Exhibit S1. Market Capitalization as a Percentage of GDP Relative to PPP GDP per Capita
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1 Mktcap % GDP 1 Supplemental Information Exhibit S1. Market Capitalization as a Percentage of GDP Relative to PPP GDP per Capita 400% Market Cap % GDP versus GDP/Capita 350% Luxembourg 300% 250% Jordan South Africa 200% 150% 100% USA 50% y = Ln(x) % 100 1,000 10, ,000 GDP/Capita (constant 2000 $) Source: World Bank WDI, 2009
2 2 Exhibit S2. Frontier Index Sector Weights Sector S&P Frontier BMI MSCI Frontier Markets Index S&P Frontier BMI ex-gcc MSCI Frontier Markets Index ex- GCC Consumer discretionary 2.1% 1.1% 2.4% 2.2% Consumer staples Energy Financials Health care Industrials Information technology Materials Telecom services Utilities Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3 3 Exhibit S3. S&P Frontier BMI ex-gcc: Index Weights vs. GDP Weights S&P BMI ex- GCC, GDP (millions) S&P BMI ex- GCC, GDP Weight S&P BMI ex- GCC, Mkt. Cap Weight GDP minus Mkt. Cap Weight Country Argentina $328, % 5.9% 7.9% Romania 200, Ukraine 180, Slovak Republic 94, Pakistan 168, Bangladesh 78, Bulgaria 49, Lithuania 47, Ecuador 52, Latvia 33, Estonia 23, Tunisia 40, Ghana 16, Zambia 14, Côte d Ivoire 23, Namibia 8, Vietnam 90, Croatia 69, Jamaica 15, Trinidad and Tobago 23, Botswana 12, Sri Lanka 40, Kenya 34, Mauritius 8, Slovenia 54, Panama 23, Lebanon 28, Kazakhstan 132, Nigeria 212, Jordan 20, Colombia 242, Total $2,369, % 100.0% 0.0%
4 Exhibit S4. PPP GDP per Capita, GDP per Capita (PPP Current $) $100,000 Singapore U.S S. Korea Russia $10,000 Singapore China Brazil 5,962 Botswana India 2,972 $1, Bangladesh 250 $100 Source: World Bank, 2010
5 % of Population Age > 64 5 Exhibit S5. Comparison of Population Demographics Japan Germany Greece Bulgaria Romania Poland Italy Singapore Population Demographics China US Bahrain Ireland Vietnam UAE Argentina Sri Lanka Pakistan Developed Markets Emerging Markets Frontier Markets Africa Zambia Uganda % of Population Age < 15 Peru Nigeria Source: World Development Indicators, 2007
6 Bank Acouts/Adult 6 Exhibit S6. Banking Penetration: Accounts per Adult Ukraine Bank Accounts per Adult Malaysia Austria Belgium Mongolia Eatonia US India Slovenia Bangladesh 0.5 Malaw i Uraguay Pakistan Paraguay 0.0 $100 $1,000 $10,000 $100,000 GDP / Capita Source: Consultative Group to Assist the Poor, World Bank, 2009
