IMATU S WAGE NEGOTIATIONS 2015/2016 POSITION DOCUMENT

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "IMATU S WAGE NEGOTIATIONS 2015/2016 POSITION DOCUMENT"

Transcription

1 IMATU S WAGE NEGOTIATIONS 2015/2016 POSITION DOCUMENT 1. INTRODUCTION The purpose of this wage position document is to provide a basis for IMATU s wage demands submitted on 12 February IMATU regards it as a matter of principle that the value of wages and salaries must keep pace with inflation and that wage increases should reflect the impact of real inflation on the worker. The basis for our wage demands is informed by a number of factors, the most important of which is the rising cost of living. The normal standard for measuring increases in inflation is CPI. However, CPI does not always reflect the effects of real inflation on the average employee. In fact it is well known that inflation affects different people differently. For the average worker who spend the majority of their income on accommodation, food and transport, real inflation is much higher than official headline CPI figures. The weighting of key inflation drivers such as for example food 1 and transport in CPI is far too low which indicates that CPI very often reflects the spending patterns of the wealthy rather than the poor or middle class. Therefore, while CPI may be a good starting point, wage negotiations, in order to be realistic, must also have regard for the individual drivers of inflation which are often far higher than the official CPI figure. The Department of Labour s Annual Industrial Action Report 2 indicates that low wages, rising income inequalities and tough economic conditions have led analysts to predict difficult negotiations. We certainly share that sentiment insofar as it sets the background for this year s wage negotiations. 2. DISCUSSION AND MOTIVATION The motivations in support of our wage demands will focus of the following factors: The Consumer Price Index (CPI); Key inflation drivers; The socio economic context; Comparative wage settlements; and Affordability. These factors will be considered in turn. 1 2 Food has a weighting of 14.20% in CPI, whereas the poor and middle class often spend between 30-50% of their salary on food. Annual Industrial Action Report 2013 Page 3. 1

2 Consumer Price Index (CPI) Wage negotiations in the local government sector has always tracked the average CPI of the previous year (February to January). This is to ensure some predictability in budgeting for wage increases. Accordingly, the average CPI for the period February January 2015 would be the relevant figure applicable to the 2015/2016 wage negotiations. According to Statistics SA, the CPI for the period January 2014 December 2014 has averaged at 6% as can be seen as follows: CPI Figures: January 2014 January 2015 Rate Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec % 5.9% 6.0% 6.1% 6.6% 6.6% 6.3% 6.4% 5.9% 5.9% 5.8% 5.3% % % % % % % % % % % % % Average for % Average Feb 2014 Jan % CPI for the period February 2014 January 2015 has averaged at 5.9%. As can be seen from the above table CPI peaked during the period January 2014 to August During this period CPI escalated from 5.8% to 6.4% which is well outside the Reserve Bank s target range of 3-6%. The Reserve Bank has also estimated the CPI average figures for as follows: Year % 5.59% 5.39% 5.49% South Africa s major banks have indicated that their inflation forecasts for 2015 are as follows 3 : Bank 2015 ABSA 5.5% First National Bank 5.5% Nedbank 6.0% Standard Bank 5.8% Average 5.7% Key inflation drivers CPI only measures average inflation. As such, it does not always accurately reflect the real effects of inflation on the average person. Wage negotiations must therefore also have regard for the individual drivers of inflation which are often far higher than the official CPI figure. These inflation drivers include, but is not limited to, transport costs, food costs, medical aid costs, electricity costs, administered prices and the like. 3 Explanatory Memorandum Annual Remuneration Recommendation for Public Office Bearers GG Notice No January

3 Foreign Exchange The Rand/Dollar exchange rate has been volatile for some time and this has a major impact on inflation. The Rand is currently trading at around R11.62 to the US dollar 4, breaching the R11 to the USD mark for the first time in 5 years. Transport Costs According to the Automobile Association (AA), the price of unleaded fuel in has, for the period 1 January 2012 to October 2014, increased as follows: 2012 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Petrol 95 R10.61 R10.95 R11.23 R11.94 R12.22 R11.67 Increase +0.34c +0.28c +0.71c +0.28c -0.55c 2012 Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Petrol 95 R10.82 R11.04 R11.97 R12.20 R12.10 R12.01 Increase -0.85c +0.22c +0.93c +0.23c -0.10c -0.09c Total Increases +R2.99 % Increases 28% 2013 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Petrol 95 R11.82 R12.27 R13.08 R13.20 R12.47 R12.39 Increase -0.19c +0.45c +0.81c +0.12c -0.73c -0.08c 2013 Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Petrol 95 R13.23 R13.55 R13.50 R13.30 R13.02 R13.19 Increase +0.84c +0.32c -0.05c -0.20c -0.28c +0.17c Total Increases +R2.71 % Increases 23% 2014 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Petrol 95 R13.57 R13.96 R14.32 R14.39 R14.24 R14.02 Increase +0.38c +0.39c +0.36c +0.07c -0.15c -0.22c 2014 Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Petrol 95 R14.33 R14.33 R13.66 R13.61 R13.16 R12.47 Increase +0.31c c -0.05c -45c -69c Total Increases +R1.51 % Increases 11% 2015 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Petrol 95 R11.24 R10.31 R12.07 R R R Increase -R c R1.76 Total Increases +R1.76 As can be seen from the above tables, the price of fuel has increased by around R3.00 per litre since 2012 and it reached an all-time high of R14.33 per litre in July As from this week, the fuel price will be at R12.07 per litre up from R10.61 in This equates to total increases of 62% since Fuel prices fell substantially towards the end of 2014 and the beginning of However, international crude oil prices are again steadily rising. 4 This figure changes on a daily basis. 3

4 Brent crude oil increased from a low $46.60 per barrel to a current $61.58 which represents an increase of 32% in less than 2 months. In addition to these already high increases in the price of crude oil: The General Fuel Levy will increase this year by 30.5c to R2.43 per litre. The RAF Fuel Levy will increase by 50 cents to R1.46 per litre. The cost of railway travel has also increased significantly. Metrorail increased its train fares in July 2014 by 50c for single tickets, R1 for return tickets, R3 - R7 for weekly tickets and by R7 - R30 for monthly tickets. The Gautrain service has also announced an increase its ticket prices in for 2014 of between 5% and 9% depending on the type of ticket purchased and Gautrain daily parking fees have increased by R3 from R15 to R18. In addition to these already high fuel and rail ticket price increases: ACSA increased airport taxes by 5.6% for However, this comes on the back of an increase of 5.5% in 2013 and a massive 30.6% increase in E-tolls introduced in the Gauteng Province have significantly increased the cost of private travel and travel between work and home. A recent report from the e-toll panel commissioned by the Gauteng Provincial Government found that the current e-toll system is unaffordable and inequitable, that low and middle income earners are carrying the most of funding burden and that province s poor have been hit the hardest. Despite these findings, the provincial government has stated that e-tolls are here to stay. Medical Aid Costs Increases in medical aid premiums payable to SALGBC accredited medical schemes since 2012 have been as follows: Medical Scheme Increase % Bonitas 8.4% 9.9% 10.6% 7.2% Keyhealth 12.3% 9.5% 8.9% 7.5% LA Health 8.9% 9.9% 8.9% 6.6% Hosmed 9.6% 7.2% 9.1% 8.7% Samwumed 8.0% 10.3% 12.8% 9% Average 9.44% 9.36% 10.06% 7.8% As can be seen from the above table, medical aid premiums for local government employees have consistently increased at above inflation rates over the last three years with a particular upward trend shown in In 2014, medical aid premiums for local government employees increased by an 4

5 average of 10.06% which is nearly 4% in excess of the estimated CPI for The average increase in medical aid premiums for 2015 is 7.8% which is also in excess of inflation (3.4% in excess of current inflation for 2015). The lowest premium increase is 6.6% and the highest increase is 9%. Electricity Costs NERSA 5 approved tariff hike of 12.69% for 2015 with effect from 1 July 2015 which is nearly three times the current rate of inflation. Annual electricity hikes since 2012 have been as follows: Year % Increase 16% 8.4% 8% 12.69% As can be seen from the above table, all electricity increases since 2012 have generally exceeded the rate of inflation. By mid-2015, electricity prices will have increased by 45.09% since In addition, municipalities are allowed to add an additional percentage over and above the increases granted to ESKOM. NERSA has provided a guideline maximum of 7.39% which municipalities may implement over and above the increases implemented by ESKOM. However, NERSA approved increases higher than the guideline maximum for 13 municipalities in 2014 ranging from 8% to 15% 6. Food Costs Food prices remain a major source of inflation pressure with increases still in excess of the headline inflation rates and seeming with no relief in sight. The average food inflation for 2014 was at its highest level since According the LRS 7 Inflation Monitor, increases in food inflation, since 2012, have been as follows: Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ave % 10.1% 8.9% 9.1% 6.89% 6.0% 5.4% 5.1% 6.1% 6.7% 7.5% 7.0% 7.4% % 6.3% 5.9% 6.3% 6.4% 7.0% 7.1% 7.4% 6.0% 4.2% 3.7% 3.5% 5.8% % 5.6% 7.2% 8.2% 9.1% 9.2% 9.0% 9.5% 8.7% 8.0% 7.7% 7.4% 7.8% % Weighting in CPI 14.20% National Energy Regulator. NERSA News Vol IX Ed II 2014, Page 7. Labour Research Service ( 5

