Does International Diversification Pay?

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Does International Diversification Pay?"

Transcription

1 Does Internatonal Dversfcaton Pay? Vvek Bhargava 1, Danel K. Konku, and D. K. Malhotra 3 Advances computer and telecommuncatons technology have contrbuted to the emergence of more tegrated global fancal markets, allowg for the dssematon of formaton and the executon of transactons on a real-tme bass around the clock and around the globe. To determe f an vestor can ga addtonal dversfcaton benefts by vestg today s creasgly tegrated global fancal markets, returns on four dfferent dexes Standard & Poor s Composte 500 (S&P 500); Morgan Stanley Captal Internatonal (MSCI) World Index; Europe, Australa, and Far East (EAFE) Index; and the MSCI Europe Index are analyzed for a -year perod, from 1978 to 000. Although the benefts from ternatonal dversfcaton are decreasg, an vestor s better off vestg a porton of hs or her portfolo ternatonal markets, especally the European markets. Keywords: Dversfcaton, Mutual fund selecton, Rsk reducton Introducton Globalzaton of fancal markets s one of the most sgnfcant economc developments over the last decade. Advances computer and telecommuncatons technology contrbuted to the emergence of global fancal markets, permttg the dssematon of formaton and executon of transactons on a real-tme bass around the clock and around the globe. As a result, cross-border fancal transactons exploded, and global markets became more tegrated the 1990s. In addton to ts mpact on other mportant ssues fance, ths development s havg far-reachg mplcatons for portfolo strateges. Expandg lks between natonal economes and creasg traregonal trade, combed wth the explosve growth cross-border portfolo vestment, are creatg a world whch stock markets move together to a consderable extent, thus nullfyg/reducg the benefts of a global mx of securtes. Prevous studes have establshed the benefts of global dversfcaton. Ths study revsts the ssue of global dversfcaton to determe f the benefts of dversfyg portfolos ternatonally exst even when markets are becomg creasgly tegrated around the globe. The obectve of ths paper s to determe whether an vestor today can stll ga dversfcaton benefts by vestg ternatonal markets. The monthly returns of four dfferent dexes--standard & Poor s 500 (S&P 500); Morgan Stanley Captal Internatonal (MSCI) World Index; the Europe, Australa and Far East (EAFE) Index; and the MSCI Europe Index are analyzed over a -year perod, from 1978 to 000. Portfolos of domestc and ternatonal dexes are developed to determe f ternatonal dversfcaton enhances portfolo performance and effcent fronters are developed to determe the mmum-varance portfolos for the vestor. In addton, portfolo returns for the last 10 years of the perod, 1991 to 000, and the last fve years, 1996 to 000, are examed to test the popular contenton that the benefts of ternatonal dversfcaton are steadly decreasg due to the creasg tegraton of global fancal markets. An vestor can vest ternatonal markets a number of ways, cludg buyg foregn company stocks on foregn exchanges, buyg stocks multatonal companes, buyg ternatonal mutual funds, or buyg dexed funds. A typcal U.S. vestor mght fd t dffcult to dentfy good 1 Vvek Bhargava, Assstant Professor of Fance, Alcorn State Unversty, MBA Program, 15 Campus Drve, Natchez, MS 3910, phone , e-mal, [email protected] Danel K. Konku, Department of Fance, Florda Atlantc Unversty, 777 Glades Rd., Boca Raton, FL ; phone ; e-mal, [email protected] 3 D. K. Malhotra, Assocate professor of Fance, Phladelpha Unversty, School of Busess Admstraton, School House Lane and Henry Avenue, Phladelpha, PA , phone ; fax: ; e-mal, [email protected] 004, Assocaton for Fancal Counselg and Planng Educaton. All rghts of reproducton any form reserved. 53

2 Fancal Counselg and Planng Volume 15 (1), 004 stocks tradg on foregn exchanges. Most vestors today buy mutual funds. It may be even better to buy dex funds to acheve the full benefts of dversfcaton. Index funds of the dexes analyzed ths paper are readly avalable, have relatvely low expense ratos, and are easly accessble to vestors. When vestg ternatonal markets, vestors need to remember that they are exposed to exchange rate rsk. However, most cases, the effect of exchange rate changes on a frm s return on vestment wll be sgnfcant because multatonal frms use varous hedgg struments, cludg forwards, futures, optons, and swaps. Furthermore, a frm can have a well-balanced foregn exchange portfolo wth long and short postons smlar, hghly correlated currences. These hedgg actvtes appear to be effectve and those frms usg currency dervatves can reduce ther exposure to exchange rate rsk. Furthermore, poltcal rsk has a profound fluence on foregn vestment, gven that stablty a host country s government or monetary/fscal polces results more uncerta vestment outcomes. In the context of the Captal Asset Prcg Model (CAPM), the concern s the poltcal rsk that cannot be dversfed away by holdg a market portfolo of all assets. By mplcaton, f a type of poltcal rsk s dversfable, then t wll not affect vestors requred return or the frm s captal cost. On the contrary, f many or all assets share poltcal rsk, then the requred return wll reflect ths nondversfable rsk. The challenge s determg whether any partcular poltcal rsk s dversfable or not. Butler and Domgo (1998) suggest that ths depends on the relevant market portfolo agast whch nondversfable rsk s measured. Ths, turn, depends on the degree of tegraton or segmentaton the captal markets whch the vestment s made. When captal markets are well tegrated, the relevant portfolo s the global market portfolo, and when a domestc market s segregated from other captal markets, the relevant portfolo s the domestc market. Recent research has concentrated on the dversfcaton benefts from emergg markets, but ths paper analyzes dexes from developed markets, where the rsks assocated wth vestment are relatvely low. Ths study s mportant for practtoners, as t documents the mpact of tegraton on the benefts of dversfcaton by comparg the results for the last years to those from the last fve years. Ths paper also makes a recommendaton to the vestor on the percentage of the portfolo that should be allocated to ternatonal vestments, as well as on the weghts for the mmum-varance portfolo. Untl recently the cost of vestg ternatonal markets was a concern to the vestors. But today a number of dexed and other mutual funds are avalable through establshed mutual fund companes the US and the expense ratos of these funds are relatvely low. Lterature Revew Even though cross-border tradg has been place for a few hundred years, real evdence of the desrablty of corporatg the securtes of less developed countres to dversfed portfolos was not documented untl the early 1970s, studes conducted by Levy and Sarnat (1970), Lessard (1973), and Errunza (1977). The case was also strongly recommended by Bergstrong (1975). Sce then, many researchers have descrbed the rsk reducton and return enhancement of carefully dversfed portfolos across dfferent ternatonal equty markets. In recent analyses of emergg markets, Harvey (1993, 1995) exames the mpact of emergg equty markets on global vestment strateges. Hs results corroborate the fdgs of past studes, whch suggested that theoretcal gas exsted from dversfcaton to emergg stock markets because of a shft the mean-varance effcent fronter. Regresson-based mean varance spanng was troduced to the fance lterature by Huberman and Kandel (1987). Sce then, a number of researchers have used ths methodology to test for benefts of dversfcaton. Bekaert and Uras (1996) exame closed-end funds for emergg markets and fd sgnfcant benefts for U.K. country funds but not for U.S. funds. De Roon, Nman, and Werker (001) fd that the absence of market frctons there are advantages to dversfcaton emergg markets, but these benefts dsappear wth short sales constrats and vestablty restrctons. Dressen and Laeven (003) fd that the absence of short sales restrctons, dversfcaton benefts are avalable to all countres, but decrease wth the restrcton on short sales mposed. They also fd that the benefts are largest for developg countres and for countres wth hgh country rsk. Results by Dwan, Errunza, and Senbet (1995) further dcate that those frms already dversfed across developed markets can stll mprove the performance of ther portfolos sgnfcantly by vestg the stock of emergg economes , Assocaton for Fancal Counselg and Planng Educaton. All rghts of reproducton any form reserved.

