Facility Operation and Maintenance Managers (NOC 0714)

Transcription

1 Facility Operation and Matenance Managers (NOC 0714) Supports Multiple Sectors the APG Facility operation managers plan, organize, direct, control and evaluate the operations of commercial, transportation and recreational facilities and the cluded real estate. Facility operation managers are employed by a wide range of establishments, such as airports, harbours, canals, shoppg centres, convention centres, warehouses and recreational facilities. Matenance managers plan, organize, direct, control and evaluate the matenance department with commercial, dustrial, stitutional, recreational and other facilities. Matenance managers are employed by a wide range of establishments, such as office buildgs, shoppg centres, airports, harbours, warehouses, gra termals, universities, schools and sports facilities, and by the matenance and mechanical engeerg departments of manufacturg and other dustrial establishments. (More NOC 0714 formation is provided folg the Strategies and Actions section.) Highlights The forecast shows an creasgly challengg labour market for Facility Operation and Matenance Managers BC. The conditions move to tight by year 3, and rema tight for the rest of the forecast. The Lower Maland forecast also shows an creasgly challengg labour market for Facility Operation and Matenance Managers. The conditions move from balanced the first 2 years to tight by year 4, and rema tight until the fal year of the forecast period. For Northern BC, the forecast is tight from 2016 onward. When normal unemployment 1 is taken to consideration, Northern BC has more Facility Operation and Matenance Manager positions than workers from 2018 through to 2020, as well as New supply is expected to average just under 100% of job opengs over the forecast period, but to be er (92%) the first 5 years. 1 The shortage is calculated by assumg that 50% of the normally unemployed will work the occupation, effectively cuttg normal unemployment by half. If fewer workers are drawn to the workforce, the shortages are more pronounced. If all the normally unemployed remaed outside of the workforce, Northern BC would show a shortage of workers all occupations and all years. The Asia Pacific Gateway Skills Table wishes to acknowledge the fundg support from the Government of Canada s Sectoral Initiatives Program. The opions and terpretations this publication are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of the Government of Canada. Additional 2015 BC LMI Products Occupational Snapshots Regional Outlooks Sector Outlooks APGST LMI Forecast Backgrounder More formation can be found at or contact the Skills Table at fo@apgst.ca or

2 Across BC general, the High Investment Scenario outperforms the Low by 120 job opengs (3%) for the full 10 years of the forecast. This is also true for Northern BC, although the impact is much larger at 54%. In the Lower Maland, the High Investment Scenario outperforms the Low by 70 positions the first five years of the forecast. In the forecast s second half, the Low Investment Scenario outperforms the High by 15 job opengs. The net effect has the High Investment Scenario outperformg the Low by about 55 job opengs (2%) over the full ten years. Job opengs are created largely by Attrition (71%). About 1 3 of today s Facility Operation and Matenance Managers will have left the labour market by the end of the forecast period workers who add to the supply of Facility Operation and Matenance Managers are experienced workers from other occupations. Changes the number of jobs and workers available the labour market are driven more by the base economy than by large scale projects and programs, except for Northern BC where large scale projects and programs have a much bigger impact. 66% of Facility Operation and Matenance Managers live the Lower Maland; 4% live Northern BC. On average, Facility Operation and Matenance Managers have from 6 to 16 years left their workg lives. BC Labour Market: Three Economic Scenarios The Skills Table models the labour market based on three different economic scenarios to provide a range of plausible possibilities for changes the labour market. The Low Investment, or conservative, scenario cludes projects that are underway or certa, while the Moderate Investment, or expected, scenario adds projects that are planned and likely to proceed. The High Investment, or optimistic, scenario adds projects that have been announced, but with more distant start dates or more regulatory approvals needed to proceed. The analysis that fols is based on the Moderate Investment Scenario. The impacts of the Low and High Investment Scenarios on the labour markets are detailed the Impact of the Economic Scenarios section of this document. Key Facts : Labour 2 Labour demand is created by the busess environment, economic circumstances and decisions affectg employers operations. It reflects the number of jobs available to be filled an occupation. The table on the next page cludes the number of jobs, job opengs and jobs created by Expansion the Moderate Investment Scenario. It also shows the impact on each of those measures on the High and Low Investment Scenarios compared with the Moderate Investment Scenario. 2 All of the formation this document is generated by the Skills Table from a labour market forecast based on the three economic scenarios. The statements and assessments of labour market conditions are based on the forecasts and therefore are expected conditions and outcomes relative to the economic conditions used to create the formation. Facility Operation and Matenance Managers (NOC 0714) 2

