This note provides an overview of new data on MSME (micro, small, and medium enterprise)



Similar documents
The new gold standard? Empirically situating the TPP in the investment treaty universe

A new metrics for the Economic Complexity of countries and products

Figure 1.1 The Parade of World Income. Copyright 2005 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 1-1

Bringing Up Incentives: A Look at the Determinants of Poverty. Alice Sheehan

Does Absolute Latitude Explain Underdevelopment?

The Fall of the Final Mercantilism

Economic Growth: the role of institutions

Natural Resources and Development in the Middle East and North Africa: An Alternative Perspective

Addressing institutional issues in the Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper process

Today s tips for the Country Buy Report

Economic Complexity and the Wealth of Nations

Building Capacity in PFM

THE QUALITY OF GOVERNMENT CA FOSCARI INTERNATIONAL LECTURE

Infrastructure and Economic. Norman V. Loayza, World ldbank Rei Odawara, World Bank

Movement and development. Australian National University Jan. 17, 2013 Michael Clemens

Ken Jackson. January 31st, 2013

International Investment Patterns. Philip R. Lane WBI Seminar, Paris, April 2006

Addressing The Marketing Problem of the Social Market Economy

Human Resources for Health Why we need to act now

Trade and International Integration: A Developing Program of Research

The distribution of household financial contributions to the health system: A look outside Latin America and the Caribbean

China: How to maintain balanced growth? Ricardo Hausmann Kennedy School of Government Harvard University

Financial services and economic development

NGO PERSPECTIVE: FROM WORDS TO DEEDS

Subjective Well-Being, Income, Economic Development and Growth

Fear of flying: Policy stances in a troubled world economy

Trade Policy Restrictiveness in Transportation Services

Institutional Change and Growth-Enabling Governance Capabilities

Deep Roots of Comparative Development

Governance, Rule of Law and Transparency Matters: BRICs in Global Perspective

TRADE WATCH DATA JANUARY T RVSFRRTVL

Estimating Global Migration Flow Tables Using Place of Birth Data

Subjective Well Being, Income, Economic Development and Growth

Macroeconomics II. Growth

Finance, Growth & Opportunity. Implications for policy

Lecture 9: Institutions, Geography and Culture. Based on Acemoglu s L. Robbins lectures

Incen%ves The Good, the Bad and the Ugly

2006/SOM1/ACT/WKSP/007a Recasting Governance for the XXI Century - Presentation

How To Understand The World'S Governance

Infrastructure and Economic Growth in Egypt

ECON 260 Theories of Economic Development. Instructor: Jorge Agüero. Fall Lecture 1 September 29,

DEPENDENT ELITES IN POST- SOCIALISM: ARE LAND-BASED POST- COLONIAL SYSTEMS SO DIFFERENT FROM THE TRANSCONTINENTAL ONES? by Pal TAMAS [Institute of

Economic Growth: The Neo-classical & Endogenous Story

Lecture 21: Institutions II

Life-cycle Human Capital Accumulation Across Countries: Lessons From U.S. Immigrants

Political Economy of Growth

Trends in global income inequality and their political implications

Export Survival and Comparative Advantage

Geography and Economic Transition

Industrial Policy, Capabilities, and Growth: Where does the Future of Singapore lie? Jesus Felipe Asian Development Bank

Outline 4/22/2011. Koc University April, 2011

Tripartite Agreements for MEPC.2/Circ. Lists 1, 3, 4 received by IMO following issuance of MEPC.2/Circ.20

In Defense of Wall Street - Does Finance Cause Creative Destruction?

SUMMARY REPORT OF THE 2013 UIS INNOVATION DATA COLLECTION

Institute for Development Policy and Management (IDPM)

Lecture 12 The Solow Model and Convergence. Noah Williams

Evaluation with stylized facts

Does Export Concentration Cause Volatility?

Relative Prices and Sectoral Productivity

Tripartite Agreements for MEPC.2/Circ. Lists 1, 3, 4 received by IMO following issuance of MEPC.2/Circ.21

Informality in Latin America and the Caribbean

Cisco Global Cloud Index Supplement: Cloud Readiness Regional Details

FDI performance and potential rankings. Astrit Sulstarova Division on Investment and Enterprise UNCTAD

The Macroeconomic Implications of Financial Globalization

Rodolfo Debenedetti Lecture

Design of efficient redistributive fiscal policy

Accounting For Cross-Country Income Di erences

Subjective Well Being and Income: Is There Any Evidence of Satiation? *

The Effects of Infrastructure Development on Growth and Income Distribution

Informality in Latin America and the Caribbean

Specialization Patterns in International Trade

IFC s SECURED TRANSACTIONS AND COLLATERAL REGISTRIES PROGRAM. Alejandro Alvarez & Everett Wohlers, WBG IACA Conference Denver, June 21, 2009

