LEATHER GOODS: PRELIMINARY DATA 2015
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1 LEATHER GOODS: PRELIMINARY DATA 2015 In the first eight months of 2015, the foreign turnover continued to consolidate: from January to August, Euro 4.2 billion worth of products were exported, recording growth of slightly less than 9% compared to Never before have the markets been so volatile and there are no certainties that allow the companies to implement medium/long-term programs; hence, risk margins are high and certainties very few. The exports positive results are fragmented: they disregard certain traditional markets of the sector, slowing down especially in Europe, and reveal instead unexpected performances: the trend in the Canadian market is one of these, just like the Australian one. In this scenario, it is however clear that the appeal exerted by Made-in-Italy products remains strong and allows once again to counterbalance the results in the domestic market, which for several years now have not been particularly comforting and have lost another 4.4% in the first half of the year. The most significant contribution to the exports is given by leather goods, which participates in the composition of the total turnover for almost 80%, with 3.3 billion sales and a growth trend of 9%. In this context, the turnover specifically generated by the women s leather bags has grown at a fast pace: more than 2 billion in the first 8 months and a growth trend of 12%: a segment that has experienced no halt to its development and that almost exclusively involves the top and luxury segments of the market. This trend followed by the luxury market both in Italy and abroad is also shown by the constant and progressive performance in the last few years of the export average price, which in 2015 has grown generally by 11% and in particular, in regard to women s leather bags, by 12%. Also in 2015, 11.6 million leather bags have been placed on the international markets, up by 12% compared to Women s bags in all materials exported worldwide totaled instead more than 26 million. The main export markets The import percentage of Italian leather goods in the USA has been constantly increasing since This accounts for a turnover of more than 489 million, up by 20%, thus placing the US market at the third place for value and at the sixth place for volume, one of the most important clients of the Italian leather industry.
2 In reality, we are talking about percentages that are still low, generated, among others, by top-of-the-line products rather than by medium-line goods that are positively affected by a favorable currency exchange rate. However, growth in the segment of no-brand products is expected, always with their hallmark of high quality and fashion. Also in the Chinese market, it appears that the interest in Made-in-Italy leather goods has not waned: high growth was recorded in the first eight months of 2015 (+32%). Also in this case, the trend exclusively refers to the luxury segment, as shown by the extremely high average price, among the highest ones of those recorded in the export destinations of this sector (Euro 332). The same almost goes for Hong Kong, which has become the fourth export destination of the sector, with a value of Euro 359 million, and with a growth trend of 14% and an average price also in this case rather high (Euro 228). The sales have dropped dramatically in Russia, with an export downfall of 23%, according to the preliminary data of the year, coupled with a turnover cut in half in 2014 and accompanied by a sharp decrease in volumes sold (-28%) and an average price falling by 6%. The mainly psychological consequences caused to the sector of fashion accessories by the sanctions in 2014 were also followed, with definitely more significant results, by the restrictions to the bank system, in particular the crunch to the consumer credit, which restricted the financial resources of the market players and consumers. It is hard to imagine changes in the medium term and that the role played by Moscow for a long time as the third capital city of worldwide luxury will be revived. The exports to Japan, the fifth destination for the sector, have recorded a slight increase (+5%) despite decreasing volumes (-1.2%). The exports in this market despite being affected by shrinking consumption have continued to benefit from a substantially interesting demand, even if to a lesser extent compared to a few years ago; the deferment to 2017 of the increase in the consumers tax rates from 8% to 10%, initially due last October, has temporarily given relief to the timid economic revival, even though it has implied a further rise in the public debt of our country with its future consequences on consumption. A few other export destinations of the sector are also worth of mention, where, apart from those previously mentioned, significantly increased turnovers were recorded at least on an annual basis: Canada and Australia, as mentioned (+42% and + 39%, respectively) and also among the Asian markets Saudi Arabia (+28%), Taiwan (+19%), Arab Emirates (+14%) and, in Europe, Spain (+21%) and Denmark (+18%).