3 and Job Opengs for Facility Operation and Matenance Managers Region Investment Scenario Average Annual Number of Jobs Total Job Opengs, Total Job Opengs, British Columbia Lower Maland North Jobs Created by Expansion, Jobs Created by Expansion, Impact of High +38 Jobs +50 Jobs +33 Jobs +49 Jobs +28 Jobs Moderate 7,938 1,975 1, Impact of Low 41 Jobs 62 Jobs +23 Jobs 62 Jobs +28 Jobs Impact of High +20 Jobs +30 Jobs +4 Jobs +30 Jobs +3 Jobs Moderate 5,272 1,329 1, Impact of Low 24 Jobs 40 Jobs +21 Jobs 40 Jobs +25 Jobs Impact of High +15 Jobs +14 Jobs +29 Jobs +14 Jobs +28 Jobs Moderate Impact of Low 9 Jobs 7 Jobs 12 Jobs 7 Jobs 10 Jobs The number of Facility Operation and Matenance Manager positions creases by just under 930 (13%) over the forecast period: with just over 755 positions the Lower Maland, and just over 30 Northern BC. In BC as a whole, about 3,605 job opengs (growth and retirements combed) are expected to be created, with: just under 2,435 the Lower Maland, and just under 135 Northern BC. The majority of job opengs are expected to be created the first half of the forecast. The rate of change between 2020 and 2024 will be about two thirds of that seen the first five years Total Job Opengs: Facility Operation and Matenance Managers British Columbia The majority of job opengs are expected to be created between 2015 and 2019, when demand will grow at just over 2% annually. 300 High Low Moderate Across BC as a whole, 29% of job opengs come from Expansion, 40% the first 5 years. 35% the Lower Maland, 45% the first 5 years; and 26% Northern BC, 32% the first five years. Facility Operation and Matenance Managers (NOC 0714) 3

4 Key Facts : Labour Supply The labour supply is created by the number of workers who have the skills and/or certification to be qualified to work each occupation each year, cludg those who are newly traed, have moved from other provces or countries, or have moved from other occupations. The extent of labour demand will have an impact on changes labour supply. Attrition Attrition contues to be the primary driver of job opengs, and its impact remas about the same as previous forecasts. This is due to the senior nature of the position, which draws on an experienced workforce to fill vacancies and whose workers are therefore older on average than other occupations. Impact of Attrition on Job Opengs for Facility Operation and Matenance Managers Region Total Job Opengs Job Opengs Created by Attrition, Job Opengs Created by Attrition, % Job Opengs Created by Attrition British Columbia 3,604 1,184 1, % Lower Maland 2, % North % On average, Facility Operation and Matenance Managers are 49 years of age. For BC as a whole, labour supply is expected to grow by about 840 workers over the 10 years of the forecast, cludg: just over 690 the Lower Maland, and just over 25 Northern BC. Base Supply 3 is a measure of the decle the number of workers who are active an occupation at the begng of the forecast, and who leave due to retirement durg the forecast period. The decle demonstrates the proportion of experienced workers who leave the workforce over the forecast period. Changes to the Base Labour Supply for Facility Operation and Matenance Managers, Region Base Supply, Decle, % Decle, % British Columbia 7,573 1, % 2, % Lower Maland 4, % 1, % North % % 3 The Base Supply is calculated by removg the average number of unemployed workers for the period from the 2014 supply and then removg Attrition from each year of the forecast, essence it demonstrates the changes each year to the cohort of workers the first year of the forecast. Facility Operation and Matenance Managers (NOC 0714) 4

5 New Supply New supply is expected to average just under 100% of job opengs BC over the forecast period, but to be er (92%) the first 5 years. The outlook is similar for the Lower Maland and Northern BC, and it suggests that the labour market for Facility Operation and Matenance Managers should be more challengg over the first 5 years before stabilizg the second half of the forecast period. New Supply by Type Labour Supply Characteristics of Facility Operation and Matenance Managers, Totals Region Average Number of Qualified New Entrants Immigration Regional From Other Occupations Average Age British Columbia 8, , Lower Maland 5, , North There are no New Entrants the new supply of Facility Operation and Matenance Managers BC, the Lower Maland or Northern BC. Labour Force Supply Facility Operation and Matenance Managers, British Columbia Moderate Scenario 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 Base Supply Immigration Occupational New Entrants International Immigration is expected to add 8% to the total new supply of Facility Operation and Matenance Managers BC. This number will be higher the Lower Maland (11%). In Northern BC, it will be 2%. Facility Operation and Matenance Managers move to BC and add to the new supply of workers margally (2%): In the Lower Maland, mobility reduces the workforce s new supply by 1%. In Northern BC, mobility adds 8%. Facility Operation and Matenance Managers (NOC 0714) 5

