Dynamic Public Transit Accessibility: Comparing the Effects of Infrastructure (Dis)investments Over Time

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Dynamic Public Transit Accessibility: Comparing the Effects of Infrastructure (Dis)investments Over Time GIS in Transit September 1-3, 2015 Washington DC Steven Farber, PhD Department of Human Geography University of Toronto Scarborough Liwei Fu, MSc Department of Geography University of Utah

Background

Background Accessibility the ease of reaching destinations What about transit accessibility? The ease of reaching transit The ease of reaching destinations by transit

Background Reaching destinations by transit Whether transit provides convenient travel experiences and reasonable travel times to jobs, services, leisure activities How easily does transit allow people to participate in the daily activities that constitute a normal life? To do this, we must have tools that allow us to measure origin-to-destination (OD) transit travel times

Background Transit travel times are variable 10:00 10:01 10:02 10:03 10:04 10:05

Background Measures of transit accessibility need to account for variability in OD travel times Dynamic measures of accessibility: Temporal variability in jobs-accessibility impacts the mode choice decision (Owen and Levinson) Temporal variability in OD travel times means that most trips demanded in a region are not provided with adequate transit coverage (Polzin et al; Ritter & Farber) Temporal variability in transit coverage can lead to precarious food accessibility with racial disparities (Farber et al)

Research Objectives Develop a new method for computing public transit travel times Develop methods for analyzing time-of-day variations in transit travel times Apply these methods in a series of practical case studies to demonstrate their usefulness

Method

Public Transit Travel Time Cube T = t i,j,m T is a 3D matrix of public transit travel times from origins, i, to destinations, j, at times, m.

Computing the Cube GTFS Package(s) Pedestrian Network File Transit Evaluator Add GTFS to Network Dataset Compute OD Cost Matrix Transit Network Dataset For Each m Public Transit Travel Time Cube Block Group Centroids (i, j) locations

Querying the Cube The Atomic Elements T i,:,m -- a map of travel times from location i to all other locations, with a departure time of m. T :,j,m -- a map of travel times to location j from all other locations, with a departure time of m. T i,j,: -- a vector of travel times from i to j across all times of day.

Summarizing the Cube Overall Average Travel Time: i,j,m T i,j,m N 2 M Time Dependent Average Travel Time: i,j T i,j,m N 2, m

Summarizing the Cube Average Travel Time from an Origin: j,m T i,j,m NM, i Average Travel Time to a Destination: i,m T i,j,m NM, i Standard Deviation of Travel for an OD Pair: m T i,j,m T i,j 2 m

Fourier Transform to Retrieve Frequency

Case Study 1: Comparison of Transit Travel Times over Time

Case Study One Use travel time cubes to assess how travel times have changed in a region due to: network modifications (e.g. new routes, deletion of routes, modification of routes) Level of service modifications (e.g. operating hours, headways) Study Area 1: Wasatch Front 2011-2014 Study Area 2: Portland 2009-2013

UTA - Addition of new heavy rail line - Addition of several commuter rail lines - Removal of bus routes Trimet - Budget cuts lead to reduction in bus services Visual Comparison - Very difficult to assess the impact of these changes on travel times using network maps

Changes in Route KMs Travelled Wasatch Front TriMet Bus Light Rail Commuter Rail Bus Light Rail Commuter Rail Time 1 96,072 5,683 3,594 108,921 19,823 750 Time 2 85,497 13,893 7,311 97,547 19,975 750 Change -10,575 8,210 3,717-11,374 152 0 Percentage Change -11% 144% 103% -10% 1% 0%

Aggregate Changes in Travel Times Utah improvements highest in AM Peak and in extended evening hours Trimet declines consistently across all times of day

Two-Way Changes in Travel Times Times to/from the southern areas were largely improved. Eastern benches and West Valley area became harder to reach. Portland experienced even declines throughout.

Changes in Travel Time Frequency Improved (i.e. shortened) along rail expansions. Inner city have decreases in service frequency Increased travel time cycles are linear along several routes Large swathes of the city to the west and south of the center that has experienced decreases in cycle lengths.

Case Study 2: Access to Jobs via Transit

Access to Jobs A i = j,m f T i,j,m E j M where: A i is the jobs accessibility score for zone i E j is the employment at location j (from LEHD data) M is the minutes in the 2hr period (7am-9am) f T i,j,m = 1 if T i,j,m 60 0 Otherwise

Changes in Jobs Accessibility Wasatch Front 35,700 to 33,200 population weighted jobs accessibility. No changes along the heavy rail corridors. Big exchanges between new light rail and deleted bus routes. Portland 23,410 to 21,666 population weighted jobs accessibility. Overall experienced reductions in the center and along some routes leaving the city.

Case Study 3: The Effects of Bicycle use on the Last Mile Problem

The Last Mile Problem Distances from transit to final destinations can be too long to be accommodated by walking Joint cycling/transit integration is being adopted as a solution But how much travel time and reliability is achieved through cycling/transit trip integration? Create a cycling/transit travel time cube and compare it with the walking/transit travel time cube.

Travel time improvements are highest in the offpeak hours, and in more peripheral locations.

Rush Hour Travel Time and SD from Central Station (7am-9am) Downtown Salt Lake City 9% of population and 18% of the region s jobs Cycling results in 32% reduction in travel times and 47% reduction in standard deviation of travel time. Improvements increase with distance, but modified by network sparsity.

Conclusions

Discussion These tools make the $MILs spent on GTFS useful for transit planners and researchers Novelty comes from the pre-computation of the entire travel time cube and its ensuing analysis Large potential for future research: Historical real-time vehicle location data More accurate cost/benefit analysis More use of time variability in mode-choice modelling

Sneak Peak at a Viz Tool Realtime viz environment that makes exploring the data much faster and more intuitive Matrix, map and graph Views Linking and brushing enabled

Acknowledgements Contributors Melinda Morang, Esri Utah Transit Authority TriMet We are grateful for support from the National Institute for Transportation and Communities (NITC) grant number 662.