6 As can be seen from the above table, food inflation stands at an average of 7.8% for It started in the first quarter of 2014 at a fairly low level but surged significantly in the third quarter. This is mainly due to higher fuel prices, the weakening exchange rate, a lack of competition amongst retailers and weather factors. The National Agricultural Marketing Council 8 (a state owned enterprise) illustrates the impact of food inflation on consumers using the cost of a basic food basket based on monthly average food price data for the period July 2013 to July From July 2013 to July 2014 the cost of this basic food basket increased by about R37 (+8.0%) in nominal terms from R456 to R493. The cost of this food basket expressed as a share of the average monthly income of the poorest 30% of the population increased from 42.6% in July 2013 to 46% 9 in July 2014 during this period. The cost of the food basket expressed as a share of the average monthly income of the wealthiest 30% of the population increased from 1.7% to 1.8%. South Africa s food inflation is also fairly high compared to other countries. International food inflation of selected countries, for the period April 2013 to April 2014, is as follows: International Food Inflation Selected Countries (April 2013 April 2014) Country Average Food Inflation (%) South Africa 7.8% Botswana 3.2% Zambia 7.8% Turkey 13.2% Namibia 8.8% United States 1.9% United Kingdom 0.5% Brazil 6.3% Russia 8.7% India 9.7% China 2.3% Housing and Utilities Housing and utility costs include mortgage costs, insurance, water, property taxes. According the LRS Inflation Monitor, increases in housing and utility costs since 2012 have been as follows: Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ave % 6.6% 6.6% 6.7% 6.7% 6.4% 5.7% 5.8% 5.9% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.2% % 5.9% 5.9% 5.8% 5.8% 5.8% 5.5% 5.4% 5.4% 5.3% 5.3% 5.5% 5.6% % 5.5% 5.6% 5.7% 5.7% 5.8% 5.9% 5.9% 5.8% 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 5.7% Weighting in CPI 24.52% 8 9 National Agricultural Marketing Council Food Price Monitor August In other words the poorest 30% of the population currently spend 46% of their income on food. 6

7 Most municipalities introduce new water and property tax assessment tariffs in July each year but these increases are largely unregulated. Water and assessment rates increased by an average of 9.2% and 7.2% respectively, which is well above the average CPI. This represents an average increase of 8.2% for Administered Prices (Excluding Fuel Prices) Administered prices are those prices which are determined or influenced by government. These include school fees, telephone fees, electricity, cell calls and public transport. Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ave % 11.7% 11.2% 11.6% 11.4% 10.1% 7.5% 8.0% 9.8% 9.5% 8.7% 8.8% 9.9% % 8.9% 10.6% 8.9% 6.3% 7.5% 11.1% 11.1% 8.9% 7.8% 7.3% 7.8% 8.7% % 9.1% 7.6% 7.4% 8.9% 8.6% 7.0% 6.2% 4.7% 5.1% 4.8% 2.6% 6.5% As can be seen from the above table, inflation on administered prices have exceeded the rate of general inflation for every year since 2012 and averaged at a rate of 6.5% at the third quarter of The key drivers of administered price inflation remain the high cost of fuel and electricity price increases. Interest Rates The repo rate was increased by 50 basis points in January 2014 and by 0.25 basis points in July 2014 thus bringing the prime lending rate to 9.25%, up from 8.5% at the start of No adjustments have so far been made for Inflation has come back within the Reserve Bank s target band of 3-6% 10 but only just. According Investec economists 11, increases in the prime lending rate over the next three years are estimated to be as follows: Year Prime Lending Rate % 9.75% 10% 10.5% As can be seen from the above projections, the cost of borrowing is clearly on an upward trend. Such further increases in borrowing costs are expected to put already strained household disposable incomes under severe pressure over the next three years Inflation is currently averaging at 6.17%. Investec Monetary Policy Update September

8 Socio- Economic Context According to Minister of Finance 12, while the global economic outlook remains unsteady, South Africa s economy continues to grow, with a projected average growth rate of 2% this year. South African economic growth, since 2012, has been as follows: Year 1 st Quarter 2 nd Quarter 3 rd Quarter 4 th Quarter Average % 2.4% 2.6% 1.3% 2.5% % 0.8% 3.2% 0.7% 1.7% % -0.6% 0.6% 4.1% 1.9% It is important to note that the economy is not in a recession. The Reserve Bank Governor has also confirmed that the country is not at risk of a recession in the medium term. The Minister of Finance 13 expects economic growth to improve significantly in the short term and has predicted that the pattern of economic growth for the period years will be as follows: Year Economic Growth % 2% 2.4% 3% Continued economic growth such as outlined above means that government will have a larger tax base from which to collect revenues over the next three years. South Africa s budget deficit has also declined from 5.2% in 2013 to 4% of GDP in The Minister of Finance predict that the budget deficit would be cut to 3.9% in 2015/2016 and 2.5% in 2016/2017. Despite steady economic growth, the average South African s disposable income is declining as consumers battle higher high debt levels and increases to administered prices. Household debt remains high and consumers have been struggling to repay debt as rising inflation and administered prices reduce their buying power. Household debt to disposable income has risen to 75.8% this year, indicating that a large portion of disposable income still goes to servicing debt 14. Last year s credit data from the National Credit Regulator showed that almost half (48%) of credit active consumers had impaired credit records Budget Speech delivered on 26 February Minister of Finance 2015 Budget Speech 25 February FNB Household Consumer Debt Service Risk Index September

9 Rising prices coupled with increased borrowing costs are expected to put disposable incomes under pressure in the coming months. BanksServ s BDSI 15 indicates that real salary increases are becoming constrained and that the average South African s salary has declined for the first time since January The Reserve Bank also confirmed that consumption expenditure by households is expected to remain constrained in the face of continued weakness in credit extension, rising inflation and high consumer indebtedness 16. Moreover, it is well known that SARS has, over the past two years, squeezed taxpayers with a fiscal creep 17 by lifting tax thresholds by less than inflation thus bringing more taxpayers into the top margin tax bracket, effectively grabbing a larger share of their previous years salary increases. This has been going on for at least the last 2 years. In 2013 tax brackets were adjusted by 3.5% on average while the average CPI for that year was 5.7% and in 2014 tax brackets were adjusted by 5.4% on average, while the average CPI for that year was 6.1%. This so-called bracket creep resulted in decreased disposable income for employees who have gotten considerably poorer in real terms over the last two years despite receiving inflation linked salary increases. IMATU has in fact formally requested the Minister of Finance to abolish the practice. This year, the tax brackets will be raised by 4.2% which is about 0.2% less than current CPI. In addition, the Minister of Finance 18 recently announced an increase in personal income tax of 1%, amounting to R17 billion, thus raising taxes for the first time in 25 years as national government seeks to raise an additional R44 billion in taxes over the next three years. The latest figures released by SARS indicate that national government raked in around R900 billion in taxes in 2014 which represent an increase of 10% from the previous year. This is while inflation is currently averaging at 6%. Thus effectively the national government has earned an income 4% higher than inflation from taxpayers largely through the bracket creep. In nominal terms, the taxman has squeezed more than R 33 billion extra from individuals. Over the past year, personal income tax represented 34.5% of overall tax collection (up from 34% the previous year) while corporate tax has been steadily declining. Effectively, it is workers and not employers who are carrying more and more of the tax burden each year. Poverty levels also remain high with the number of people eligible for social assistance grants to reach 16.5 million by the 2016/2017 financial year. South Africa remains one of the most unequal societies in the world with a significant increase in income inequality resulting in the widest gap between the rich and the poor BankServAfrica Disposable Salary Index (in partnership with Mike Schussler) - 26 September Reserve Bank 2014 Economic Outlook Document 22 May Aka a bracket creep. The process whereby inflation pushes nominal wages and salaries into higher tax brackets. Minister of Finance 2015 Budget Speech 25 February