6 from other occupations (that is, workers who are experienced another role and move to the occupation) is forecast to represent 90% of new supply BC as a whole, cludg: 90% the Lower Maland, and 91% Northern BC. Impact of the Economic Scenarios In BC, the High Investment Scenario outperforms the Low by 120 job opengs (3%) for the full 10 years of the forecast. This is also true for Northern BC, although the impact is much larger, at 54%. In the Lower Maland, the High Investment Scenario outperforms the Low by 70 positions the first five years of the forecast. In the second half, the Low Investment Scenario outperforms the High by 15 job opengs. The Net effect has the High Investment Scenario outperformg the Low by about 55 job opengs (2%) over the full ten years. The forecast shows that the economic scenarios will have little impact on both supply and demand for Facility Operation and Matenance Managers Expansion : Facility Operation and Matenance Managers British Columbia High Low Moderate Both supply and demand for Facility Operation and Matenance Managers fol a very similar path all economic scenarios. The High Investment Scenario produces 54% more job opengs than the Low Northern BC. For BC and the Lower Maland the High Investment Scenario impact is quite (under 4%). Measures by Scenario: British Columbia The table on the next page shows the four APGST measures for workers BC: Rankg, Supply Risk, Immigration Reliance, and 4. Taken together, these dicators provide a quick 4 There are four metrics used to summarize the formation from the forecast. (1) Rankg: Assesses the tightness of the labour market; i.e., the degree of difficulty an employer may experience tryg to hire to the occupation. 1 = excess supply = Blue (more than 60% higher than normal unemployment) 2 = balanced supply and demand = Green (between 30 and 60% higher than normal unemployment) 3 = nearg a tight labour market = Yel (between 0 and 30% higher than normal unemployment) 4 = excess demand, limited supply = Red (be normal unemployment) (2) Supply Risk: A metric that assesses the extent to which new supply is keepg pace with job opengs. It als for an assessment, relative to the Rankg, of the extent to which conditions are tighteng or looseng the labour market. Facility Operation and Matenance Managers (NOC 0714) 6

7 reference scorecard on the conditions the labour market for Facility Operation and Matenance Managers. Facility Operation and Matenance Managers (NOC 0714) Scenario Rankg Low Moderate High Supply Risk Low LOW LOW MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Moderate LOW LOW MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW High LOW LOW MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance Low LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Moderate LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW High LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Low Moderate High Implications The forecast shows an creasgly challengg labour market for Facility Operation and Matenance Managers across BC. By the third year, conditions move to tight by year 3, and will rema tight for the rest of the forecast. This implies that employers will have challenges fdg the workers they need across the provce as a whole. If the new supply is more than 90% of the job opengs, it is a LOW risk. If the new supply is between 80 and 90% of the job opengs, it is a MEDIUM risk. If the new supply is less than 80% of the job opengs, it is a HIGH risk. (3) Immigration Reliance: Assesses the extent to which the new supply is dependent on Immigration. Given that the levers that control immigration are not the control of employers, this measure provides sight to the potential that the new supply expectations could be affected by changes to immigration policy. If Immigration represents less than 10% of new supply, it is a LOW risk. If Immigration represents between 10 and 25% of new supply, it is a MEDIUM risk. If Immigration represents between 25 and 50% of new supply, it is a HIGH risk. If Immigration represents 50% or more of new supply, it is an EXTREME risk. (4) : Demonstrates the extent to which movement to or out of the provce affects the supply available to fill job opengs. For the regions, it measures movement to and out of the region to other regions BC as well as to other provces. No worker mobility <10% 10 25% 25 50% 50% or more Facility Operation and Matenance Managers (NOC 0714) 7

