Planning and developing the Ruhr Metropolis New approaches and ways in planning the settlement area Planning, Prediction, Scenarios Using Simulations and Maps Bonn, 11 12 May 2015 Dr. Hadia Straub Ruhr Regional Association, Department of Regional Development
Outline» Why New Paths? Background, Structures, and Aims of Regional Discourse» Monitoring of Settlement Areas ruhrfis Spatial Information System Ruhr» Future Demand of Settlement Areas ruhrfis Spatial Information System Ruhr» Are We on the Right Way? Conclusion 2
Background, Structures, and Aims of Regional Discourse Why New Paths? 3
Members and area Kreis Wesel Kreis Wesel DUISBURG Duisburg BOTTROP ESSEN Essen Mülheim MÜLHEIM a.d. RUHR Ruhr Area 4,435 km² 53 cities 5.1 mio. inhabitants 5th largest european conurbation Kreis Recklinghausen Kreis Recklinghausen GELSENKIRCHEN HERNE Herne Bochum BOCHUM DORTMUND Dortmund HAGEN Hagen Gelsenkirchen Bottrop OBERHAUSEN Oberhausen Ennepe- Ruhr-Ennepe-Ruhr- Kreis Kreis Kreis Unna Kreis Unna HAMM Hamm 4
www.pottblog.de Culture Industrial heritage Regional planning and development concepts Missions of the Ruhr Regional Association Leisure and recreation Economy Tourism Environment Emscher landscape park
Regional Development Plan as a Formal Instrument» Formal spatial development strategy for the next 15 years» Graphically determinations» Written determinations» Principals and objectives for the spatial development in the field of:» Settlement» Industry and handcraft» Infrastructure» Commerce» Nature and open space» Binding for municipals and public bodies» e.g. framework for municipal land-use plans 6
Challenges» Creating a new plan from the ground up» Working out planning basics» Create new planning principles and philosphy» As municipal founded association the RVR has a special responsibility to involve the municipalities in the planning process» Create trust» Overcome local interest and traditional coalitions» Build up a common vision on regional development 7
Regional discourse ahead of the formal process
ruhrfis Spatial Information System Ruhr Monitoring of Settlement Areas 12
Spatial Information System Ruhr - ruhrfis ruhrfis ruhrfis - spatial Flächeninformationssystem Ruhr information system Ruhr monitoring Siedlungsflächenmonitoringarea of settlement future Siedlungsflächenbedarfsberechnung demand of settlement areas monitoring Monitoring of Daseinsvorsorge services of public interest 13
ruhrfis Monitoring of Settlement Areas 2014» Up-date of settlement potentials and attributes of each lot (reference date: 31 December 2014/ 1 January 2015) status quo» Comparison of changes of settlement potentials and attributes of each lot 2011 and 2014 dynamics» Analysis and collection of attributes of used lots (former potential sites) since 2011 land use change 14
Process of Data Collection 1. 1. RVR: RVR: raw Erhebung data collection der Rohdaten - zu den Flächenreserven potential sites approx. 20.000 lots 15
Process of Data Collection 1. 1. RVR: RVR: raw data Erhebung collection der -Rohdaten zu den Flächenreserven potential sites 2. Municipalities: Check and supplement of raw data by municipalities 16
Process of Data Collection 1. 1. RVR: RVR: raw data Erhebung collection der -Rohdaten zu den Flächenreserven potential sites optional Optional Pflicht mandatory 2. Municipalities: Check and supplement of raw data by municipalities 17
Process of Data Collection 1. 1. RVR: RVR: raw data Erhebung collection der -Rohdaten zu den Flächenreserven potential sites 2. Municipalities: Check and supplement of raw data by municipalities 3. RVR: Accounting tables and maps 18
Results 2011 19
Results 2011 20
ruhrfis Spatial Information System Ruhr Future Demand of Settlement Areas 21
Spatial Information System Ruhr - ruhrfis ruhrfis ruhrfis - spatial Flächeninformationssystem Ruhr information system Ruhr monitoring Siedlungsflächenmonitoringarea of settlement future Siedlungsflächenbedarfsberechnung demand of settlement areas monitoring Monitoring of Daseinsvorsorge services of public interest 22
Economy Structure of Model usage of settlement area for industrial purposes 2005 to 2010 with regard to local economy distribution with regard to regional economy (larger than 10 ha in municipal land-use plans [FNP]) with regard to federal state economy (large lots) ports with relevance for NRW special demand on regional level mun. 1 local contingent mun. n local contingent contingent for regional co-operation sites special demand (not relevant for calculation of future demand) at least 5 ha netto at least 5 ha netto 23