3 In the January-August period, after a period of stagnation, imports grew significantly (+21%). In particular, they were of Chinese origin by slightly less than 40% of total value, equal to 697 million Euro. In addition, the trade balance remains fully positive, closing at the end of August with more than billion. Source: Sita Ricerca and ISTAT. Data processed by AIMPES December 2015
4 EVOLUZIONE DEL SETTORE PELLETTERIA IN ITALIA NEL GENNAIO-GIUGNO 2015 % change 2015 vs. JANUARY-JUNE 2014 JANUARY-JUNE Volume Value AP Volume Value AP Volume Value AP BELTS , ,41-0,6 0,1 0,7 BAGS , ,12-4,8-6,9-2,2 SUITCASES , ,63 11,3 1,0-9,2 RUCKSACS , ,50 8,7-0,4-8,3 LARGE BAGS , ,23-1,7-8,2-6,6 GOODS FOR WORK , ,92-1,1-3,2-2,1 WALLET/PURSES , ,33 0,0-1,3-1,4 MAROQUINERIE , ,48 5,3-1,5-6,5 TOTAL LEATHER GOODS , ,83-0,9-4,7-3,8 UMBRELLAS , ,66-4,9 5,8 11,2 TOTAL , ,55-1,4-4,4-3,0 Fonte: SITA Ricerca, servizio Fashion Consumer Panel Preparato per: AIMPES SERVIZI Srl
5 EXPORT BY PRODUCT GROUP AND MATERIAL values in euros TOTAL REAL HIDE MAN-MADE PRODUCTS VAR% VAR% VAR% Folder and briefcases ,99% ,47% ,65% 0 0 Suitcases and travel bags ,35% ,77% ,14% 0 0 Handbags ,33% ,99% ,52% 0 Small leather goods ,40% ,40% ,93% 0 Belts ,72% ,72% 0 0 0,00% 0 Musical instrument cases ,71% 0 0 0,00% ,71% Other items ,40% ,40% 0 0 0,00% TOTAL ,82% ,12% ,75%
6 EXPORT BY PRODUCT GROUP AND MATERIAL values in Kg JANUARY - AUGUST 2015 TOTAL REAL HIDE MAN-MADE PRODUCTS VAR% VAR% VAR% Folders and briefcases ,25% ,48% ,46% Suitcases and trave bags ,98% ,60% ,65% Handbags ,33% ,46% ,19% Small leather goods ,23% ,25% ,65% Belts ,90% ,90% 0 0 0,00% Musical instrument cases ,03% 0 0 0,00% ,03% Other items ,78% ,78% 0 0 0,00% TOTAL , ,00 0,21% ,02% ,93%
7 EXPORT TO MAIN SOURCE COUNTRIES values in euros COUNTRIES VAR % % QUOTA '15 Switzerland ,34% 16,95% France ,34% 11,39% United States ,94% 9,86% Hong Kong ,81% 8,43% Japan ,17% 6,40% UK ,84% 5,97% Germany ,28% 5,89% South Korea ,66% 5,45% China ,95% 4,39% Spain ,80% 2,55% Netherland ,41% 2,20% Singapore ,95% 1,81% Russia ,34% 1,51% United Arab Emirates ,45% 1,40% Austria ,16% 1,05% Taiwan ,70% 0,96% Belgium ,22% 0,77% Turkey ,73% 0,66% Australia ,09% 0,63% Canada ,29% 0,63% Polland ,29% 0,57% Greece ,33% 0,55% Saudi Arabia ,52% 0,44% Denmark ,07% 0,28% Croatia ,93% 0,18% Brasil ,36% 0,17% Ukraine ,92% 0,14% Kazakistan ,25% 0,08% Rest of the world ,82% 8,70% TOTALE ,82% 100,00%
