AGENCY WORK BUSINESS INDICATOR: MARCH 2015
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1 -08 May-08 Sep May-09 Sep May-10 Sep May-11 Sep May-12 Sep May-13 Sep May-14 Sep AGENCY WORK BUSINESS INDICATOR: MARCH EVOLUTION OF NUMBER OF HOURS WORKED BY AGENCY WORKERS IN EUROPE BE CH DE DK FR IT NL NO PL Europe 1 Evolution of number of hours worked [year-on-year] +12.3% -10.2% +2.5% +14.7% +1.0% +13.2% +10.0% -0.8% +15.6% +6.1% Period of reference Feb Dec Q3 Weeks 5 8 of Q4 Q4 The recovery in December continues in uary, with the highest European y-o-y growth average since September 2011 of 6.1%. Other good news is that Germany shows a 2.5% y-o-y growth in December (so not accounted for in the uary figure yet). This is the most positive figure seen in Germany since February Secondly, also France shows positive results with 1% y-o-y growth in uary, the first growth since July. Other results boosting the average include Belgium, Italy and the Netherlands with double digit y-o-y growth. Finally, as of this month we will be able to include data on the hours-worked development in Finland. This brings the overall coverage of the Eurociett Agency Work Business Indicator to 66.4% of the European market. 60% France Belgium 40% 20% 0% -20% Netherlands Italy Germany Norway Switzerland Poland Denmark -40% Finland Europe (monthly) 1 The weighted European average is determined by the surveyed countries share of the European agency work market in The countries contributing to the weighted European Average account for 65% of the agency work market in Europe. 1
2 -08 Apr-08 Jul-08 Oct Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct AGENCY WORK BUSINESS INDICATOR: MARCH EVOLUTION OF AGENCY WORK SALES REVENUES IN EUROPE BE DK FI FR NL NO PL SE Evolution of turnover [year-onyear] Period of reference +12.9% +20.5% +3.4% +1.5% +10.0% -0.4% +20.8% +3.0% Q3 Dec Weeks 5-8 Q4 Q4 Q3 Polish data from Q4 shows that this country is back at the top of the growth list with 20,8% y-o-y turnover growth, as well as impressive growth in the number of hours worked (15.6%). Still, the market covers less than 1%of the European market. Other positive growth can be seen in Belgium (more than double last month s y-o-y growth), the Netherlands and even France. 60% Evolution of private employment agency turnover (year on year) 40% 20% 0% -20% FR BE NL SE PL NO DK FI -40% 2
3 AGENCY WORK BUSINESS INDICATOR: MARCH EUROCIETT NATIONAL FEDERATION COMMENTS Belgium In uary, the number of hours worked by temporary agency workers was 4.32% higher than a month earlier (seasonally adjusted data, corrected for calendar effects). An increase was observed both in the blue collar segment by 5.50% and in the white collar segment by 2.73%. In comparison with uary, the activity in the temporary agency work industry grew by 12.34% (compared to 5.64% in December ) resulting from a rise in the blue collar segment (hours worked: 11.90%) and in the white collar segment (12.92%). France In uary, number of hours worked improved 1% (year over year, days worked adjusted), in the same time turnover increased of 1.5%. In February, for the first time since October 2011, number of temps at work has grown (+0.3%). After a decline since November 2011, this slight improvement should be interpreted carefully. Because of the base effect, those figures describe stabilization at a low level. Trends have significantly improved in regions with a strong industry orientation (Nord pas de Calais, Franche-Comté, Alsace, Lorraine ). Netherlands In period 2 (week 5 8) the total amount of hours increased 10% and also turnover grew 10%, in comparison to the same period last year. This period had an equal amount of workable days compared to the same period last year, so no correction was applied. The administrative sector increased 5% in hours and turnover grew 7% in comparison to the same period in. Hours in the industrial sector increased 10% and also turnover increased 10% compared to the same period last year. Furthermore, the amount of worked hours in the technical sector increased 24% and turnover increased 21%. Norway The Norwegian agency work market is declining for the 8 th consecutive quarter even though it is now showing signs of stabilizing. While construction work and manufacturing are growing, engineering and IT are dropping. As the main reason of the decline in 2013 was a price growth as a result of the establishing of an equal treatment principle for agency work in Norway, the decline in is due to a cooling Norwegian economy. Drop in oil prices affect the market for the Norwegian agency work industry. We also see signs that customers in certain areas are finding new ways to solve their need for flexibility than use of agency workers. UK Temp billings growth eases to three-month low. Agencies billings from the employment of temporary/contract staff rose further in uary, marking a twenty-first successive monthly increase. Although marked, the latest increase was the slowest since last October. Temp billings rose fastest in the Midlands during uary, while the weakest increase was signalled in the South. 3