Economy Analysis for spatial contingents for local demand Analysis of usage of lots and division into local and regional relevant contingents Distribution of local contingents of economic area to cities and towns Calculation of additional demand at the level of municipal land-use plans (FNP) Calculation of demand of economic area at the level of Ruhr regional plan 24
Analysis Analyse der Flächeninanspruchnahmen und Ableitung der lokalen und regionalen Flächenkontingente Verteilung der lokalen Flächenkontingente auf die Städte und Gemeinden Ermittlung des zusätzlichen Bruttosiedlungsbedarfes auf der Ebene des FNP Ermittlung des Wohnbauflächenbedarfes auf der Ebene des Regionalplans Land Use (New) for Economic Area 2005-2010 Between 2005 and 2010 there were 996 cases of new land use for local and regional demand; total area: 837.2 ha. Of these, 10 cases have been larger than 10 ha brutto (8 ha netto); total area 158 ha = regional demand 25
Analysis Three sub-regions Analyse der Flächeninanspruchnahmen und Ableitung der lokalen und regionalen Flächenkontingente Verteilung der lokalen Flächenkontingente auf die Städte und Gemeinden Ermittlung des zusätzlichen Bruttosiedlungsbedarfes auf der Ebene des FNP Ermittlung des Wohnbauflächenbedarfes auf der Ebene des Regionalplans 26
Economy Structure of Model land usage of sites for industrial purposes (extrapolation: 15 years planning period) 3,177.4 ha usage for local economy west middle east 631.8 ha 615.3 ha 789.3 ha distribution Land use for regional purposes (larger than 10 ha net) 476.0 ha with regard to federal state economy (large lots) ports with relevance for NRW special demand on regional level (665.0 ha) mun. 1 local contingent mun. N local contingent contingent for regional co-operation sites special demand (not relevant for calculation of future demand) at least 5 ha netto at least 5 ha netto 27
Economy - Distribution Analyse der Flächeninanspruchnahmen und Ableitung der lokalen und regionalen Flächenkontingente Verteilung der lokalen Flächenkontingente auf die Städte und Gemeinden Ermittlung des zusätzlichen Bruttosiedlungsbedarfes auf der Ebene des FNP Ermittlung des Wohnbauflächenbedarfes auf der Ebene des Regionalplans contingent sub-region west for local demand 631.8 ha weighted distribution on sub-contingents 252.7 ha 315.9 ha 31.6 ha 31.6 ha sub-contingent A (40 %) share of employees, subject to social insurance contribution (SVB) of part-region sub-contingent B (50 %) share of SVB that potentially work at industrial sites (pis) of part-region sub-contingent C (5 %) Share of unemployed of part-region sub-contingent D (5 %) Share of development of SVB in development of SVB in part-region e.g. city XYZ Share of SVB = 3.5 % contingent = 8.9 ha e.g. city XYZ share of pis-svb = 3.1 % contingent = 9.7 ha e.g. city XYZ Share of unemployed = 2.9 % contingent = 0.9 ha e.g. city XYZ Development of SVB = 4.8 % contingent = 1.5 ha local contingent of industrial area, city XYZ in total = 21.0 ha 28
Area (Gross) in Local Land-use Plans Analyse der Flächeninanspruchnahmen und Ableitung der lokalen und regionalen Flächenkontingente Verteilung der lokalen Flächenkontingente auf die Städte und Gemeinden Ermittlung des zusätzlichen Bruttosiedlungsbedarfes auf der Ebene des FNP Ermittlung des Wohnbauflächenbedarfes auf der Ebene des Regionalplans opening up for land for industrial usage development and Local area demand 80 % (gross) in local land-use compensation plans until 2030 20 % 2,556 ha in Ruhr Metropolis, thereof e.g. multiply by 1.25 26.3 ha in city XYZ 29
Local Demand for Industrial Sites in (Ruhr) Regional Plan Analyse der Flächeninanspruchnahmen und Ableitung der lokalen und regionalen Flächenkontingente Verteilung der lokalen Flächenkontingente auf die Städte und Gemeinden Ermittlung des zusätzlichen Bruttosiedlungsbedarfes auf der Ebene des FNP Ermittlung des Wohnbauflächenbedarfes auf der Ebene des Regionalplans +20 % Regional Plan until 2030 3,067 ha in Ruhr Metropolis, thereof Local demand for industrial sites in Ruhr 31.5 ha in city XYZ multiply by 1.20 30
Conclusion Are We on the Right Way? 31
Impulses of the Regional Discourse» Impetus for informal strategies and concepts» Regional mobility concept» Regional concept on tourism and recreation» Location management of large scale retail stores» Direct impulses» Discussion on duration of lease contracts with farmers» Round table agriculture» Implications on cooperation culture» Transfer of our culture of dialogue and cooperation on other fields of work and projects» New strategic networks» Regional cooperation on housing market monitoring 32
Thank you! Dr. Hadia Straub Ruhr Regional Association Department of Regional Development Nicole Iwer Ruhr Regional Association Department of Regional Development Dr. Claas Beckord City of Osnabrück 0201 / 2069-6335 straub@rvr-online.de 0201 / 20169-532 iwer@rvr-online.de beckord@osnabrueck.de 33