W e l c o m e to the IFR Press Conference. 30 September 2015 Frankfurt

Transcription

1 W e l c o m e to the IFR Press Conference 3 September 215 Frankfurt September 3, 215 Schedule Welcome and introduction of the attendees Sales, Forecast, Trends Human-Robot Collaboration World Robotics Industrial Robots Sales, Forecast, Trends World Robotics Service Robots Questions Get together and personal interviews Source: Fanuc 2 1

2 Arturo Baroncelli IFR President Business Development Manager, Ihre Gesprächspartner Comau Robotics, Italy Joe Gemma IFR Vice President President and CEO, KUKA Robotics Corp, USA Martin Hägele Chairman IFR Service Robot Group General Head of Department Robot and Assistive Systems, Fraunhofer IPA, Germany Bild: Reis GmbH & Co. KG Maschinenfabrik Gudrun Litzenberger IFR General Secretary, Frankfurt World Robotics

3 International Federation of Robotics Represents the global robotics industry Robotics turnover 214: $32 billion >5 members: National robot associations R&D institutes Robot suppliers Integrators Sponsor of the International Symposium on Robotics (ISR) Co-Sponsor of the IERA Award Primary source for world-wide data on use of robotics IFR Statistical Department September 3, Industrial Robots are conquering the world Arturo Baroncelli Joe Gemma September 3, 215 3

4 Continued double digit growth Worldwide annual supply of industrial robots 2-218* : +15% per year on average 35 ' of % *216*217*218* *forecast 7 Main drivers: automotive and electronics Estimated worldwide annual supply of industrial robots at year-end by main industries Automotive Electrical/electronics Metal Rubber and plastics Food Pharmaceuticals and cosmetics others not specified by industries 2, 4, 6, 8, 1, 12, Stück 8 4

5 214: Asia is the driver of the growth Annual supply of industrial robots by regions Asia +41% Europe +5% America Africa and unspecified +8% , 4, 6, 8, 1, 12, 14, 16, 9 214: about 7% of global supply in 5 markets Annual supply of industrial robots largest markets China +56% Japan +17% United States Rep. of Korea +14% +11% Germany +1% 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 1 5

6 China: Rapid increase of robot installations 6, 5, Annual supply of industrial robots to China Chinese suppliers International suppliers 4, 3, 2, 1, Increasing importance of Taiwan Strong recovery in Italy Annual supply of industrial robots largest markets - continued Taiwan Italy Thailand France Mexico 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 12 6

7 Still very low robot density in China Robot density* in the five biggest destinations of robot supplies in Average robot density world: Rep. of Korea *Number of multipurpose industrial robots (all types) per 1, employees in the manufacturing industry (ISIC rev.4: C) 214 Japan Germany USA China Seite 13 Main trends : Industry 4. Robots will play an important role in the new era of manufacturing: Industry 4. Manufacturing will be transformed Communication is all around Integration of machinery, warehousing systems and production facilities as Cyber-Physical Systems Vast increase of flexibility, cost effectiveness and productivity in smart factories Jobs in factories will change workers will be freed from repetitive routine tasks, and will focus on jobs that require judgment, common sense, creativity, problem-solving skills and dexterity. 14 7

8 Main trends 215 and 218 Breakthrough of humanrobot collaboration industrial robots assist workers in a variety of tasks improve manufacturing quality and processes increase productivity assist an aging workforce, e.g. in physically demanding tasks Source: KUKA 15 Main trends 215 and 218 Simplification of the use of robots essential for all industries to be able to sustain efficient and flexible manufacturing High potential in small and medium sized companies Mobile Robots support human-robot collaboration, and flexible manufacturing important tool for Industry 4. Source: Universal Robots Source: KUKA 16 8

9 Bright prospects for robots between 215 and 218 Most important driver of the growth: China And other Southeast Asian countries Continued increase of demand from North America Increasing sales in Western European countries Sales to Eastern European countries will gain momentum Source: Yaskawa 17 Bright prospects for robots between 215 and 218 Automotive still strong High volume electronics manufacturing General Industry will grow faster Energy-efficiency and using new materials require continued retooling Decline in products life cycle and increase in the variety of products require flexible automation Source: ABB 18 9