3 Does Internatonal Dversfcaton Pay? The benefts from dversfcaton have often been analyzed the classcal mean-varance framework, whch assumes that the requred puts to the analyss (returns, varances, and covarances) are known wth certaty. Emprcal studes that rely on these assumptons do not reflect the realtes under whch vestment decsons are made (Errunza, 1977; Baley and Stulz, 1990). The non-statonary nature of the puts renders the selecton of an optmal vestment strategy dffcult to acheve. Gven the fluctuatg nature of emergg-market returns, Eftekhar and Satchell (1999) vestgate whether the tradtonal sgle-factor mean-varance CAPM s stll vald. They consder an alternatve CAPM: the lower partal moment CAPM (LPM- CAPM), whch dffers from the mean-varance CAPM the presence of non-normalty. The researchers show that for vestors, most cases, emergg-market betas from LPM-CAPM are not emprcally dfferent from those derved from the tradtonal mean-varance CAPM. As stated earler, a number of other researchers have also used the mean-varance approach. Kohers, Kohers, and Pandey (1998) fd that vestors can reap the benefts of dversfcaton emergg markets by vestg ust a few countres. These benefts are not senstve to weghts, and portfolos of approxmately equal weght produce adequate results. Aello and Cheffe (1999) analyze returns on seven dfferent dexes and fd that even though ternatonal vestment does not outperform the S&P 500, dversfcaton benefts stll exst. Ho, Mlevsky, and Robson (1999) fd that, unlke for U.S. vestors, ternatonal dversfcaton benefts for Canadan vestors are sgnfcant due to the reducton shortfall rsk. Usg dustry portfolo returns to represent dustry factors and country returns for natonal factors, early papers by Grold et al. (1989) were unable to expla the mpact of the two components on portfolo returns. However, Zervos (1996) was more successful her attempt to quantfy the mportance of country and dustry components dvdual stock returns over the perod She fds that, although both country- and dustry-specfc effects are mportant factors understandg emerggmarket returns, dustry effects expla lttle of the cross-sectonal dfferences returns and return volatlty; the low correlatons between varous markets are prmarly due to country-specfc factors. Despte all the evdence provded above, a number of academcans and practtoners beleve that, wth the world becomg more global, the correlatons between dfferent countres have creased and the benefts of ternatonal dversfcaton have sgnfcantly decreased. Furthermore, there s a belef that when the markets are movg down the U.S., the correlatons between the Unted States and varous countres crease and therefore ternatonal dversfcaton do not work when t s needed most. Hanna, McCormack, and Perdue (1999) examed the rsk-and-return effect that would have been realzed by a U.S. vestor who was vestg the fancal market dexes of the other G-7 natons Canada, the Unted Kgdom, France, Germany, Italy, and Japan. Usg data from 1988 to 1997, they found that dversfcaton does not happen wth enough frequency across the decade studed to ustfy the asserton that foregn gas wll compensate for domestc losses. Later, Chernoff (00) quotes a paper showg that the benefts of ternatonal dversfcaton depend on the tme perod studed, gven that these benefts come and go. Therefore, ths paper monthly data on the abovementoned dexes are analyzed to determe f t s stll frutful to vest ternatonal markets and whether an vestor would be better off vestg only developed countres, European countres, or the world markets, whch clude emergg markets as well. Most of the prevous lterature, especally from the 1980s and 1990s, has concentrated on the emergg markets, whch are rsker than the developed markets. In ths paper, the focus s on developed markets, whch are cheaper, easer, and less rsky. If vestors can reap dversfcaton benefts developed markets, they do not have to vest the rsker emergg markets. Emergg markets are mplctly cluded through the MSCI World Index. Data And Methodology Data Monthly data are obtaed for the years 1978 to 000 from Global Fancal Data. Monthly returns for the last years are examed to determe f t s better to vest domestc markets or world markets and so reap the benefts of ternatonal dversfcaton. The returns of dfferent dexes: S&P 500; MSCI World Index; Europe, Australa, and Far East (EAFE) Index; and the MSCI Europe Index are analyzed. The U.S. long-term bond rate s used as a proxy for the rsk-free rate. 004, Assocaton for Fancal Counselg and Planng Educaton. All rghts of reproducton any form reserved. 55

4 Fancal Counselg and Planng Volume 15 (1), 004 Methodology For each dex, the monthly returns are calculated as follows: Pt R t = ln *100 (1) P Where, t-1 R t = on dex month t P t = Value of dex at the end of month t P t-1 = Value of dex at the end of month t-1 R = Average( Rt ), s the average monthly return over the study perod The annualzed return for dex s calculated by: R ann = (1 + R ) 1 1 () Once the returns are calculated, the monthly standard devaton σ s calculated for each dex and annualzed usg: n σ = ( R) n 1 (3 a) t = 1 R t σ = 1 (3 b) ann σ Portfolos are created representg the S&P 500 and the ternatonal dexes order to calculate the comparatve return of each portfolo. For a multasset portfolo, return and the standard devaton are as follows: p R = w R + w R (4) σ = [( w σ ) + ( w σ ) + w w σ σ ρ ] portfolo Where, σ (5) = Standard devaton 1 For creatg portfolos of two dexes, the mmumvarance portfolo s found usg Equaton 6. σ Cov(, ) () = (6) σ + σ Cov(, ) W m In order to fd whch portfolo performed the best, the Sharpe rato, whch measures the returnvarablty rato, s used. A hgher Sharpe rato gves the hghest return per unt of rsk. R p r f ) σ ( Sharpe rato = Where r f s the rsk-free rate. p (7) Emprcal Results The returns of four dexes are analyzed: S&P 500, MSCI World Index, MSCI Europe Index, and the EAFE for a -year perod, from 1978 to 000. To dentfy recent trends, the returns for the last 10 years, 1991 to 000, and the last fve years, 1996 to 000 are examed. Varous combatons of portfolos that combe the ternatonal dexes wth the S&P 500 are analyzed order to draw effcent fronters. The Sharpe rato s used to determe f there are any benefts to dversfyg the ternatonal markets. Table 1 gves the correlatons between the average returns for varous pars of the selected dexes for the three tme perods. The correlatons between the S&P 500 and the EAFE, and between the S&P 500 and MSCI Europe, are low, averagg about 0.6 each case. The correlaton between the S&P 500 and the MSCI World Index s relatvely hgher, whch could be because the world dex cludes the U.S. markets. The farly low correlaton between the S&P 500 and EAFE, and between the S&P 500 and MSCI Europe dex, dcates that dversfcaton benefts can be acheved by formg portfolos consstg of these dexes. Also worth notg s that for all pars of dexes, the correlaton coeffcents crease for later perods, dcatg that the benefts of ternatonal dversfcaton are ether dsappearg or are not as pronounced as they used to be. Ths result appears to be due to creased expanson of global trade among natons recent years and the consequent tegraton of captal markets. w = of an vestment the portfolo ρ = Correlaton between vestment and vestment , Assocaton for Fancal Counselg and Planng Educaton. All rghts of reproducton any form reserved.

