Thomas Hillman Jordan

Transcription

1 Thomas Hillman Jordan Southern California Earthquake Center, University of Southern California Phone: (213) Trousdale Parkway #169, Los Angeles, CA, , USA Thomas H. Jordan is a University Professor and the W. M. Keck Foundation Professor of Earth Sciences at the University of Southern California. His current research is focused on system-level models of earthquake processes, earthquake forecasting, continental dynamics, full-3d waveform tomography, and seismology. He is an author of approximately 240 scientific publications, including two popular textbooks (with J. Grotzinger) Understanding Earth, 7 th ed. and The Essential Earth, 2 nd ed. As the director of the Southern California Earthquake Center, Jordan coordinates an international research program in earthquake system science that involves over 1000 scientists at more than 70 universities and research organizations. In 2006, he established the international Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability and, since 2006, has been the lead SCEC investigator on projects to create and improve a time-dependent Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast. He is a member of the California Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council and the Board of Directors of the Seismological Society of America, and he was appointed by the Italian government to chair the International Commission on Earthquake Forecasting for Civil Protection. He has served as a member of the Council of the National Academy of Sciences ( ) and the Governing Board of the National Research Council ( ). He chaired the NRC panels that produced two decadal reports, Living on an Active Earth: Perspectives on Earthquake Science (2003) and Basic Research Opportunities in Earth Sciences (2002). Jordan received his Ph.D. from the California Institute of Technology in 1972 and taught at Princeton University ( ) and the Scripps Institution of Oceanography ( ) before joining the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in He was head of MIT s Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences from 1988 to In 2000, he moved from MIT to USC, and in 2004, he was appointed as a USC University Professor. He has been awarded the Macelwane and Lehmann Medals of the American Geophysical Union, the President's Medal and Woollard Award of the Geological Society of America, and the 2012 Award for Outstanding Contribution to Public Understanding of the Geosciences by the American Geosciences Institute. He is a fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science and the American Geophysical Union and has been elected to the National Academy of Sciences, the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, and the American Philosophical Society. 1

2 Education Ph.D., 1972 M.S., 1970 B.S., 1969 Professional Appointments 2004 present 2002 present 2000 present Thomas Hillman Jordan Geophysics & Applied Mathematics, California Institute of Technology Geophysics, California Institute of Technology Geophysics, California Institute of Technology University Professor, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA Director, Southern California Earthquake Center, Los Angeles, CA W. M. Keck Foundation Professor of Earth Sciences, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA Head, Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences Department, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA Robert R. Shrock Professor of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge MA Professor, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Univ. Calif., San Diego CA Associate Professor, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Univ. Calif., San Diego CA Assistant Professor, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Univ. Calif., San Diego CA Assistant Professor, Princeton University, Princeton NJ Graduate Research Assistant, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena CA Awards & Honors 2014 President s Medal, Geological Society of America 2012 Election to Fellow, American Association for the Advancement of Science 2012 AGI Award for Outstanding Contribution to Public Understanding of the Geosciences 2011 USC Associates Award for Creative Research 2005 Inge Lehmann Medal, American Geophysical Union 2004 University Professor, University of Southern California 2002 Election to American Philosophical Society 2001 National Associate Award, National Academy of Sciences 1998 George P. Woollard Award, Geological Society of America 1998 Election to National Academy of Sciences 1995 Election to American Academy of Arts and Sciences 1983 James B. Macelwane Medal, American Geophysical Union 1983 American Geophysical Union, Fellow Alfred P. Sloan Fellow in Physics National Merit Scholar Scientific Publications (See attached list.) Approximately 240 scientific publications on various topics in seismology, geodynamics, tectonics, geodesy, marine geology, and statistics (see attached publication list). Oceanographic Expeditions Mar Apr, 1983 Chief Scientist BENTHIC, Leg VI, R/V Melville Jan Feb, 1983 Co-Chief Scientist BENTHIC, Leg IV, R/V Melville Aug Sep, 1979 Chief Scientist Exp 79G602GY, R/V Gyre Jun Jul, 1977 Assist. Chief Scientist FDRAKE, Leg VII, R/V Melville May Jun, 1977 Participant FDRAKE, Leg VI, R/V Melville Jan Feb, 1976 Participant DEEPSONDE, Leg I, R/V Washington 2

3 Doctoral Dissertations Supervised 2014 J. Donovan, Forecasting Large Earthquakes in Terms of the Conditional Hypocenter Distribution, USC F. Wang, Integration and Validation of Deterministic Earthquake Simulations in Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis, USC P. Powers, Seismicity Distribution Near Strike-Slip Faults in California, USC J. D. Zechar, Methods for Evaluating Earthquake Predictions, USC P. Chen, A Unified Methodology for Seismic Waveform Analysis and Inversion, USC M. Boettcher, Slip on Ridge Transform Faults: Insights from Earthquakes and Laboratory Experiments, MIT-WHOI Joint Program in Oceanography E. B. Richardson, Earthquake Nucleation at a Range of Scales: Laboratories, Gold Mines, and Subduction Zones, MIT J. J. McGuire, Space-Time Rupture Properties of Large Earthquakes, MIT J. Korenaga, Magmatism and Dynamics of Continental Breakup in the Presence of a Mantle Plume, MIT-WHOI Joint Program in Oceanography R. Katzman, Structure and Dynamics of the Pacific Upper Mantle, MIT H. Webb, Quantitative Study of Pelagic Sedimentation in the Atlantic Basin, MIT-WHOI Joint Program in Oceanography J. G. Gaherty, Structure and Anisotropy of the Upper Mantle, MIT P. Puster, The Characterization of Seismic Earth Structures and Numerical Mantle Convection Experiments Using Two-Point Correlation Functions, MIT P. F. Ihmlé, Teleseismic Study of Earthquakes of Long Duration, MIT K. L. Feigl, Geodetic Measurement of Tectonic Deformation in Central California, MIT M. H. Murray, Global Positioning System Measurement of Crustal Deformation in Central California, MIT J. A. Goff, Stochastic Modeling of Seafloor Morphology, MIT-WHOI Joint Program in Oceanography E. Lavely, Theoretical Investigations in Helioseismology, MIT L. S. Gee, New Techniques for Seismological Studies of Earth Structure, MIT G. C. Beroza, Near-Source Imaging of Seismic Rupture, MIT J. S. Revenaugh, The Nature of Mantle Layering from First-Order Reverberations, MIT J. Sauber, Geodetic Measurement of Deformation in California, MIT K. M. Fischer, The Morphology and Dynamics of Subducting Lithosphere, MIT-WHOI Joint Program in Oceanography R. G. Adair, Microseisms in the Deep Ocean: Observations and Theory, UCSD D. K. Smith, The Statistics of Seamount Populations in the Pacific Ocean, UCSD M. A. Riedesel, Seismic Moment Tensor Recovery at Low Frequencies, UCSD K. C. Creager, Geometry, Velocity Structure, and Penetration Depths of Descending Slabs in the Western Pacific, UCSD P. G. Silver, Optimal Estimation of Scalar Seismic Moment, UCSD A. L. Lerner-Lam, Linearized Estimation of Higher-Mode Surface Wave Dispersion, UCSD K. A. Sverdrup, Seismotectonic Studies in the Pacific Ocean Basin, UCSD S. A. Sipkin, Constraints on Earth Structure Determined from Observations of Multiple ScS, UCSD. Classes Taught At USC GEOL 105 Planet Earth GEOL 351 Climate Systems GEOL 450 Geosystems GEOL 599 Questions About Earth GEOL 551 Introduction to Seismology 3