Migration and Remittances: Top Countries

Good Governance and its benefits on economic Development

COMPLEXITY AND INDUSTRIAL POLICY

Diversification versus Polarization: Role of industrial policy in Asia and the Pacific

A Survey of Securities Laws and Enforcement

Measuring the Pollution Terms of Trade with Technique Effects

Online Appendix to The Missing Food Problem: Trade, Agriculture, and International Income Differences

Growing Together with Growth Polarization and Income Inequality

Consolidated International Banking Statistics in Japan

Rethinking the Wealth of Nations. Daron Acemoglu, MIT FEEM Lecture, December 14, 2009.

FEDERATION INTERNATIONALE DE GYMNASTIQUE

Fertility Convergence

Bangladesh Visa fees for foreign nationals

Summary of Quota allocation as per

Department of Economics

EC 2725 April Law and Finance. Effi Benmelech Harvard & NBER

The contribution of trade in financial services to economic growth and development. Thorsten Beck

First Credit Bureau Conference

Country Risk Classifications of the Participants to the Arrangement on Officially Supported Export Credits

Inequality of Opportunity in Educational Achievements

PART TWO POLICIES FOR ADJUSTMENT AND GROWTH

The Role of Trade in Structural Transformation

The Shift to Government Banking:

MEDAL STANDINGS. WU23CH Racice, Czech Republic July As of SUN 26 JUL INTERNET Service:

Employment, Structural Change, and Economic Development. Dani Rodrik March 15, 2012

Human Rights and Governance: The Empirical Challenge. Daniel Kaufmann World Bank Institute.

Redistribution. E. Glen Weyl. Lecture 11 Turbo Section Elements of Economic Analysis II Fall University of Chicago

Non-market strategy under weak institutions

Transcription:

Micro, Small, and Enterprises World Bank / IFC MSME Country Indicators 21 Micro, Small, and Enterprises Around the World: How Many Are There, and What Affects the Count? Khrystyna Kushnir, Melina Laura Mirmulstein, and Rita Ramalho This note provides an overview of new data on MSME (micro, small, and medium enterprise) Country Indicators for 132 economies. There are 125 million formal MSMEs in this set of economies, including 89 million in emerging markets. Descriptive statistical analysis is presented on the relationship between formal MSME density (number of formally registered MSMEs per 1, people) and key obstacles for MSMEs, such as access to finance and informality. This analysis shows that formal MSMEs are more common in high-income economies, but that in lowand middle-income economies, MSME density is rising at a faster pace. Second, although there is significant variance in the countries definitions of MSMEs, around a third of the countries covered define MSMEs as having up to 25 employees. Third, formal MSMEs employ more than one-third of the world s labor force, but the percentage drops significantly with income level. Fourth, MSMEs are more likely to identify access to finance as their biggest obstacle than are large firms. In fact, in economies with a higher percentage of firms with no formal credit, MSME density is lower. Finally, a larger informal sector is associated with lower formal MSME density. Measures of barriers to firm entry and exit, such as the minimum capital requirement and the recovery rate in case of bankruptcy, are also associated with lower formal MSME density. MSME Country Indicators MSME Country Indicators record the number of formally registered MSMEs across 132 economies. This database is current as of August 21 and expands on the January 27 Micro, Small, and Enterprises: A Collection of Published Data edition. The new data can be found at http://www.ifc.org/msmecountryindicators More specifically, the MSME Country Indicators database contains information on the following: The total number of formal MSMEs in the economy and the number of MSMEs per 1, people (MSME density); A breakdown into micro, small, and medium enterprises based on the number of employees, where such data is available, or based on other variables such as annual sales; 1 The formal MSME share in total employment; The income group of the economy based on GNI per capita, based on the World Bank Atlas method (from the World Development Indicators); Time series data going back 2 years for some economies, for the following variables: the number of formally registered MSMEs, MSME density, breakdown by size of MSMEs, and MSME share in total employment; and Estimates of the number of MSMEs in the informal sector for 16 economies. The dataset presents data originally collected by each of the economies included in the sample. All the country sources are listed in the database, the most common being national statistical institutes or special government agencies that monitor and administer programs for MSMEs. As the data was originally collected by different countries, there are limitations regarding the extent to