4 AGENCY WORK BUSINESS INDICATOR: MARCH ABOUT THE EUROCIETT AGENCY WORK BUSINESS INDICATOR The Eurociett Agency Work Business Indicator plots indicators of the evolution of turnover (defined as the revenues generated by private employment agencies in the temporary staffing segment) and hours worked. (defined as the sum of all hours invoiced by all private employment agencies to all user companies except where otherwise stated) In Germany, the indicator is total number of agency workers and the indicator for Switzerland is number of workable days). Data supplied by the national federations of agency work is also plotted against the evolution of GDP and unemployment volumes in the European Union. In 2012, Europe accounted for 36% of the global agency work market by revenue, and placing 4 million agency workers in full-time equivalent on a daily basis. Currently no quantitative data on the number of hours worked is available for the UK. Information for the UK national federation (REC) update originally appear in the Report on Jobs. The Report on Jobs is a monthly publication produced by Markit on behalf of the Recruitment & Employment Confederation and KPMG. The report features original survey data which provide the most up-to-date and comprehensive monthly picture of recruitment, employment and employee earnings trends available. WEIGHTED EUROPEAN AVERAGE OF HOURS WORKED BY TEMPORARY AGENCY WORKERS The weighted European Average is the year on year change of agency workers in full-time equivalent employment on a daily basis (except where noted otherwise). The weighted average determined by the surveyed countries share of the European agency work market (turnover) in The countries contributing to the weighted European Average account for 62.4% of the agency work market in Europe. The EU average is calculated by adding the individual country figures multiplied by their percentage of the agency work industry in Europe, then scaling the figures to one hundred percent. COUNTRY WEIGHTINGS Updated February based on 2013 market data. Together, the 9 countries represent 65% of the European market, divided as follows: Belgium: 3.7% of the European agency work market/source Federgon Denmark: 1.2% of the European agency work market/source Dansk Erhverv Finland: 1.37% of the European agency work market/source HPL France: 15.7% of the European agency work market/source Prism Emploi Germany: 20.6% of the European agency work market/source BAP Italy: 5.7% of the European agency work market/source Ebitemp Netherlands: 10.1% of the European agency work market/source ABU Norway: 2.1% of the European Agency work market / Source NHO Poland: 0.8% of the European Agency work market / Source Polskie Forum HR Switzerland: 5.0% of the European Agency work market / Source SwissStaffing EUROCIETT As the European Confederation of Private Employment Services, Eurociett is the authoritative voice representing the common interests of the agency work industry in Europe. Eurociett gathers 30 national federations from EU and EFTA countries, and 6 of the largest international staffing companies as corporate members. Its main objective is to seek greater recognition for the positive role private employment agencies play in the labour market. 4
5 AGENCY WORK BUSINESS INDICATOR: MARCH DISCLAIMER Opinions and estimates in this report constitute the current judgment of the author(s) at the time of writing. They do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Eurociett. Eurociett has no obligation to update, modify or amend this report or to otherwise notify a reader thereof in the event that any matter stated herein, or any opinion, projection, forecast or estimate set forth herein, changes or subsequently becomes inaccurate. The content, information and any materials ( data ) provided by Eurociett in this presentation is on an as is basis. Eurociett makes no warranty, expressed or implied, as to its accuracy, completeness or timeliness, or as to the results to be obtained by recipients, and shall not in any way be liable to any recipient for any inaccuracies, errors or omissions herein. Without limiting the foregoing, Eurociett shall have no liability whatsoever to a recipient of this report, whether in contract (including under an indemnity), in tort (including negligence), under a warranty, under statute or otherwise, in respect of any loss or damage suffered by such recipient as a result of or in connection with any opinions, recommendations, forecasts, judgements, or any other conclusions, or any course of action determined, by it or any third party, whether or not based on the content, information or materials contained herein. Any unauthorised use, disclosure, reproduction or dissemination, in full or in part, in any media or by any means, without the prior written permission of Eurociett is strictly prohibited. 5
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