State of the art of Integrated Transport Planning
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1 Fakultät Verkehrswissenschaften Friedrich List Institut für Verkehrsplanung und Straßenverkehr Verkehrs- und Infrastrukturplanung Prof. Dr.-Ing. Gerd-Axel Ahrens State of the art of Integrated Transport Planning Praha, September 2013
2 Planning - Muddling through?! - Fulfilment of demand?! or - On the basis of analysis - Using methods - Using time - Following intentions - Achieving goals - A learning process, gaining experiences and insights - Solving conflicts - Searching for consensus, finding compromises - Weighing pros and cons - Using scientific methods - Making value oriented political decisions Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 2 of 28
3 Technical guidelines: from the General Traffic Plan to the Mobility Master Plan 1. General Traffic Plans (1969) (Merkblatt Generalverkehrsplanung der Gemeinden (MGVP) 1969) 2. Goal oriented planning process (1979) (Rahmenrichtlinien für die Generalverkehrsplanung (Ra Ri GVP) 1979) 3. Integrated Mobility Planning (1985/2001) (Leitfaden für Verkehrsplanungen 1985/2001) 4. Sustainable Mobility Development Plans (2013) (Hinweise zur Verkehrsentwicklungsplanung 2013) On European level: Sustainable Urban Mobility Plans (SUMP) = Stadtmobilitätspläne Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 3 of 28
4 New threats and requirements for mobility planning - Population of 10 Billion world wide - Demographic change, losses and gains of population - Urbanisation - Climatic change - Energy supply - Environmental awareness, change of values - Increasing multi modality - Noise and clean air acts - Electric vehicles - Communication technologies - Increasing commercial traffic world wide - Participation and cooperation - Social aspects, inclusion/exclusion - Maintainance and replacement of old infrastructure - Financial requirements will grow - Public man power and ressources in public administration decrease - Legal control of demand and effects of public infrastructure Dynamic system requires integrated coordination and planning Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 4 of 28
5 Demand oriented planning versus influencing approaches Demand oriented planning Influencing planning Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 5 of 28
6 European Union requires Sustainable Urban Mobility Plans (SUMP) Source: SUMP_guidelines_web.pdf Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 6 of 28
7 Goal oriented integrated planning process LEGEND: decision or acceptance by policy maker exchange effects feed back loop Source: FGSV: Leitfaden für Verkehrsplanung, Köln, 2001 Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 7 of 28
8 SUMP Process with the same messages Characteristics of SUMP and integrated transport planning: - Continuous process - Cooperation and participation - Clear goals and strategies - Goal oriented control of demand - Use of scenario techniques - Integrated hard and soft measures - Quality management: Evaluation and control of success Source: Rupprecht Consult on Guidelines Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 8 of 28
9 The role of transport master planning before and today Federal and state plans Regional plans, land-use plans B e f o r e T o d a y Transport Master Plan (TMP) TMP CAP NAP PTP coordination and frame for coordinates and frame only for different traffic and transport plans and other municipal sectorplans leftover traffic plans Formal implementation plans CAP Clean Air Plan, NAP Noise Action Plan, PTP Required Public Transport Plan Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 9 of 28
10 SUMP strategic and coordination tool Federal and state plans Regional plans, land-use plans Transport or mobility master plan (SUMP) Strategic orientation and coordination diff. traffic plans CAP NAP PTP Further sector plans of municipality Formal implementation plans Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 10 of 28
11 Consideration of aspects of integration as a quality indicator Sector integration Social integration Vertical integration Participation and cooperation SUMP Horizontal integration Integration of time Integration of all options of measures Integration of trip reasons and trip purposes Modal integration Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 11 of 28
12 planning levels Vertical and sector integration federation FEDERAL SPATIAL PRINCIPLES state STATE DEVELOPMENT PLANNING region REGIONAL PLANNING city CITY DEVELOPMENT AND LAND USE PLANNING SECTORAL PLANNING Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 12 of 28
13 Round table with neighbouring communities in Dresden Source: Mohaupt, M.: City of Dresden 2025 plus, sustainable urban mobility plan (SUMP), Annual POLIS conference 2011, 29. November 2011, Brussels Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 13 of 28