which the data can be standardized. Where possible, MSMEs are defined as follows: micro enterprises: 1 9 employees; small: 1 49 employees; and medium: 5 249 employees. However, in the majority of countries, this definition did not match the local definition, in which cases the local definition took precedence. Only firms with at least one employee are included. Of the 132 economies covered, 46 economies define MSMEs as those enterprises having up to 25 employees. For 29 economies, variables other than total employment are used or an MSME definition is not available (Figure 1). Among such other variables are the number of employees differentiated by industry, annual turnover, and investment. Not surprisingly, the overwhelming majority of formal MSMEs globally are micro enterprises, with 83 percent of all MSMEs in this category. 2 The data covers only the formal registered sector (except for 16 economies where data is available). This is an important limitation given that informal MSMEs, especially in developing countries, often outnumber formal MSMEs many times over. For example, in India in 27, there were fewer than 1.6 million registered MSMEs and 26 million unregistered MSMEs, that is, about 17 unregistered MSMEs for every registered one. Important lessons were drawn from the MSME data while building the MSME Country Indicators, in particular the following: Number of Employees Figure 1 <499 <299 <25 <2 <149 <1 <79 <6 <5 <19 Distribution of the MSME Definition by Number of Employees A third of the economies (out of 132 covered) define MSMEs as having up to 25 employees. East Asia and the Pacific [1] Europe and Central Asia [14] High-income: OECD members [28] Latin America and the Caribbean [15] Middle East and North Africa [9] High-income: Non-OECD economies [14] South Asia [3] Sub-Saharan Africa [1] 1 2 3 4 5 Number of Economies Note: Name of the region [#] signifies the number of economies from the region included in the analysis. The figure uses data from 13 economies. 3 MSME data are not always standardized across countries and time. Data on MSMEs are gathered by various institutions using different methods. These institutions define MSMEs based on differing variables and scales and sometimes change their definitions. EUROSTAT s Structural Business Statistics provides the best example of regional coordination and harmonization of MSME data. In order to have comparable MSME data, the following steps could be taken: Economies should be surveyed using a unified and standardized method; Institutions in charge of gathering MSME data should coordinate with each other regarding the variables and methods used to determine the size of the MSME sector. These actions can be taken first at the regional level and secondly expanded to the global level. In return, economies would reap the benefits of a cross-country and time-series analysis of MSMEs contribution to development. MSME data on the informal sector are scarce and are not comparable across countries. This is due to differences in the definition of the informal sector and in estimation methods. Estimates of the informal sector are needed in order to make a comprehensive evaluation of the MSMEs contribution to economic development. This data gap could be filled by surveying MSMEs operating in the informal sector or by encouraging institutions that collect MSME data on the formal sector to also develop estimates of the size of the informal sector. Time series data is not always available. However, it is crucial for future evaluation of the reforms of business regulations. Some institutions collect data on MSMEs only in selected sectors, most often in manufacturing. This limits the possibilities of evaluating MSMEs contribution to gross domestic product (GDP) or employment. For more details on the methodology, please refer to Methodology note on the MSME Country Indicators. 4 Where are MSMEs Most Common? In the 132 economies covered, there are 125 million formal MSMEs of which 89 million operate in emerging markets. These results are in line with a recent study published by IFC and McKinsey & Company in 21, Two Trillion and Counting, which found that there are between 8 and 1 million formal MSMEs in emerging markets. 2

Figure 2 Across the World Europe and Central Asia [18] 6,667,715 MSMEs High-income: OECD members [29] 36,878,28 MSMEs Middle East and North Africa [7] 4,488,767 MSMEs South Asia [3] 7,451,83 MSMEs East Asia and the Pacific [11] 39,293,783 MSMEs Latin America and the Caribbean [16] 13,763,465 MSMEs Sub-Saharan Africa [13] 13,154,122 MSMEs High-income: Non-OECD economies [19] 1,848,282 MSMEs MSMEs per 1, people 1-1 11-2 21-3 31-4 41-5 51 and above No data avilable Sources: MSME Country Indicators. Note: Name of region [#] signifies the number of economies from the region included in the analysis. The figure uses the most recent data available after the year 2. The figure use data for 116 economies. 5 On average, there are 31 MSMEs per 1, people across the 132 economies covered. The five countries with the highest formal MSME density are as follows: Brunei Figure 3 and Income per Capita Darussalam (122), Indonesia (1), Paraguay (95), the Czech Republic (85), and Ecuador (84)., economies with higher income per capita tend to have more formal MSMEs per 1, people (Figure 3). This result is in line with data previously presented in the literature. Klapper et al. (28) find that business density (which includes both MSMEs and large firms) is positively correlated with Economies with higher income per capita tend to have more MSMEs per 1, people. Figure 4 Median by Region 1 8 MWI JAM MUS CZE GRC The regional distribution of MSME density is in line with income level distribution. 6 4 2 NGA KOR ESP HUN NOR CYP KEN HND ARM CHL JFN BH LTU CHE MF HKGERA MNE POL AUS URY VNM THA TUR EST NZL AUT EGY COL MLD SLV BWA SAU ISR WBG MAR JOR TJK BER BGD YEM AZE MKD BRA ROM DEUIRL PAK DZA KYZ HRV PTO ARE UZB MDA SRB KWT PH CRI ARG UKR RUS STK RWA LAO TMP CMR BLR DOM LBN VEN OMN MOZ KCZ SDN IND 6 8 1 12 GNI per Capita, Atlas Method (log) Sources: MSME Country Indicators, World Development Indicators. Note: The results of the regression are statistically significant at the 5 percent level. The figure uses the most recent data available after the year 2. The figure uses data from 19 economies. 6 Median 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 Sub-Saharan Africa [14] East Asia & the Pacific [11] South Asia [3] Europe & Central Asia [18] Middle East & North Africa [7] High-Income: Non-OECD economies [19] Latin America & the Caribbean [16] High-Income: OECD members [29] Note: Name of the region [#] signifies the number of economies from the region included in the analysis. The figure uses the most recent data available from 117 economies 7 after the year 2. 3

