Bloomberg/Los Angeles Times Poll October 10 13, 2008

Transcription

1 Bloomberg/Los Angeles Times Poll October 10 13, 2008 Column Headings: REG = Registered Voters DEM = self-described Democrats IND = self-described Independents REP = self-described Republicans LIB, MOD, CONS = self-described liberals, moderates, conservatives Q2. If the November 2008 general election for president were being held today and the choices were Barack Obama and Joe Biden on the Democrat ticket, and John McCain and Sarah Palin on the Republican ticket, which ticket would you vote for: Obama and Biden or McCain and Palin, or would you vote for a ticket from some other party? REG LIKELY DEM IND REP LIB MOD CONS WHITE MALE FEMALE Obama/Biden McCain/Palin S/Else Don t know Q3. Are you certain you're going to vote for the (Democratic/Republican) ticket, or is it possible that you might end up voting for some other party's ticket? Among Dem/Rep Ticket Voters REG LIKELY DEM IND REP LIB MOD CONS WHITE MALE FEMALE Certain Not certain Don t know Ticket Vote in 2-Way Race: Obama/Biden McCain/Palin Certain Not certain 8 10 Don t know 2 2 Q4. What if the November general election for president were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, John McCain, the Republican, Independent Ralph Nader, Bob Barr, the Libertarian candidate, and Cynthia McKinney, the Green Party candidate for whom would you vote: Obama, McCain, Nader, Barr, or McKinney? REG LIKELY DEM IND REP LIB MOD CONS WHITE MALE FEMALE Obama McCain Nader Barr McKinney Other candidate Don t know Bloomberg LA Times Poll Oct 14, 2008 Page 1 of 16

2 Q5. Would you describe yourself as enthusiastic about the candidacy of Barack Obama, or not? Among Obama Voters REG DEM IND LIB MOD CONS WHITE BLACK MALE FEMALE Enthusiastic (net) Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not Enthused (net) Not too enthusiastic Not enthusiastic at all Don t know (net) Q6. Would you describe yourself as enthusiastic about the candidacy of John McCain, or not? Among McCain Voters REG IND REP MOD CONS WHITE MALE FEMALE Enthusiastic (net) Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not Enthused (net) Not too enthusiastic Not enthusiastic at all Don t know (net) Q7. If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party would you like to see win in your congressional district: the Democratic Party or the Republican Party? Democrats Republicans Other party Neither Don t know Ticket Vote in 2-Way Race: Obama/Biden McCain/Palin Democrats 81 6 Republicans 8 80 Neither 2 5 Don t know 9 9 Bloomberg LA Times Poll Oct 14, 2008 Page 2 of 16

3 Q9. What issue or problem do you consider the top priority for candidates running for president to address this election? Nothing in particular The economy in general War in Iraq Healthcare reform Protect US from terrorists Taxes High cost gas/oil/fuel Educational issues Illegal Immigration/ Border security Abortion/ gay rights/etc Budget deficit Unemployment/jobs Recession/depression Foreclosures/sub-prime Bailout/$700B package Environmental protection issues Homelessness/poverty Income inequities Alternative energy Increase oil production Threat countries Middle East Afghanistan Housing prices Other Don t know Q10. Do you have a positive or negative feeling about Barack Obama? Haven't heard (vol) Positive (net) Very positive Somewhat positive Negative (net) Somewhat negative Very negative Neutral (vol) Don t know (net) Bloomberg LA Times Poll Oct 14, 2008 Page 3 of 16

4 Q11. Do you have a positive or negative feeling about John McCain? Positive (net) Very positive Somewhat positive Negative (net) Somewhat negative Very negative Neutral (vol) Don t know (net) Q12. Do you have a positive or negative feeling about Joe Biden? Haven't heard (vol) Positive (net) Very positive Somewhat positive Negative (net) Somewhat negative Very negative Neutral (vol) Don t know (net) Q13. Do you have a positive or negative feeling about Sarah Palin? Haven't heard (vol) Positive (net) Very positive Somewhat positive Negative (net) Somewhat negative Very negative Neutral (vol) Don t know (net) Bloomberg LA Times Poll Oct 14, 2008 Page 4 of 16

5 Q14. Does Sarah Palin's presence on the ballot as a candidate for vice president, make you more or less likely to vote for John McCain for president, or does it not make a difference either way? More/likely (net) Much more likely Somewhat more likely Less/likely (net) Somewhat less likely Much less likely No difference Don t know (net) Q15. Do you think Republican vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin is qualified to become president of the United States if something happens to John McCain, or is she not qualified? Qualified Not qualified Don t know Q16. Do you think Democratic vice presidential candidate Joe Biden is qualified to become president of the United States if something happens to Barack Obama, or is he not qualified? Qualified Not qualified Don t know Q17. Do you think Barack Obama has the right experience to be president, or not? Yes No Don t know Q18. Do you think John McCain has the right experience to be president, or not? Yes No Don t know Bloomberg LA Times Poll Oct 14, 2008 Page 5 of 16