10 : above average increase in Asia 3, Annual supply of industrial robots and forecast for , 2, 15, 1, 5, * 216* 217* 218* Asia/Australia Europe America 19 China: Continued substantial increase 16, Annual supply of industrial robots to China * total forecast: >25% on average per year 14, 12, 1, 8, +3% 6, 4, 2, Chinese robot suppliers * 216* 217* 218* * forecast 2 1

11 North America: continued growth 5, 45, 4, 35, Annual supply of industrial robots to North America * +13% : +8% per year on average 3, 25, 2, 15, 1, 5, * forecast * 216* 217* 218* USA Canada/Mexico 21 Germany: general industry will gain in importance 3, 25, Annual supply of industrial robots to Germany * +5% : +5 to +1% per year on average 2, 15, 1, 5, * 216* 217* 218* * forecast 22 11

12 218: 2.3 million robots in operation Worldwide estimated operational stock of industrial robots 2, : +12% per year on average 2, +12% ' of 1,5 1, 5 * forecast * 218* : 1.4 million robots in operation in Asia 1,6, Estimated operational stock of industrial robots and forecast for ,4, 1,2, 1,, 8, 6, 4, 2, * 216* 217* 218* Asia/Australia Europe America 24 12

13 Service robots are conquering the world Martin Hägele September 3, 215 Number of service robot manufacturers of all types by region of origin Asia 73 North America 113 Europe 131 World Robotics Database: over 3 companies world-wide 15% of service robot suppliers are start-ups (criteria: technology-driven, company age under five years) Start-up -share growing quickly 26 13

14 By 218: Sales of service robots for personal and domestic use will increase to 35 million Main categories: Vacuum and floor cleaning Lawn-mowing robots Entertainment and leisure robots Robots for elderly and handicap assistance Source: Vorwerk (Vacuum cleaning) Source: Manon Briod and Maria Beltran 27 By 218: about 25 million household robots 3, Service robots for personal/domestic use. Units sales Forecast , 214 and 213 ' of 25, 2, 15, Total value of forecast Household robots: about US$ 12 billion Entertainment robots: about US$ 7.6 billion 1, 5, Household robots Entertainment and leisure robots

15 Future market for private handicap assistance Handicap assistance robots have taken off to the anticipated degree in the past few years. Strong increase in 214 Rapid longer-term growth expected Need for care will increase Increasing number of disabled persons Demografic shift Source: Yujin Robot Source: Focal Meditech BV, Netherlands : Increase in all important applications 12, Service robots for professional use. Sold 214 and 213 (main applications) 1, 8, 214: 24,2 service robots for professional use 11% more than in 213 6, 4, 2, Defence Field Logistic Mobile platforms

16 214: Unit sales in low volume applications decreased 1,4 Service robots for professional use. Sold 214 and 213 (continued) 1,2 1, : 24,2 service robots for professional use 11% more than in Trends in the service robot market Exoskeletons on the rise Rehabilitation Ergonomic support for reducing loads Source: AlterG, USA Source: Cyberdyne, Japan 32 16

17 Trends in the service robot market Logistic systems on the rise: 2,7 (mainly AGVs) installed in 214, +27% At least 14,5 will be sold High growth potential for logistic systems Human-Robot-Collaboration Industrial and non-industrial sectors Source: Panasonic Source: Bluebotics 33 Other important service robot applications with considerable growth potential Medical systems Diagnostic systems Robot assisted surgery or therapy Rehabilitation systems Field robots, especially Milking robots Farming and livestock breeding systems Mobile platforms in general use Source: BA Systemes Source: Lely 34 17

18 : about 152,4 new service robots for professional use 7, 6, Service robots for professional use. Unit forecast 215 to 218 Total forecast 215 to 218: 152,375 5, 4, 3, Total value of forecast: about US$ 2 billion 2, 1, 35 18