The Future of the Australian ICT Industry. Bob Hayward CTIO CSC Australia Asia September 2010
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1 The Future of the Australian ICT Industry Bob Hayward CTIO CSC Australia Asia September 2010
2 What will be the next high-growth information and communications technologies? What opportunities..and DISRUPTIONS.. lie ahead?
3 Some Things You Can Depend On Broad Technology Trends Core Infrastructure Network Devices Application Development Applications From Expensive, Fragile, Labour Intensive Brittle, Messy, Non-Secure, Inconsistent Power Hungry, Limited Functions, Corporate Provisioned Expensive, Complex, Time-Consuming, Non-Intuitive Expensive, Monolithic, Rigid, Occasional Disruptive Upgrades To Robust, Agile, Cheap, Invisible, As-a-Service Secure, Reliable, Wireless, Broadband, Ubiquitous, As-a-Service Always-On, Connected, Smart, Personal Choice As-a-Service Fast, Cheap, Standardised, Visualised, As-a-Service Cheap, Modular, Standardised, As-a-Service
4 What Really USA Happened! CIO s 2007 Priorities 1 Implementing/Improving Business Intelligence 6 Upgrade networks to support higher bandwidth rich content and mix of Voice/Data (VoIP) 2 Upgrade/Enhance Core Business Applications 7 Continue efforts in SOA crossenterprise (integration) 3 Upgrading/Replacing/ Front-ending Legacy Systems 8 Continue to improve IT security systems 4 Refine Sourcing Strategies (alternative delivery models) 9 Improve management of infrastructure (tools, ITIL processes ) 5 Upgrade Servers/ Storage (consolidate, virtualize) 10 Implement collaboration technologies
5 The Locus of Innovation in IT has Changed
6 Consumerised IT: Areas of Focus in the Enterprise Browser-based apps Collaboration Policies, Monitoring, Reporting Rather than Bans and Controls Mashups/Mashapps Employee choice & responsibility Redraw the firewall servers storage desktops networks Virtualisation & Cloud Internet standards & open source Mobility, Remote, Distance, Devices
7 All Data Centres have to Data Transform Centre Challenges between Infrastructure Challenges Server CapEx Source Power technology Cooling technology Grid From Fossil Room based cooling Rack based cooling Grid From Fossil and Renewables With some Distributed Generation, some of which is Renewables Component based liquid cooling 1500Kg+ per Rack Kw per Rack Server OpEx Kg per Rack 2-4 Kw per Rack Highly virtualised & optimised Private Cloud Computing
8 Defining the Cloud Computing Model Cloud computing is a model for enabling on-demand network access to a shared pool of configurable computing resources that can be rapidly provisioned and released with minimal management effort or service provider interaction OR simply Low Cost Flexible Entry and Exit Characteristics Service Types Deployment Models Service-based; consumer concerns are abstracted via service interfaces Metered by use; services tracked by usage metrics that enable multiple payment models Scalable and elastic; services flex on demand to add or remove resources as needed Shared; services dynamically allocated from a pool to gain economies of scale Business Process as a Service (not part of NIST) Entire Business process as a service in the cloud, usually involving people Likely procured by BU Executives Software as a Service Finished applications that you rent and customize Likely procured by BU, IT Executives Platform as a Service Developer platform that abstracts the infrastructure, OS, and middleware for developer productivity Likely procured by Development Infrastructure as a Service Enterprise Enterprise Enterprise 1 PUBLIC PRIVATE Private Cloud COMMUNITY Enterprise 2 Community Cloud Enterprise 3 HYBRID Public Cloud Broad Network Access; using Standard Internet Protocols Deployment platform that abstracts the infrastructure Likely procured by IT Enterprise Private Cloud Public Cloud Macquarie Bank February 2010
9 Cloud Computing IT Value Directly Connected to Business Allocated IT capacities OpEx Load Forecast IT CAPACITY Reduction of initial investments No under-supply Reduction of over-supply Actual Load Possible reduction of IT-capacities in case of reduced load Time
10 Some Tech-enabled Australia Business IT SWOT Trends Analysis Open Innovation and Co-Creation Involving customers, partners, suppliers the broad eco-system of the business Taking advantage of Web 2.0 concepts Extend beyond full-time employees for assistance Global Collaboration and Delivery Broadband-enabled video conferencing, telepresence Real time translation capabilities (text and ultimately voice) Offshore, onshore, nearshore, at home pools of talent Trillions of connected things RFID, devices, chips, sensors, actuators all connected Assets, products, physical items, people remote, mobile The underpinnings of the smart economy Sustainability Replace atoms with bits Leverage Green IT, broadband networks Carbon-based accounting systems
11 Some Tech-enabled Australia Business IT SWOT Trends Analysis Analytics and big data A tsunami of incoming data leading to capability and insight gaps New techniques for handling big data become mainstream Analytics, predictive forecasting, data mining services proliferate Emerging market blowback Innovation at the bottom of the pyramid moves upwards What works in constrained economies can work even better in developed markets Everything is a service Opex, pay-as-you-go, standardised, automated, abstracted, self-service Different types of public cloud: high-availability, low-cost, secure, close, high performance, ITIL-ESM integrated, vertical industry specific, commercial, consumer, test and development, high-bandwidth Intelligent devices Intuitive, interactive, fun, visual dizzying array of form factors, features Augmented reality, un-tethered workforce
12 Australia s ICT SWOT Australia IT SWOT Analysis Strengths Weaknesses Local IT firms lack critical mass, international presence Strong Education system No Australia ICT branding Early adopters of technology Too easy to be comfortable just in Australia Highly skilled work-force Tax system relatively unfriendly towards innovation Proximity to Asia Low profile of tech industry, declining graduate intake Good infrastructure (but can be better) Few role models outside of sport, celebrity Low risk environment Geographic isolation from US and Euromarkets First world legal and administrative systems High labour costs relative to Emerging Asia Cultural affinity with America, Asia and Europe Curriculums vs lateral think, questioning education Extremely weak R&D by Australian business Opportunities Threats Industry, academic and government collaboration IT Services, BPO & KPO Potential for NBN to inspire Consumer-oriented web/mobile-based offerings Vertical and niche software solutions Exploit FTA opportunities Services-based experiences for Asia Competition from emerging economies Currency volatility/rise against others Exclusion from regional trading blocs Risk of global and regional instabilities Continual brain drain (Australians adapt well) Leverage huge funds under management
13 The Future of the Australian ICT Industry Bob Hayward CTIO CSC Australia Asia September 2010
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