10 Wage Settlements According to the most recent Andrew Levy Wage Settlements Survey 19, the average level of settlements of wage negotiations in centralised bargaining councils has been as follows: Sector Analysis: 1 January 2014 to 31 December 2014 Industry Increase Public Sector 6.5% Food / Agriculture 6.7% Health / Education 7.2% Communication 7.4% Other 7.5% Retail / Catering 7.8% Municipal / Utility 7.9% Transport / Freight 7.9% Food / Manufacturing 8.1% Chemical 8.2% Metal / Engineering 8.3% Paper / Printing 8.5% Building / Construction 9.0% Finance 9.0% Mining 10.3% Average Settlement Rate 8.0% As can be seen from the above table, the average settlement rate in all centralised bargaining councils for 2014 stands at 8%. The highest settlement rate is 10.3% in the Mining Sector and the lowest settlement rate was 6.5% in Public Sector. Distribution of Settlements: 2014 Andrew Levy 20 has also calculated the percentages of the range of settlements reached as follows: Settlement Percentage 5% to 5.9% 3.3% 6% to 6.9% 10.0% 7% to 7.9% 26.7% 8% to 8.9% 35.0% 9% to 9.9% 16.7% 10% to 10.9% 8.3% The majority of settlements (61%) were negotiated in the region of 8% and above. Around 39% of wage agreements fell within the 5% to 7.9% range. The average settlement rate of 8% constituted 36.6% of wage agreements Wage Settlements Survey Quarterly Report December Wage Settlements Survey Quarterly Report December

11 Average Settlement Rates versus Local Government Wage Increases According to Andrew Levy s Wage Settlements Survey 21, the average rate of wage increases in other sectors as compared to the rate of wage increases for Local Government since 2009 has been as follows: Year Average wage increase in all 9.3% 8.2% 7.7% 7.6% 7.9% 8.0% sectors. Local Government 6.84% 13% 8.48% 6.8% 6.5% wage increase +0.5% 6.79% Difference +3.7% +0.28% -0.9% -1.1% -0.56% -1.21% This can be further represented as follows: All Sectors Local Government As can be seen from the above tables, local government wage increases exceeded the national average for 2009 and However, for the period 2011 to 2014, wage increases in the local government sector fell below the national average. As seen from above, local government has in fact gone through a period of 4 years of wage restraint. Wage increases have consistently fallen short of the national average by 1.1% in 2012, 0.56% in 2013 and 1.21% in This represents an overall shortfall of 2.87% compared to other sectors. Minimum Wage The current minimum wage in the local government sector is R IMATU has filed a minimum wage demand of R Wage Settlements Survey Quarterly Report June Salary and Wage Collective Agreement dated 27 July

12 The ILO recommends that an acceptable gap between the lowest and highest earner should be at a ratio of 1:12. All the parties to the SALGBC have always accepted this standard. Even in the last round of wage curve negotiations, this was the accepted standard. As will be shown below, municipal managers in metropolitan municipalities are generally earning a monthly salary of between R2.3m to R3.2m which represents a wage gap ratio of around 1:20 to 1:28 between the lowest and highest earner in local government. IMATU s minimum wage demand intends to address this unacceptably large wage gap in local government. Housing Allowance The current home owner s allowance in the local government sector is R522 and is available only to employees who own houses. IMATU has filed a housing allowance demand of a flat rate of R to be extended to all employees. The home owner s allowance, introduced in the sector in the early 80 s has had little in the way of adjustments. The maximum bond on which the housing allowance formula is based was adjusted only once during the salary and wage agreement to a maximum bond of R Other than this adjustment, it has for the most part, stagnated since the early 80 s. When the housing allowance was originally introduced, the intention was that it should cover a significant amount (close to 50%) of an employee mortgage bond payments. An employee who owned a modest three bedroom house during the 80 s could expect to pay around R per month to service a mortgage bond and the housing allowance covered nearly 50% of that. Today an employee owning the same modest three bedroom house can expect to pay around R to R per month while getting a housing allowance which covers around 4.5% of mortgage bond payments. The current housing allowance, due to it having stagnated for so long has not kept pace with the housing market and rising cost of living. The home owners allowance has also fallen behind with other sectors. The public service housing allowance is currently at a flat rate of R and is extended to all employees whether, they own or rent a house. Public sector unions have filed a housing allowance demand of R during this year s wage negotiations. Housing allowances in SOE s such as ESKOM are already at over R per month. These allowances are far more realistic in the current housing market. IMATU believes that there is no justification for making a distinction between employees who rent homes and employees who own homes. The allowance should be payable to all employees whether or not they own a home as it is done in the public sector. For many employees, the high cost of owning a home and more stringent lending conditions makes housing ownership simply out of reach. According to a recent study in the public sector, only 28% of 12

13 employees own homes. This figure is possibly far lower in the local government sector as the housing allowance is only 50% of what is paid in the public sector. Therefore, we demand that a housing allowance be extended to all employees. Increases in house prices is not a parameter in the SALGBC formula on which the home owners allowance is based. It is instead crucially dependent on the interest rate which increases or decreases the allowance as the interest rate goes up or down. IMATU demands that the formula be replaced by a flat rate system which increases annually at the same rate as the across the board salary and wage increase in order to keep up with annual increases in the cost of housing. Affordability On 29 August 2014, National Treasury released the 2014 Local Government Revenue and Expenditure Report (LGRER) which sets out the financial statements of municipalities on a consolidated basis. The Auditor General also released its Consolidated General Report on the Audit Outcomes of Local Government on 30 July A number of newspapers also reported on the general state of finances in Local Government. From these reports and other sources, the following information can be extrapolated. Municipal Budget for 2015 and 2016 wage increases Municipalities have been advised by National Treasury to budget for salary increases as follows 23 : Financial Year Budgeted Wage Increase Rationale 2015/ % 5.4% (estimated CPI) + 1% 2016/ % 5.4% (estimated CPI) + 1% Moreover, the President recently approved salary increase for political office bearers in municipalities of 5% for those earning more than R p/a and 6% for those earning less than R p/a. Consolidated Municipal Surpluses Municipalities are not profit driven entities like private sector employers. However, municipalities do make surpluses, i.e. amounts left over from operating revenues after all expenditures have been paid. According to the LGRER, municipalities have shown a combined aggregated surplus of over R1 billion as at 30 June This amount is derived at by utilising the information in the LGRER as follows: 23 National Treasury: Municipal Budget Circular for the 2014/15 MTREF 4 December 2013, Page

14 Item Amount 24 Aggregated Revenue R (Less) Aggregated Expenditure - R Total Surplus R This combined municipal surplus represent the primary financial resource which can serve to fund legitimate wage increases in the next financial year. Uncollected Revenue According to the LGRER, municipalities are owed a combined debt of around R94 billion for the 2013/2014 financial year. This is represented in the debtors age analysis by customer group as follows: Debtors Age Analysis by Customer Group Amount 25 % Organs of State % Commercial % Households % Other % Total % As can be seen from the above, by far the largest percentage of uncollected revenue are owed by households. The LGRER, however, correctly points out that a contributing factor to the underperformance of debt collections in this area include reduced affordability of municipal services by poor households. However, there seems to be little excuse for municipalities failing to collect outstanding revenue from organs of state (provincial, national government and SOE s) and commercial entities (private businesses). The Auditor s Report 26 has revealed that municipalities often not only have ineffective controls and processes to determine who owes money to them and bill debtors correctly, but there is also a general reluctance to hand over long outstanding debts for collection and politicians do not provide the political backing for revenue enhancement and collection. Moreover, residents increasingly refuse to pay for services which they consider inadequate. These municipal debt figures represent potential revenue that can be collected by municipalities, and serve to fund legitimate wage increases, if the performance of debt collecting departments and/or agencies are improved. Wasted and Fruitless Expenditure According to the Auditor General s Report 27, municipalities racked up a combined figure of R21.61 billion spent on unauthorised, irregular, fruitless and wasteful expenditure. This is up from R billion in the previous financial year. This figure consists of the following: Amount in R thousands. Amount in R thousands. Section 3.5 Financial Health Page 71. Section Compliance with Legislation Page