5 Does Internatonal Dversfcaton Pay? Table 1 Correlaton Matrx of s For Selected Indexes S&P World EAFE World EAFE Europe Table gves the results of monthly and annualzed returns and standard devatons for the dvdual dexes, over the three tme perods. The S&P 500 provdes the hghest returns for all three perods, wth a 15.9 return the most recent fve-year perod (), dcatg that vestg a dversfed portfolo such as the S&P 500 yelds a greater return than any of the other dexes. Ths result s not surprsg gven the bull market the Unted States durg ths tme perod. Table Monthly and s for Selected Indexes S&P World EAFE Europe Monthly Mean Std. Dev Mean Std. Dev For the whole perod, and for the last 10 years, the S&P 500 has domated the EAFE and the Europe dexes; that s, the S&P 500 has a hgher return and lower standard devaton than the other two dexes. The domance s not there for the last fve years, however, where the S&P 500 has a hgher return but a hgher standard devaton also. Just because the S&P 500 domates the two dexes does not mean that rsk reducton through dversfcaton cannot be acheved by combg these dexes wth the S&P 500. Portfolos contag varous combatons of the S&P 500 pared wth each of the ternatonal dexes are created to determe f any benefts can be derved from ternatonal dversfcaton and to fd portfolos wth the best performance the mean-varance framework. Table 3 gves the return, rsk, and Sharpe rato for varous combatons of portfolos between the S&P 500 and the selected global dexes for the perods. For a portfolo that combes the World Index wth the S&P 500. the mmum-varance portfolo contas 35 the S&P 500 and 65 the world dex. The effcent fronter cludes portfolos wth 35 or more vested the S&P 500 and 65 or less the world dex. Table 3 shows that the maxmum reward-to-rsk rato s derved when an vestor vests 100 the S&P 500 as dcated by the Sharpe rato. Based on ths crteron, an vestor s better off vestg domestcally rather than dversfyg the world markets, perhaps because the world dex cludes the U.S. markets. But for an vestor who has low tolerance for rsk, dversfcaton s stll helpful as the overall rsk decreases when the world dex s added to the S&P 500. A portfolo composed entrely of EAFE s effcent; t experences lower returns at hgher rsk than the portfolo consstg entrely of the S&P 500. However, the benefts of dversfcaton can stll be acheved. The mmum-varance portfolo conssts of 38 EAFE and 6 the S&P 500. The Sharpe rato s maxmzed when an vestor vests 90 the S&P 500 and 10 EAFE. Even though the S&P 500 domates the EAFE, vestors maxmze per unt return f they vest 10 of the portfolo EAFE markets. Ths result valdates the premse that ternatonal dversfcaton s benefcal to vestors. For the S&P 500 and the Europe dex, results aga, show that the S&P 500 domates the European returns, but there are benefts of dversfcaton as the overall rsk can be reduced. The mmum-varance portfolo conssts of 60 the S&P 500 and 40 the Europe dex. The mean-varance return s maxmzed when one vests 80 the S&P 500 and 0 the Europe dex. 004, Assocaton for Fancal Counselg and Planng Educaton. All rghts of reproducton any form reserved. 57

6 Fancal Counselg and Planng Volume 15 (1), 004 Table 3 and Rsk for Portfolos of Varous Combatons of S&P 500 wth Selected Indexes between S&P World MSCI World Index MSCI EAFE Index MSCI Europe Index Europe Std. Sharpe.Std. Sharpe Std. Sharpe Dev Rato EAFE Dev Rato Dev Rato Mmum Varance Portfolo Fgure 1 Effcent Fronter: S&P 60 S&P and 40 Europe S&P and 38 Europe S&P and 65 WORLD Europe WORLD EAFE Rsk , Assocaton for Fancal Counselg and Planng Educaton. All rghts of reproducton any form reserved.

7 Does Internatonal Dversfcaton Pay? Table 4 and Rsk for Portfolos of Varous Combatons of S&P 500 wth Selected Indexes between S&P World MSCI World Index MSCI EAFE Index MSCI Europe Index Europe Std. Sharpe.Std. Sharpe Std. Sharpe Dev Rato EAFE Dev Rato Dev Rato Mmum Varance Portfolo Fgure Effcent Fronter: S&P S&P and 44 Europe World 40 S&P and 60 World 64 S&P and 36 EAFE 100 Europe EAFE Rsk 004, Assocaton for Fancal Counselg and Planng Educaton. All rghts of reproducton any form reserved. 59

8 Fancal Counselg and Planng Volume 15 (1), 004 Table 5 and Rsk for Portfolos of Varous Combatons of S&P 500 wth Selected Indexes between MSCI World Index MSCI EAFE Index MSCI Europe Index S&P World Europe.Std. Sharpe.Std. Sharpe Std. Sharpe Dev Rato EAFE Dev Rato Dev Rato Mmum-Varance Portfolo Fgure 3 Effcent Fronter: 100 S&P S&P and 68 Europe Europe World S&P and 68 EAFE EAFE Rsk , Assocaton for Fancal Counselg and Planng Educaton. All rghts of reproducton any form reserved.

9 Does Internatonal Dversfcaton Pay? Portfolos for the last 10 years, 1991 to 000, are also evaluated. Table 4 and Fgure gve the performance for portfolos constructed wth the S&P 500 and the world, EAFE, and Europe dexes. For ths subperod, results wth the World dex are the same as those obtaed when the entre sample perod s used. The overall rsk of the portfolo can be reduced by dversfcaton, but terms of mean-varance, an vestor s advsed to avod the World dex, as evdenced by the Sharpe ratos. Fally, portfolo performance over the last fve years of the perod, 1996 to 000, are evaluated. Table 5 and Fgure 3 gve the portfolo performance and results for portfolos constructed wth the S&P 500 and the World, the EAFE, and the Europe dexes. When S&P 500 returns are combed wth EAFE returns over the last 10 years, the mmum-varance portfolo conssts of 64 the S&P 500 and 36 EAFE, the S&P 500 domates the EAFE, and aga the overall rsk can be reduced. But based on the Sharpe crtera, the return per unt rsk wll be maxmzed f an vestor avods the EAFE over the last 10 years. Ths result s dfferent when the entre sample perod s used when 10 EAFE s optmal. Ths result dcates that the benefts of ternatonal dversfcaton may have decreased the last 10 years the EAFE market. The S&P 500 domates the Europe dex; the effcent portfolo conssts of 68 or less Europe and 3 or more the S&P 500. The best resultsusg mean-varance crtera are acheved when 70 of the portfolo s vested the S&P 500 and 30 the European dex. The results from the last 10 years dcate that ternatonal dversfcaton stll provdes dversfcaton benefts and rsk reducton, but when the mean-varance crtera are used, the Sharpe rato s maxmzed when European markets are cluded the portfolo. One s better off vestg European markets, but not vestg the world or the EAFE dex. A general concluson can be made that dversfcaton benefts have decreased over the last 10 years. Fdgs for the most recent perod, the fve years of, are shown Table 5 and Fgure 3. There s no dversfcaton beneft to stock portfolos formed between the S&P 500 and the World Index because of the hgh correlaton between the two dexes over the perod. The effcent fronter s almost a straght le. The Sharpe rato s maxmzed when 100 of the portfolo s vested the S&P 500, dcatg that, the most recent perod, evaluated, dversfcaton benefts from the world dex have completely dsappeared. When S&P 500 returns are combed wth EAFE returns over the last fve years, S&P 500 domates the EAFE and, aga, the overall rsk can be reduced. But based on the Sharpe crtera, the return per unt rsk wll be maxmzed f an vestor stays away from the EAFE. The dea that benefts of ternatonal dversfcaton have decreased over the years s once aga reforced by these results. Overall rsk can be reduced when the S&P 500 and the Europe dex are combed. The best results usg mean-varance crtera are acheved when 80 of the portfolo s vested the S&P 500 and 0 the European dex. The results from the last fve years dcate that returns per unt rsk are creased only when dversfyg European markets and that the dversfcaton benefts have decreased over the last 10 years. Summary and Conclusons Ths paper exames the benefts of dversfcaton acheved by vestg ternatonal markets. Monthly returns for four dfferent dexes the S&P 500; Morgan Stanley Captal Internatonal (MSCI) World Index; Europe, Australa, and Far East (EAFE) Index; and the MSCI Europe Index - over a perod of years, from 1978 to 000, are analyzed. In addton, portfolos of domestc and ternatonal dexes are created to determe whether ternatonal dversfcaton would crease portfolo performance. Effcent fronters are drawn and mmum-varance portfolos are determed. Furthermore, portfolo returns for the last 10 years of the perod, 1991 to 000, and the last fve years, 1996 to 000, are also analyzed. Ths s done to test the popular contenton that the benefts of ternatonal dversfcaton are steadly decreasg. The meanvarance framework and Sharpe measure are also used to determe whch dex or portfolo has the hghest reward-to-varablty rato. Our maor fdg s that the benefts of ternatonal dversfcaton are stll present, but are decreasg wth tme. When the whole perod s used, portfolos wth the S&P 500 and all three ternatonal dexes, the overall rsk s reduced. The Sharpe rato shows that an vestor benefts from vestg a part of the portfolo the EAFE and Europe markets, but not the world markets. Ths result s mportant, as dvdually the S&P 500 domates both the EAFE and the Europe dexes. Results from the perod s last 10 years, as well as from the last fve years, dcate that the benefts of ternatonal dversfcaton are dmshg and that the correlatons between the world markets are 004, Assocaton for Fancal Counselg and Planng Educaton. All rghts of reproducton any form reserved. 61

