6 Oktober 2010... KIVI Niria congres Offshore Wind De uitdaging. Eneco wind. Ernst van Zuijlen



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Transcription:

6 Oktober 2010... KIVI Niria congres Offshore Wind De uitdaging Eneco wind Ernst van Zuijlen

Eneco Targets... Maximise the use of renewable energy 2012: 25% of electricity produced sustainable (50% wind) 2020: 70% of electricity produced sustainable; Sources: Onshore Wind Offshore Wind Biomass Hydro energy Solar energy 1

Eneco experience: Q7 / Prinses Amalia... 60 wind turbines V80; 120 MW 23 kilometres off the coast of Amsterdam Yearly production of 435 GWh Availability >98% Taken into operation in June 2008 Construction budget of 400 mio First offshore wind project with 2 project finance

2.000 MW offshore under development... R3 exclusive concession West Isle of Wight (900 MW) 4 Fully permitted projects: Q10 (165 MW) Q4 (120 MW) Scheveningen Buiten (212 MW) Brown Ridge East (282 MW) In preparation: Round 3 Netherlands (5.000 MW) 3 Exclusive Concession: North Sea Power (400 MW) Eneco/Evelop also developed the Belwind project and the Scira project (Sherringham Shoal) which were subsequently divested

Life cycle of offshore windfarms... Development Concession / Permit Contracting Supplier selection / interfaces Financing Construction Installation Operation KWh production, O&M, availability Decommissioning no experience Taskforce Veenman Grid by TenneT Data gathering by government 4

Life cycle of offshore windfarms... Development Concession / Permit Contracting Supplier selection / interfaces Construction Installation Costprice reduction 2015: -25% 2020: -45% Operation KWh production, O&M, availability Decommissioning no experience 5

Development of Cost... 4000 CAPEX/MW CoE /MWh SDE onshore 2010 200 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2000 2005 2008 2010 2015 2020 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 6

Life cycle of offshore windfarms... Development Concession / Permit Contracting Supplier selection / interfaces Construction Installation Operation KWh production, O&M, availability Grout Connection TP - MP 90% (+) of all cases Easily solved in new projects Decommissioning no experience 7

Life cycle of offshore windfarms... Development Concession / Permit Contracting Supplier selection / interfaces Construction Installation Operation KWh production, O&M, availability Decommissioning no experience 8

Offshore wind is beautiful... Wake effects Uncertainty Loads MW/km 2 9

Reference project in 2020 (concepts)... Reference power plant concept based on standardized designs: -integrated fabrication, installation and maintenance concepts Multiple (5 to 10) blocks per project -500 1.000 MW per block -80 turbines of 6 10 MW per block Durable jackets or concrete foundations Supergrid Access to project finance Access to infrastructure funds: 9-11% RoE 10

The challenges... Value chain constraints Turbines, Cables, Vessels Concession system: Public private Partnership; risk where risks belong: reduce uncertainty 11 Cost reduction Specifically offshore design Higher availability, higher yield, less O&M, Integrated design Foundation and tower are one design Installation and O&M are design Bigger (therefore less turbines/ foundations/ instalations etc.) Finance availability Debt and equity

... 12

Learning curve should result in 100/MWh target... CoE at 100/MWh Grid parity 1.Fossil fuels increase with 50% 2.Less dependent on state support CoE at 180 /MWh 13 Typical 2010 project 1.One off projects 2.Limited project size: 200MW 3.No integrated design but various lots 4.Monopiles 3MW system TIME

Uitdagingen zijn vooral ook kansen... FLOW Follow up van we@sea Innovatie Supply chain Personeel 14

De Founding Fathers van FLOW... WIND FARM DEVELOPMENT AND OPERATION ELECTRICAL SYSTEM AND GRID INTEGRATION OFFSHORE ENGINEERING, CONSTRUCTION AND MAINTENANCE VESSELS AND EQUIPMENT FOR OFFSHORE INSTALLATION AND FOUNDATIONS WIND TURBINE DESIGN AND MANUFACTURING 15 WIND ENERGY R&D Source: FLOW

4 R&D themas 16 horizontale R&D lijnen 3 verticale R&D lijnen... R&D THEMES R&D LINES SOCIETAL R&D LINES 1 FAR-OFFSHORE Development and validation of offshore wake effects software Wind power station value chain optimization WIND FARM DESIGN Intelligent operations and maintenance for large-scale far-offshore wind farms Specifications and conceptual design logistics hub 2 3 4 SUPPORT STRUCTURES FAR-OFFSHORE ELECTRICAL SYSTEMS AND GRID INTEGRATION FAR-OFFSHORE Site conditions and loads Design and certification Optimization of installation techniques and logistics Integration of support structure within the far-offshore wind farm Flexible design of offshore substations Offshore grid optimization Offshore cable routing and technology choice System integration and impacts General turbine concepts Design and control tools Monitoring (including ecology) Risk, cost and benefit assessment Health and safety TURBINE DEVELOPMENT Mechanical and electrical concepts 16 Blade development Source: FLOW