15 Item Amount Previous Financial Year Unauthorised spending R9.195 bn R10.11 bn Irregular, fruitless & wasteful expenditure R11.6 bn R9.232 bn The irregular, fruitless and wasteful expenditure figure includes R8 billion spent on good and services that did not follow proper procurement processes as well as R3.6 billion that did not have supporting documentation and could not therefore be verified. These figures represent further potential revenue that can serve to fund legitimate wage increases if proper financial management practices are put in place and adhered to and if such losses are recovered. Expenditure on Consultants The Auditor General s Report 28 highlights that municipalities have spent a combined amount of R734 million on consultants which were used primarily in the area of financial reporting and HR - related matters. The Auditor General s Report further highlights that a lack of skills remain the most common reason for the continued use of consultants at enormous costs. Ironically, despite increased use of consultants in financial reporting, only 30 municipalities received clean audits in the last financial year. In a recent Municipal Budget Circular 29 issued by National Treasury, it was stated that municipalities still continue to make excessive use of consultants in daily operations. Moreover, due to the fact that there are no standardised tariffs and rates for these services, municipalities are charged exorbitant rates for such services. The figure spent on consultants represent further potential revenue that can serve to fund legitimate wage increases if the skills problem in the sector is adequately addressed. Non- Priority Spending The Municipal Budget Circular 30 further stated that although National Treasury continually advises municipalities to eliminate non-priority spending, the advice has gone unheeded. According to the circular, municipalities continue to excessively sponsor music festivals and art festivals. Municipal Wage Bill as a Percentage of Total Expenditure According to the LGRER, municipal spending on wages and salaries for municipal staff and for the 2013/2014 financial year is currently at 24.46% of national aggregated expenditure. This figure is derived at by utilising the information in the LGRER as follows: 28 Section Effective use of Consultants Page Municipal Budget Circular for the 2015/2016 MTREF, Page Page

16 Item Figure 31 Salaries and Wage Expenditure R Aggregated Expenditure R Wage Bill as a percentage of expenditure 24.46% As can be seen from the above table, the wage bill in local government do not currently exceed 30% of aggregated expenditure. If a wage increase of 15% is implemented, the results would be as follows: 33 Wage Increase Item Amount (15%) Local Government Wage Bill R R Aggregated Expenditure R R Wage Bill as a percentage of expenditure 24.46% 28.13% Therefore, as can be seen from the above, a wage increase of 15% would increase the wage bill to 28.13% of aggregated national expenditure. This will not have the net effect of the wage bill exceeding 30% of aggregated national expenditure. Executive Remuneration In Local Government, executive pay continues to be excessive and is leading to an ever increasing wage gap. Some recent examples, from 2014 newspaper reports, financial statements, annual reports and treasury information, include the following 34 : The City of Johannesburg s MM earns R3.2 million p/a despite the fact that the City is yet to receive a clean audit; Tshwane Municipality s MM earns R3.05 million p/a despite the fact that the City failed to receive a clean audit; ethekwini Municipality s MM earns R2.75 million p/a despite the fact that the City is yet to receive a clean audit; City of Cape Town s MM earns R2.3 million p/a; and Buffalo City Municipality s MM earns R1.82 million p/a despite the fact that the City is yet to receive a clean audit; Nelson Mandela Bay Municipality s MM earns R1.66 million p/a despite the fact that the City is yet to receive a clean audit; Despite being cash strapped for years and service delivery paralysed, Gariep Local Municipality s MM earns R1.38 million p/a Amount in R thousands. This figure also include inflated salaries paid to municipal managers and executive directors. Amount in R thousands. These figures do not include performance bonuses. 16

17 Early in 2014 COGTA issued regulations which determine the upper limits for executive remuneration in Local Government 35. The upper limit for a municipal manager at the smallest municipality in the sector has been set at R while upper limit for a metropolitan municipality is R2.8 million. This means that despite the introduction of upper limits, municipal managers will continue to earn more than the President, Cabinet Ministers and the Chief Justice of the Constitutional Court. 36 It must be noted that SALGA is on record as opposing the Minister s attempts to cap executive remuneration in local government 37. Summary In summary therefore it is submitted that the following factors establish that our wage demand is affordable: Sufficient surpluses to cover a reasonable wage increase; Wage bill still within reasonable range; Change in spending priorities; Curbing corruption, wasteful expenditure and excessive reliance on consultants; and Collecting revenue owed by national, provincial government and commercial enterprises. Notwithstanding the financial information set out above, it is expected that SALGA will once again plead poverty at the next round of wage negotiations, and ordinary workers will be expected to make sacrifices. Productivity IMATU has been working closely with the Department of Cooperative Governance and Traditional Affairs (COGTA) as well as the Department of Public Service and Administration (DPSA) to address issues of productivity in the local government sector. IMATU s has cooperated fully with the DPSA in its development of the Public Administration Management Act as well as with COGTA in its development of Municipal Staff Regulations, both of which aims to set new norms, standards and ethics for local government service delivery to the public and rooting out corruption. Moreover, IMATU is addressing our members, on a continuous basis, on the importance of maintaining a strong work ethic. 35 The upper limits do not apply to existing contracts. 36 The President currently earns R2.66m p/a. The Deputy President earns R 2.47m. The Chief Justice of the Constitutional Court earns R2.47m p/a and National Government Ministers earn around R2m p/a. 37 SALGA takes issue with draft regulations. Local Government Bulletin Vol. 14 (2) June 2012 Page

18 Duration of the agreement According to Andrew Levy s Wage Settlement Survey of December , the majority (70%) of wage agreements concluded in 2014 were single year agreements, 19% for 2 years and 11% for three years. The general trend is therefore moving away from multi-year agreements in favour of single year agreements. Our wage demand for a single year agreement clearly falls within the current norm across all industries Average trade union opening demands According to Andrew Levy s Wage Settlement Survey 39 initial union wage demands across all sectors for 2014 ranged from 8.5% to 21% and averaged at 15.2%. This compares to an average of 15% in September Therefore, the average trend amongst all sector trade unions, for the last two years, has been to enter wage negotiations with an opening demand of around 15% BASED ON THE INFORMATION SET OUT HEREIN, IMATU DEMANDS THE FOLLOWING: (a) Salary Increase An across the board increase of 15% or R , whichever is the greater. (b) Minimum Wage A Local Government Minimum Wage of R (c) Benefits and Conditions of Service All benefits and conditions of service to increase by the same rate as the across the board salary increase. (d) Housing Allowance An increase in the current Home Owners Allowance to a flat rate amount of R The Home Owners allowance to be changed to a Housing Allowance extended to employees who own houses as well as 38 Page Wage Settlements Survey Quarterly Report September All Public Service trade unions also tabled a joint opening wage demand of 15%. 18

19 those who rent houses. This allowance must increase by the same percentage as the annual salary increase with effect from 1 July every year. (e) Term of the agreement A single term agreement with effect from 1 July 2015 until 30 June It is submitted that given the above information, IMATU s wage demands for the 2015/2016 financial year are not only reasonable and legitimate but is also affordable as the sector clearly has sufficient financial resources to fund legitimate wage increases. -End- 19

20 Wage Negotiations 2015/2016 Bibliography 2014 Budget Speech delivered on 26 February Medium Term Budget Policy Statement 22 October BankServAfrica Disposable Salary Index (in partnership with Mike Schussler) - 26 September FNB Household Consumer Debt Service Risk Index September Government Gazette Notice No of 6 June Investec Monetary Policy Update September Labour Research Service ( LRS Collective Bargaining Indicators Volume 14, November National Agricultural Marketing Council Food Price Monitor April National Agricultural Marketing Council Food Price Monitor August National Energy Regulator. National Treasury: Municipal Budget Circular for the 2014/15 MTREF 4 December 2013, page 16. Reserve Bank 2014 Economic Outlook Document 22 May Salary and Wage Collective Agreement dated 27 July Section Compliance with Legislation Page Section Effective use of Consultants Page Section 3.5 Financial Health Page 71. Wage Settlements Survey Quarterly Report June Wage Settlements Survey Quarterly Report September

Project LINK Meeting New York, 20-22 October 2010. Country Report: Australia

Project LINK Meeting New York, 20-22 October 2010. Country Report: Australia Project LINK Meeting New York, - October 1 Country Report: Australia Prepared by Peter Brain: National Institute of Economic and Industry Research, and Duncan Ironmonger: Department of Economics, University

More information

Q&A on tax relief for individuals & families

Q&A on tax relief for individuals & families Q&A on tax relief for individuals & families A. Tax cuts individuals What are the new tax rates? The table below shows the new tax rates being rolled out from 1 October 2008, 1 April 2010 and 1 April 2011,