4 GEOL 552 Advanced Seismology At MIT Introduction to Geophysics 12A02 Exploring the Deep Sea (Freshman Advising Seminar) Essentials of Geophysics Low-Frequency Seismology High-Frequency Seismology Geosystems I Geosystems II National & International Service (Selected) Seismological Society of America, President 2010-present Seismological Society of America Government Relations Committee, Member 2010-present Seismological Society of America Investment Committee, Chair ( ) International Commission on Earthquake Forecasting for Civil Protection, Chair (appointed by Italian government) National Academy of Sciences Presidential Nominating Committee, Chair 2010 present Seismological Society of America, Member of Board of Directors (elected position) National Earthquake Resilience Committee, National Research Council, Member National Research Council Governing Board, Member National Academy of Sciences, Member of Council Executive Committee National Academy of Sciences Council, Member (elected position) 2002-present Board of Directors, Southern California Earthquake Center, Chair , Class Membership Committee, National Academy of Sciences, Member, 2006, 2008, National Academy of Sciences Presidential Nominating Committee, Member Scientific Earthquake Studies Advisory Committee, USGS Member Advisory Council, Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center, Member NSF/GEO Cyberinfrastructure Steering Committee, Member 2002 present California Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council, Member EarthScope Science and Education Committee, Member NSF/EAR Advisory Subcommittee, Chair Research Committee of the California Seismic Safety Commission, Member NSF/GEO Advisory Committee, Member 2000 present U.S.-Japan Natural Resources Panel on Earthquake Research, Member Class Membership Committee, National Academy of Sciences, Member EarthScope Working Group, Member Executive Committee, Incorporated Research Institute for Seismology, Member NRC Committee on Basic Research Opportunities in the Earth Sciences, Chair Technical Advisory Council, Mobil Oil Corporation, Member NRC Committee on the Science of Earthquakes, Chair Advisory Panel on Federal Efforts to Reduce Earthquake Damage, Congressional Office of Technology Assessment, Member NRC Committee on Seismology, Chair NRC Board on Earth Sciences and Resources, Executive Committee Member NRC Board on Earth Sciences and Resources, Member U.S. National Network Working Group, U.S. Geological Survey, Chair Earth Sciences Proposal Review Panel, National Science Foundation, Member Department of Defense Technical Review Panel on Threshold Test-Ban Treaty Verification Issues, Member, Chair ( ) Board of Directors, Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology, Member 4

5 National Research Council Committee on Seismology, Member IUGS Commission for Marine Geology, Member Seismology Section, American Geophysical Union, Secretary Academic Advisory & Review Committee Service 2015 Visiting Committee, Department Earth & Planetary Sciences, Harvard University, Chair 2013 Visiting Committee, Department Earth & Planetary Sciences, Harvard University, Chair 2009 Visiting Committee, Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Member 2006 Visiting Committee, Department Earth & Planetary Sciences, Harvard University, Member 2003 Internal Review Committee, USC Department of Computer Science, Chair 2002 Visiting Committee, ETH Zürich, Chair 1995 Visiting Committee, Department of Geological Sciences, University of Michigan, Member 1993 Visiting Committee, Department of Geological Sciences, Brown University, Chair Advisory Committee, Southern California Earthquake Center (USC), Member Advisory Board, Stanford School of Earth Sciences, Member USC Committee Service (Selected) 2014 Evaluation Panel for Associates Award for Creativity in Research Strategic Planning Committee, USC, Member Wrigley Institute Faculty Advisory Committee, LAS, Member Research Excellence Advisory Board, LAS, Member LAS Dean Search Committee, USC, Member 2005 present High-Performance Computing Advisory Committee, USC, Member ISD Architectural Advisory Committee, USC, Member Internal Review Committee, Computer Science Department, USC, Chair Provost s Strategic Planning Committee, USC, Member College Initiatives Advisory Board, USC, Member Strategic Planning Steering Committee, Information Services Division, USC, Member University Committee on Academic Review, USC, Member MIT Committee Service (Selected) MIT/Goddard Joint Center for Geosciences, Director MIT School of Science Committee on Affirmative Action, Chair Internal Advisory Committee, MIT Center for Materials Science and Engineering, Member Presidential Task Force on Sexual Harassment at MIT, Member Presidential Task Force on Career Development for Minority Administrators at MIT, Member Internal Advisory Committee, MIT Center for Space Research, Member MIT Science Council, Member Internal Advisory Committee, MIT Center for Technology, Policy and Industrial Development, Member Editorial Service Associate Editor, Journal of Geophysical Research Member, Editorial Committee, Annual Reviews of Earth & Planetary Sciences 5

6 Scientific Publications Thomas H. Jordan Anderson, D.L. and T. Jordan. The composition of the lower mantle, Phys. Earth Planet. Interiors, 3, Sammis, C., D. Anderson and T. Jordan. Application of isotropic finite strain theory to ultrasonic and seismological data, J. Geophys. Res., 75, Jordan, T.H. and J.N. Franklin. Optimal solutions to a linear inverse problem in geophysics, Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci, 68, Hanks, T.C., T.H. Jordan and B. Minster. Precise locations of aftershocks of the San Fernando Earthquake 2300 (GMT) Feb Feb. 11, 1971, U.S. Geol. Survey Prof. Paper 733, Kamb, B., L.T. Silver, M.J. Abrams, B.A. Carter, T.H. Jordan and B. Minster. Pattern of faulting and nature of fault movement in the San Fernando Earthquake, U.S. Geol. Survey Prof. Paper 733, Anderson, D.L., C. Sammis and T. Jordan. Composition and evolution of the mantle and core, Science, 171, Jordan, T. H. and J.B. Minster. Application of a stochastic inverse to the geophysical inverse problem, in The Mathematics of Profile Inversion, ed. by Lawrence Colin, NASA Tech. Memorandum, NASA TM X-62, l50, pp Anderson, D.L., C. Sammis and T. Jordan. Composition of the mantle and core, in The Nature of the Solid Earth, ed. by E.C. Robertson, McGraw-Hill Inc., pp Alewine, R. and T.H. Jordan. Generalized inversion of earthquake static displacement fields, Geophys. J. R. Astr. Soc., 35, Minster, B., T. Jordan, P. Molnar and E. Haines. Numerical modelling of instantaneous plate tectonics, Geophys. J. R. Astr. Soc., 35, Jordan, T.H. and D.L. Anderson. Earth structure from free oscillations and travel times, Geophys. J. R. Astr. Soc., 36, Minster, J.B., T.H. Jordan, P. Molnar and E. Haines. Numerical modelling of instantaneous plate tectonics, Geophys. J. R. Astr. Soc., 36, Jordan, T.H. and W.S. Lynn. A velocity anomaly in the lower mantle, J. Geophys. Res., 79, Jordan, T.H. Some comments on tidal drag as a mechanism for driving plate motions, J. Geophys. Res., 79, Sipkin, S.A. and T.H. Jordan. Lateral heterogeneity of the upper mantle determined from the travel times of ScS, J. Geophys. Res., 80, l474-l484. 6

