Robustness Testing LRZ8, Remainder of LRZ9 & LRZ10
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1 Robustness Testing LRZ8, Remainder of LRZ9 & LRZ10 Economic Planning Users Group 6/9/2016
2 MTEP16 MCPS Scope MTEP15 MCPS Nov Jan 2016 Feb - May 2016 June - Aug 2016 Flowgate Identification Project Candidate Identification Robustness Testing Selection of Solution Ideas/project candidates Carried Forward Congestion Analysis Identify Top Congested Flowgates Transmission Solution Development Screening MISO Scoping Level Cost Estimation Sensitivity Analysis Present Value (PV) Analysis Reliability Analysis Establish Project Candidate(s) Best Fit Solutions MISO Economic Planning Users Group June 9th,
3 What changed since April EPUG? Correction to LAGN peak demand and energy Increased stability rating limit on the Mt. Olive Layfield Hartburg 500kV line Sensitivity Analysis SERC wind and MISO PV Solar siting assumptions in the RCPP and SRCPP futures MISO Economic Planning Users Group June 9th,
4 3 project candidates selected as potential best fit solutions from the LRZ8, Remainder of LRZ9 & LRZ10 focus areas Potential best fit solutions MCP Other/MEP Focus Area Project Description MCP Other Remainder of LRZ9 Upgrade Minden Sarepta 115kV Terminal Equipment MCP Other LRZ8 Rebuild Trumann Trumann West 161kV MCP Other LRZ10 Relocated Lakeover 500/230kV XFMR Project candidates not selected as a potential best fit solutions due to sensitivity analysis New Murray Tap S. Natchez 115kV Benefits impacted by future PV solar (RRF) siting assumptions in the RCPP and SCRPP futures Rebuild Morrilton East Gleason Tyler 161kV Benefits impacted by future wind (SERC RRF) siting assumptions in the RCPP and SCRPP futures MISO Economic Planning Users Group June 9th,
5 Remainder of LRZ9 (Rest of Louisiana) Focus Area MISO Economic Planning Users Group June 9th, 2016
6 Upgrade Minden Sarepta 115kV Terminal Equipment Lines are for illustrative purposes only, actual line routing may differ MISO, using Velocity Suite 2016 MISO Economic Planning Users Group June 9th,
7 Upgrade Minden Sarepta 115kV Terminal Equipment selected as a potential best fit solution Cost Estimate (2016 $M) Benefit to Cost Ratios BAU HD LD RCPP SRCPP Weighted 20-yr PV Benefit ($M) (1.46) Mitigates congestion on Minden Sarepta 115kV MISO Economic Planning Users Group June 9th,
8 New Murray Tap S. Natchez 115kV Lines are for illustrative purposes only, actual line routing may differ new MISO, using Velocity Suite 2016 MISO Economic Planning Users Group June 9th,
9 Benefits of New Murray Tap S. Natchez 115kV are reduced by re-siting of MISO PV Solar (RRF) in the RCPP and SRCPP futures Case Cost Estimate (2016 $M) Benefit to Cost Ratios BAU HD LD RCPP SRCPP Weighted 20-yr PV Benefit ($M) Base Case Sensitivity Analysis Re-siting of MISO PV Solar (RRF) in the RCPP and SRCPP futures reduces congestion on the Red Gum Natchez 115kV constraint Murray Tap S. Natchez 115kV will not be considered for further study MISO Economic Planning Users Group June 9th,
10 LRZ10 (Mississippi) Focus Area MISO Economic Planning Users Group June 9th, 2016
11 Lakeover Project Alternatives Lines are for illustrative purposes only, actual line routing may differ Lakeover 500/115kV MISO Economic Planning Users Group June 9th,
12 MISO seeks stakeholder feedback regarding the Lakeover 500/230kV XFMR as a potential best fit solution Project Description Cost Estimate (2016 $M) Benefit to Cost Ratios BAU HD LD RCPP SRCPP Weighted 20-yr PV Benefit ($M) Relocate Lakeover 500/230kV XFMR New Lakeover 500/230kV XFMR New Lakeover 500/115kV XFMR Benefits are comparable between the project alternatives Adequate benefit to cost ratio is dependent on the ability to relocate the existing 500/230kV XFMR from McAdams to Lakeover The remaining useful life of the existing McAdams 500/230kV is in question MISO seeks stakeholder feedback on potential recommendation MISO Economic Planning Users Group June 9th,
13 LRZ8 (Arkansas) Focus Area MISO Economic Planning Users Group June 9th, 2016
14 Rebuild Trumann Trumann West 161kV Lines are for illustrative purposes only, actual line routing may differ MISO Economic Planning Users Group June 9th,
15 Rebuild Trumann Trumann West 161kV selected as a potential best fit solution Cost Estimate (2016 $M) Benefit to Cost Ratios BAU HD LD RCPP SRCPP Weighted 20-yr PV Benefit ($M) 7.6* Mitigates congestion on Trumann Trumann West 161kV Targeted for approval in MTEP16 as a baseline reliability project Note: * Bottom up (scoping level) cost estimate was used for the project candidate MISO Economic Planning Users Group June 9th,
16 Rebuild Morrilton East Gleason Tyler 161kV Lines are for illustrative purposes only, actual line routing may differ MISO, using Velocity Suite 2016 MISO Economic Planning Users Group June 9th,
17 Benefits for rebuilding Morrilton East Tyler 161kV are significantly impacted by SERC wind sited in the SPP footprint Case Cost Estimate (2016 $M) Benefit to Cost Ratios BAU HD LD RCPP SRCPP Weighted 20-yr PV Benefit ($M) Base Case Sensitivity Analysis (0.65) Sensitivity analysis reduces congestion on the Morrilton East Gleason 161kV constraint in the RCPP and SRCPP futures Morrilton East Tyler 161kV will not be considered for further study MISO Economic Planning Users Group June 9th,
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