Update on Texas Restructuring. NAESB Conference September 24, 2002 Baltimore, MD Chairman, Rebecca Klein
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1 Update on Texas Restructuring NAESB Conference September 24, 2002 Baltimore, MD Chairman, Rebecca Klein
2 OUTLINE State of the National Energy/Electric Industry State of Texas Electricity Industry Status of Competition in Texas Current Outstanding Issues
3 National Energy/Electricity Industry: Stock Trends DJ Utilities Index /2 2/1 3/3 4/2 5/2 6/1 7/1 7/31 8/30
4 Rating Actions - First Half of the Year upgrades downgrades
5 National Energy/Electric Industry: Generation Adequacy 48,000MW installed capacity added in N. America in the last year 6% increase over available supplies last summer Near term projections increasing to peak of 20% in 2004 Resource additions of 138,000MW to 245,000MW expected through 2004
6 National Energy/Electric Industry: State Positions on Competition
7 Texas Electricity Industry: Stock Market Trends Daily Closing Stock Prices Texas Incumbent Utilities US$ /10/02 Cancelled $500 million bond offer. Allegations of inflating trade volumes. TXU AEP Reliant /2 2/1 3/3 4/2 5/2 6/1 7/1 7/31 8/30
8 Stock Trends: Texas REPs Daily Closing Stock Prices Texas Retail Electric Providers US$ Occidental BP Corp Cinergy Conoco Phillips Constellation FPL Group AES Sempra UBS AG Centrica (ADR) 0 1/2 2/1 3/3 4/2 5/2 6/1 7/1 7/31 8/30
9 Stock Trends: Power Marketers Doing Business in Texas Daily Closing Stock Prices Power Marketers 40 US$ /25/02: SEC informal probe of natural gas supply transactions. Posts first quarter loss. Williams Dynegy Calpine Mirant 10 5/8/02: Formal SEC investigation 0 1/2 2/1 3/3 4/2 5/2 6/1 7/1 7/31 8/30
10 SPP 7 47 Amarillo New Electric Generating Plants in Texas ERCOT - Electric Reliability Council of Texas SERC - Southeastern Electric Reliability Council SPP - Southwest Power Pool WSCC - Western Systems Coordinating Council El Paso 8129 WSCC Generation projects completed since 1995 totaling 16,237 MW 17 Generation projects under construction totaling 13,184 MW 14 Generation projects announced 5,199 MW Abilene ERCOT X4 Dallas San Antonio X SPP 68 Ellis County X1 88 SERC Austin Houston X Corpus Christi X2 Harris County 16 Announced projects delayed 12,159 MW 5 Announced projects recently cancelled 3,650 MW
11 Status of Competition: Wholesale $/MWh Week Price Index for ERCOT, Palo Verde, Entergy and SPP Palo Verde ERCOT Entergy SPP
12 Status of Retail Competition: REP Participation & Service Offerings Customers have meaningful choices with multiple REPs/products in all areas. TDSP # of REPs # of products Renewable (inc. AREP) (inc. PTB) Products Oncor Reliant TNMP CPL WTU 3 3 0
13 Estimated Price to Beat Savings- Calendar Year 2002 Estimated Savings (in millions) Jan.-Aug. Sept.-Dec. (after adjust.) Sept.-Dec. (before adjust.) TDSP CPL $41 $2 $21 Oncor $349 $124 $173 Reliant $257 $99 $139 TNMP $30 $11 $15 WTU $13 $2 $7 Total $690 $238 $355 Source: Public Utility Commission of Texas
14 Retail Switch Transactions , , , , , , , , ,142 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Switches Includes all complete, scheduled, and in review switches as of the 15 th of each month.