8 The Lower Maland forecast also shows an creasgly challengg labour market for Facility Operation and Matenance Managers. Conditions move from balanced the first 2 years to tight by year 4, and rema tight until the fal year of the forecast period. This implies that employers will beg to have difficulty fdg workers by 2018; those challenges will crease through to For Northern BC, the forecast will be tight from 2016 onward, and when normal unemployment 5 is taken to consideration, Northern BC will have more Facility Operation and Matenance Manager positions than workers from 2018 through to 2020, as well as New supply is expected to average just be 100% of job opengs over the forecast period, but to be er (92%) durg the first 5 years. The outlook is similar for both the Lower Maland and Northern BC, and suggests that the labour market for Facility Operation and Matenance Managers will be more challengg over the first 5 years before stabilizg the second half of the forecast period. Across BC, the High Investment Scenario outperforms the Low by 120 job opengs (3%) for the full 10 years of the forecast. This is also true for Northern BC, although at 54% the impact is much larger. In the Lower Maland, the High Investment Scenario outperforms the Low by 70 positions durg the first five years of the forecast. In the second half, the Low Investment Scenario outperforms the High by 15 job opengs. The net effect has the High Investment Scenario outperformg the Low by about 55 job opengs (2%) over the full ten years. In summary, the impacts of the forecast labour market conditions for employers are: 1. Job opengs are created largely by Attrition (71%). While the loss of senior workers can create loss of corporate memory and have a negative impact on productivity, the significant number of experienced new workers (from other occupations) enterg the occupation is likely to help mata productivity and knowledge levels. 2. About 1 3 of today s Facility Operation and Matenance Managers today will leave the labour market by the end of the forecast period workers who add to the supply of Facility Operation and Matenance Managers are experienced workers from other occupations. They create vacancies other positions as they move to fill opportunities these roles. 4. Conditions are challengg all but the first 2 years and all regions. 5. While the overall tightness changes very little, BC and the Lower Maland show some degree of balance the labour markets the first 2 to 3 years of the forecast. 6. Changes the number of jobs and workers available the labour market are driven more by the base economy than by large scale projects and programs % of Facility Operation and Matenance Managers live the Lower Maland; 4% live Northern BC. 5 The shortage is calculated by assumg that 50% of the normally unemployed will work the occupation, effectively cuttg normal unemployment by half. If fewer workers are drawn to the workforce, the shortages are more pronounced. If all the normally unemployed remaed outside of the workforce, Northern BC would show a shortage of workers all occupations and all years. Facility Operation and Matenance Managers (NOC 0714) 8

9 8. On average, Facility Operation and Matenance Managers have from 6 to 16 years left their workg lives. This implies a need to focus on succession and matag corporate knowledge. Strategies and Actions Facility Operation and Matenance Managers present a challengg labour market over the 10 years of the forecast period BC as a whole as well each of Northern BC and the Lower Maland. Some strategies to help employers to access workers and enhance productivity this environment clude the folg: Focus on retention: keep workers workg for you and help them stay BC. In a tight labour market, managg succession and buildg comprehensive succession plans and experienced worker retention programs can be central tools for expandg and matag a workforce. Exame workforce retention and recruitment programs for mature workers to extend the workg lives of current employees. Review hirg/job requirements with order to encourage transferability from other occupations. OCCUPATION KEY CHARACTERISTICS Facility Operation and Matenance Managers (NOC 0714) Example Titles airport manager arena manager campus matenance manager chief, matenance support services facility operations manager harbour master head, facilities matenance matenance manager mechanical services supertendent plant matenance supertendent recreation facility manager shoppg centre manager supertendent, matenance and service warehouse manager Ma Duties Facility operation managers perform some or all of the folg duties: Plan, organize, direct, control and evaluate the operations of commercial, transportation and recreational facilities and the cluded real estate Oversee the leasg of space the facility and the cluded real estate and the development of marketg strategies Plan, organize and direct admistrative services such as signage, cleang, matenance, parkg, safety spections, security and snow removal Facility Operation and Matenance Managers (NOC 0714) 9

10 Plan, organize, direct, control and evaluate construction projects to modify commercial, transportation and recreational facilities and real estate Oversee the stallation, matenance and repair of real estate frastructures cludg machery, equipment and electrical and mechanical systems Plan and manage the facility's operations budget Prepare or oversee the preparation of reports and statistics related to areas of responsibility Hire and oversee trag and supervision of staff. Matenance managers perform some or all of the folg duties: Direct the matenance and repair of an establishment's machery, equipment and electrical and mechanical systems Develop and implement schedules and procedures for safety spections and preventive matenance programs Co ordate cleang, snow removal and landscapg operations Admister contracts for the provision of supplies and services Plan and manage a facility's matenance budget Hire and oversee trag and supervision of staff Educational Requirements Facility operation managers require completion of a college or university program busess admistration or a disciple related to facility operation and matenance or An equivalent combation of technical trag and experience admistration or matenance. Matenance managers require completion of a college or university program electrical or mechanical engeerg or another disciple related to buildg matenance or An equivalent combation of technical trag and experience buildg matenance. Several years of supervisory experience facility operations or matenance are usually required. Source: Human Resources and Skills Development Canada at Facility Operation and Matenance Managers (NOC 0714) 10