More information

South African Reserve Bank. Statement of the Monetary Policy Committee. Issued by Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank

South African Reserve Bank. Statement of the Monetary Policy Committee. Issued by Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank South African Reserve Bank PRESS STATEMENT EMBARGO DELIVERY 17 March 2016 Statement of the Monetary Policy Committee Issued by Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank Since the previous

More information

Recent Developments and Outlook for the Mexican Economy Credit Suisse, 2016 Macro Conference April 19, 2016

Recent Developments and Outlook for the Mexican Economy Credit Suisse, 2016 Macro Conference April 19, 2016 Credit Suisse, Macro Conference April 19, Outline 1 Inflation and Monetary Policy 2 Recent Developments and Outlook for the Mexican Economy 3 Final Remarks 2 In line with its constitutional mandate, the

More information

percentage points to the overall CPI outcome. Goods price inflation increased to 4,6

percentage points to the overall CPI outcome. Goods price inflation increased to 4,6 South African Reserve Bank Press Statement Embargo on Delivery 28 January 2016 Statement of the Monetary Policy Committee Issued by Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank Since the

More information

Economic Outlook: Middle-Class Families Find Little Relief from Stagnant Wages and Rising Prices

Economic Outlook: Middle-Class Families Find Little Relief from Stagnant Wages and Rising Prices Economic Outlook: Middle-Class Families Find Little Relief from Stagnant Wages and Rising Prices The first half of 2005 was hard on middle-class families. As wage and employment growth trends remain at

More information

The sceptical optimist: Mike Schussler Economists.co.za. www.economists.co.za 1

The sceptical optimist: Mike Schussler Economists.co.za. www.economists.co.za 1 The sceptical optimist: Mike Schussler Economists.co.za www.economists.co.za 1 A short History and context. The employee losses in the current platinum strike. Entry level Average Other losses from the

More information

A PLAN FOR A DEBT-FREE ALBERTA

A PLAN FOR A DEBT-FREE ALBERTA A PLAN FOR A DEBT-FREE ALBERTA Table of Contents Step 1 - Eliminating the Annual Deficit... 139 Step 2 - Eliminating the Net Debt... 139 Step 3 - Creating a Debt-Free Alberta... 142 Repaying Accumulated

More information

Consumer Price Developments in December 2015

Consumer Price Developments in December 2015 sdzkl1;yah Consumer Price Developments in December 2015 CPI-All Items inflation came in at -0.6% year-on-year (y-o-y) in December CPI-All Items inflation came in at -0.6% in December, compared to -0.8%

More information

South African Reserve Bank. Statement of the Monetary Policy Committee. Issued by Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank

South African Reserve Bank. Statement of the Monetary Policy Committee. Issued by Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank South African Reserve Bank Press Statement Embargo Delivery 19 May 2016 Statement of the Monetary Policy Committee Issued by Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank South Africa s

More information

Monetary Policy Outlook in a Negative Rates Environment Mr. Javier Guzmán Calafell, Deputy Governor, Banco de México J.P. Morgan Investor Seminar

Monetary Policy Outlook in a Negative Rates Environment Mr. Javier Guzmán Calafell, Deputy Governor, Banco de México J.P. Morgan Investor Seminar Mr. Javier Guzmán Calafell, Deputy Governor, Banco de México J.P. Morgan Investor Seminar Washington, DC, 15 April 2016 Outline 1 External Conditions 2 Macroeconomic Policy in Mexico 3 Evolution and Outlook

More information

Debt Market Outlook - 2015

Debt Market Outlook - 2015 Debt Market Outlook - 2015 DEBT MARKET PERFORMANCE IN 2014 The Indian bond market saw a sharp rally in H2 of CY 14, inspite of absence of rate cuts. The bond market rallied due to the following factors.

More information

Ghana's Economic Performance 2010

Ghana's Economic Performance 2010 GHANA STATISTICAL SERVICE (GSS) Statistics for Development and Progress Ghana's Economic Performance 21 i n f i g u r e s P.O. Box GP 198, Accra www. statsghana.gov.gh 211 Ghana's Economic Performance

More information

Example of a diesel fuel hedge using recent historical prices

Example of a diesel fuel hedge using recent historical prices Example of a diesel fuel hedge using recent historical prices Firm A expects to consume 5,, litres of diesel fuel over the next 12 months. Fuel represents a large expense for the firm, and volatile prices

More information

CREDIT UNION TRENDS REPORT

CREDIT UNION TRENDS REPORT CREDIT UNION TRENDS REPORT CUNA Mutual Group Economics May 216 (March 216 Data) Highlights During March, credit unions picked-up 577, in new memberships, loan and savings balances grew at a % and 7.6%

More information

COMPARISON OF FIXED & VARIABLE RATES (25 YEARS) CHARTERED BANK ADMINISTERED INTEREST RATES - PRIME BUSINESS*

COMPARISON OF FIXED & VARIABLE RATES (25 YEARS) CHARTERED BANK ADMINISTERED INTEREST RATES - PRIME BUSINESS* COMPARISON OF FIXED & VARIABLE RATES (25 YEARS) 2 Fixed Rates Variable Rates FIXED RATES OF THE PAST 25 YEARS AVERAGE RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE LENDING RATE - 5 YEAR* (Per cent) Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

More information

COMPARISON OF FIXED & VARIABLE RATES (25 YEARS) CHARTERED BANK ADMINISTERED INTEREST RATES - PRIME BUSINESS*

COMPARISON OF FIXED & VARIABLE RATES (25 YEARS) CHARTERED BANK ADMINISTERED INTEREST RATES - PRIME BUSINESS* COMPARISON OF FIXED & VARIABLE RATES (25 YEARS) 2 Fixed Rates Variable Rates FIXED RATES OF THE PAST 25 YEARS AVERAGE RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE LENDING RATE - 5 YEAR* (Per cent) Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

More information

Consumer prices and the money supply

Consumer prices and the money supply Consumer prices and the money supply Annual rise. Per cent. -year moving average Money supply Consumer prices - - 9 9 9 96 98 Sources: Statistics Norway and Norges Bank JB Terra Kapitalmarkedsdager, Gardermoen.

More information

CREDIT UNION TRENDS REPORT

CREDIT UNION TRENDS REPORT CREDIT UNION TRENDS REPORT CUNA Mutual Group Economics May 215 (March 215 data) Highlights During March, credit unions picked up 496, new memberships, credit union loan balances grew at an annualized pace,

More information

Monetary Policy and Mortgage Interest rates

Monetary Policy and Mortgage Interest rates Monetary Policy and Mortgage Interest rates July 2014 Key Points: Monetary policy, which operates through changes in the official cash rate (OCR), is the main lever of macroeconomic management in Australia

More information

X. INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT 1/

X. INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT 1/ 1/ X. INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT 1/ 10.1 Overview of World Economy Latest indicators are increasingly suggesting that the significant contraction in economic activity has come to an end, notably

More information

Small Business Lending *

Small Business Lending * Reserve Small Business Bank of Lending Australia Bulletin Small Business Lending * These notes were prepared in response to a request from the House of Representatives Standing Committee on Financial Institutions

More information

Insurance Insights. When markets hit motorists. How international financial markets impact Compulsory Third Party insurance

Insurance Insights. When markets hit motorists. How international financial markets impact Compulsory Third Party insurance Insurance Insights When markets hit motorists How international financial markets impact Compulsory Third Party insurance August 2012 Chris McHugh Executive General Manager Statutory Portfolio Commercial

More information

Consumer Price Developments in January 2016

Consumer Price Developments in January 2016 sdzkl1;yah Consumer Price Developments in January 2016 CPI-All Items inflation came in at -0.6% year-on-year (y-o-y) in January CPI-All Items inflation was -0.6% in January, unchanged from that in December.