income per capita. It is important to note that the analysis presented in this note refers only to correlations and that no causal inferences should therefore be made. The regional distribution of MSME density is in line with the income level distribution. Consequently, Sub-Saharan Africa and high-income OECD economies are at opposite ends of the spectrum with regard to MSME density (Figure 4). Somewhat surprisingly, Latin America and the Caribbean have more MSMEs per 1, people than non-oecd high-income economies. However, once the countries that are heavily dependent on mineral resources (United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Oman, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia) are excluded from the sample, the MSME density for non-oecd high-income economies is at a similar level to that for Latin America and the Caribbean. Globally, the number of MSMEs per 1, people grew by 6 percent per year from 2 to 29 (Figure 5). Europe and Central Asia experienced the biggest boom, with 15 percent growth. Such a fast pace may have resulted from the continuation of post-soviet privatization in these economies. Another possible contributing factor may be the accession of the Eastern European economies to the European Union (EU). When considering the MSME growth rate from the standpoint of income per capita (Figure 6), high- income economies grew three times slower than low-income economies and five times slower than lower-middleincome economies. This could be explained by the fact that high-income economies start from a higher base, which is why the growth rate appears slower. In fact, even when taking into account differences in income level, economies with lower bases grow at higher rates. 8 Only low-income economies do not follow the pattern of higher income slower growth rate when compared to middle-income economies, which could be because the informal sector absorbs more MSMEs in low-income economies than in upper- and lower-middle-income countries. In the high-income economies, MSMEs are not only denser in the business structure, but also employ a higher percentage of the workforce. In half of the high-income economies covered, formal MSMEs employed at least 45 percent of the workforce, compared to only 27 percent in low-income economies (Figure 7). These indicators highlight the importance of MSMEs to economic development and job creation. Formal MSMEs employ more than one-third of the global population, contributing around 33 percent of employment in developing economies. From a regional perspective (Figure 8), East Asia and the Pacific have the highest ratio of MSME employment to total employment. This is mainly driven by China, where formal MSMEs account for 8 percent of total employment. The low ratio of formal MSME employment to total employment in South Asia could be explained by the fact that in the three countries covered, Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan, the informal sector is large. Annual MSME Growth Rate Figure 5 18 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 High-Income: Non-OECD economies [9] MSME Growth by Region, 2-29 Globally, MSMEs grew at a rate of 6 percent per year from 2 to 29. Latin America & the Caribbean [5] Sub-Saharan Africa [2] High-Income: OECD members [24] Global [6] East Asia & the Pacific [4] Middle East & North Africa [2] Europe & Central Asia [14] Figure 6 Annual MSME Growth Rate 12 1 8 6 4 2 High [26] MSME Growth Rate by Income Group, 2-29 The MSME growth rate is three times lower in high-income economies, than in low-income economies. Upper-middle [13] Income Group Lower-midlle [15] Low [6] Note: Name of the region [#] signifies the number of economies from the region included in the analysis. The figure uses data for 6 economies. Data on economies that met the next criteria were included in the analysis: (i) if the MSME definition remained unchanged from 2 to 29; (ii) if there were data available for both time periods of 2 24 and 25 29. Note: Name of the income group [#] signifies the number of economies from the income group included in the analysis. The figure uses data from 6 economies. Data on economies which met the next criteria were included in the analysis: (i) if the MSME definition remained unchanged from 2 to 29; (ii) if there were available data in both time intervals of 2-24 and 25-29. 4