10 Fancal Counselg and Planng Volume 15 (1), 004 creasg. The reward-to-rsk rato creases only when an vestor dversfes the Europe dex. In the last fve years, the effcent fronter between the S&P 500 and world dex s a straght le, showg that the world markets were very hghly correlated wth the U.S. markets. Nevertheless, rsk s reduced when the EAFE and Europe dexes are used wth the S&P 500, and vestors should stll have a part of ther portfolos vested ternatonal markets. References Aello, S., & Cheffe, N. (1999). Internatonal dex funds and the vestment portfolo. Fancal Servces Revew, 8 (1), Baley, W., & Stulz, R. (1990, Summer). Measurg the benefts of ternatonal dversfcaton wth daly data: The case of Pacfc Bas stock markets. Journal of Portfolo Management, Barry, B. C., Peavy, J. W., & Rodrguez, M. (1997). Emergg stock markets: Rsk, return, and performance. Charlottesvlle, VA: The Research Foundaton of the Insttute of Chartered Fancal Analysts. Bekaert, G., & Uras, M. S. (1996). Dversfcaton tegraton and emergg market closed-end funds. Journal of Fance, 51, Butler, K. C., Domgo, J. & Domgo, C. (1998). A note on poltcal rsk and the requred return on foregn drect vestment. Journal of Internatonal Busess Studes, 9, Chernoff, J. (00, January 7). Good and Bad News: Internatonal funds may not decrease rsk after all. Pensons and Investments, 30(1), 1-. De Roon, F. A., Nman, T. E., & Werker, B. J. M. (001). Testg for mean varance spanng wth short sales constrats and transacton costs: The case of emergg markets. Journal of Fance, 56, Dwan, I., Errunza, V., & Senbet, L. (1994). Dversfcaton benefts of country funds. In M. Howell (Ed.), Investg Emergg Markets (pp ). London: Euromoney. Dressen, J., & Laeven, L. (003). Internatonal portfolo dversfcaton benefts: Cross-country evdence. In J. Hanson, P. Honohan, & G. Manon (Eds.), Globalzaton and Natonal Fancal Systems (pp ). Washgton, DC: World Bank. Eftekhar, B., & Satchell, S. E. (1999). Internatonal vestors exposure to rsk emergg markets. Journal of Fancal Research, (1), Errunza, V. R. (1977). Gas from portfolo dversfcaton to less developed countres securtes. Journal of Internatonal Busess Studes, 8(), Errunza, V. R. (1994). Emergg markets: Some new concepts. Journal of Portfolo Management, 0(3), Grold, R., Rudd, A. & Stefek, D. (1989). Global factors: Fact or fcton? Journal of Portfolo Management, 16, Hanna, M. E., McCormack, J. P. & Perdue, G. (1999). A netes perspectve on Internatonal dversfcaton. Fancal Servces Revew, 8(1) Harvey, C. R.(1993). Portfolo enhancement usg emergg markets and condtong formaton. In S. Claessens & S. Gooptu (Eds.), Portfolo Investment Developg Countres (pp ). Washgton, DC: World Bank. Harvey, C. R.(1995). Predctable rsk and returns emergg markets. Revew of Fancal Studes, 8, Ho, K., Mlevsky, M. A., & Robson, C. (1999). Internatonal equty dversfcaton and shortfall rsk. Fancal Servces Revew, 8(1), Huberman, G., & Kandel, S. A. (1987). Mean varance spanng. Journal of Fance, 4, Iyer, B. S. (1998, December). The case for Internatonal dversfcaton. Employee Beneft Journal, 3, Kohers, T., Kohers, G., & Pandey, V. (1998). The contrbuton of emergg markets Internatonal dversfcaton strateges. Appled Fancal Economcs, 8, Lessard, D. (1990). Beyond the debt crss: Alternate forms of fancg growth. In I. Husa & I. Dwan (Eds.), Dealg wth Debt Crss, Washgton, DC: World Bank Press. Levy, H., & Sarnat, M. (1970). Internatonal dversfcaton of vestment portfolos. Amercan Economc Revew, 60, Lofthouse, S. (1997). Internatonal dversfcaton. Journal of Portfolo Management, 53(1) Olenyk, J. P., Schwebach, R. G., & Zumwalt, J. K. (00). The mpact of fancal crses on Internatonal dversfcaton. Global Fance Journal, 13(), Shapro, A. C. (1996). Multatonal Fancal Management. Upper Saddle Rver, NJ: Prentce Hall Sh H. H., & Sonen, L. (1999). Exposure to currency rsk by U.S. multatonal corporatons. Journal of Multatonal Fancal Management, 9, Zervos, S. J. (1996). Industry and country components emergg market stock returns. (Center of Emprcal Research Fance Dscusson Paper 96-0). Mddlesex, England: Brunel Unversty , Assocaton for Fancal Counselg and Planng Educaton. All rghts of reproducton any form reserved.

Outline. Investment Opportunity Set with Many Assets. Portfolio Selection with Multiple Risky Securities. Professor Lasse H.

Outline. Investment Opportunity Set with Many Assets. Portfolio Selection with Multiple Risky Securities. Professor Lasse H. Portfolo Selecton wth Multple Rsky Securtes. Professor Lasse H. Pedersen Prof. Lasse H. Pedersen Outlne Investment opportunty set wth many rsky assets wth many rsky assets and a rsk-free securty Optmal

More information

Can Auto Liability Insurance Purchases Signal Risk Attitude?

Can Auto Liability Insurance Purchases Signal Risk Attitude? Internatonal Journal of Busness and Economcs, 2011, Vol. 10, No. 2, 159-164 Can Auto Lablty Insurance Purchases Sgnal Rsk Atttude? Chu-Shu L Department of Internatonal Busness, Asa Unversty, Tawan Sheng-Chang

More information

How To Calculate The Accountng Perod Of Nequalty

How To Calculate The Accountng Perod Of Nequalty Inequalty and The Accountng Perod Quentn Wodon and Shlomo Ytzha World Ban and Hebrew Unversty September Abstract Income nequalty typcally declnes wth the length of tme taen nto account for measurement.