More information

WITH-PROFIT ANNUITIES

WITH-PROFIT ANNUITIES WITH-PROFIT ANNUITIES BONUS DECLARATION 2014 Contents 1. INTRODUCTION 3 2. SUMMARY OF BONUS DECLARATION 3 3. ECONOMIC OVERVIEW 5 4. WITH-PROFIT ANNUITY OVERVIEW 7 5. INVESTMENTS 9 6. EXPECTED LONG-TERM

More information

Chapter 3 Demand and production

Chapter 3 Demand and production Chapter 3 Demand and production 3.1 Goods consumption index 1995=1. Seasonally adjusted volume 4 2 22 4 2 21 118 2 118 11 11 114 114 1 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: Statistics

More information

Statistical release P0141

Statistical release P0141 Statistical release Consumer Price Index January 2009 Embargoed until: 25 February 2009 11:30 Enquiries: Forthcoming issue: Expected release date User information services February 2009 25 March 2009 Tel:

More information

THE STATE OF THE ECONOMY

THE STATE OF THE ECONOMY THE STATE OF THE ECONOMY ADAM SEIDMAN Portland State University In its latest report, the Oregon Office of Economic Analysis noted that full employment is finally within sight in Oregon. Indeed, 2015 saw

More information

Renminbi Depreciation and the Hong Kong Economy

Renminbi Depreciation and the Hong Kong Economy Thomas Shik Acting Chief Economist thomasshik@hangseng.com Renminbi Depreciation and the Hong Kong Economy If the recent weakness of the renminbi persists, it is likely to have a positive direct impact

More information

South African Reserve Bank. Statement of the Monetary Policy Committee. Issued by Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank

South African Reserve Bank. Statement of the Monetary Policy Committee. Issued by Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank South African Reserve Bank Press Statement Embargo Delivery 21 July 2016 Statement of the Monetary Policy Committee Issued by Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank The UK vote to

More information

The Changing Relationship Between the Price of Crude Oil and the Price At the Pump

The Changing Relationship Between the Price of Crude Oil and the Price At the Pump In 2007, what goes up, does not necessarily come down... May 3, 2007 The Changing Relationship Between the Price of Crude Oil and the Price At the Pump Prepared by: Tim Hamilton Petroleum Industry Consultant

More information

Home Loans. Housing review Third quarter 2014

Home Loans. Housing review Third quarter 2014 Home Loans Contents Economic overview Household sector overview Property sector overview 3 House prices Building costs Land values Affordability of housing Outlook Graphs 7 Statistics 9 Compiled by Jacques

More information

Recent Developments in Small Business Finance

Recent Developments in Small Business Finance April 1 Recent Developments in Small Business Finance Introduction In 1, a Small Business Panel was formed by the Reserve Bank to advise it on the availability of finance to small business. At about the

More information

Interest Rate Forecast

Interest Rate Forecast Interest Rate Forecast Economics December Highlights Fed normalization begins More policy moves in China Canada s uneven economy BoC on hold, lower CAD Per cent 6 4 3 2 1 U.S. Federal Funds Rate A continuation

More information

Consumer Price Developments in July 2015

Consumer Price Developments in July 2015 sdzkl1;yah Consumer Price Developments in July 2015 CPI-All Items inflation eased to -0.4% y-o-y in July CPI-All Items inflation came in at -0.4% in July compared to -0.3% in June, mainly due to the lower

More information

THE STATE OF THE ECONOMY

THE STATE OF THE ECONOMY THE STATE OF THE ECONOMY CARLY HARRISON Portland State University Following data revisions, the economy continues to grow steadily, but slowly, in line with expectations. Gross domestic product has increased,

More information

University of Lethbridge Department of Economics ECON 1012 Introduction to Microeconomics Instructor: Michael G. Lanyi. Chapter 29 Fiscal Policy

University of Lethbridge Department of Economics ECON 1012 Introduction to Microeconomics Instructor: Michael G. Lanyi. Chapter 29 Fiscal Policy University of Lethbridge Department of Economics ECON 1012 Introduction to Microeconomics Instructor: Michael G. Lanyi Chapter 29 Fiscal Policy 1) If revenues exceed outlays, the government's budget balance

More information

EAST AYRSHIRE COUNCIL CABINET 21 OCTOBER 2009 TREASURY MANAGEMENT ANNUAL REPORT FOR 2008/2009 AND UPDATE ON 2009/10 STRATEGY

EAST AYRSHIRE COUNCIL CABINET 21 OCTOBER 2009 TREASURY MANAGEMENT ANNUAL REPORT FOR 2008/2009 AND UPDATE ON 2009/10 STRATEGY EAST AYRSHIRE COUNCIL CABINET 21 OCTOBER 2009 TREASURY MANAGEMENT ANNUAL REPORT FOR 2008/2009 AND UPDATE ON 2009/10 STRATEGY Report by Executive Head of Finance and Asset Management 1 PURPOSE OF REPORT

More information

Statistical release P0141

Statistical release P0141 Statistical release Consumer Price Index August 2015 Embargoed until: 23 September 2015 10:00 Enquiries: Forthcoming issue: Expected release date Marietjie Bennett / Anita Voges September 2015 21 October

More information

International competition will change mortgage lending

International competition will change mortgage lending Pentti Hakkarainen Deputy Governor, Bank of Finland International competition will change mortgage lending Nordic Mortgage Council Helsinki, 28 August 2015 28.8.2015 Unrestricted 1 Financial stability

More information

MACROECONOMIC OVERVIEW

MACROECONOMIC OVERVIEW MACROECONOMIC OVERVIEW MAY 20 Koç Holding CONTENTS Global Economy... 3 Global Financial Markets... 3 Global Economic Growth Forecasts... 3 Turkey Macroeconomic Indicators... Economic Growth... Industrial

More information

ECONOMIC COMMENTARY. Medium Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS) Economics South Africa

ECONOMIC COMMENTARY. Medium Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS) Economics South Africa ECONOMIC COMMENTARY Economics South Africa 21 October 2015 Medium Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS) The MTBPS keeps deficit under control despite the deteriorating economic climate Minister Nene s second

More information

Treasury Management Annual Report and Quarterly Monitoring for the period ended 31 March 2014

Treasury Management Annual Report and Quarterly Monitoring for the period ended 31 March 2014 Report title Treasury Management Annual Report and Quarterly Monitoring for the period ended 31 March 2014 Meeting Resources Committee Authority Date 22 July 2014 2 October 2014 Report by Document Number

More information

Consumer Price Developments in May 2016

Consumer Price Developments in May 2016 sdzkl1;yah Consumer Price Developments in May 2016 CPI-All Items fell by 1.6% in May, compared to the 0.5% decline in April, mostly due to base effects associated with the timing of the disbursement of

More information

Economics 101 Multiple Choice Questions for Final Examination Miller

Economics 101 Multiple Choice Questions for Final Examination Miller Economics 101 Multiple Choice Questions for Final Examination Miller PLEASE DO NOT WRITE ON THIS EXAMINATION FORM. 1. Which of the following statements is correct? a. Real GDP is the total market value

More information

The U.S. and Midwest Economy in 2016: Implications for Supply Chain Firms

The U.S. and Midwest Economy in 2016: Implications for Supply Chain Firms The U.S. and Midwest Economy in 2016: Implications for Supply Chain Firms Rick Mattoon Senior Economist and Economic Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Right Place Supply Chain Management Conference

More information

Inflation in the East African Community

Inflation in the East African Community Annual headline inflation (%) Headline inflation (%) Inflation in the East African Community January 211 1. Introduction After seven consecutive quarters of declining inflation, prices in the EAC region

More information

Statistical release P0141

Statistical release P0141 Statistical release Consumer Price Index November 2015 Embargoed until: 9 December 2015 10:00 Enquiries: Forthcoming issue: Expected release date Marietjie Bennett / Anita Voges December 2015 20 January

More information

Financial Planning. Preparing Financial Budgets to support your Development Plan

Financial Planning. Preparing Financial Budgets to support your Development Plan Introduction Financial Planning Preparing Financial Budgets to support your Development Plan Welcome to Oxfordshire Early Years Development & Childcare Partnership s electronic financial planning tool.

