Stephen Worn Global CTO & Board Director DatacenterDynamics

Transcription

1 Infrastructure, Technology & Investment Trends: Which Global Gateways are best placed to lead into the Digital World? HKEx Eco-System Conference March Stephen Worn Global CTO & Board Director DatacenterDynamics 1

2 A Brief Introduction About DCD DatacenterDynamics is a full service B2B information provider focusing on data center industry, headquartered in UK. DCD provides a unique series of events tailored specifically to deliver enhanced knowledge and networking opportunities to professionals that design, build and operate data centres. Every year 49 established annual conferences are held in key business cities across the world. In 2013, over 30,000 senior data center professionals attended a DCD event, creating the most powerful forum in the industry today. About me Global CTO and Board Director of DCD Originally a network and facilities engineer, with over 15 years experience in Asia, across the Americas and Europe. Has served in senior management roles for Dimension Data UK, Nortel Networks, Nippon Suisan International, China s National Center for Industry and Technology. He holds two masters degrees.

3 DCD Intelligence launched in 2012 DCD Intelligence conducts market research and analysis in partnership with the data center industry. We offers reporting and analytic services that are designed to inform and help enterprises make decisions within the data center industry. In addition to producing regional and technology reports, we also offer bespoke research services.

4 Information presented here (mostly) taken from the DCD Global Census It provides statistically valid snapshots of the scope and direction of the global data center industry, and key findings are shared with the community. Collects information from ALL sides of the industry and makes that information available back to the industry It enables comparisons between markets to track individual market developments and forecasting. It brings the industry together to help raise money for charity

5 Today s Presentation 1. The realities of the new digital world 2. Data center technologies & the investment community 3. Location, location, location: Hong Kong in the Asia Pacific & the world 4. Anticipating future trends: Keys to the Gateway

6 The realities of the new digital world 6

7 Global growth drivers 800 million laptops/ tablets 767 million active websites (Netcraft, October 2013) 1.3 billion smart phones 1.15 billion Facebook users (June 2013) Only 2-3% of US money is physical (2013) 100 million servers (2011 UC Berkeley) 2.7+ Billion Internet users

8 The Global Profile: data centers continue to represent a sizeable and growing global industry 27,000 Primary Acute Hospitals 200,000 Data 500, ,000 44,000 Centers Oil/Gas [>100kW] Branded Paved Fields Gas Coal 750,000 Airports Stations Seams [>20kW] 19,000 Universities Scale

9 Global Trends: Growth in Data Center Inhouse & Outsourced Space Total white space Outsourced space Key trend towards outsourcing based on reduced CAPEX, risk control, access to technologies, services, expertise World s largest colo/shared space provider is now as big as Germany (world s 3 rd largest market), next is at number Source: DCD Intelligence

10 Total GW Power Consumption continues to rise While rate of increase is now moderating, total electricity consumption is still equivalent to total usage of the United Kingdom % Source: DCD Intelligence

11 Investment (US$ billion) To pay for this has required a continuing increase in investment (to around US$ 150 billion) 160 Facility Infrastructure IT Optimization Outsourcing % % % Source: DCD Intelligence

12 Proportion of Investment The weight of investment has shifted towards work on existing facilities & outsourcing as data center industry matures 100% 90% 80% 70% 2.2% 0.0% 3.0% 14.7% 16.1% 22.7% 4.5% 4.8% 6.1% 60% 50% 37.4% 41.2% 48.3% Other Outsourcing Facility Consolidation 40% Investment in Existing Facilities 30% New Build 20% 10% 41.2% 37.5% 35.3% 0% Source: DCD Intelligence

13 Data center technologies & the financial/investment community 1 3

14 Profile of the Finance Industry: White Space Square metres (million) of white space % of Global White Space Square metres (millions) % of Global White Space The largest end-user % % % % 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% sector globally Larger than all but one national market (USA) A higher than average rack power density & lower space per rack has braked space increase Growth in other sectors has led to relative decline in 2007, finance represented 30% of space 25% of space is now outsourced Estimated 55%-60% of space is retail finance, 20% is insurance, 10% is commercial/ investment banking and 10% is financial services.

15 Investment US$ billion % of Global Investment Profile of the Finance Industry: Investment in 2012/ US$ billions 14.1% 9.7 Facility equipment & solutions % of Global Investment 23.2% 18.9 IT & processing services & solutions 18.6% 5.8 Outsourcing & colocation 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% The highest investing end-user sector globally Lower than average investment in facility due to investment shift to IT solutions, virtualisations, outsourcing services.