7 16. Jordan, T.H. and L.N. Frazer. Crustal and upper mantle structure from Sp phases, J. Geophys. Res., 80, Jordan, T.H. The continental tectosphere, Rev. Geophys. Space Phys., l3, Jordan, T.H. Lateral heterogeneity and mantle dynamics, Nature, 257, Jordan, T.H. The present-day motions of the Caribbean Plate, J. Geophys. Res., 80, Sipkin, S.A. and T.H. Jordan. Lateral heterogeneity of the upper mantle determined from the travel times of multiple ScS, J. Geophys. Res., 81, Jordan, T.H. Lithospheric and asthenospheric structure, in Geodynamics Project: U.S. Progress Report - l976, pp , National Academy of Sciences, Washington, D.C. 22. Jordan, T.H. and W.S. Fyfe. The lithosphere-asthenosphere boundary, Geology, 4, Jordan, T.H. Secrets of the Earth's core, Nature, 264, 95 (book review) Jordan, T.H. Lithospheric slab penetration into the lower mantle beneath the Sea of Okhotsk, J. Geophys., 43, Jordan, T.H. and S.A. Sipkin. Estimation of the attenuation operator for multiple ScS waves, Geophys. Res. Lett., 4, Jordan, T.H. Seismicity and deep structure of the continental margin, in Geodynamics Project: U.S. Progress Report , pp , National Academy of Sciences, Washington, D.C Jordan, T.H. A procedure for estimating lateral variations from low-frequency eigenspectra data, Geophys, J. R. Astr. Soc., 52, Jordan, T.H. Composition and development of the continental tectosphere, Nature, 274, Minster, J.B. and T.H. Jordan. Present-day plate motions, J. Geophys. Res., 83, Jordan, T.H. Mineralogies, densities and seismic velocities of garnet lherzolites and their geophysical implications, in The Mantle Sample: Inclusions in Kimberlites and Other Volcanics, ed. by F.R. Boyd and H.O.A. Meyer, American Geophysical Union, Washington, D.C., pp Jordan, T.H. The deep structure of the continents, Scientific American, 240, Sipkin, S.A. and T.H. Jordan. Frequency dependence of Q ScS, Bull. Seis. Soc. Am., 69, Jordan, T.H. Structural geology of the Earth's interior, Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. U.S., 76, Sipkin, S.A. and T.H. Jordan, Lateral variations in shear velocity and attenuation in the upper mantle, Tectonophysics, 56, Jordan, T.H. and L.N. Frazer. Reply to comments by N.K. Bulin, J. Geophys. Res., 85, Minster, J.B. and T.H. Jordan. Present-day plate motions: A summary, in Source Mechanism and Earthquake Prediction, ed. by C.J. Allègre, Editions du Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Paris, pp Sipkin, S.A. and T.H. Jordan. Multiple ScS travel times in the western Pacific: Implications for mantle heterogeneity, J. Geophys. Res., 85, Sipkin, S.A. and T.H. Jordan. Regional variation of Q ScS, Bull. Seis. Soc. Am., 70,

8 39. Jordan, T.H. Earth structure from seismological observations, in Physics of the Earth's Interior: Proceedings of the International School of Physics "Enrico Fermi," Course LXXVII, ed. by A.M. Dziewonski and E. Boschi, Soc. Italiana de Fisica, Bologna, pp Okal, E.A., J. Talandier, K.A. Sverdrup and T. H. Jordan. Seismicity and tectonic stress in the South-Central Pacific, J. Geophys. Res., 85, Silver, P.A. and T.H. Jordan. Fundamental spheroidal mode observations of aspherical heterogeneity, Geophys. J. R. Astr. Soc., 64, Jordan, T.H. Continents as a chemical boundary layer, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. A, 301, Jordan, T.H. and K.A. Sverdrup. Teleseismic location techniques and their application to earthquake clusters in the south-central Pacific, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 71, Savino, J.M., W.L. Rodi, J.F. Masso and T.H. Jordan. Simultaneous inversion of multiple geophysical data sets for Earth structure, Society of Exploration Geophysicists, 51st Annual Meeting. Geophysics, 46, Jordan, T.H. Global tectonic regionalization for seismological data analysis, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 71, Silver, P.A. and T.H. Jordan. Optimal estimation of scalar seismic moment, Geophys. J. R. Astr. Soc., 70, Masters, G., T.H. Jordan, P.G. Silver and F. Gilbert. Aspherical earth structure from fundamental spheroidal-mode data, Nature, 298, Silver, P.A. and T.H. Jordan. Total-moment spectra of fourteen large earthquakes, J. Geophys. Res., 88, Lerner-Lam, A.L. and T.H. Jordan. Earth structure from fundamental and higher-mode waveform analysis, Geophys. J. R. Astr. Soc., 75, Jordan, T.H., H.W. Menard and D.K. Smith. Density and size distribution of seamounts in the eastern Pacific inferred from wide-beam sounding data, J. Geophys. Res., 88, Adair, R.G., J.A. Orcutt and T.H. Jordan. Analysis of ambient seismic noise recorded by downhole and ocean-bottom seismometers on Deep Sea Drilling Project Leg 78B, Init. Rpts. Deep Sea Drilling Proj., LXXVIII, Creager, K.C. and T.H. Jordan. Slab penetration into the lower mantle, J. Geophys. Res., 89, Minster, J.B. and T.H. Jordan. Vector constraints on Quaternary deformation of the western United States east and west of the San Andreas Fault, in Tectonics and Sedimentation Along the California Margin, eds. J.K. Crouch and S.B. Bachman, Pacific Sect., Soc. Econ. Paleontologists and Mineralogists, 38, Orcutt, J. and T.H. Jordan. MSS and OBS data from the Ngendei experiment in the southwest Pacific, in The VELA Program, ed. by A. U. Kerr, DARPA, 1985, pp Creager, K.C., and T.H. Jordan. Slab penetration into the lower mantle beneath the Mariana and other island arcs of the northwest Pacific, J. Geophys. Res., 91,

9 56. Riedesel, M.A., T.H. Jordan, A. F. Sheehan, and P. G. Silver. Moment-tensor spectra of the 19 Sept 85 and 21 Sept 85 Michoacan, Mexico, earthquakes, Geophys. Res. Lett., 13, Creager, K.C., and T.H. Jordan. Aspherical structure of the core-mantle boundary from PKP travel times, Geophys. Res. Lett., 13, Adair, R.G., J.A. Orcutt and T.H. Jordan. Low frequency noise observations in the deep ocean, J. Acoust. Soc. Am., 80, Jordan, T.H., H.W. Menard, J. Natland and J.A. Orcutt. Objectives and results of DSDP Leg 91 and the Ngendei Seismic Experiment and explanatory notes for Volume 91, Init. Rpts. Deep Sea Drilling Proj., Vol. 91, U. S. Govt. Printing Office, pp Shipboard Scientific Parties. Site 595: Coring and downhole seismic experiments in the Southwest Pacific near the Tonga Trench, Init. Rpts. Deep Sea Drilling Proj., Vol. 91, U. S. Govt. Printing Office, pp Kim, I.I., D.K. Smith, H.W. Menard, J.A. Orcutt, and T.H. Jordan. Seismic reflection site survey: Correlation with physical properties, Leg 91, DSDP, Init. Rpts. Deep Sea Drilling Proj., Vol. 91, U. S. Govt. Printing Office, pp Adair, R. G., M. M. Harris, J. A. Orcutt, and T. H. Jordan. Description and performance of the marine seismic system during the Ngendei experiment, Init. Rpts. Deep Sea Drilling Proj., Vol. 91, U. S. Govt. Printing Office, pp Orcutt, J.A., R.D. Moore, and T.H. Jordan. Description and performance of the Scripps ocean bottom seismographs during the Ngendei experiment, Init. Rpts. Deep Sea Drilling Proj., Vol. 91, U. S. Govt. Printing Office, pp Adair, R.G., J.A. Orcutt, and T.H. Jordan. Preliminary analysis of ocean-bottom and sub-bottom microseismic noise during the Ngendei experiment, Init. Rpts. Deep Sea Drilling Proj., Vol. 91, U. S. Govt. Printing Office, pp Shearer, P.M., R.G. Adair, J.A. Orcutt, and T.H. Jordan. Simultaneous borehole and ocean bottom seismometer recordings of earthquakes and explosions: Results from the 1983 Ngendei experiment at DSDP Hole 595B, Init. Rpts. Deep Sea Drilling Proj., Vol. 91, U. S. Govt. Printing Office, pp Shearer, P.M., J.A. Orcutt, T. H. Jordan, R.B. Whitmarsh, I.I. Kim, R.G. Adair and M.S. Burnett. The Ngendei Seismic refraction experiment at DSDP Hole 595B--ocean-bottom seismometer data and evidence for crustal and upper mantle anisotropy, Init. Rpts. Deep Sea Drilling Proj., Vol. 91, U. S. Govt. Printing Office, pp Whitmarsh, R.B., J.A. Orcutt, T.H. Jordan, R.G. Adair and P.M. Shearer. Velocity bounds on the seismic structure of the crust and upper mantle in the southwest Pacific basin from downhole observations at DSDP Hole 595B, Init. Rpts. Deep Sea Drilling Proj., Vol. 91, U. S. Govt. Printing Office, pp Minster, J.B., and T.H. Jordan. Vector constraints on western U. S. deformation from space geodesy, neotectonics and plate motions, J. Geophys. Res., 92, Smith, D.K., and T.H. Jordan. The size distribution of Pacific Seamounts, Geophys. Res. Lett., 14, Revenaugh, J., and T.H. Jordan. Observations of first-order mantle reverberations, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 77, Lerner-Lam, A.L., and T.H. Jordan. How thick are the continents?, J. Geophys. Res., 92,