More information

CREDIT UNION TRENDS REPORT

CREDIT UNION TRENDS REPORT $ in Billions CREDIT UNION TRENDS REPORT CUNA Mutual Group Economics July 216 (May 216 Data) Highlights During May, credit unions picked-up 431, in new memberships, loan and savings balances grew at an

More information

The economic outlook and monetary policy

The economic outlook and monetary policy The economic outlook and monetary policy Governor Svein Gjedrem SR-Bank, Stavanger March 5 Interest rates and inflation Per cent Market rate Real interest rate Neutral real interest rate Inflation SR-Bank

More information

Budget 2014 26 February 2014

Budget 2014 26 February 2014 1 Budget 2014 Budget 2014 26 February 2014 The Minister of Finance, Mr Pravin Gordhan, today announced a revised consolidated net tax revenue estimate for 2014/2015 of R997,7 billion and a slightly reduced

More information

BUDGETING AND BUDGETARY CONTROL

BUDGETING AND BUDGETARY CONTROL ASA2.19_ASA2.19.qxd 03/07/2012 11:57 Page 362 19 BUDGETING AND BUDGETARY CONTROL Budgeting is used by businesses as a method of financial planning for the future. Budgets are prepared for main areas of

More information

NEWS FROM DANMARKS NATIONALBANK

NEWS FROM DANMARKS NATIONALBANK 1ST QUARTER 2015 N0 1 NEWS FROM DANMARKS NATIONALBANK PROSPECT OF HIGHER GROWTH IN DENMARK Danmarks Nationalbank adjusts its forecast of growth in the Danish economy this year and next year upwards. GDP

More information

CREDIT UNION TRENDS REPORT

CREDIT UNION TRENDS REPORT CREDIT UNION TRENDS REPORT CUNA Mutual Group Economics June 2 (April 2 data) Highlights During April, credit unions picked up 3, new memberships, credit union loan balances grew at an annualized 1.7% pace,

More information

TANZANIA MORTGAGE MARKET UPDATE 31 DECEMBER 2014

TANZANIA MORTGAGE MARKET UPDATE 31 DECEMBER 2014 TANZANIA MORTGAGE MARKET UPDATE 31 DECEMBER 2014 1. Highlights: The mortgage market has continued to grow steadily, recording an annual growth rate of 59% (with a growth rate of 23% recorded only in the

More information

The current economic situation in Germany. Deutsche Bundesbank Monthly Report February 2015 5

The current economic situation in Germany. Deutsche Bundesbank Monthly Report February 2015 5 The current economic situation in Germany Deutsche Bundesbank 5 6 Overview Global economy German economy emerging from sluggish phase faster than expected The global economy looks to have expanded in the

More information

Monetary Policy of the Bank of Russia

Monetary Policy of the Bank of Russia Monetary Policy of the Bank of Russia Ksenia Yudaeva, Ph.D., First Deputy Governor Geneva, February 25 2 Inflation Targeting in Russia: Motivation & Challenges Motivation: Unanchored inflation Expectations

More information

Politics, Surpluses, Deficits, and Debt

Politics, Surpluses, Deficits, and Debt Defining Surpluses and Debt Politics, Surpluses,, and Debt Chapter 11 A surplus is an excess of revenues over payments. A deficit is a shortfall of revenues relative to payments. 2 Introduction After having

More information

November 4, 2015 Consolidated Financial Results for the Second Quarter of Fiscal Year 2015 (From April 1, 2015 to September 30, 2015) [Japan GAAP]

November 4, 2015 Consolidated Financial Results for the Second Quarter of Fiscal Year 2015 (From April 1, 2015 to September 30, 2015) [Japan GAAP] November 4, 2015 Consolidated Financial Results for the Second Quarter of Fiscal Year 2015 (From April 1, 2015 to September 30, 2015) [Japan GAAP] Company Name: Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. (URL http://www.idemitsu.com)

More information

North American Steel Industry: Recent Market Developments and Key Challenges Going Forward

North American Steel Industry: Recent Market Developments and Key Challenges Going Forward North American Steel Industry: Recent Market Developments and Key Challenges Going Forward OECD Steel Committee May 6-7, 21 Paris, France * American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) Steel Manufacturers

More information

Annual Treasury And Investment Portfolio Update for 2015

Annual Treasury And Investment Portfolio Update for 2015 Item No.: 7d_Supp Meeting Date: March 8, 2016 Annual Treasury And Investment Portfolio Update for 2015 Commission Briefing Presented by Diane Campbell March 8, 2016 Treasury Management Update Background

More information

Housing Affordability Report

Housing Affordability Report Housing Affordability Report Joint ly Survey No. 94. ch Interest rate increases bite hard The title of the Deposit Power/Real Estate Institute of Australia Home Loan Affordability Report has been changed

More information

Strategy Document 1/03

Strategy Document 1/03 Strategy Document / Monetary policy in the period 5 March to 5 June Discussed by the Executive Board at its meeting of 5 February. Approved by the Executive Board at its meeting of 5 March Background Norges

More information

6. Economic Outlook. The International Economy. Graph 6.2 Terms of Trade Log scale, 2012/13 average = 100

6. Economic Outlook. The International Economy. Graph 6.2 Terms of Trade Log scale, 2012/13 average = 100 6. Economic Outlook The International Economy Growth of Australia s major trading partners is expected to be around its long-run average in 015 and 016 (Graph 6.1). Forecasts for 015 have been revised

More information

Home Loans. Housing review Fourth quarter 2015

Home Loans. Housing review Fourth quarter 2015 Home Loans Contents Economic overview Household sector overview Property sector overview House prices 5 Building costs 7 Land values 7 Affordability of housing 7 Outlook 7 Graphs 9 Statistics 11 Compiled

More information

Retirement Income Coalition

Retirement Income Coalition 2005 Pre-Budget Submission STRENGTHENING THE VOLUNTARY PILLAR OF CANADA'S RETIREMENT INCOME SYSTEM SEPTEMBER 2004 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page Introduction 1 Unfinished Business 2 Middle Income Canadians Affected

More information

Monthly Report PERFORMANCE OF THE ECONOMY. April 2016 MACROECONOMIC POLICY DEPARTMENT MINISTRY OF FINANCE, PLANNING AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

Monthly Report PERFORMANCE OF THE ECONOMY. April 2016 MACROECONOMIC POLICY DEPARTMENT MINISTRY OF FINANCE, PLANNING AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT Monthly Report PERFORMANCE OF THE ECONOMY April 2016 MACROECONOMIC POLICY DEPARTMENT MINISTRY OF FINANCE, PLANNING AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT www.finance.go.ug Contents ACRONYMS... 2 HIGHLIGHTS... 3 REAL

More information

ZIMELE PERSONAL PENSION PLAN

ZIMELE PERSONAL PENSION PLAN ZIMELE PERSONAL PENSION PLAN ABRIDGED REPORT TO THE SCHEME MEMBERS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 ST DECEMBER 2015 TABLE OF CONTENTS Advisors To The Fund... 3 Trustee s Report... 4 Statement Of Trustee s Responsibilities...

More information

2012 Japan Broiler Market Situation Update and 2013 Outlook

2012 Japan Broiler Market Situation Update and 2013 Outlook THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S. GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report - public distribution Date: GAIN Report

More information

Preparing for 2015 Housing Market Opportunities

Preparing for 2015 Housing Market Opportunities January U.S. Economic & Housing Market Outlook Preparing for 2015 Housing Market Opportunities As we enter 2015, the U.S. economy and housing markets are prepared for a robust start. Unlike one year ago,

More information

Gauging Current Conditions: The Economic Outlook and Its Impact on Workers Compensation

Gauging Current Conditions: The Economic Outlook and Its Impact on Workers Compensation August 2014 Gauging Current Conditions: The Economic Outlook and Its Impact on Workers Compensation The exhibits below are updated to reflect the current economic outlook for factors that typically impact

More information

T T Mboweni: Recent economic developments and monetary policy in South Africa

T T Mboweni: Recent economic developments and monetary policy in South Africa T T Mboweni: Recent economic developments and monetary policy in South Africa Address by Mr T T Mboweni, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, at the Mercury/Safmarine Business Breakfast, Durban,

More information

Introduction to Macroeconomics 1012 Final Exam Spring 2013 Instructor: Elsie Sawatzky

Introduction to Macroeconomics 1012 Final Exam Spring 2013 Instructor: Elsie Sawatzky Introduction to Macroeconomics 1012 Final Exam Spring 2013 Instructor: Elsie Sawatzky Name Time: 2 hours Marks: 80 Multiple choice questions 1 mark each and a choice of 2 out of 3 short answer question

More information

Statistical release P0141

Statistical release P0141 Statistical release Consumer Price Index September 2009 Embargoed until: 28 October 2009 11:30 Enquiries: Forthcoming issue: Expected release date User information services October 2009 25 November 2009

More information

Government Gazette Staatskoerant

Government Gazette Staatskoerant Government Gazette Staatskoerant REPUBLIC OF SOUTH AFRICA REPUBLIEK VAN SUID-AFRIKA Vol. 595 Pretoria, 29 January Januarie 2015 No. 38433 N.B. The Government Printing Works will not be held responsible

More information

Home Loans. Housing review First quarter 2015

Home Loans. Housing review First quarter 2015 Home Loans Contents Economic overview 2 Household sector overview 2 Property sector overview House prices Building costs Land values Affordability of housing 7 Outlook 7 Graphs 9 Statistics 11 Compiled