7 Loans % GDP 7 Exhibit S7. Banking Penetration: Loans and Deposits 1000% Deposits & Loans versus GDP 100% Russia Ukraine Ireland Belgium EAFE Netherlands Singapore HK Panama Lebanon Mexico Malaw i Zambia Uganda Pakistan 10% 10% 100% 1000% Deposits % GDP Source: Consultative Group to Assist the Poor, World Bank, 2009
8 8 Exhibit S8. Heritage Foundation 2011 Index of Economic Freedom Scores Country Score Country Score Country Score Hong Kong 89.7 Jamaica 65.7 Malawi 55.8 Singapore 87.2 Malta 65.7 Tonga 55.8 Australia 82.5 Bulgaria 64.9 Moldova 55.7 New Zealand 82.3 Kuwait 64.9 Senegal 55.7 Switzerland 81.9 Panama 64.9 Côte d Ivoire 55.4 Canada 80.8 Romania 64.7 Pakistan 55.1 Ireland 78.7 Thailand 64.7 India 54.6 Denmark 78.6 France 64.6 Niger 54.3 United States 77.8 Slovenia 64.6 Yemen 54.2 Bahrain 77.7 Turkey 64.2 Tajikistan 53.5 Chile 77.4 Albania 64.0 Surinam 53.1 Luxembourg 76.2 Portugal 64.0 Bangladesh 53.0 Mauritius 76.2 Namibia 62.7 Papua New Guinea 52.6 Estonia 75.2 Rawanda 62.7 Algeria 52.4 Netherlands 74.7 South Africa 62.7 Haiti 52.1 United Kingdom 74.5 Montenegro 62.5 Mauritania 52.1 Finland 74.0 Paraguay 62.3 China 52.0 Cyprus 73.3 Kazakhstan 62.1 Cameroon 51.8 Macau 73.1 Guatemala 61.9 Argentina 51.7 Japan 72.8 Uganda 61.7 Republic of Guinea 51.7 Austria 71.9 Madagascar 61.2 Vietnam 51.6 Sweden 71.9 Croatia 61.1 Laos 51.3 Germany 71.8 Kyrgyz Republic 61.1 Syria 51.3 Lithuania 71.3 Burkina Faso 60.6 Seychelles 51.2 Saint Lucia 70.8 Fiji 60.4 Ethiopia 50.5 Taiwan 70.8 Greece 60.3 Russia 50.5 Qatar 70.5 Italy 60.3 Nepal 50.1 Czech Republic 70.4 Lebanon 60.1 Bolivia 50.0 Georgia 70.4 Dominican Republic 60.0 Burundi 49.6 Norway 70.3 Azerbaijan 59.7 Sierra Leone 49.6 Belgium 70.2 Zambia 59.7 Guyana 49.4 Spain 70.2 Morocco 59.6 Togo 49.1 Uruguay 70.0 Mongolia 59.5 Belarus 47.9 Korea, Republic of 69.8 Ghana 59.4 Lesotho 47.5 Oman 69.8 Egypt 59.1 Ecuador 47.1 Armenia 69.7 Swaziland 59.1 Liberia 46.5 Slovakia 69.5 Nicaragua 58.8 Angola 46.2 Jordan 68.9 Honduras 58.6 Ukraine 45.8 Botswana 68.8 Tunisia 58.5 Uzbekistan 45.8 Peru 68.6 Serbia 58.0 Chad 45.3 Barbados 68.5 Cambodia 57.9 Turkmenistan 43.6 Israel 68.5 Bhutan 57.6 Iran 42.1 Iceland 68.2 Bosnia 57.5 Congo 40.7 Colombia 68.0 Kenya 57.4 Libya 38.6 Mexico 67.8 Sri Lanka 57.1 Burma 37.8 United Arab Emirates 67.8 Tanzania 57.0 Venezuela 37.6 Costa Rica 67.3 Mozambique 56.8 Eritrea 36.7 Hungary 66.6 Gabon 56.7 Cuba 27.7 Trinidad and Tobago 66.5 Nigeria 56.7 Zimbabwe 22.1 Malaysia 66.3 Brazil 56.3 North Korea 1.0 Saudi Arabia 66.2 Mali 56.3 Macedonia 66.0 Philippines 56.2 Latvia 65.8 Indonesia 56.0 Note: Frontier stock markets are in bold. Source: Heritage Foundation (2011).