8 EXPORT FROM MAIN SOURCE COUNTRIES value in kilos COUNTRIES VAR% QUOTA % 15 Francia ,61% 13,25% Germania ,67% 12,35% Svizzera ,18% 8,02% Paesi Bassi ,80% 6,32% Regno Unito ,23% 5,95% Stati Uniti ,12% 5,80% Spagna ,53% 5,46% Giappone ,17% 3,70% Hong Kong ,08% 3,26% Austria ,19% 2,35% Corea del Sud ,61% 2,06% Grecia ,62% 1,74% Polonia ,92% 1,73% Croazia ,97% 1,58% Belgio ,61% 1,56% Russia ,88% 1,52% Cina ,80% 1,47% Emirati Arabi Uniti ,36% 0,83% Turchia ,95% 0,81% Singapore ,82% 0,59% Danimarca ,18% 0,52% Arabia Saudita ,70% 0,44% Canada ,49% 0,43% Australia ,04% 0,38% Taiwan ,15% 0,36% Brasile ,43% 0,27% Ucraina ,99% 0,15% Kazakistan ,58% 0,05% Resto delmondo ,96% 17,05% TOTALE ,21% 100,00%
9 IMPORT BY PRODUCT GROUP AND MATERIAL value in euros TOTAL REAL HIDE MAN-MADE PRODUCTS VAR% VAR% VAR% Folders and briefcases ,33% ,91% ,90% Suitcases and travel bags ,00% ,57% ,57% Handbags ,50% ,01% ,79% 0 0 Small leather goods ,61% ,82% ,83% Belts ,12% ,12% 0 0 0,00% Musical instrument cases ,26% 0 0 0,00% ,26% Other items ,14% ,00% 0 0 0,00% TOTAL ,16% ,43% ,11%
10 IMPORT BY PRODUCT GROUP AND MATERIAL values in Kg TOTAL REAL HIDE MAN-MADE PRODUCTS VAR% VAR% VAR% Folder and briefcases ,92% ,64% ,41% Suitcases and travel bags ,27% ,98% ,68% Handbags ,55% ,14% ,33% Smalll leather goods ,67% ,61% ,97% Belts ,38% ,38% ,00% Musical instrument cases ,99% 0 0 0,00% ,99% Other items ,98% ,98% 0 0 0,00% TOTAL ,27% ,70% ,86%
11 IMPORT FROM MAIN SOURCE COUNTRIES value in euros COUNTRIES VAR% QUOTA % 15 Cina ,58% 39,74% France ,69% 19,18% Switzerland ,74% 6,44% Romania ,85% 4,24% Spain ,17% 3,39% Germany ,01% 3,36% Belgium ,65% 2,80% India ,24% 2,75% Netherlands ,59% 2,01% Vietnam ,90% 1,78% Bulgary ,49% 1,42% Hong Kong ,81% 1,30% Tunisia ,02% 1,11% Indonesia ,10% 0,90% Thailand ,86% 0,47% Slovenia ,99% 0,43% Ungary ,85% 0,26% Taiwan ,77% 0,22% Pakistan ,34% 0,06% Morocco ,80% 0,01% Rest of the world ,00% 8,14% TOTALE ,16% 100,00%
12 IMPORT FROM MAIN SOURCE COUNTRIES value in kilos COUNTRIES VAR% QUOTA % 15 China ,25% 48,38% France ,72% 4,09% Vietnam ,70% 3,11% Belgium ,58% 2,53% Romania ,80% 2,35% Germany ,67% 2,15% Spain ,08% 1,48% India ,93% 1,24% Netherlands ,91% 0,88% Slovenia ,80% 0,51% Bulgary ,22% 0,46% Tunisia ,41% 0,43% Indonesia ,19% 0,38% Hong Kong ,31% 0,36% Switzerland ,15% 0,31% Taiwan ,94% 0,20% Thailand ,05% 0,17% Ungary ,43% 0,13% Pakistan ,57% 0,05% Morocco ,21% 0,00% Rest of the world ,38% 30,80% TOTALE ,27% 100,00%
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