15 Percent of Residential Customers Served by Non-Affiliated Retail Electric Providers 7.00% 6.00% 5.00% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Oncor Centerpoint CPL WTU TNMP Source: Public Utility Commission of Texas
16 Percent of Small Commercial Customers Served by Non-Affiliated Retail Electric Providers 12.00% 10.00% 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Oncor Centerpoint CPL WTU TNMP Source: Public Utility Commission of Texas
17 Percent of Non-Price to Beat Customers Served Under a Competitive Contract 85.00% 80.00% 75.00% 70.00% 65.00% 60.00% 55.00% 50.00% 45.00% 40.00% Jan Feb March April May June July % Served Under Competitive Contract Source: Public Utility Commission of Texas
18 Copyright 2000 TXU Electric, All Rights Reserved Industry Model - Baseline View Issue Invoice & Receive Payment for Bilateral Contracts Secure Bilateral Contracts and Schedule Registration & Monitoring Submit Balanced Load/Supply Schedules Award Bids for Imbalances, Constraints, and Ancillary Services (Supply-Side) Bids for Imbalances, Constraints, and Ancillary Services (Supply-Side) Submit Generation Plan Ancillary Services Schedules/ Telemetry Feedback PUC Registration & Monitoring Certification Market Monitoring Q S E Power Marketers 1 Bid for Imbalances, Award Bids for Submit Constraints, Imbalances, Balanced & Ancillary Constraints Load/ Services and Ancillary Supply (Supply & Services Schedules Demand) QSE SAMIS (CONFIDENTIAL) ERCOT ISO OASIS (PUBLIC) 2 Buy/Sell Power Interruptible Load Schedules/ Telemetry Feedback Q S E Issue Invoice & Receive Payment for Bilateral Contracts Secure Bilateral Contracts and Schedule Regulation of Rates & Services Customer Inquiries/Resolved Inquiries/Maintain "Do-Not-Call" List Registration & Monitoring Certification & Monitoring Reports Submit Balanced Load/Supply Schedules Award Bids for Imbalances, Constraints and Ancillary Services Bids for Imbalances, Constraints and Ancillary Services (Demand-Side) Exercise Active Load Management Ancillary Services (Demand-Side) Interruptible Load Schedules/Telemetry Feedback Note: 1. The General Land Office (GLO) may function as any combination of, Power Generation Company, Retail Electric Provider or Power Marketer. Note: 2. ERCOT ISO certifies Qualified Scheduling Entities (QSE) for creditworthiness and ability to exchange information in the market. Note: 3. ERCOT Registration Process maintains detailed information for premises and market participants. Note: 4. ERCOT Commercial Operations will invoice and collect transaction fees from ERCOT and non- ERCOT market participants. Negotiate Aggregate Pricing Aggregators Real Time Telemetry Information Network Regulation of Rates & Services Transmission Status Plan Clearance Authorization/ Operation Instructions Monitoring and Reporting Network Condition Status Real Time Telemetry Information Network Network Condition Status Clearance Authorization /Operation Instructions Line Extension, Emergencies, Power Outages, etc... Power Flow Aggregate Customers Power Generation Company 1, 6 Power Flow Buy/Sell Power Transmission Company Power Flow REP Switch Notification Imbalances, Constraints, Ancillary Provide Services Data, ESI ID Prices, and Load Schedules *Distribution Utility Customer Metered Data Customer Issues/Service Requests Issue Invoice & Pay for: *** Nonbypassable Charge *Retail Electric Provider 1 Customer Issues/ Service Requests Issue Bill & Pay *** Nonbypassable Charge Win/Lose Customer Buy/Sell Power Customers **Municipals & Cooperatives Validate GenCo Production Disburse Fees for Imbalances, Constraints and Ancillary Services Invoice, Pay or Dispute Amount Due for Imbalances, Constraints and Ancillary Services Disburse Fees for Imbalances, Constraints and Ancillary Services Transmission Charge Billing Determinants Invoice, Pay or Dispute Amount Due for Imbalances, Constraints, and Ancillary Services GenCo Metered Output and TransCo Zonal Interconnections Metered Output Q S E Provide Aggregated Data ERCOT Commercial Operations 4 Settlement and Payment 3 Registration Data Aggregation Verify ESI ID for NBC Q S E ESI ID Consumption Data Profiling Provide Load Profiles Issue Invoice & Receive Payment for Transmission Utility Charges Issue Invoice & Receive Payment for Bilateral Contracts Secure Bilateral Contracts and Schedule Disburse Fees for Imbalances, Constraints, and Ancillary Services Invoice, Pay or Dispute Amount Due for Imbalances, Constraints, and Ancillary Services Switch Information & Send Associated Industry Standard Profile Types and Customer Information Notify REP of Potential Customer Loss / REP Approves or Objects Notify Customer of Switch Request / Customer Approves or Rejects Note: 5. Operational and market information for ERCOT and non-ercot is provided to participants via the market portal. Note: 6. QFs can act as REP for their own load without being certified. QFs also have PURPA "Put". * Includes non-ercot entities participating via state-wide data exchanges. ** Municipals and Cooperatives can elect to unbundle or remain bundled. *** Includes Distribution Charges, CTC and SBF. Key: Real Time Operations Customer Interactions ERCOT Data Exchanges State-wide Data Exchanges Financial Flows Regulatory Interactions Meter Settlement Meter Telemetry Version 2.0-5/18/2000
19
20 Outstanding Items Operational Issues at ERCOT Billing Move-in/Move in/move-outout IDR meter reads ISO Oversight Board Structure Criteria for Board Eligibility Report Filings to PUC Compliance with PUC Rules & Orders Market Design Issues DA of Local Congestion Generation Adequacy Market Transparency & Bilateral Contracts Wholesale Participants Code of Conduct Relaxed Balanced Schedule
21 QUESTIONS??
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