11 DATA TABLES BY REGION AND ECONOMIC SCENARIO Facility Operation and Matenance Managers (NOC 0714) Region: British Columbia High Investment Forecast 7,362 7,519 7,717 7,898 8,061 8,135 8,191 8,227 8,287 8,360 Labour Force Supply 7,713 7,841 7,962 8,071 8,193 8,294 8,388 8,455 8,526 8, Expansion Total Job Opengs Average Age Net Interprovcial Net New Supply Rankg Supply Risk LOW LOW MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW movg movg movg movg Region: British Columbia Moderate Investment Forecast 7,355 7,508 7,688 7,868 8,013 8,092 8,147 8,185 8,235 8,284 Labour Force Supply 7,712 7,840 7,956 8,061 8,165 8,260 8,345 8,408 8,467 8, Expansion Total Job Opengs Average Age Net Interprovcial Net New Supply Rankg Supply Risk LOW LOW MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW movg movg movg movg Facility Operation and Matenance Managers (NOC 0714) 11

12 Region: British Columbia Low Investment Forecast 7,336 7,472 7,625 7,797 7,954 8,046 8,121 8,157 8,207 8,253 Labour Force Supply 7,701 7,824 7,932 8,036 8,141 8,229 8,312 8,362 8,418 8, Expansion Total Job Opengs Average Age Net Interprovcial Net New Supply Rankg Supply Risk LOW LOW MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW movg movg movg movg Region: Lower Maland High Investment Forecast 4,812 4,921 5,067 5,220 5,357 5,421 5,475 5,504 5,550 5,595 Labour Force Supply 5,064 5,163 5,257 5,351 5,451 5,531 5,606 5,659 5,714 5, Expansion Total Job Opengs Average Age Net Interprovcial Net New Supply Rankg Supply Risk LOW LOW MEDIUM HIGH MEDIUM LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM LOW MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM No worker migration No worker migration Facility Operation and Matenance Managers (NOC 0714) 12

13 Region: Lower Maland Moderate Investment Forecast 4,808 4,913 5,048 5,198 5,328 5,395 5,453 5,484 5,527 5,564 Labour Force Supply 5,063 5,162 5,252 5,341 5,434 5,510 5,582 5,634 5,685 5, Expansion Total Job Opengs Average Age Net Interprovcial Net New Supply Rankg Supply Risk LOW LOW MEDIUM HIGH MEDIUM LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM Region: Lower Maland Low Investment Forecast 4,799 4,895 5,013 5,156 5,290 5,365 5,433 5,467 5,512 5,550 Labour Force Supply 5,059 5,153 5,240 5,326 5,415 5,488 5,558 5,605 5,654 5, Expansion Total Job Opengs Average Age Net Interprovcial Net New Supply Rankg Supply Risk LOW LOW MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM MEDIUM Facility Operation and Matenance Managers (NOC 0714) 13

14 Region: North High Investment Forecast Labour Force Supply Expansion Total Job Opengs Average Age Net Interprovcial Net New supply Rankg Supply Risk LOW MEDIUM HIGH MEDIUM LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance No tl. movg No tl. No tl. No tl. No tl. No tl. LOW LOW LOW LOW movg movg movg Region: North Moderate Investment Forecast Labour Force Supply Expansion Total Job Opengs Average Age Net Interprovcial Net New Supply Rankg Supply Risk LOW MEDIUM HIGH MEDIUM LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance No tl. movg LOW No worker migration No tl. No tl. No tl. No tl. No tl. movg LOW No tl. movg LOW movg Facility Operation and Matenance Managers (NOC 0714) 14

15 Region: North Low Investment Forecast Labour Force Supply Expansion Total Job Opengs Average Age Inmigration Net Interprovcial Net New Supply Rankg Supply Risk LOW LOW MEDIUM LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW LOW Immigration Reliance No tl. movg No tl. MEDIUM No worker migration MEDIUM No worker migration No tl. No tl. No tl. movg No tl. No tl. movg LOW movg Facility Operation and Matenance Managers (NOC 0714) 15