More information

An Alternative Way to Measure Private Equity Performance

An Alternative Way to Measure Private Equity Performance An Alternatve Way to Measure Prvate Equty Performance Peter Todd Parlux Investment Technology LLC Summary Internal Rate of Return (IRR) s probably the most common way to measure the performance of prvate

More information

The impact of hard discount control mechanism on the discount volatility of UK closed-end funds

The impact of hard discount control mechanism on the discount volatility of UK closed-end funds Investment Management and Fnancal Innovatons, Volume 10, Issue 3, 2013 Ahmed F. Salhn (Egypt) The mpact of hard dscount control mechansm on the dscount volatlty of UK closed-end funds Abstract The mpact

More information

Benefits and Risks of Alternative Investment Strategies*

Benefits and Risks of Alternative Investment Strategies* Benefts and Rsks of Alternatve Investment Strateges* Noël Amenc Professor of Fnance at Edhec Drector of Research and Development, Msys Asset Management Systems Lonel Martelln Assstant Professor of Fnance

More information

THE DISTRIBUTION OF LOAN PORTFOLIO VALUE * Oldrich Alfons Vasicek

THE DISTRIBUTION OF LOAN PORTFOLIO VALUE * Oldrich Alfons Vasicek HE DISRIBUION OF LOAN PORFOLIO VALUE * Oldrch Alfons Vascek he amount of captal necessary to support a portfolo of debt securtes depends on the probablty dstrbuton of the portfolo loss. Consder a portfolo

More information

ADVERTISEMENT FOR THE POST OF DIRECTOR, lim TIRUCHIRAPPALLI

ADVERTISEMENT FOR THE POST OF DIRECTOR, lim TIRUCHIRAPPALLI ADVERTSEMENT FOR THE POST OF DRECTOR, lm TRUCHRAPPALL The ndan nsttute of Management Truchrappall (MT), establshed n 2011 n the regon of Taml Nadu s a leadng management school n nda. ts vson s "Preparng

More information

Study on Model of Risks Assessment of Standard Operation in Rural Power Network

Study on Model of Risks Assessment of Standard Operation in Rural Power Network Study on Model of Rsks Assessment of Standard Operaton n Rural Power Network Qngj L 1, Tao Yang 2 1 Qngj L, College of Informaton and Electrcal Engneerng, Shenyang Agrculture Unversty, Shenyang 110866,

More information

Multiple-Period Attribution: Residuals and Compounding

Multiple-Period Attribution: Residuals and Compounding Multple-Perod Attrbuton: Resduals and Compoundng Our revewer gave these authors full marks for dealng wth an ssue that performance measurers and vendors often regard as propretary nformaton. In 1994, Dens

More information

Chapter 15: Debt and Taxes

Chapter 15: Debt and Taxes Chapter 15: Debt and Taxes-1 Chapter 15: Debt and Taxes I. Basc Ideas 1. Corporate Taxes => nterest expense s tax deductble => as debt ncreases, corporate taxes fall => ncentve to fund the frm wth debt

More information

Forecasting the Direction and Strength of Stock Market Movement

Forecasting the Direction and Strength of Stock Market Movement Forecastng the Drecton and Strength of Stock Market Movement Jngwe Chen Mng Chen Nan Ye [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Abstract - Stock market s one of the most complcated systems

More information

Return decomposing of absolute-performance multi-asset class portfolios. Working Paper - Nummer: 16

Return decomposing of absolute-performance multi-asset class portfolios. Working Paper - Nummer: 16 Return decomposng of absolute-performance mult-asset class portfolos Workng Paper - Nummer: 16 2007 by Dr. Stefan J. Illmer und Wolfgang Marty; n: Fnancal Markets and Portfolo Management; March 2007; Volume

More information

Risk Reduction and Diversification in UK Commercial Property Portfolios. Steven Devaney

Risk Reduction and Diversification in UK Commercial Property Portfolios. Steven Devaney ISSN 0143-4543 Rsk Reducton and Dversfcaton n UK Commercal Property Portfolos By Steven Devaney Dscusson Paper 007-4 August 007 Edtor: Dr W Davd McCausland www.abdn.ac.uk/busness/ Rsk Reducton and Dversfcaton

More information

Fixed income risk attribution

Fixed income risk attribution 5 Fxed ncome rsk attrbuton Chthra Krshnamurth RskMetrcs Group [email protected] We compare the rsk of the actve portfolo wth that of the benchmark and segment the dfference between the two

More information

Analysis of Premium Liabilities for Australian Lines of Business

Analysis of Premium Liabilities for Australian Lines of Business Summary of Analyss of Premum Labltes for Australan Lnes of Busness Emly Tao Honours Research Paper, The Unversty of Melbourne Emly Tao Acknowledgements I am grateful to the Australan Prudental Regulaton

More information

A Simplified Framework for Return Accountability

A Simplified Framework for Return Accountability Reprnted wth permsson from Fnancal Analysts Journal, May/June 1991. Copyrght 1991. Assocaton for Investment Management and Research, Charlottesvlle, VA. All rghts reserved. by Gary P. Brnson, Bran D. Snger

More information

Risk-Adjusted Performance: A two-model Approach Application in Amman Stock Exchange

Risk-Adjusted Performance: A two-model Approach Application in Amman Stock Exchange Internatonal Journal of Busness and Socal Scence Vol. 3 No. 7; Aprl 01 Rsk-Adjusted Performance: A two-model Approach Applcaton n Amman Stock Exchange Hussan Al Bekhet 1 Al Matar Abstract The purpose of

More information

Efficient Project Portfolio as a tool for Enterprise Risk Management

Efficient Project Portfolio as a tool for Enterprise Risk Management Effcent Proect Portfolo as a tool for Enterprse Rsk Management Valentn O. Nkonov Ural State Techncal Unversty Growth Traectory Consultng Company January 5, 27 Effcent Proect Portfolo as a tool for Enterprse

More information

The Development of Web Log Mining Based on Improve-K-Means Clustering Analysis

The Development of Web Log Mining Based on Improve-K-Means Clustering Analysis The Development of Web Log Mnng Based on Improve-K-Means Clusterng Analyss TngZhong Wang * College of Informaton Technology, Luoyang Normal Unversty, Luoyang, 471022, Chna [email protected] Abstract.

More information

Geometric Mean Maximization: Expected, Observed, and Simulated Performance

Geometric Mean Maximization: Expected, Observed, and Simulated Performance GM Mamzato Geometrc Mea Mamzato: Epected, Observed, ad Smulated Performace Rafael De Satago & Javer Estrada IESE Busess School 0/16 GM Mamzato Geometrc Mea Mamzato 1. Itroducto 2. Methodology 3. Evdece

More information

Marginal Benefit Incidence Analysis Using a Single Cross-section of Data. Mohamed Ihsan Ajwad and Quentin Wodon 1. World Bank.

Marginal Benefit Incidence Analysis Using a Single Cross-section of Data. Mohamed Ihsan Ajwad and Quentin Wodon 1. World Bank. Margnal Beneft Incdence Analyss Usng a Sngle Cross-secton of Data Mohamed Ihsan Ajwad and uentn Wodon World Bank August 200 Abstract In a recent paper, Lanjouw and Ravallon proposed an attractve and smple

More information

Hollinger Canadian Publishing Holdings Co. ( HCPH ) proceeding under the Companies Creditors Arrangement Act ( CCAA )

Hollinger Canadian Publishing Holdings Co. ( HCPH ) proceeding under the Companies Creditors Arrangement Act ( CCAA ) February 17, 2011 Andrew J. Hatnay [email protected] Dear Sr/Madam: Re: Re: Hollnger Canadan Publshng Holdngs Co. ( HCPH ) proceedng under the Companes Credtors Arrangement Act ( CCAA ) Update on CCAA Proceedngs

More information

IDENTIFICATION AND CORRECTION OF A COMMON ERROR IN GENERAL ANNUITY CALCULATIONS

IDENTIFICATION AND CORRECTION OF A COMMON ERROR IN GENERAL ANNUITY CALCULATIONS IDENTIFICATION AND CORRECTION OF A COMMON ERROR IN GENERAL ANNUITY CALCULATIONS Chrs Deeley* Last revsed: September 22, 200 * Chrs Deeley s a Senor Lecturer n the School of Accountng, Charles Sturt Unversty,