Figure 7 Median MSME Employment 5 4 3 2 1 High [39] Median MSME Employment (percentage of the total) by Income Group Formal MSMEs employ more than one third of the world s labor force, but the percentage drops significantly with income level. Upper-middle [26} Income Group Lower-midlle [18] Source: MSME Country Indicators, World Development Indicators database. Note: Name of the income group [#] signifies the number of economies from the income group included in the analysis. The figure uses the most recent data available after the year 2. The figure uses data from 13 economies. 9 The results of the regression are statistically significant at the 5 percent level. Low [2] Key Obstacles for Firms and their Connection to The World Bank Enterprise Surveys dataset was used to identify the biggest obstacles for firms worldwide. This dataset covers 98 countries, using the same sampling and surveying methodology. It produces representative estimates for the non-agriculture private sector economy and allows for comparisons of firms of different sizes within a country and globally. The Enterprise Survey data covers several aspects of the business environment and includes both objective and perception-based questions. Among other things, Enterprise Surveys measure the biggest obstacles for firms of all sizes from a list of 15 potential obstacles. In the Enterprise Surveys dataset, firms are divided into the following categories: small (5 to 9 employees), medium (1 to 99 employees), and large (1 or more employees). Although this categorization may not match the country-level definitions used in the MSME Country Indicators database, the information presented in Enterprise Surveys can still be indicative of the key obstacles facing small and medium-sized firms. Figure 8 MSME Employment vs. Total Employment In China, MSMEs provide 8 percent of the total employment, driving East Asia and the Pacific to be the leader in the ratio of MSME employment to total employment. Figure 9 Six Most Commonly Cited Obstacles by Firms (out of 15) Electricity and access to finance are the two most cited obstacles for businesses in developing countries, and access to finance affects small businesses much more than it does medium and large businesses. Number of People Employed (in millions) 1,2 1, 8 6 4 2 South Asia Middle East Europe & Latin America High-Income: Sub-Saharan High-Income: East Asia % of Firms Identifying Obstacle X as the Biggest Obstacle 18 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 [3] & North Africa Central Asia & the Caribbean Non-OECD Africa OECD & the Pacific [6] [16] [13] MSME Employment economies [8] members [18] [28] Total Employment [1] Electricity Access to Finance Practices of the Informal Sector Tax Rates Political Instability Corruption Note: Regions are grouped in ascending order based on the ratio of the MSME employment to total employment. Name of the region [#] signifies the number of economies from the region included in the analysis. For the following economies the number of employed by the MSMEs was calculated from the reported percentage of the total employment: Armenia, China, Ecuador, Ghana, Iceland, Israel, Jamaica, Nigeria, Myanmar, Malawi, Malaysia, Pakistan, Singapore, Peru, Uzbekistan and South Africa. The figure uses the most recent data available after the year 2, from 12 economies. 1 Source: Enterprise Surveys Dataset. Note: The data cover 98 countries. The 15 obstacles are access to finance; access to land; business licensing and permits; corruption; courts; crime, theft and disorder; customs and trade regulations; electricity; inadequately educated workforce; labor regulations; political instability; practices of competitors in the informal sector; tax administration; tax rates and transport. 5