10 Smith, D.K., and T.H. Jordan. Seamount statistics in the Pacific Ocean, J. Geophys. Res., 93, (Menard volume), Jordan, T.H., and J.B. Minster. Beyond Plate Tectonics: Looking at plate deformation with space geodesy, in The Impact of VLBI on Astrophysics and Geophysics, Proceedings of IAU Symposium 129, ed. by M. J. Reid and J. M. Moran, D. Reidel Pub., Dortrecht, pp Fischer, K.M., T.H. Jordan, and K.C. Creager. Seismic constraints on the morphology of deep slabs, J. Geophys. Res., 93, Gee, L.S., and T.H. Jordan. Polarization anisotropy and fine-scale structure of the Eurasian upper mantle, Geophys. Res. Lett., 15, Jordan, T.H., and J.B. Minster, Measuring crustal deformation in the American West, Sci. Am., 256, Goff, J.A., and T.H. Jordan. Stochastic modeling of seafloor morphology: Inversion of sea beam data for second-order statistics, J. Geophys. Res., 93, 13,589-13, Jordan, T.H. Structure and formation of the continental tectosphere, J. Petrol, Special Lithosphere Issue, Jordan, T.H. Some speculations on continental evolution, in Crust/Mantle Recycling at Convergent Zones, Proc. of NATO ARW, ed. by S. R. Hart and L. Gulen, D. Reidel Pub., Dortrecht, Goff, J.A., and T.H. Jordan. Stochastic modeling of seafloor morphology: A parameterized Gaussian model, Geophys. Res. Lett., 16, Revenaugh, J., and T.H. Jordan. A study of mantle layering beneath the western Pacific, J. Geophys. Res., 94, Agnew, D.C., K. Burke, A. Cazenave, T. Dixon, B.H. Hager, J.R. Heirtzler, T.H. Jordan, J.B. Minister, M.K. McNutt, L.H. Royden, D.T. Sandwell, and D.L. Turcotte. Long-term dynamics of the solid Earth, in The Interdisciplinary role of Space Geodesy, Lecture Notes in Earth Sciences, ed. by S. Bhattachrji, G.M. Friedman, H. J. Neugebauer and A. Seilacher, Springer-Verlag, Chapter 3, Jordan, T.H., A.L. Lerner-Lam, and K.C. Creager. Seismic imaging of boundary layers and deep mantle convection, Mantle Convection, ed. W.R. Peltier, Gordon and Breach, New York, pp Riedesel, M.A., and T.H. Jordan, Display and assessment of seismic moment tensors, Bull. Seis. Soc. Am., 79, Goff, J.A., and T.H. Jordan. Stochastic modeling of seafloor morphology: Resolution of topographic parameters by Sea Beam data, J. Ocean Eng., 14, Jordan, T.H. Chemical boundary layers of the mantle and core, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. London A328, Beroza, G.C., and T.H. Jordan, Searching for slow and silent earthquakes using free oscillations, J. Geophys. Res., 95, Feigl, K.L., R.W. King, and T.H. Jordan, Geodetic measurements of tectonic deformation in the Santa Maria Fold and Thrust Belt, California, J. Geophys. Res., 95, Minster, J.B., T.H. Jordan, B.H. Hager, D.C. Agnew, and L.H. Royden, Implications of precise positioning, in Geodesy in the Year 2000, ed. by J.B. Rundle, National Academy Press, Washington, D.C., pp

11 Goff, J.A., T.H. Jordan, M.H. Edwards, and D.J. Fornari, Comparison of a stochastic model with SeaMARC II bathymetry and Sea Beam data near the East Pacific Rise N, J. Geophys. Res., 96, Fischer, K.L., K.C. Creager, and T.H. Jordan, Mapping the Tonga slab, J. Geophys. Res., 96, 14,403-14, Fischer, K.L., and T.H. Jordan, Seismic strain rate and deep slab deformation in Tonga, J. Geophys. Res., 96, 14,429-14, Revenaugh, J., and T.H. Jordan, Mantle layering from ScS reverberations: 1. Waveform inversion of zeroth-order reverberations, J. Geophys. Res., 96, 19,749-19, Revenaugh, J., and T.H. Jordan, Mantle layering from ScS reverberations: 2. The transition zone, J. Geophys. Res., 96, 19,763-19, Revenaugh, J., and T.H. Jordan, Mantle layering from ScS reverberations: 3. The upper mantle, J. Geophys. Res., 96, 19,781-19, Revenaugh, J., and T.H. Jordan, Mantle layering from ScS reverberations: 4. The lower mantle and core-mantle boundary, J. Geophys. Res., 96, 18,811-19, Jordan, T.H., Far-field detection of slow precursors to fast seismic ruptures, Geophys. Res. Lett., 18, Gee, L.S., and T.H. Jordan, Generalized seismological data functionals, Geophys. J. Int., 111, Revenaugh, J., and T.H. Jordan, Reply to "Comment on 'Mantle layering from ScS reverberations: 2. The transition zone'" by Klaus Stammler and Ranier Kind, J. Geophys. Res., 97, 17,549-17, Ihmlé, P. F., P. Harabaglia, and T. H. Jordan, Teleseismic detection of a slow precursor to the great 1989 Macquarie Ridge earthquake, Science, 261, Jordan, T. H., P. Puster, G. A. Glatzmaier, P. J. Tackley, Comparisons between seismic earth structures and mantle flow models based on radial correlation functions, Science, 261, Jordan, T. H., Rock system science vs. earth system science, Geotimes, 38, Webb, H. F., and T. H. Jordan, Quantifying the distribution and transport of pelagic sediments on young abyssal hills, Geophys. Res. Lett., 20, Feigl, K. L., D. C. Agnew, Y. Bock, D. Dong, A. Donnellan, B. H. Hager, T. A. Herring, D. D. Jackson, T. H. Jordan, R. W. King, S. Larsen, K. M. Larson, M. H. Murray, Z. Shen, and F. H. Webb, Space geodetic measurement of crustal deformation in central and southern California, , J. Geophys. Res., 98, Puster, P., and T. H. Jordan, Stochastic analysis of mantle convection experiments using two-point correlation functions, Geophys. Res. Lett., 21, Jordan, T. H., and J. B. Gaherty, Polarization anisotropy and small-scale structure of the continental upper mantle, Proceedings of the 16th Annual Seismic Research Symposium, PL-TR , Phillips Laboratory, Massachusetts, pp Ihmlé, P. F., and T. H. Jordan, Teleseismic search for slow precursors to large earthquakes, Science, 266,