More information

benefit is 2, paid if the policyholder dies within the year, and probability of death within the year is ).

benefit is 2, paid if the policyholder dies within the year, and probability of death within the year is ). REVIEW OF RISK MANAGEMENT CONCEPTS LOSS DISTRIBUTIONS AND INSURANCE Loss and nsurance: When someone s subject to the rsk of ncurrng a fnancal loss, the loss s generally modeled usng a random varable or

More information

Staff Paper. Farm Savings Accounts: Examining Income Variability, Eligibility, and Benefits. Brent Gloy, Eddy LaDue, and Charles Cuykendall

Staff Paper. Farm Savings Accounts: Examining Income Variability, Eligibility, and Benefits. Brent Gloy, Eddy LaDue, and Charles Cuykendall SP 2005-02 August 2005 Staff Paper Department of Appled Economcs and Management Cornell Unversty, Ithaca, New York 14853-7801 USA Farm Savngs Accounts: Examnng Income Varablty, Elgblty, and Benefts Brent

More information

On the Optimal Control of a Cascade of Hydro-Electric Power Stations

On the Optimal Control of a Cascade of Hydro-Electric Power Stations On the Optmal Control of a Cascade of Hydro-Electrc Power Statons M.C.M. Guedes a, A.F. Rbero a, G.V. Smrnov b and S. Vlela c a Department of Mathematcs, School of Scences, Unversty of Porto, Portugal;

More information

STAMP DUTY ON SHARES AND ITS EFFECT ON SHARE PRICES

STAMP DUTY ON SHARES AND ITS EFFECT ON SHARE PRICES STAMP UTY ON SHARES AN ITS EFFECT ON SHARE PRICES Steve Bond Mke Hawkns Alexander Klemm THE INSTITUTE FOR FISCAL STUIES WP04/11 STAMP UTY ON SHARES AN ITS EFFECT ON SHARE PRICES Steve Bond (IFS and Unversty

More information

Forecasting the Demand of Emergency Supplies: Based on the CBR Theory and BP Neural Network

Forecasting the Demand of Emergency Supplies: Based on the CBR Theory and BP Neural Network 700 Proceedngs of the 8th Internatonal Conference on Innovaton & Management Forecastng the Demand of Emergency Supples: Based on the CBR Theory and BP Neural Network Fu Deqang, Lu Yun, L Changbng School

More information

Course outline. Financial Time Series Analysis. Overview. Data analysis. Predictive signal. Trading strategy

Course outline. Financial Time Series Analysis. Overview. Data analysis. Predictive signal. Trading strategy Fnancal Tme Seres Analyss Patrck McSharry [email protected] www.mcsharry.net Trnty Term 2014 Mathematcal Insttute Unversty of Oxford Course outlne 1. Data analyss, probablty, correlatons, vsualsaton

More information

CHOLESTEROL REFERENCE METHOD LABORATORY NETWORK. Sample Stability Protocol

CHOLESTEROL REFERENCE METHOD LABORATORY NETWORK. Sample Stability Protocol CHOLESTEROL REFERENCE METHOD LABORATORY NETWORK Sample Stablty Protocol Background The Cholesterol Reference Method Laboratory Network (CRMLN) developed certfcaton protocols for total cholesterol, HDL

More information

Small pots lump sum payment instruction

Small pots lump sum payment instruction For customers Small pots lump sum payment nstructon Please read these notes before completng ths nstructon About ths nstructon Use ths nstructon f you re an ndvdual wth Aegon Retrement Choces Self Invested

More information

Global innovative solutions You can rely on. www.calyon.com

Global innovative solutions You can rely on. www.calyon.com Global nnovatve solutons You can rely on www.calyon.com CALYON has developed OPTIM SWIFTNet for ts clents. By provdng an extensve range of value-added servces, OPTIM SWIFTNet offers you worldwde connectons

More information

Kiel Institute for World Economics Duesternbrooker Weg 120 24105 Kiel (Germany) Kiel Working Paper No. 1120

Kiel Institute for World Economics Duesternbrooker Weg 120 24105 Kiel (Germany) Kiel Working Paper No. 1120 Kel Insttute for World Economcs Duesternbrooker Weg 45 Kel (Germany) Kel Workng Paper No. Path Dependences n enture Captal Markets by Andrea Schertler July The responsblty for the contents of the workng

More information

PRIVATE SCHOOL CHOICE: THE EFFECTS OF RELIGIOUS AFFILIATION AND PARTICIPATION

PRIVATE SCHOOL CHOICE: THE EFFECTS OF RELIGIOUS AFFILIATION AND PARTICIPATION PRIVATE SCHOOL CHOICE: THE EFFECTS OF RELIIOUS AFFILIATION AND PARTICIPATION Danny Cohen-Zada Department of Economcs, Ben-uron Unversty, Beer-Sheva 84105, Israel Wllam Sander Department of Economcs, DePaul

More information

DO LOSS FIRMS MANAGE EARNINGS AROUND SEASONED EQUITY OFFERINGS?

DO LOSS FIRMS MANAGE EARNINGS AROUND SEASONED EQUITY OFFERINGS? DO LOSS FIRMS MANAGE EARNINGS AROUND SEASONED EQUITY OFFERINGS? Fernando Comran, Unversty of San Francsco, School of Management, 2130 Fulton Street, CA 94117, Unted States, [email protected] Tatana Fedyk,

More information

Foreign Direct Investment in a World of Multiple Taxes

Foreign Direct Investment in a World of Multiple Taxes Foregn Drect Investment n a World of Multple Taxes by Mhr A. Desa Harvard Unversty and NBER James R. Hnes Jr. Unversty of Mchgan and NBER July 2001 We thank Yumng Zou for excellent research assstance,

More information

How To Understand The Results Of The German Meris Cloud And Water Vapour Product

How To Understand The Results Of The German Meris Cloud And Water Vapour Product Ttel: Project: Doc. No.: MERIS level 3 cloud and water vapour products MAPP MAPP-ATBD-ClWVL3 Issue: 1 Revson: 0 Date: 9.12.1998 Functon Name Organsaton Sgnature Date Author: Bennartz FUB Preusker FUB Schüller

More information

1.1 The University may award Higher Doctorate degrees as specified from time-to-time in UPR AS11 1.

1.1 The University may award Higher Doctorate degrees as specified from time-to-time in UPR AS11 1. HIGHER DOCTORATE DEGREES SUMMARY OF PRINCIPAL CHANGES General changes None Secton 3.2 Refer to text (Amendments to verson 03.0, UPR AS02 are shown n talcs.) 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 The Unversty may award Hgher

More information

Portfolio Loss Distribution

Portfolio Loss Distribution Portfolo Loss Dstrbuton Rsky assets n loan ortfolo hghly llqud assets hold-to-maturty n the bank s balance sheet Outstandngs The orton of the bank asset that has already been extended to borrowers. Commtment

More information

To manage leave, meeting institutional requirements and treating individual staff members fairly and consistently.