Figure 1 and Enterprises Unserved by the Credit Institutions The smaller the percentage of financially unserved firms, the higher the formal MSME density on average. Figure 11 and SME Lending/ GDP MSME density increases with SME lending. 1 1 8 6 4 2 ESP HUN NOR CHI ARM FIN BEL FRA LTUHND SWEBOK ZAF TUR URY VNM MEX NLD COL SLV BWA LVA PER BRA DEO RUN NFL TJK HRV MUS SRB ARG MDA PHL UKR RWA BFA KGZ AZE 2 4 6 8 Micro, Small and Enterprises Unserved by the Credit Institutions (weighted average (percentage of firms)) UZB CMR YEM UGA GHA MOZ 8 6 4 2 JAM MWI NGA CZE GRC HUN CYP MUS ESP KEN CHL ARM HKG OHL FRA POL FIN MNE ZAF AUS SWE MEX URY TUR AUTOGP BWA COL EGY SLV USR MAR JOR TJK PER AZE ROM MK DEU YEM DZA KAZ HRV TTO ARG SRH AWT LAG UGA PHLTUS UKR SDN AND TUN MYS BGD BEL CAN EST THA JPN DNK KOR.2.4.6 SME Lending/GDP NZL LVA NLD Source: MSME Country Indicators, IFC and McKinsey & Company 21. Note: The results are statistically significant at the 5 percent level, while controlling for GNI per capita (log) and if an outlier Indonesia is dropped. The figure uses data from 52 economies. Included economies: (i) covered in both databases; (ii) data were not extrapolated; (iii) with available GNI per capita, Atlas method. Source: MSME Country Indicators, Financial Access 21 (Consultative Group to Assist the Poor (CGAP)). Note: The figure uses data from 11 economies. The results of the regression are statistically significant at the 5 percent level. When controlling for GNI per capita, Atlas method (log), the results are not statistically significant at the 5 percent level. Data for some countries were estimated by the CGAP. Included economies: (i) covered in both databases; (ii) with available GNI per capita, Atlas method. When presented with a list of 15 possible obstacles, electricity and access to finance are the two most-cited by businesses in developing countries (Figure 9). Firms of different sizes rank obstacles differently. Access to electricity is a significant constraint overall and affects small, medium, and large enterprises alike. However, more small businesses list access to finance as their biggest obstacle than do medium enterprises, and fewer large firms see it as their biggest obstacle. On the other hand, political instability is more often identified as the biggest obstacle by large firms than by small ones. It should be borne in mind that this information is based on the perceptions of firms and that it is therefore important to check if it is corroborated by objective measures: Are MSMEs in fact more common where they have easier access to credit? Are they more common where the informal sector is smaller? Access to Finance Formal MSME density is on average higher in countries where the percentage of financially unserved firms that is, those that would like to have a loan or overdraft, but do not have one is smaller (Figure 1). This finding matches the firm-level data that identifies access to finance as one of the most commonly cited obstacles, in particular by small and medium enterprises (SMEs). MSME density is not only correlated with whether or not credit is used, but how much. MSME density is lower in economies where MSMEs have some access to credit, but where it is not sufficient (underserved). Furthermore, where SME lending (as a share of GDP) increases, MSME density also increases (Figure 11). Practices of Informal Sector and Corruption Competition from the informal sector and corruption among government officials also pose significant challenges for firms. Objective measures of the size of the informal sector, barriers to entry into and exit from the formal market, and the existence of informal payments shed light on the importance of these obstacles to the existence of MSMEs. First, the larger the informal sector in an economy, the lower the formal MSME density (Figure 12). This is likely due to the fact that most MSMEs are more likely to operate in the informal/ 6

Figure 12 and Shadow Economy Where the shadow economy is larger, there are fewer MSMEs participating in the formal economy. Figure 14 and Closing a Business Recovery Rate Where the recovery rate of investment in case of bankruptcy is lower, there are fewer formal MSMEs. 1 15 8 6 4 2 CZE NOR MLT MUSGRC ESP KOR HUN JAM MWI JPN CHL KEN CHE FRA FIN LTU SWL BEL HND AUG POL ZAF NUL SGP NODCAN VNM MEX EST SAI USR BWA EGY VAL SLV JOR MAR PER IRL USA DEU MYS ROM YEM BRA HDP PAK KAZ ARE TTO SVK KWT ARG CRI MDA PMLRUS RWA UKR UGA OMN LAOCMR IND DOM TUN BEA CHA 2 4 6 8 1 SDN BRN EZU CZE BLZ MWI MUS GRC JAM NGA ESP KOR HUN CYP NOR 5 CHL HND KENBIH JPN POL ARMFRACHE ETU EST URY MNE SWE THA BCR MEX AUTSZL AUS HKO BEL EIM DNK LVA SLV SAU ISR COL NLD SGP BWA CAN WBG BEL JOR MAR BRA MKD BGD YEM MYS DEU PAK TTO ARE GTM USA IRL PHL UZB GLR RWA JKR SRARUS KWT SVK LMO KHM VENNOMKOZ MOD LBN TZA CMR BLROMN UGA 2 4 6 8 1 Size of the Shadow Economy (percentage of GDP), 25 Closing a Business: Recovery Rate (Cents on the dollar) Source: MSME Country Indicators, Buehn and Schneider (29). Note: The figure uses data from 88 economies. The results of the regression are statistically significant at the 5 percent level. When controlling for GNI per capita, Atlas method (log), the results are not statistically significant at the 5 percent level. Included economies: (i) covered in both databases; (ii) with available GNI per capita, Atlas method. Figure 13 1 8 6 4 2 ESP GRC HUN NOR and Minimum Capital Requirement for Starting a Business CZE BIH HND CHE LTU POREST BEL SVE DNK MEX TUR AUT LVA NLD MARJOR TJK KAZ HRV DZA GTM SRB UZB SVK PUL GHA Where it is required to have more minimum capital to start a business, there are fewer MSMEs. KHM LBN KWT UKR CMR 5 1 15 2 Source: MSME Country Indicators, Doing Business Index 21. Note: The results of the regression are statistically significant at the 5 percent level, controlling for GNI per capita, Atlas method (log). The figure uses data from 113 economies. 12 unregistered sector in countries where the informal sector is large. Second, in economies where it is more costly to start or close a formal business, the density of formal MSMEs is lower. Specifically, the minimum capital for Starting a Business and the recovery rate for Closing a Business are strongly correlated with MSME density (Figures 13 and 14). In other words, in economies where more minimum capital is required to start a business and where it is harder to recover investments in case of closure of the business, formal MSME density is lower. Finally, corruption is negatively associated with MSME density, as evidenced by lower MSME density in countries where firms are more frequently asked to make informal payments (bribes) to government officials (Figure 15). Starting a Business: Minimum Capital (precentage of the income per capita) Source: MSME Country Indicators, Doing Business Index 21. Note: The results of the regression are statistically significant at the 1 percent level, controlling for GNI per capita, Atlas method (log). The figure uses data from 47 economies. 11 7