12 Puster, P., T. H. Jordan, and B. H. Hager, The characterization of mantle convection models using two-point correlation functions, J. Geophys. Res., 100, Gaherty, J., and T. H. Jordan, Lehmann discontinuity as the base of an anisotropic mechanical boundary layer beneath continents, Science, 268, Ihmlé, P. F., and T. H. Jordan, Source time function of the great 1994 Bolivia deep earthquake by waveform and spectral inversion, Geophys. Res. Lett., 22, Puster, P., B. H. Hager, and T. H. Jordan, Mantle convection experiments with evolving plates, Geophys. Res. Lett., 22, Jordan, T. H., and J. B. Gaherty, Stochastic modeling of small-scale, anisotropic structures in the continental upper mantle, Proceedings of the 17th Annual Seismic Research Symposium, PL-TR , Phillips Laboratory, Massachusetts, pp Gaherty, J. B., T. H. Jordan, and L. Gee, Seismic structure of the upper mantle in a central Pacific corridor, J. Geophys. Res., 101, McGuire, J. J., P. F. Ihmlé, and T. H. Jordan, Time-domain observations of a slow precursor to the 1994 Romanche Transform earthquake, Science, 274, Jordan, T. H., J. B. Gaherty, and O. van Genabeek, Regional upper-mantle structures and their interpretation in terms of small-scale, anisotropic heterogeneities, Proceedings of the 18th Annual Seismic Research Symposium, PL-TR , Phillips Laboratory, Massachusetts, pp Puster, P., and T. H. Jordan, How stratified is mantle convection?, J. Geophys. Res., 102, Jordan, T. H., Is the study of earthquakes a basic science?, Seismol. Res. Lett., 68, Katzman, R., L. Zhao, and T. H. Jordan, High-resolution, 2D vertical tomography of the central Pacific using ScS reverberations and frequency-dependent travel times, J. Geophys. Res., 103, Zhao, L., and T. H. Jordan, Sensitivity of frequency-dependent travel times to laterally heterogeneous, anisotropic Earth structure, Geophys. J. Int., 133, Gaherty, J. B., M. Kato, and T. H. Jordan, Seismological structure of the upper mantle: a regional comparison of mantle layering, Phys. Earth Planet. Int., 110, Kato, M., and T. H. Jordan, Seismic structure of the upper mantle beneath the Philippine Sea, Phys. Earth Planet. Int., 110, Shapiro, S. S., B. H. Hager, and T. H. Jordan, Stability and dynamics of the continental tectosphere, Composition, Deep Structure and Evolution of the Continents, R. D. van der Hilst and W. F. McDonough (eds.), Elsevier, Amsterdam. Lithos, 48, Shapiro, S. S., B. H. Hager, and T. H. Jordan, The continental tectosphere and the Earth's longwavelength gravity field, Composition, Deep Structure and Evolution of the Continents, R. D. van der Hilst and W. F. McDonough (eds.), Elsevier, Amsterdam. Lithos, 48, J. B. Gaherty, Y. Wang, T. H. Jordan, and D. J. Weidner, Testing plausible upper-mantle compositions using fine-scale models of the 410-km discontinutity, Geophys. Res. Lett., 26,

13 McGuire, J. J., and T. H. Jordan, Further evidence for the compound nature of slow earthquakes: the Prince Edward Island earthquake of April 28, 1997, J. Geophys. Res., 105, McGuire, J. J., L. Zhao, and T. H. Jordan, Rupture dimensions of the 1998 Antarctic earthquake from low-frequency waves, Geophys. Res. Lett., 27, Saltzer, R. L., J. B. Gaherty, and T. H. Jordan, How are vertical shear wave splitting measurements affected by variations in the orientation of azimuthal anisotropy with depth?, Geophys. J. Int., 141, Zhao, L., T. H. Jordan, and C. H. Chapman, Three-dimensional Fréchet differential kernels for seismic delay times, Geophys. J. Int., 141, T. H. Jordan (chair), Basic Research Opportunities in Earth Science, National Academy Press, Washington, D.C., 154 pp Field, N., L. Jones, T. Jordan, M. Benthien, and L. Wald, Earthquake shaking finding the hotspots, USGS Fact Sheet , U. S. Geological Survey, Reston, Virginia Freybourger, M., J. B. Gaherty, T. H. Jordan, and the Kaapvaal Seismic Group, Structure of the Kaapvaal craton from surface waves, Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, McGuire, J. J., L. Zhao, and T. H. Jordan, Teleseismic inversion for the second-degree moments of earthquake space-time distributions, Geophys. J. Int.,145, Korenaga, J., and T. H. Jordan, Effects of vertical boundaries on infinite Prandtl number thermal convection, Geophys. J. Int., 147, Webb, H. F., and T. H. Jordan, Pelagic sedimentation on rough seafloor topography. 1. Forward model, J. Geophys. Res., 106, 30,433-30, Webb, H. F., and T. H. Jordan, Pelagic sedimentation on rough seafloor topography. 2. Inversion results for the North Atlantic acoustic reverberation corridor, J. Geophys. Res., 106, 30,451-30, Korenaga, J., and T. H. Jordan, On the state of sublithospheric upper mantle beneath a supercontinent, Geophys. J. Int., 149, Richardson, E., and T. H. Jordan, Seismicity in deep gold mines of South Africa: Implications for tectonic earthquakes. Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 92, Korenaga, J., and T. H. Jordan, Onset of convection with temperature- and depth-dependent viscosity, Geophys. Res. Lett., 29(19), 1923, doi: /2002gl Jordan, T.H., A study of earthquake science, Seismol. Res. Lett., 73, Richardson, E., and T. H. Jordan, Low-frequency properties of intermediate-focus earthquakes, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 92, Korenaga, J., and T. H. Jordan, On steady-state state heat flow and the rheology of oceanic mantle, Geophys.Res. Lett., 29(22), 2056, doi: /2002gl McGuire, J. J., L. Zhao, and T. H. Jordan, Predominance of unilateral rupture for a global catalog of earthquakes, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 92, McGuire, J. J., T. H. Jordan, and J. Lin, Complexities of Transform Boundaries in the Oceans, Plate Boundary Zones, edited by S. Stein and J. Freymueller, American Geophysical Union. 13