16 Which in-house investment projects have the financial & investment community invested in 2012/13?: % Sample Organisations 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 54.3% 68.3% 40.4% Global 38.7% 37.3% 29.0% Financial sectors 32.1% This is the context in which financial institutions & investors are looking at outsourcing options getting more out of existing assets & strategies based around portfolios rather than just facilities 39.6% 32.5% 20% 10% 0% 24.3% 4.5% 12.2%

17 Deployment of Outsourcing Strategies & Services 2012/13: Financial Sectors vs Global Averages % Sample Nomination: Multiple Responses Possible Global Finance & Investment 25% 20% 15% 22% 20% 15% 15% 19% 19% 19% 13% 15% 13% Some resistance to moving key functions out of house & towards public or shared domain 10% 11% 11% 11% 8% 10% 9% 9% 9% 7% 5% 5% 0%

18 Deployment of Outsourcing Strategies & Services % Increase from 2013 into 2014: Sample Nomination: Multiple Responses Possible 60% 50% 40% 40% 55% Global 43% Finance & Investment Finance & investment sectors gaining greater confidence in cloud & colocated options. 30% 20% 10% 23% 22% 20% 13% 20% 20% 19% 11% 29% 9% 25% 5% 12% 0% 0% -10% -5% -5% -9% -20%

19 What has driven investment in 2012/13?: Financial sectors vs Global averages % Sample Nomination: Multiple Responses Possible 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 40% 38% 37% Global 36% 32% 31% 30% 30% 31% 29% Finance & Investment 29% 26% 24% 25% 23% 24% 21% 22% 17% 26%

20 IT & associated property stocks also have a growing & direct financial impact beyond technology sector

21 While majority of investment is market - local US$ 59 billion is crossing national boundaries North America Figures shown = US$ billion of data center investment 2012 to 2013 Europe + Russia Asia Pacific Latin America Middle East + Africa Regional Global Local

22 Location, location, location: Hong Kong in Asia Pacific & the World 2 2

23 Newly Evolved / Evolving Newly Evolved Global player Mix of Evolving & Nascent Mix of Evolving & Nascent Mix of Evolving & Nascent Established & regional focus Established & local focus

24 A Hub Market is based on the Intersection of a Number of Factors Geographic & access to populations Hubs create & support each other e.g. Financial, corporate, transport & technological hubs reinforce one another Technological & skills base Resource Availability Enterprise Culture Networks & connectivity A corporate hub The siting of a number of data centers in close proximity to each other does not create a hub

25 Asset facts: Key data center metrics in Hong Kong 2011 to 2014 Parameter (e) Unit White space 275, , , ,000 Square metres Racks 55,000 60,000 65,000 80,000 Number Power consumption 285, , , ,000 kw

26 Investment facts: growth continues Investment E.g. 2011/ / /2014 (projected) Facility infrastructure Power, cooling, monitoring, DCIM etc. $ 500 m $ 520 m $ 560 m IT optimisation services & solutions Outsourcing services Virtualisations, storage, systems upgrades, high performance computing, etc. Hosting, cloud, colocation, managed services, aas services $ 410 m $ 440 m $ 460 m $ 280 m $ 300 m $ 325 m Total $ 1.19 bn $ 1.26 bn $ 1.35 bn

27 Hong Kong competes globally in terms of all factors that create & maintain its hub status Over 1 GW 750MW 1 GW MW Under 500 MW Chicago Toronto New York London Amsterdam Paris Frankfurt Dubai Mumbai Tokyo Shanghai Hong Kong Singapore Sao Paulo

28 Hub City Profile Information 2013: % Racks denser than 10 kw/rack (IT + Non-IT) 25% 22.8% 20% 20.8% 19.7% 19.1% 18.0% 17.5% 16.7% 16.5% 15% 15.0% 13.7% 13.3% 12.8% 11.3% 10% 8.8% 5% 0%

29 Years Hub City Profile Information 2013: Average sample ages of shell/building, facility equipment, IT & networks Shell/building Facility equipment IT & networks

30 Hub City Concerns about Availability of Capital: % Fearing that shortage of capital will have significant on their operation over the next 12 to 18 months Mumbai Paris % indicating significant concern about CAPEX shortage Amsterdam 25% 18% Dubai 11% 20% New York 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 19% 26% 15% Hong Kong 18% Tokyo 19% Chicago Sao Paulo 24% 16% Shanghai Singapore 22% 28% London Toronto Frankfurt 38%