More information

MEDIA STATEMENT - FOR RELEASE ON 01 APRIL 2016 RELEASED BY CEF (SOC) LTD ON BEHALF OF THE DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY ENQUIRIES: MR J MOKOBANE 082 766 3674

MEDIA STATEMENT - FOR RELEASE ON 01 APRIL 2016 RELEASED BY CEF (SOC) LTD ON BEHALF OF THE DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY ENQUIRIES: MR J MOKOBANE 082 766 3674 MEDIA STATEMENT - FOR RELEASE ON 01 APRIL 2016 RELEASED BY CEF (SOC) LTD ON BEHALF OF THE DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY ENQUIRIES: MR J MOKOBANE 082 766 3674 1. PRICE CHANGES TO BE EFFECTED ON WEDNESDAY 6 APRIL

More information

What Drives the Economy? Key Economic Variables

What Drives the Economy? Key Economic Variables Vegetable Industry Development Program What Drives the Economy? Key Economic Variables This fact sheet provides a brief explanation of four key economic variables, how these variables interact and what

More information

Main Indicators for the Finnish Economy

Main Indicators for the Finnish Economy BANK OF FINLAND Monetary Policy and Research - Financial Markets and Statistics Main Indicators for the Finnish Economy 1/11 January 1 January 11 Monetary Policy and Research - Financial Markets and Statistics

More information

Economic Growth Accelerates in the Last Quarter

Economic Growth Accelerates in the Last Quarter Economic Growth Accelerates in the Last Quarter Zümrüt İmamoğlu ve Barış Soybilgen Executive Summary In order to monitor and analyze the changes in the Turkish economy on a regular basis, Betam tracks

More information

Puerto Rico s Economic and Fiscal Crisis

Puerto Rico s Economic and Fiscal Crisis Puerto Rico s Economic and Fiscal Crisis The Economic Situation is Challenging Puerto Rico has experienced a sharper recession than the rest of the United States, and the economy continues to contract.

More information

Main Indicators for the Finnish Economy

Main Indicators for the Finnish Economy BANK OF FINLAND Monetary Policy and Research - Financial Markets and Statistics Main Indicators for the Finnish Economy 3/11 17 March 11 Main Indicators for the Finnish Economy is produced jointly by the

More information

REAL ESTATE INSTITUTE OF AUSTRALIA SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT RESOLUTION SERVICE DISCUSSION PAPER

REAL ESTATE INSTITUTE OF AUSTRALIA SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT RESOLUTION SERVICE DISCUSSION PAPER Real Estate Institute of Australia 16 Thesiger Court I PO Box 234, Deakin ACT 2600 Phone (02) 6282 4277 I Fax (02) 6285 2444 REAL ESTATE INSTITUTE OF AUSTRALIA SMALL BUSINESS CREDIT RESOLUTION SERVICE

More information

Tracking the Macroeconomy

Tracking the Macroeconomy chapter 7(23) Tracking the Macroeconomy Chapter Objectives Students will learn in this chapter: How economists use aggregate measures to track the performance of the economy. What gross domestic product,

More information

Financing government s borrowing requirement

Financing government s borrowing requirement 7 Financing government s borrowing requirement In brief Government s net borrowing requirement is expected to be R173.1 billion in 2015/16, decreasing to R155.5 billion in 2017/18. South Africa s deep

More information

Recovery in UK property to gain momentum. Recovery in UK property market to gain momentum. Research & Strategy. June 2013. Economic growth recovering

Recovery in UK property to gain momentum. Recovery in UK property market to gain momentum. Research & Strategy. June 2013. Economic growth recovering Research & Strategy Recovery in UK property to gain momentum June 13 Recovery in UK property market to gain momentum This hasn t been a typical recession and it won t be a typical recovery. Nevertheless

More information

UPDATE ON CURRENT MACRO ENVIRONMENT

UPDATE ON CURRENT MACRO ENVIRONMENT 1 Oct 213 Macro & Strategy Equity Credit Commodities 13 13 #1 Global Strategy #1 Multi Asset Research #3 Global Economics #2 Equity Quant #2 Index Analysis #3 SRI Research 12 sector teams in the Top 1

More information

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.

MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question. Suvey of Macroeconomics, MBA 641 Fall 2006, Final Exam Name MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question. 1) Modern macroeconomics emerged from

More information

Chapter 12: Gross Domestic Product and Growth Section 1

Chapter 12: Gross Domestic Product and Growth Section 1 Chapter 12: Gross Domestic Product and Growth Section 1 Key Terms national income accounting: a system economists use to collect and organize macroeconomic statistics on production, income, investment,

More information

Chapter 10 Fiscal Policy Macroeconomics In Context (Goodwin, et al.)

Chapter 10 Fiscal Policy Macroeconomics In Context (Goodwin, et al.) Chapter 10 Fiscal Policy Macroeconomics In Context (Goodwin, et al.) Chapter Overview This chapter introduces you to a formal analysis of fiscal policy, and puts it in context with real-world data and

More information

Increasing farm debt amid decreasing interest rates: An explanation

Increasing farm debt amid decreasing interest rates: An explanation Increasing farm debt amid decreasing interest rates: An explanation Compiled by Economic Research Division DIRECTORATE: ECONOMIC SERVICES December 2010 agriculture, forestry & fisheries Department: Agriculture,

More information

Main Indicators for the Finnish Economy

Main Indicators for the Finnish Economy BANK OF FINLAND Monetary Policy and Research - Financial Markets and Statistics Main Indicators for the Finnish Economy /1 13 April 1 13 April 1 Monetary Policy and Research - Financial Markets and Statistics

More information

ASSIGNMENT 1 ST SEMESTER : MACROECONOMICS (MAC) ECONOMICS 1 (ECO101) STUDY UNITS COVERED : STUDY UNITS 1 AND 2. DUE DATE : 3:00 p.m.

ASSIGNMENT 1 ST SEMESTER : MACROECONOMICS (MAC) ECONOMICS 1 (ECO101) STUDY UNITS COVERED : STUDY UNITS 1 AND 2. DUE DATE : 3:00 p.m. Page 1 of 13 ASSIGNMENT 1 ST SEMESTER : MACROECONOMICS (MAC) ECONOMICS 1 (ECO101) STUDY UNITS COVERED : STUDY UNITS 1 AND 2 DUE DATE : 3:00 p.m. 19 MARCH 2013 TOTAL MARKS : 100 INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES

More information

Presentation Standing Committee on Appropriations (SCOA)

Presentation Standing Committee on Appropriations (SCOA) The Presidency Department of Performance Monitoring and Evaluation Presentation Standing Committee on Appropriations (SCOA) 2012/13: Annual Report 2013/14: Q1 and Q2 Expenditure 2013/14: Adjustments Budget

More information

The Problem with Structural Unemployment in the U.S.

The Problem with Structural Unemployment in the U.S. Issue Brief October 2012 The Problem with Structural Unemployment in the U.S. BY DEAN BAKER* It took centuries worth of research and evidence for astronomers to convince the world, including their fellow

More information

Statistical release P0141

Statistical release P0141 Statistical release Consumer Price Index May 2015 Embargoed until: 17 June 2015 10:00 Enquiries: Forthcoming issue: Expected release date Marietjie Bennett / Anita Voges June 2015 22 July 2015 (012) 310

More information

ANALYSIS OF SCOTLAND S PAST AND FUTURE FISCAL POSITION

ANALYSIS OF SCOTLAND S PAST AND FUTURE FISCAL POSITION CPPR Briefing Note ANALYSIS OF SCOTLAND S PAST AND FUTURE FISCAL POSITION Incorporating: GERS 2014 and the 2014 UK Budget Main authors: John McLaren & Jo Armstrong Editorial role: Ken Gibb March 2014 Executive

More information

Fixed Income 2015 Update. Kathy Jones, Senior Vice President Chief Fixed Income Strategist, Schwab Center for Financial Research

Fixed Income 2015 Update. Kathy Jones, Senior Vice President Chief Fixed Income Strategist, Schwab Center for Financial Research Fixed Income 2015 Update Kathy Jones, Senior Vice President Chief Fixed Income Strategist, Schwab Center for Financial Research 1 Fed: Slow and Low 2015 Fixed Income Outlook 2 Yield Curve Flattening 3

More information

WFP SOUTH SUDAN MARKET PRICE MONITORING BULLETIN

WFP SOUTH SUDAN MARKET PRICE MONITORING BULLETIN September 15 HIGHLIGHTS The exchange rate of SSP against the US dollar has reached an all-time low of.3 SSP to 1 US Dollar during the month of September driven by acute shortage of hard currency. This

More information