14 Jordan, T. H., G. Beroza, C. A. Cornell, C. B. Crouse, J. Dieterich, A. Frankel, D. D. Jackson, A. Johnston, H. Kanamori, J. S. Langer, M. K. McNutt, J. R. Rice, B. A. Romanowicz, K. Sieh, and P. G. Somerville, Living on an Active Earth: Perspectives on Earthquake Science, National Academy Press, Washington, D.C., 418 pp Jordan, T. H., and P. Maechling, The SCEC Community Modeling Environment An Information Infrastructure for System-Level Earthquake Science, Seismol. Res. Lett., 74, Korenaga, J., and T. H. Jordan, Physics of multi-scale convection in the Earth s mantle: Onset of sublithospheric convection, J. Geophys. Res., 108, 2333, doi: /2002jb001760, 11 pp Field, E.H., T.H. Jordan, and C.A. Cornell, OpenSHA: A developing community-modeling environment for seismic hazard analysis, Seismol. Res. Lett., 74, Press, F. R. Siever, J. Grotzinger, and T. H. Jordan, Understanding Earth, 4th edition, W. H. Freeman, New York, 567 pp Korenaga, J., and T. H. Jordan, Linear stability analysis of Richter rolls, Geophys.Res. Lett., 30(22), 2157, doi: /2003GL018337, 4 pp Korenaga, J., and T. H. Jordan, Physics of multi-scale convection in the Earth s mantle: Evolution of sublithospheric convection, J. Geophys. Res., 109, B01405, doi: /2003JB Boettcher, M., and T. H. Jordan, Earthquake scaling relations for mid-ocean ridge transform faults, J. Geophys. Res., 109, doi: /2004jb McGuire, J., M. Boettcher, and T. H. Jordan, Foreshock sequences and short-term earthquake predictability on East-Pacific Rise transform faults, Nature, 434, (24 March 2005); doi: /nature Field, E. H., N. Gupta, V. Gupta, M. Blanpied, P. Maechling, and T. H Jordan, Hazard calculations for the WGCEP-2002 earthquake rupture forecast using OpenSHA and distributed object technologies, Seismol. Res. Lett., 76, Maechling, P., V. Gupta, N. Gupta, E. H. Field, D. Okaya, and T. H. Jordan, Seismic hazard analysis using distributed computing in the SCEC Community Modeling Environment, Seismol. Res. Lett., 76, Field, E. H., H. A. Seligson, N. Gupta, V. Gupta, T. H. Jordan, and K. Campbell, Loss estimates for a Puente Hills blind-thrust earthquake in Los Angeles, California, Earthquake Spectra, 21, Chen, P., T. H. Jordan, and L. Zhao, Finite moment tensor for the 3 September 2002 Yorba Linda earthquake, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 95, Maechling, P., V. Gupta, N. Gupta, E. H. Field, D. Okaya, and T. H. Jordan, Grid computing in the SCEC Community Modeling Environment, Seismol. Res. Lett., 76 No. 5, Zhao, L., T. H. Jordan, K. Olsen, and P. Chen, Fréchet kernels for imaging regional Earth structure based on three-dimensional reference models, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 95, Grotzinger, J., T. H. Jordan, F. Press, and R. Siever, Understanding Earth, 5th edition, W. H. Freeman, New York, 579 pp Field, E. H., V. Gupta, N. Gupta, P. Maechling, and T. H Jordan, Hazard map calculations using grid computing, Seismol. Res. Lett., 76, Jordan, T. H., Earthquake predictability, brick by brick, Seismol. Res. Lett., 77,

15 162. Olsen, K. B., S. Day, J. B. Minster, Y. Cui, A. Chourasia, M. Faerman, R. Moore, P. Maechling & T. H. Jordan, Strong shaking in Los Angeles expected from southern San Andreas earthquake, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L07305, doi: /2005gl Zhao, L., and T. H. Jordan, Structural sensitivities of finite-frequency seismic waves: A full-wave approach, Geophys. J. Int., 165, Zhao, L., P. Chen, and T. H. Jordan, Strain Green s tensors, reciprocity, and their applications to seismic source and structure studies, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 96, Maechling, P., E. Deelman, L. Zhao, R. Graves, G. Mehta, N. Gupta, J. Mehringer, C. Kesselman, S. Callaghan, D. Okaya, H. Francoeur, V. Gupta, Y. Cui, K. Vahi, T. H. Jordan & E. Field, SCEC CyberShake Workflows Automating Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis Calculations, in Workflows for e-science: Scientific Workflows for Grids, I. Taylor, E. Deelman, D. Gannon & M. Shield (eds.), Springer, 530 pp Deelman, E., S. Callaghan, E. Field, H. Francoeur, R. Graves, N. Gupta, V. Gupta, T. H. Jordan, C. Kesselman, P. Maechling, J. Mehringer, G. Mehta, D. Okaya, K. Vahi, L. Zhao, Managing Large- Scale Workflow Execution from Resource Provisioning to Provenance tracking: The CyberShake Example, e-science 2006, Amsterdam, December 4-6, 2006 (best paper award) Zhao, Y., M. Wilde, I. Foster, J. Voeckler, J. Dobson, E. Gilbert, T. Jordan, and E. Quigg (2006). Virtual data Grid middleware services for data-intensive science, Concurrency and Computation: Practice and Experience, 18(6), Jordan, T. H., Earthquake system science in Southern California, Bull. Earthquake Res. Inst. Tokyo, 81, Chen, P., T. H. Jordan, and L. Zhao, Full three-dimensional waveform tomography: a comparison between the scattering-integral and adjoint-wavefield methods, Geophys. J. Int., 170, , doi: /j x x Plesch, A., J. H. Shaw, C. Benson, W. A. Bryant, S. Carena, M. Cooke, J. Dolan, G. Fuis, E. Gath, L. Grant, E. Hauksson, T. H. Jordan, M. Kamerling, M. Legg, S. Lindvall, H. Magistrale, C. Nicholson, N. Niemi, M. Oskin, S. Perry, G. Planansky, T. Rockwell, P. Shearer, C. Sorlien, M. P. Süss, J. Suppe, J. Treiman, and R. Yeats, Community Fault Model (CFM) for Southern California, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 97, , doi / Chen, P., L. Zhao, and T. H. Jordan, Full 3D tomography for crustal structure of the Los Angeles region, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 97, , doi: / Zhang, C., S. Callaghan, T. Jordan, R. K. Kalia, A. Nakano, and P. Vashista, ParaViz: A spatially decomposed parallel visualization algorithm using hierarchical ordering, Int. J. Computational Sci., 1, Becker, T. W., J. T. Browaeys, and T. H. Jordan, Stochastic analysis of shear-wave splitting length scales, Earth Planet. Sci. Lett., 259, Chourasia. A., S. M. Cutchin, K. B. Olsen, J. B. Minster, S. Day, Y. Cui, P. Maechling, R. Moore, and T. H. Jordan, Visual insights into high resolution earthquake simulations, Computer Graph. Appl. J., 27, 28-34, doi: /mcg Cui, Y., R. Moore, K. Olsen, A. Chourasia, P. Maechling, B. Minster, S. Day, Y. Hu, J. Zhu, A. Majumdar, T. Jordan, Enabling very-large scale earthquake simulations on parallel machines, advancing science and society through computation, International Conference on Computational Science 2007, Lecture Notes in Computer Science Series 4487, Part I, 46-53, Springer Jordan, T.H., and J. Grotzinger, The Essential Earth, W.H. Freeman, New York, 414 pp. 15