31 Hub City Concerns about Power Availability: % Fearing that Power Black-outs/Brown-outs will have significant on their operation over the next 12 to 18 months % indicating significant concern about black-outs/brown-outs Dubai New York 30% 25% Hong Kong 29% Amsterdam 25% Mumbai Paris 16% 7% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 11% 7% 6% 6% 9% 26% Tokyo 16% Chicago Sao Paulo Shanghai 26% 18% Toronto Singapore 26% Frankfurt London

32 Hub City Concerns about Increasing OPEX: % Fearing that increasing OPEX will have significant on their operation over the next 12 to 18 months Amsterdam Mumbai Paris % indicating significant concern about OPEX increase 24% 25% 21% Dubai 22% New York 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 22% Hong Kong 23% 39% 18% Tokyo 22% Chicago Sao Paulo Shanghai 24% 21% 23% Toronto Singapore 28% 25% London Frankfurt

33 Hub City Concerns about Power Costs: % Fearing that Power Costs will have significant on their operation over the next 12 to 18 months % indicating significant concern about power costs Dubai New York 70% 60% Hong Kong Amsterdam 50% 40% 65% Tokyo Mumbai Paris 32% 37% 22% 24% 13% 30% 20% 10% 0% 19% 16% 12% 19% 16% Chicago Sao Paulo Shanghai 46% 38% 28% Toronto Singapore London Frankfurt

34 Hub City Concerns about Skills: % Fearing that Skills Shortage will have significant on their operation over the next 12 to 18 months % indicating significant concern Dubai New York 35% 30% Hong Kong Amsterdam 26% 20% 25% 20% 17% 26% Tokyo Mumbai 25% 15% 10% 5% 5% 22% Chicago 0% Paris 24% 2% 31% Sao Paulo Shanghai 24% 17% 11% 25% Toronto Singapore London Frankfurt

35 Anticipating Future Trends: Keys to the Gateway 3 5

36 The keys to the future are based on: The health of the hub in all aspects. An exchange does not operate in isolation. Global & more local trends in finance, investment & technology. Technology as the key that has unlocked a Pandora s Box. Trends in competitive markets in particular the technological & trading development of the PRC.

37 Rate of increase 2013 to 2014 After a couple of years of mature growth levels, Hong Kong will now start to move ahead faster: Numbers of facilities, total power consumption & % footprint outsourced 0.1 Number of facilities Power consumption % Footprint Outsourced 13.3% % 11.6% 10.0% 9.1% 11.1% % 2.2% 4.0% 5.8% 5.1% 5.0% 0.4% 7.8% 3.9% 3.1% 6.7% 5.1% 1.7% 5.8% 5.0% 0.2% 4.2% 4.1% 1.5% 7.5% 5.8% 3.3% 5.5% 5.7% 4.1% 3.9% 6.9% 4.5% 1.4% 6.2% 3.9% 8.8% 5.6% 3.1% 3.1% 0.7%

38 Rate of increase 2013 to 2014 Hub City Projected Increase into 2014: Hong Kong s increased rate of investment will increase by almost 10% Estimated total investment into data centers 18.0% 16.0% 14.0% 15.3% 13.7% 13.6% Note that 4 of the 5 highest rates of increase are in emerging economies; the 6 lowest are all established economies. 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 11.7% 10.4% 9.7% 9.5% 9.3% 8.9% 8.8% 8.1% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 4.8% 4.4% 2.0% 0.0%

39 Global Trends Buddy, can you crypt a dime? Who s driving - the technology or the user? The evolution of virtual trading & investment platforms has created gamechanging opportunities but also game-changing risks. The problems of monitoring & regulating trading activity, and being able to plan against technology-attributable crisis Flash Crash, August 1 st Incident. Technology has also enabled a new generation of online banks and the entry of financial service/credit providers into the market. It has also enabled virtual/cryptographic currencies & exchange mechanisms.

40 Global Trends Buddy, can you crypt a dime? Who s driving - the technology or the user? The line between the virtual & the physical is being re-written. Any currency, transaction, exchange is like a language it only exists based on implicit acceptance of shared values. Technology may disrupt more than older technologies. Future & more complex cloud & software-sourced derivations and the capabilities of technology to develop & shape algorithmic trading will raise these stakes further. All major colocation operators offer financial market specialists as they attempt to move up the service chain. All the fastest growing exchanges are in emerging economies Hong Kong is well-placed given its status as gateway into China Importance to Hong Kong & to HKEx of decisions in PRC in terms of technological development & location, economic (& currency) liberalisation policies, policy in regard to credit and the credit industry, the balance between centralisation & innovation.

41 Stephen Worn CTO and Board Director DatacenterDynamics 41