9 Jan-79 Jan-80 Jan-81 Jan-82 Jan-83 Jan-84 Jan-85 Jan-86 Jan-87 Jan-88 Jan-89 Jan-90 Jan-91 Jan-92 Jan-93 Jan-94 Jan-95 Jan-96 Jan-97 Jan-98 Jan-99 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 9 Exhibit S9. Index Correlations with the S&P Three Year Rolling Correlation vs. S&P MSCI EAFE =.93 = RSQ.86 MSCI EM =.87 = RSQ.77 Frontier = 0.73 = RSQ.54 EAFE EM MSCI EM Source: MSCI, S&P Dec 2010 S&P Frontier BMI ex-gcc
10 Jan-79 Jan-81 Jan-83 Jan-85 Jan-87 Jan-89 Jan-91 Jan-93 Jan-95 Jan-97 Jan-99 Jan-01 Jan-03 Jan-05 Jan-07 Jan Exhibit S10. Standard Deviations of Index Returns Standard Deviation of Returns (36 mos annualized) U.S. 22.1%, EAFE 26.6%, EM 33.3% Frontier ex-gcc 27.7% EM Frontier EAFE 20 S&P SOURCE: MSCI, S&P Dec
11 Apr-06 Jul-06 Oct-06 Jan-07 Apr-07 Jul-07 Oct-07 Jan-08 Apr-08 Jul-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct Exhibit S11. Correlations of Indices with Copper Correlations days, based on 30 Non-overlapping 5 Day Periods EM Copper EM Frontier S&P 0.20 Frontier 0.00 (0.20) (0.40) S&P (0.60) Source: Bloomberg, MSCI, Frontier Market Asset Mgmt, Jan 2011
12 Apr-06 Jul-06 Oct-06 Jan-07 Apr-07 Jul-07 Oct-07 Jan-08 Apr-08 Jul-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct Exhibit S12. Correlations with Copper Correlations days, based on 30 Non-overlapping 5 Day Periods 1.00 Copper 0.75 Russia 0.50 Peru (0.25) Kenya (0.50) Source: Bloomberg, MSCI, Frontier Market Asset Mgmt, January 2011
13 13 Exhibit S13. Frontier Market Regional Liquidity Market Cap (millions) Volume Traded/Day (millions) Annual Turnover Stocks with Volume Data Stocks > $10,000/Day Stocks > $25,000/Day Stocks > $50,000/Day Stocks > $100,000/Day Africa $44,739 $18 8% Asia 34, Eastern Europe 57, Latin America 9, Middle East 124, Total $270,368 $388 29% Note: Data include 325 stocks from 36 countries. Source: Bloomberg (April 2010). Stocks > $200,000/Day
14 14 Exhibit S14. Frontier Market Trading Volume % Change Oct 2008 Mar 2009 % Change Mar 2009 Apr Oct Mar Apr 2010 Africa $9.6 $5.4 $ % 437% Eastern Europe Latin America Asia Total $40.3 $23.1 $ % 561% Top quartile = $38.3 Firm capacity = $383 Sources: Bloomberg and Frontier Market Asset Management (May 2010).
15 15 Exhibit S15. Economic Freedom Gains, Nigeria Qatar Mauritius Romania 2011 Change 2011 Change 2011 Change 2011 Change Total score % % % % Business freedom Trade freedom Fiscal freedom Gov t. size Monetary freedom Investment freedom Financial freedom Property rights Freedom from corruption Labor freedom Source: Heritage Foundation (2011).
16 16 Exhibit S16. Economic Freedom Declines from 2006 to 2011 Zimbabwe Ukraine Venezuela 2011 Change 2011 Change 2011 Change Total score % % % Business freedom Trade freedom Fiscal freedom Gov t. size Monetary freedom Investment freedom Financial freedom Property rights Freedom from corruption Labor freedom Source: Heritage Foundation (2011).
17 17 Exhibit S17. Economic Freedom Changes in the BRICs from 2006 to 2011 Brazil Russia India China 2011 Change 2011 Change 2011 Change 2011 Change Total score % % % % Business freedom Trade freedom Fiscal freedom Gov t. size Monetary freedom Investment freedom Financial freedom Property rights Freedom from corruption Labor freedom Source: Heritage Foundation (2011).
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