Figure 15 1 8 6 4 2 ESP MUS MWI HUN and Percentage of Firms Expected to Make Informal Payments Where there is more corruption, there are fewer MSMEs participating in the formal economy. CZE JAM GRC BIH HND ARM LTU CHL MNE POL ZAF EST URY TUR MEX OOL LVAGUY BWI SLV WBC PER MAI JOR IRL BRA ROM HRV KAZ GTM SVK SRB MDA CRI PHL ARO UKR RUS RWA TMP LBN BLR BFA COMOMN MOZ LAO GHA TJK PAK 2 4 6 8 Percentage of Firms Expected to Pay Informal Payment (to Get Things Done) References Buehn, Andreas and Schneider, Friedrich. 29. Shadow Economies and Corruption All Over the World: Revised Estimates for 12 Countries. Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, Vol. 1, 27-29 (Version 2). http://dx.doi. org/1.518/economics-ejournal.ja.27-9 Consultative Group to Assist the Poor. 21. Financial Access 21. http://www.cgap.org/p/site/c/template.rc/1.26.14234/ IFC and McKinsey & Company. 21. Two Trillion and Counting. http://www.ifc.org/ifcext/media.nsf/content IFC_McKinsey_SMEs IFC. 29. SME Banking Knowledge Guide. http:// www.ifc.org/ifcext/gfm.nsf/attachmentsbytitle/ SMEBankingGuidebook/$FILE/SMEBankingGuide29.pdf Klapper, Leora, Amit, Raphael, and Guillén, Mauro F. 21. Entrepreneurship and Firm Formation across Countries. In Lerner, Josh, and Schoar, Antoinette, eds. International Differences in Entrepreneurship. National Bureau of Economic Research Conference Report. Chicago: University of Chicago Press Kushnir, Khrystyna. 21. How Do Economies Define MSMEs? IFC and the World Bank. http://www.ifc.org/ msmecountryindicators Kushnir, Khrystyna. 21. Methodology Note on the MSME Country Indicators. IFC and the World Bank. http://www.ifc. org/msmecountryindicators World Bank. 29. Doing Business 21. http://www.ifc.org/ msmecountryindicators Acknowledgments The authors would like to acknowledge the valuable contributions of Mohammad Amin, Roland Michelitsch, Peer Stein, and Hugh Stevenson. VNM AZE UGA KGZ CMR IMOTZA Source: MSME Country Indicators, Enterprise Surveys. Note: Figure uses data from 7 economies. The results of the regression are statistically significant at the 5 percent level. When controlling for GNI per capita, Atlas method (log), the results are not statistically significant at the 5 percent level. UZB KHM DZA KEN BGD Notes 1. For the legal definition of the MSMEs adopted by governments, please see the note: How Do Economies Define MSMEs? 2. This number was calculated using observations from 93 economies where the breakdown between micro, small, and medium enterprises was available. 3. Excluded economies: Algeria; Argentina; Armenia; Azerbaijan; Belarus; Belize; Bolivia; Burkina Faso; China; Ecuador; Ethiopia; Guyana; Hong Kong SAR, China; India; Indonesia; Korea, Rep.; Kuwait; Kyrgyz Republic; Malaysia; Mauritius; Nicaragua; Panama; Qatar; Singapore; Sri Lanka; Sudan; Thailand; United Arab Emirates and South Africa on the grounds that they apply an MSME definition that uses variables other than total employment or that their MSME definition is not available. 4. Kushnir, Khrystyna. 21. Methodology Note on the MSME Country Indicators. IFC and the World Bank. http://www.ifc. org/msmecountryindicators 5. Excluded economies: Ethiopia; Puerto Rico; Sri Lanka; Nepal; Panama; Nicaragua; Sudan; Tunisia on the grounds that the data do not cover all sectors of the economy; Albania; Bahrain; Georgia on the grounds that data come from surveys; Belize; Brunei Darussaiam; Guatamala; Guyana; Iran, Islamic Rep. on the grounds that data beyond 2 are not available. 6. Excluded economies: Ethiopia; Puerto Rico; Sri Lanka; Nepal; Panama; Nicaragua and Tunisia on the grounds that data do not cover all sectors of the economy; Albania; Bahrain and Georgia on the grounds that data come from surveys; Netherlands Antilles; American Samoa; Bermuda; Guam; Myanmar; Northern Mariana Islands; Qatar and the Virgin Islands (United States) on the grounds that the data on GNI per capita, using the Atlas method, are not available and Belize; Brunei Darussalam; Guatemala; Guyana and Iran, Islamic Rep. on the grounds that data beyond 2 is not available. 7. Excluded economies: Ethiopia; Puerto Rico; Sri Lanka; Nepal; Panama; Nicaragua and Tunisia on the grounds that data do not cover all sectors of the economy; Albania; Bahrain and Georgia on the grounds that data come from surveys; Belize; Brunei Darussalam; Guatemala; Guyana and Iran, Islamic Rep. on the grounds that data beyond 2 is not available. 8. This result is statistically significant at the 1 percent level. 9. Excluded economies: Ethiopia; Puerto Rico; Sri Lanka; Nepal; Panama; Nicaragua and Tunisia on the grounds that the data do not cover all sectors of the economy; Albania; Bahrain and Georgia on the grounds that the data come from surveys; Netherlands Antilles; American Samoa; Bermuda; Guam; Myanmar; Northern Mariana Islands; Qatar and Virgin Islands (United States) on the grounds that data on GNI per capita, Atlas method, are not available; Belize; Brunei Darussalam; Guatemala; Guyana and Iran, Islamic Rep. on the grounds that data beyond 2 are not available; Timor-Leste; Burkina Faso; Dominican Republic; Sudan; Tanzania and Venezuela, RB on the grounds that data on employment by MSMEs are not available. 1. Excluded economies: Burkina Faso; Dominican Republic; Iran, Islamic Rep.; Sudan; Timor Leste; Tunisia; Tanzania and Venezuela, RB on the grounds that data are not available; Belize; Brunei Darussalam; Guatemala and Guyana on the grounds that data after 2 are not available; Bolivia; Botswana; Cameroon and Trinidad and Tobago on the gounds that data cover enterprises in the private sector only; Canada and Tajikistan on the grounds that data cover enterprises with no employees; Sri Lanka and Mauritius on the grounds that data do not cover all sizes of MSMEs; the West Bank and Gaza on the grounds that data include governmental and non-governmental enterprises; Montenegro on the grounds that there are no data on total employment; Albania; Bahrain and Georgia on the grounds that data come from surveys; Ethiopia; Nepal; Nicaragua; Panama and Puerto Rico on the grounds that data do not cover all sectors of the economy. 8

