >20%; Overweight Relative performance over CITIC/S&P 300 Index 5% ~ 20% Hold Relative performance over CITIC/S&P 300 Index -10% ~ 5% Sell Relative performance over CITIC/S&P 300 Index > -10%; Outperform Relative performance over CITIC/S&P 300 Index >10%; Neutral Relative performance over CITIC/S&P 300 Index -10% ~10%; Underperform Relative performance over CITIC/S&P 300 Index > -10%; Add: Beijing Shanghai Shenzhen CITIC Securities Tower, NO.48 Liangmaqiao Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100125, China. 22/FL, China Fortune Tower, 1568 Century Avenue, Pudong, Shanghai (200122) CITIC Securities Mansion, No.8 Zhong Xin San Road, Futian District, Shenzhen(518048) CITIC Securities Company Limited International 26Fl.,CITIC Tower, No.1 Tim Mei Avenue, Central, Hong Kong Foreign Broker-Dealer Disclosures for Distributing to the U.S. This report has been produced in its entirety by CITIC Securities Limited Company ( CITIC Securities, regulated by the China Securities Regulatory Commission. Securities Business License Number: Z20374000). This report is being distributed in the United States by CITIC Securities pursuant to Rule 15a-6(a) (2) under the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934 exclusively to major U.S. institutional investors as defined in Rule 15a-6 and the SEC no-action letters thereunder.