16 177. Olsen, K. B., S. M. Day, J. B. Minster, Y. Cui, A Chouasia, R. Moore, P. Maechling & T. Jordan, TeraShake2: spontaneous rupture simulations of Mw 7.7 Earthquakes on the southern San Andreas Fault, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 98, , doi: / Zechar, J., and T. H. Jordan, Testing alarm-based earthquake predictions, Geophys. J. Int., 172, , doi /j x x Cui, Y., R. Moore, K. Olsen, A. Chourasia, P. Maechling, B. Minster, S. Day, Y. Hu, Y., Zhu & T. Jordan (2008), Toward petascale earthquake simulations, Acta Geotechnica, DOI /s , Springer Jordan, T. H., The P-Word, in The L. A. Earthquake Source Book, R. Koshalek & M. Amatullo (eds.), Art Center College of Design, Pasadena, pp Graves, R., B. Aagaard, K. Hudnut, L. Star, J. Stewart and T. H. Jordan, Broadband simulations for Mw 7.8 southern San Andreas earthquakes: Ground motion sensitivity to rupture speed, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L22302, doi: /2008GL Jordan, T. H., Opportunities for international collaboration in earthquake system science, in Science as a Gateway to Understanding, ed. G. Schweitzer and Y. Sobouti, , International Workshop Proceedings of the National Research Council, National Academies Press, Washington, DC Graves, R., S. Callaghan, E. Deelman, E. Field, N. Gupta, T. H. Jordan, G. Juve,, C. Kesselman, P. Maechling, G. Mehta, D. Meyers, D. Okaya and K. Vahi, Physics-based probabilistic seismic hazard calculations for Southern California, Proc. 14 th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Beijing, China, 8 pp., October, Olsen, K.B., S.M. Day, L.A. Dalguer, J. Mayhew, Y. Cui, J. Zhu, V.M. Cruz-Atienza, D. Roten, P. Maechling, T.H. Jordan, D. Okaya, and A. Chourasia (2009), ShakeOut-D: Ground motion estimates using an ensemble of large earthquakes on the southern San Andreas fault with spontaneous rupture propagation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L04303, doi: /2008gl Roy, M., T. H. Jordan and J. Pederson, Colorado Plateau magmatism and uplift by warming of heterogeneous lithosphere, Nature, 459, , doi: /nature08052, Field, E. H., T. E. Dawson, K. R. Felzer, A. D. Frankel, V. Gupta, T. H. Jordan, T. Parsons, M. D. Petersen, R. S. Stein, R. J. Weldon II and C. J. Wills, Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 2 (UCERF 2), Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 99, , doi: / Solomon, S. C., & T. H. Jordan, Paul Silver ( ) In Memoriam, Seismol. Res. Lett., 80, Jordan, T. H., Earthquake system science: Potential for seismic risk reduction, Scientia Iranica,16, Cui, Y., A. Chourasia, R. Moore, K. Olsen, P. Maechling, and T. Jordan, The TeraShake computational platform, advances in geocomputing, Lecture Notes in Earth Sciences, 119, , doi: / _7, editor H. Xing, Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg Jordan, T. H., Y.-T. Chen, P. Gasparini, R. Madariaga, I. Main, W. Marzocchi, G. Papadopoulos, G. Sobolev, K. Yamaoka, and J. Zschau, Operational Earthquake Forecasting: State of Knowledge and Guidelines for Implementation, Findings and Recommendations of the International Commission on Earthquake Forecasting for Civil Protection, Special Publication of Dipartimento della Protezione Civile, Rome, Italy, October, 2009, 10 pp Zechar, J. D., D. Schorlemmer, M. Liukis, J. Yu, F. Euchner, P. J. Maechling & T. H. Jordan, The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability perspectives on computational earthquake science, Concurrency Computat.: Pract. Exper., 22, , doi: /cpe.1519,

17 Grotzinger, J., and T. H. Jordan, Understanding Earth, 6 th edition, W. H. Freeman, New York, 654 pp, Bielak, J., R. Graves, K. Olsen, R. Taborda, L. Ramirez-Guzman, S. Day, G. Ely, D. Roten, T. Jordan, P. Maechling, J. Urbanic, Y. Cui, and G. Juve, The ShakeOut earthquake scenario: verification of three simulation sets, Geophys. J. Int., 180, , Chen, P., T. H. Jordan & L. Zhao, Resolving fault plane ambiguity for small earthquakes, Geophys. J. Int., 181, , doi: /j x x, Powers, P., and T. H. Jordan, Seismicity distribution across strike-slip faults in California, J. Geophys. Res., 115, B05305, doi: /2008jb006234, Schorlemmer, D., J. D. Zechar, M. J. Werner, E. H. Field, D. D. Jackson, T. H. Jordan & the RELM Working Group. First results of the Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models experiment, Pure Appl. Geophys., 167, doi: /s , Zechar, J. D., and T. H. Jordan, The area skill score statistic for evaluating earthquake predictability experiments, Pure Appl. Geophys., 167, , doi: /s , Jordan, T. H. & L. M. Jones, Operational earthquake forecasting: some thoughts on why and how, Seismol. Res. Lett., 81, , doi: /gssrl , Zechar, J. D., & T. H. Jordan, Simple smoothed seismicity earthquake forecasts for Italy, Annal. Geophys., 53, , Chen, P., T. H. Jordan, and E.-J. Lee, Perturbation kernels for generalized seismological data functionals (GSDF), Geophys. J. Int., 183, , doi: /j X x, Cui, Y., K. B. Olsen, T. H. Jordan, K. Lee, J. Zhou, P. Small, D. Roten, G. Ely, D. K. Panda, A. Chourasia, J. Levesque, S. M. Day & P. Maechling (2010), Scalable Earthquake Simulation on Petascale Supercomputers, Proc ACM/IEEE Int. Conf. High Performance Computing Networking, Storage and Analysis, New Orleans, Nov , doi: /sc Callaghan, S., E. Deelman, D. Gunter, G. Juve, P. Maechling, C. Brooks, K. Vahi, K. Milner, R. Graves, E. Field, D. Okaya & T. Jordan (2010), Scaling up workflow-based applications, J. Comp. System Sci., 76 (6), Graves, R., T. H. Jordan, S. Callaghan, E. Deelman, E. Field, G. Juve, C. Kesselman, P. Maechling, G. Mehta, K. Milner, D. Okaya, P. Small, and K. Vahi (2011), CyberShake: A physics-based probabilistic hazard model for Southern California, Pure Appl. Geophys., 167, , doi: /s Jordan, T. H. & L. M. Jones (2011), Reply to Comment on Operational earthquake forecasting: some thoughts on why and how by Stuart Crampin, Seismol. Res. Lett., 82, , doi: /gssrl Nanjo, K. Z., H. Tsuruoka, N. Hirata & T. H. Jordan (2011), Overview of the first earthquake forecast testing experiment in Japan, Earth Planets Space, 63, , doi: /eps Callaghan, S., P. Maechling, P. Small, K. Milner, G. Juve, T. H. Jordan, E. Deelman, G. Mehta, K. Vahi, D. Gunter, K. Beattie and C. Brooks (2011). Metrics for heterogeneous scientific workflows: A case study of an earthquake science application, International Journal of High Performance Computing Applications 2011, 25: 274, doi: / R. M. Hamilton, R. A. Andrews, R. A. Bauer, J. A. Bullock, S. E. Chang, W. T. Holmes, L. A. Johnson, T. H. Jordan, G. A. Kreps, S. P. Nishenko, A. Z. Rose, L. T. Tobin, and A. S. Whittaker (2011), National Earthquake Resilience: Research, Implementation, and Outreach, National Research Council, National Academies Press, Washington, D.C., 198 pp. 17