11. Excluded economies: Ethiopia; Puerto Rico; Sri Lanka; Nepal; Panama; Nicaragua and Tunisia on the grounds that data do not cover all sectors of the economy; Albania; Bahrain and Georgia on the grounds that data come from surveys; Netherlands Antilles; Bermuda; Guam; Malta; Myanmar; Northern Mariana Islands and Virgin Islands (United States) on the grounds that they are not covered by the Doing Business Index data; Qatar and American Samoa on the basis that the data on GNI per capita, Atlas method are not available. In addition, countries with minimum capital of less than 5 percent of GNI per capita and those with minimum capital above 2 percent of GNI per capita were also excluded to minimize the possibility of results being driven by outliers. 12. Excluded economies: Ethiopia; Puerto Rico; Sri Lanka; Nepal; Panama; Nicaragua and Tunisia on the grounds that data do not cover all sectors of the economy; Albania; Bahrain and Georgia on the grounds that data come from surveys; Netherlands Antilles; Bermuda; Guam; Malta; Myanmar; Northern Mariana Islands and Virgin Islands (United States) on the grounds that they are not covered by the Doing Business Index data; Qatar and American Samoa on the basis that the data on GNI per capita, Atlas method are not available. MSME Country Indicators is a joint work of Access to Finance, Global Indicators and Analysis, and Sustainable Business Advisory. Visit MSME Country Indicators at http://www.ifc.org/msmecountryindicators. This publication carries the names of the authors and should be cited accordingly. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this note are entirely those of the authors. They do not necessarily represent the views of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/World Bank and its affiliated organizations, or those of the Executive Directors of the World Bank or the governments they represent. 9