To manage leave, meeting institutional requirements and treating individual staff members fairly and consistently. Corporate Polces & Procedures Human Resources - Document CPP216 Leave Management Frst Produced: Current Verson: Past Revsons: Revew Cycle: Apples From: 09/09/09 26/10/12 09/09/09 3 years Immedately Authorsaton:

More information

Valuing Customer Portfolios under Risk-Return-Aspects: A Model-based Approach and its Application in the Financial Services Industry

Valuing Customer Portfolios under Risk-Return-Aspects: A Model-based Approach and its Application in the Financial Services Industry Buhl and Henrch / Valung Customer Portfolos Valung Customer Portfolos under Rsk-Return-Aspects: A Model-based Approach and ts Applcaton n the Fnancal Servces Industry Hans Ulrch Buhl Unversty of Augsburg,

More information

Institute of Informatics, Faculty of Business and Management, Brno University of Technology,Czech Republic

Institute of Informatics, Faculty of Business and Management, Brno University of Technology,Czech Republic Lagrange Multplers as Quanttatve Indcators n Economcs Ivan Mezník Insttute of Informatcs, Faculty of Busness and Management, Brno Unversty of TechnologCzech Republc Abstract The quanttatve role of Lagrange

More information

The OC Curve of Attribute Acceptance Plans

The OC Curve of Attribute Acceptance Plans The OC Curve of Attrbute Acceptance Plans The Operatng Characterstc (OC) curve descrbes the probablty of acceptng a lot as a functon of the lot s qualty. Fgure 1 shows a typcal OC Curve. 10 8 6 4 1 3 4

More information

Hedging Interest-Rate Risk with Duration

Hedging Interest-Rate Risk with Duration FIXED-INCOME SECURITIES Chapter 5 Hedgng Interest-Rate Rsk wth Duraton Outlne Prcng and Hedgng Prcng certan cash-flows Interest rate rsk Hedgng prncples Duraton-Based Hedgng Technques Defnton of duraton

More information

Construction Rules for Morningstar Canada Target Dividend Index SM

Construction Rules for Morningstar Canada Target Dividend Index SM Constructon Rules for Mornngstar Canada Target Dvdend Index SM Mornngstar Methodology Paper October 2014 Verson 1.2 2014 Mornngstar, Inc. All rghts reserved. The nformaton n ths document s the property

More information

The Application of Fractional Brownian Motion in Option Pricing

The Application of Fractional Brownian Motion in Option Pricing Vol. 0, No. (05), pp. 73-8 http://dx.do.org/0.457/jmue.05.0..6 The Applcaton of Fractonal Brownan Moton n Opton Prcng Qng-xn Zhou School of Basc Scence,arbn Unversty of Commerce,arbn [email protected]

More information

Lecture 14: Implementing CAPM

Lecture 14: Implementing CAPM Lecture 14: Implementng CAPM Queston: So, how do I apply the CAPM? Current readng: Brealey and Myers, Chapter 9 Reader, Chapter 15 M. Spegel and R. Stanton, 2000 1 Key Results So Far All nvestors should

More information

Risk-based Fatigue Estimate of Deep Water Risers -- Course Project for EM388F: Fracture Mechanics, Spring 2008

Risk-based Fatigue Estimate of Deep Water Risers -- Course Project for EM388F: Fracture Mechanics, Spring 2008 Rsk-based Fatgue Estmate of Deep Water Rsers -- Course Project for EM388F: Fracture Mechancs, Sprng 2008 Chen Sh Department of Cvl, Archtectural, and Envronmental Engneerng The Unversty of Texas at Austn

More information

Intra-year Cash Flow Patterns: A Simple Solution for an Unnecessary Appraisal Error

Intra-year Cash Flow Patterns: A Simple Solution for an Unnecessary Appraisal Error Intra-year Cash Flow Patterns: A Smple Soluton for an Unnecessary Apprasal Error By C. Donald Wggns (Professor of Accountng and Fnance, the Unversty of North Florda), B. Perry Woodsde (Assocate Professor

More information

IS-LM Model 1 C' dy = di

IS-LM Model 1 C' dy = di - odel Solow Assumptons - demand rrelevant n long run; assumes economy s operatng at potental GDP; concerned wth growth - Assumptons - supply s rrelevant n short run; assumes economy s operatng below potental

More information

Rob Guthrie, Business Initiatives Specialist Office of Renewable Energy & Environmental Exports

Rob Guthrie, Business Initiatives Specialist Office of Renewable Energy & Environmental Exports Fnancng Solar Energy Exports Rob Guthre, Busness Intatves Specalst Offce of Renewable Energy & Envronmental Exports Export-Import Bank of the U.S. Independent, self-fundng fundng agency of the U.S. government

More information

THE IMPLIED VOLATILITY OF ETF AND INDEX OPTIONS

THE IMPLIED VOLATILITY OF ETF AND INDEX OPTIONS The Internatonal Journal of Busness and Fnance Research Volume 5 Number 4 2011 THE IMPLIED VOLATILITY OF ETF AND INDEX OPTIONS Stoyu I. Ivanov, San Jose State Unversty Jeff Whtworth, Unversty of Houston-Clear

More information

Location Factors for Non-Ferrous Exploration Investments

Location Factors for Non-Ferrous Exploration Investments Locaton Factors for Non-Ferrous Exploraton Investments Irna Khndanova Unversty of Denver Ths paper analyzes the relatve mportance of geologcal potental and nvestment clmate for nonferrous mnerals exploraton

More information

Financial Mathemetics

Financial Mathemetics Fnancal Mathemetcs 15 Mathematcs Grade 12 Teacher Gude Fnancal Maths Seres Overvew In ths seres we am to show how Mathematcs can be used to support personal fnancal decsons. In ths seres we jon Tebogo,

More information

Section 5.4 Annuities, Present Value, and Amortization

Section 5.4 Annuities, Present Value, and Amortization Secton 5.4 Annutes, Present Value, and Amortzaton Present Value In Secton 5.2, we saw that the present value of A dollars at nterest rate per perod for n perods s the amount that must be deposted today

More information

ADVERSE SELECTION IN INSURANCE MARKETS: POLICYHOLDER EVIDENCE FROM THE U.K. ANNUITY MARKET *

ADVERSE SELECTION IN INSURANCE MARKETS: POLICYHOLDER EVIDENCE FROM THE U.K. ANNUITY MARKET * ADVERSE SELECTION IN INSURANCE MARKETS: POLICYHOLDER EVIDENCE FROM THE U.K. ANNUITY MARKET * Amy Fnkelsten Harvard Unversty and NBER James Poterba MIT and NBER * We are grateful to Jeffrey Brown, Perre-Andre

More information

Project Networks With Mixed-Time Constraints

Project Networks With Mixed-Time Constraints Project Networs Wth Mxed-Tme Constrants L Caccetta and B Wattananon Western Australan Centre of Excellence n Industral Optmsaton (WACEIO) Curtn Unversty of Technology GPO Box U1987 Perth Western Australa

More information

World currency options market efficiency

World currency options market efficiency Arful Hoque (Australa) World optons market effcency Abstract The World Currency Optons (WCO) maket began tradng n July 2007 on the Phladelpha Stock Exchange (PHLX) wth the new features. These optons are

More information

Vasicek s Model of Distribution of Losses in a Large, Homogeneous Portfolio

Vasicek s Model of Distribution of Losses in a Large, Homogeneous Portfolio Vascek s Model of Dstrbuton of Losses n a Large, Homogeneous Portfolo Stephen M Schaefer London Busness School Credt Rsk Electve Summer 2012 Vascek s Model Important method for calculatng dstrbuton of

More information

Returns to Experience in Mozambique: A Nonparametric Regression Approach

Returns to Experience in Mozambique: A Nonparametric Regression Approach Returns to Experence n Mozambque: A Nonparametrc Regresson Approach Joel Muzma Conference Paper nº 27 Conferênca Inaugural do IESE Desafos para a nvestgação socal e económca em Moçambque 19 de Setembro

More information

Stress test for measuring insurance risks in non-life insurance

Stress test for measuring insurance risks in non-life insurance PROMEMORIA Datum June 01 Fnansnspektonen Författare Bengt von Bahr, Younes Elonq and Erk Elvers Stress test for measurng nsurance rsks n non-lfe nsurance Summary Ths memo descrbes stress testng of nsurance