18 208. Lee, E.-J., P. Chen, T. H. Jordan and L. Q. Wang (2011), Rapid full-wave centroid moment tensor (CMT) inversion in a three-dimensional earth structure model for earthquakes in Southern California, Geophys. J. Int., 186, , doi: /j X x Jordan, T. H., Y.-T. Chen, P. Gasparini, R. Madariaga, I. Main, W. Marzocchi, G. Papadopoulos, G. Sobolev, K. Yamaoka, and J. Zschau (2011), Operational Earthquake Forecasting: State of Knowledge and Guidelines for Implementation, Final Report of the International Commission on Earthquake Forecasting for Civil Protection, Annals Geophys., 54(4), , doi: /ag Jordan, T. H. (2012), Scapegoat shocker, New Scientist, 211, Jordan, T. H., and J. Grotzinger (2012), The Essential Earth, 2 nd ed., W. H. Freeman, New York, 505 pp Jordan, T. H., Y.-T. Chen, P. Gasparini, R. Madariaga, I. Main, W. Marzocchi, G. Papadopoulos, G. Sobolev, K. Yamaoka, and J. Zschau (2011), Reply to Comment on Operational Earthquake Forecasting: State of Knowledge and Guidelines for Implementation by Stuart Crampin, Annals Geophys., 55, 13-15, doi: /ag Tsuruoka, H., N. Hirata, D. Schorlemmer, F. Euchner, K. Z. Nanjo, and T. H. Jordan (2012), CSEP Testing Center and the first results of the earthquake forecast testing experiment in Japan, Earth Planets Space, 64(8), , doi: /eps Marzocchi, W., J. D. Zechar, and T. H. Jordan (2012), Bayesian forecast evaluation and ensemble earthquake forecasting, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 102, , doi: / Nanjo, K. Z., H. Tsuruoka, S. Yokoi, Y. Ogata, G. Falcone, N. Hirata, Y. Ishigaki, T. H. Jordan, K. Kasahara, K. Obara, D. Schorlemmer, K. Shiomi, and J. Zhuang (2012), Predictability study on the aftershock sequence following the 2011 Off the Pacific Coast of Tohoku, Japan, earthquake: First results, Geophys. J. Int., 191, , doi: /j x x Zechar, J. D., D. Schorlemmer, M. J. Werner, M. C. Gerstenberger, D. A. Rhoades, and T. H. Jordan (2013), Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models I: First-order results, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 103, , doi: / Jordan, T. H. (2013), Lessons of L Aquila for Operational Earthquake Forecasting, Seismol. Res. Lett., 84, 4-7, doi: / Jordan, T. H., and E. M. Paulson (2013), Convergence depths of tectonic regions from an ensemble of global tomographic models, J. Geophys. Res., 118, , doi: /jgrb Cui, Y., E. Poyraz, K. Olsen, J. Zhou, K. Withers, S. Callaghan, J. Larkin, C. Guest, D. Choi, A. Chourasia, Z. Shi, S. Day, P. Maechling, and T. H. Jordan (2013), Physics-based seismic hazard analysis on petascale heterogeneous supercomputers, 2013 International Conference for High Performance Computing, Networking, Storage and Analysis (SC), Denver, Nov 17-22, 2013, doi: / Cui, Y., E. Poyraz, J. Zhou, S. Callaghan, P. Maechling, T. H. Jordan, L. Shih, and P. Chen (2013), Accelerating CyberShake calculations on the XE6/XK7 platform of Blue Waters, Extreme Scaling Workshop 2013, August 15-16, 2013, Boulder Wang, F., and T. H. Jordan (2014), Comparison of probabilistic seismic hazard models using averaging-based factorization, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 104, , doi: /

19 222. Böse, M., R. Allen, H. Brown, G. Gua, M. Fischer, E. Hauksson, T. Heaten, M. Hellweg, M. Liukis, D. Neuhauser, P. Maechling, K. Solanki, M. Vinci, I. Henson, O. Khainovski, S. Kuyuk, M. Carpio, M.-A. Meier, and T. Jordan (2014), CISN ShakeAlert: An earthquake early warning demonstration system for California, Early Warning for Geological Disasters, ed. F. Wenzel and J. Zschau, Springer-Verlag, Berlin, pp , doi: / _ Grotzinger, J., and T. H. Jordan (2014), Understanding Earth, 7 th edition, W. H. Freeman, New York, 650 pp Field, E. H., R. J. Arrowsmith, G. P. Biasi, P. Bird, T. E. Dawson, K. R. Felzer, D. D. Jackson, K. M. Johnson, T. H. Jordan, C. Madden, A. J. Michael, K. R. Milner, M. T. Page, T. Parsons, P. M. Powers, B. E. Shaw, W. R. Thatcher, R. J. Weldon, II, and Y. Zeng (2014), Uniform California earthquake rupture forecast, version 3 (UCERF3) The time-independent model, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 104, , doi: / [Also published in U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report , 96 p., California Geological Survey Special Report 228, and Southern California Earthquake Center Publication 1792, Jordan, T. H. (2014), The prediction problems of earthquake system science, Seismol. Res. Lett., 85, , doi: / Marzocchi, W., and T. H. Jordan (2014), Testing for ontological errors in probabilistic forecasts of natural systems, Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 111, , doi/ /pnas Jordan, T. H., W. Marzocchi, A. J. Michael and M. C. Gerstenberger (2014), Operational earthquake forecasting can enhance earthquake preparedness, Seismol. Res. Lett., 85, , doi: / Lee E.-J., P. Chen, T. H. Jordan, P. B. Maechling, M. A.M. Denolle and G. C. Beroza (2014), Full- 3D tomography for crustal structure in Southern California based on the scattering-integral and the adjoint-wavefield methods, J. Geophys. Res., 119, , doi: /2014jb Lee, E.-J., P. Chen, and T. H. Jordan (2014), Testing waveform predictions of 3D velocity models against two recent Los Angeles earthquakes, Seismol. Res. Lett., 85, , doi: / Rhoades, D. A., M. C. Gerstenberger, A. Christophersen, J. D. Zechar, D. Schorlemmer, M. J. Werner and T. H. Jordan (2014), Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models II: Information gains of multiplicative hybrids, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 104, , doi: / Dreger, D. S., and T. H. Jordan (2015), Introduction to the focus section on validation of the SCEC Broadband Platform V14.3 simulation methods, Seismol. Res. Lett., 86, 15-16, doi: / Maechling, P. J., F. Silva, S. Callaghan, and T. H. Jordan (2015), SCEC Broadband Platform: System architecture and software implementation, Seismol. Res. Lett., 86, 27-38, doi: / Dreger, D. S., G. C. Beroza, S. M. Day, C. A. Goulet, T. H. Jordan, P. A. Spudich, and J. P. Stewart (2015), Validation of the SCEC Broadband Platform V14.3 using pseudo spectral acceleration data and models, Seismol. Res. Lett., 86, 39-47, doi: / Shaw, J. H., A. Plesch, C. Tape, M. P. Suess. T. H. Jordan, G. Ely, E. Hauksson. J. Tromp, T. Tanimoto, R. Graves, K. Olsen, C. Nicholson, P. J. Maechling, C. Rivero, P. Lovely, C. M. Brankman, and J. Munster (2015), Unified Structural Representation of the southern California crust and upper mantle, Earth Planet. Sci. Lett., 415, 1-15, doi: /j.epsl Field, E. H., and T. H. Jordan (2015), Time-dependent renewal-model probabilities when date of last earthquake is unknown, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 105, doi: /

20 236. Field, E. H., G. P. Biasi, P. Bird, T. E. Dawson, K. R. Felzer, D. D. Jackson, K. M. Johnson, T. H. Jordan, C. Madden, A. J. Michael, K. R. Milner, M. T. Page, Y. Parsons, T., Powers, P.M., Shaw, B.E., Thatcher, W.R., Weldon, R.J., II, and Y. Zeng (2015), Long-term, time-dependent probabilities for UCERF3, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 105, , doi: / Jordan, T. H. (2015), An effective medium theory for three-dimensional elastic heterogeneities, Geophys. J. Int., 203, , doi: /gji/ggv Marzocchi, W., T. H. Jordan, and G. Woo (2015), Operational earthquake forecasting and decision making, Annals Geophys., 58, doi: /ag Field, E. H., T. H. Jordan, L. M. Jones, A. J. Michael, and M. L. Blanpied (2015). The potential uses of operational earthquake forecasting, Seismol. Res. Lett., in press Marzocchi, W., and T. H. Jordan (2015), Experimental concepts for testing earthquake forecasting and seismic hazard models, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., in preparation. 20