14 Range of integrated measures of mobility planning Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 14 of 28
15 The new mobility coalition Individualised Public Mobility Coalition Maximize Public Transport trains and buses Public bicycles and pedelecs Public (electric) cars Taxis Alternative services Car sharing Car pooling One accounting system Walking Cycling Minimize Individual private car use Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 15 of 28
16 SUMP Dresden Communication and cooperation Source: Mohaupt, M.: City of Dresden 2025 plus, sustainable urban mobility plan (SUMP), Annual POLIS conference 2011, 29. November 2011, Brussels Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 16 of 28
17 Data, modelling, reporting Process evaluation Evaluation of measures and strategies Information of policy, administration and public Participation of policy, administrations and public Two levels of mobility master planning Continuous professional tasks Information and participation Strategic-conceptional level (periodical) Goals, objectives Analysis, methods, scenarios strategies, concepts Level of measures and implementation (implementation oriented) Sector plans (CAP, NAP, PTP) Transport plans Measures for areas Single measures and projects Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 17 of 28
18 Strategy-levels of the Mobility Plan Berlin Source: Senatsverwaltung für Stadtentwicklung Berlin, Stadtentwicklungsplan Verkehr Berlin, June 2011 Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 18 of 28
19 Comparison and evaluation of measures, scenarios and situation 0-Situation 0-forecast Scenarios lead to Profiles of effects To be compared with compatible profiles of objectives (requirements) Result are profiles of qualities with satisfactory conditions and deficiencies Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 19 of 28
20 Example Dresden population and motorization Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 20 of 28
21 Example Dresden modal split Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 21 of 28
22 Example Dresden comparison with other cities Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 22 of 28
23 Example Dresden Dresden s mobility strategy in the past Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 23 of 28
24 Example Dresden SUMP the new strategy bridge Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 24 of 28
25 Passenger-km/day Example Dresden results of scenarios Passenger kilometers within the city for automobil traffic, public transport and bicycles Car PT Bike Analysis 2010 Zero Forecast With already decided measures 2025 Scenario A More roads 2025 Scenario B More PT & cycling 2025 Additional behaviour changes Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 25 of 28
26 Mobility market: Factors of success Cooperation Multi- and Intermodality Interoperability Holistic mobility master plans Cross linking and Integration Networking Intelligent, decentral cooperation New financing and organisation models (e.g. PPP) Market orientation Market orientation Systematic research on mobility (demand and behaviour) Market oriented development of supply and services Source: Ringat, K.: Zukunftslinien des ÖPNV (future of public transport). Technische Universität Dresden, Institute for Transport Planning and Road Traffic, Verkehrsplanerisches und Verkehrsökologisches Kolloquium, 20 October 2010 Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 26 of 28
27 Urban mobility In which direction will we travel? Innovation push MARKET FOR MORE SUSTAINABLE INTEGRATED MOBILITY SERVICES LOVE AND AFFECTION FOR GREEN VEHICLES Multi modal Car oriented PROGRESS THROUGH ENFORCEMENT BUSINESS AS USUAL Constrained innovation Compare: Glockner, H., Rodenhauser, B.: Zukunft der Mobilität. z-punkt-the Foresight Company perspektiven02. February 2009 ( Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 27 of 28
28 Thank you for your attention! Household transportation expenditures today and in future Prof. Dr. Gerd-Axel Ahrens 100% 75% Bus Taxi Train (urban & suburban) Public transport TU Dresden Verkehrs- und Infrastrukturplanung Dresden 50% Vehicle operation & maintenance costs Car sharing & rental Kontakt: Tel.: 0351 / gerd-axel.ahrens@tu-dresden.de 25% Individual transport Vehicle purchase 0% Today Source: World Business Council for Sustainable Development, Oliver Wyman (quoted at: Prof. Johann H. Tomforde: Mobility Innovations on the way to post-oil cities. Our Common Future, Conference of the Volkswagenstiftung and Stiftung Mercator, Hannover and Essen, 2-6 November 2010) Praha, September 2013 State of the art of 'Integrated Transport Planning' Slide 28 of 28
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