More information

Portfolio Performance Manipulation and Manipulation-Proof Performance Measures

Portfolio Performance Manipulation and Manipulation-Proof Performance Measures Portfolo Performance Manpulaton and Manpulaton-Proof Performance Measures Wllam Goetzmann, Jonathan Ingersoll, Matthew Spegel, Ivo Welch March 5, 006 Yale School of Management, PO Box 0800, New Haven,

More information

An Evaluation of the Extended Logistic, Simple Logistic, and Gompertz Models for Forecasting Short Lifecycle Products and Services

An Evaluation of the Extended Logistic, Simple Logistic, and Gompertz Models for Forecasting Short Lifecycle Products and Services An Evaluaton of the Extended Logstc, Smple Logstc, and Gompertz Models for Forecastng Short Lfecycle Products and Servces Charles V. Trappey a,1, Hsn-yng Wu b a Professor (Management Scence), Natonal Chao

More information

Average Price Ratios

Average Price Ratios Average Prce Ratos Morgstar Methodology Paper August 3, 2005 2005 Morgstar, Ic. All rghts reserved. The formato ths documet s the property of Morgstar, Ic. Reproducto or trascrpto by ay meas, whole or

More information

Macro Factors and Volatility of Treasury Bond Returns

Macro Factors and Volatility of Treasury Bond Returns Macro Factors and Volatlty of Treasury Bond Returns Jngzh Huang Department of Fnance Smeal Colleage of Busness Pennsylvana State Unversty Unversty Park, PA 16802, U.S.A. Le Lu School of Fnance Shangha

More information

The Cross Section of Foreign Currency Risk Premia and Consumption Growth Risk

The Cross Section of Foreign Currency Risk Premia and Consumption Growth Risk The Cross Secton of Foregn Currency Rsk Prema and Consumpton Growth Rsk By HANNO LUSTIG AND ADRIEN VERDELHAN* Aggregate consumpton growth rsk explans why low nterest rate currences do not apprecate as

More information

Answer: A). There is a flatter IS curve in the high MPC economy. Original LM LM after increase in M. IS curve for low MPC economy

Answer: A). There is a flatter IS curve in the high MPC economy. Original LM LM after increase in M. IS curve for low MPC economy 4.02 Quz Solutons Fall 2004 Multple-Choce Questons (30/00 ponts) Please, crcle the correct answer for each of the followng 0 multple-choce questons. For each queston, only one of the answers s correct.

More information

CS 2750 Machine Learning. Lecture 3. Density estimation. CS 2750 Machine Learning. Announcements

CS 2750 Machine Learning. Lecture 3. Density estimation. CS 2750 Machine Learning. Announcements Lecture 3 Densty estmaton Mlos Hauskrecht [email protected] 5329 Sennott Square Next lecture: Matlab tutoral Announcements Rules for attendng the class: Regstered for credt Regstered for audt (only f there

More information

Performance Analysis of Energy Consumption of Smartphone Running Mobile Hotspot Application

Performance Analysis of Energy Consumption of Smartphone Running Mobile Hotspot Application Internatonal Journal of mart Grd and lean Energy Performance Analyss of Energy onsumpton of martphone Runnng Moble Hotspot Applcaton Yun on hung a chool of Electronc Engneerng, oongsl Unversty, 511 angdo-dong,

More information

Feature selection for intrusion detection. Slobodan Petrović NISlab, Gjøvik University College

Feature selection for intrusion detection. Slobodan Petrović NISlab, Gjøvik University College Feature selecton for ntruson detecton Slobodan Petrovć NISlab, Gjøvk Unversty College Contents The feature selecton problem Intruson detecton Traffc features relevant for IDS The CFS measure The mrmr measure

More information

An Empirical Study of Search Engine Advertising Effectiveness

An Empirical Study of Search Engine Advertising Effectiveness An Emprcal Study of Search Engne Advertsng Effectveness Sanjog Msra, Smon School of Busness Unversty of Rochester Edeal Pnker, Smon School of Busness Unversty of Rochester Alan Rmm-Kaufman, Rmm-Kaufman

More information

The DAX and the Dollar: The Economic Exchange Rate Exposure of German Corporations

The DAX and the Dollar: The Economic Exchange Rate Exposure of German Corporations The DAX and the Dollar: The Economc Exchange Rate Exposure of German Corporatons Martn Glaum *, Marko Brunner **, Holger Hmmel *** Ths paper examnes the economc exposure of German corporatons to changes

More information

Section 5.3 Annuities, Future Value, and Sinking Funds

Section 5.3 Annuities, Future Value, and Sinking Funds Secton 5.3 Annutes, Future Value, and Snkng Funds Ordnary Annutes A sequence of equal payments made at equal perods of tme s called an annuty. The tme between payments s the payment perod, and the tme

More information

AN APPOINTMENT ORDER OUTPATIENT SCHEDULING SYSTEM THAT IMPROVES OUTPATIENT EXPERIENCE

AN APPOINTMENT ORDER OUTPATIENT SCHEDULING SYSTEM THAT IMPROVES OUTPATIENT EXPERIENCE AN APPOINTMENT ORDER OUTPATIENT SCHEDULING SYSTEM THAT IMPROVES OUTPATIENT EXPERIENCE Yu-L Huang Industral Engneerng Department New Mexco State Unversty Las Cruces, New Mexco 88003, U.S.A. Abstract Patent

More information

Activity Scheduling for Cost-Time Investment Optimization in Project Management

Activity Scheduling for Cost-Time Investment Optimization in Project Management PROJECT MANAGEMENT 4 th Internatonal Conference on Industral Engneerng and Industral Management XIV Congreso de Ingenería de Organzacón Donosta- San Sebastán, September 8 th -10 th 010 Actvty Schedulng

More information

Implementation of Deutsch's Algorithm Using Mathcad

Implementation of Deutsch's Algorithm Using Mathcad Implementaton of Deutsch's Algorthm Usng Mathcad Frank Roux The followng s a Mathcad mplementaton of Davd Deutsch's quantum computer prototype as presented on pages - n "Machnes, Logc and Quantum Physcs"

More information

High Correlation between Net Promoter Score and the Development of Consumers' Willingness to Pay (Empirical Evidence from European Mobile Markets)

High Correlation between Net Promoter Score and the Development of Consumers' Willingness to Pay (Empirical Evidence from European Mobile Markets) Hgh Correlaton between et Promoter Score and the Development of Consumers' Wllngness to Pay (Emprcal Evdence from European Moble Marets Ths paper shows that the correlaton between the et Promoter Score

More information

The Investor Recognition Hypothesis:

The Investor Recognition Hypothesis: The Investor Recognton Hypothess: the New Zealand Penny Stocks Danel JP Cha, Department of Accountng and Fnance, onash Unversty, Clayton 3168, elbourne, Australa, and Danel FS Cho, Department of Fnance,

More information

Report 52 Fixed Maturity EUR Industrial Bond Funds

Report 52 Fixed Maturity EUR Industrial Bond Funds Rep52, Computed & Prted: 17/06/2015 11:53 Report 52 Fxed Maturty EUR Idustral Bod Fuds From Dec 2008 to Dec 2014 31/12/2008 31 December 1999 31/12/2014 Bechmark Noe Defto of the frm ad geeral formato:

More information

Dynamics of Toursm Demand Models in Japan

Dynamics of Toursm Demand Models in Japan hort-run and ong-run structural nternatonal toursm demand modelng based on Dynamc AID model -An emprcal research n Japan- Atsush KOIKE a, Dasuke YOHINO b a Graduate chool of Engneerng, Kobe Unversty, Kobe,

More information

1. Measuring association using correlation and regression

1. Measuring association using correlation and regression How to measure assocaton I: Correlaton. 1. Measurng assocaton usng correlaton and regresson We often would lke to know how one varable, such as a mother's weght, s related to another varable, such as a

More information