6 Q19. Regardless of your choice for president, do you feel that you know enough about Barack Obama to decide whether he would make a good president, or not? Know enough Don't know enough Don t know Q20. Regardless of your choice for president, do you feel that you know enough about John McCain to decide whether he would make a good president, or not? Know enough Don't know enough Don t know Q21. Who do you trust more to make the right decisions about the economy: Barack Obama or John McCain? Barack Obama John McCain Both equally (vol) Neither/Other (net) Neither of them (vol) Other candidate (vol) Don t know (net) Q22. Who do you think will substantially change the way things are done in Washington: Barack Obama or John McCain? Barack Obama John McCain Both equally (vol) Neither/Other (net) Neither of them (vol) Other candidate (vol) Don t know (net) Q23. Who do you think would be best at achieving success in Iraq: Barack Obama or John McCain? Barack Obama John McCain Both equally (vol) Neither/Other (net) Neither of them (vol) Don t know (net) Bloomberg LA Times Poll Oct 14, 2008 Page 6 of 16

7 Q24. Who do you think cares more about people like you: Barack Obama or John McCain? Barack Obama John McCain Both equally (vol) Neither/Other (net) Neither of them (vol) Other candidate (vol) Don t know (net) Q25. Who do you think would be best at dealing with an international crisis: Barack Obama or John McCain? Barack Obama John McCain Both equally (vol) Neither/Other (net) Neither of them (vol) Other candidate (vol) Don t know (net) Q26. Do you have confidence or no confidence that Barack Obama has an economic plan that can deal with the current financial crisis? Haven't heard (vol) Confidence (net) A lot of confidence Some confidence N/Confidence (net) Not too much conf No confidence at all Don t know (net) Q27. Do you have confidence or no confidence that John McCain has an economic plan that can deal with the current financial crisis? Haven't heard (vol) Confidence (net) A lot of confidence Some confidence N/Confidence (net) Not much conf No confidence at all Don t know (net) Bloomberg LA Times Poll Oct 14, 2008 Page 7 of 16

8 Q28. Who would do a better job of handling the financial crisis next year: Barack Obama or John McCain? Barack Obama John McCain Both equally (vol) Neither of them (vol) Don t know (net) Q29. Who do you think has closer ties to the financial institutions that are involved with the economic crisis in this country: Barack Obama or John McCain? Barack Obama John McCain Both equally (vol) Neither of them (vol) Don t know (net) Q30. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: "John McCain will continue the policies of George W. Bush"? Agree (net) Strongly agree Somewhat agree Disagree (net) Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don t know (net) Q31. Regardless of your choice for president, does Barack Obama's race give you reservations about voting for him, or not? Yes No Don t know Bloomberg LA Times Poll Oct 14, 2008 Page 8 of 16

9 Q32. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Approve (net) Approve strongly Approve somewhat Disapprove (net) Disapprove somewhat Disapprove strongly Don t know (net) Approve (net) Approve strongly Approve somewhat Disapprove (net) Disapprove somewhat Disapprove strongly Don t know (net) Q33. Do you think things in this country are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track? Right direction Wrong track Don t know Right direction Wrong track Don t know Bloomberg LA Times Poll Oct 14, 2008 Page 9 of 16

10 Q34. Generally speaking, do you think the nation's economy these days is doing very well, or fairly well, or fairly badly, or very badly? Well (net) Very well Fairly well Badly (net) Fairly badly Very badly Don t know (net) Well (net) Very well Fairly well Badly (net) Fairly badly Very badly Don t know (net) Q35. Six months from now, do you expect the nation's economy will be better than it is now, worse than it is now or about the same as it is now? Better Worse About the same Don t know Better Worse About the same Don t know Bloomberg LA Times Poll Oct 14, 2008 Page 10 of 16

11 Q36. What is the most important economic issue for Barack Obama and John McCain to address while campaigning: Is it taxes, or unemployment, or strengthening regulations of financial institutions, or housing foreclosures, or high gas prices, or Social Security? Taxes Unemployment Strengthen regulations Housing foreclosures High gas prices Social security Other (vol) Don t know Taxes Unemployment Strengthen regulations Housing foreclosures High gas prices Social security Other (vol) Don t know Q37. Would you describe the state of your own personal finances these days as very secure, fairly secure, fairly shaky or very shaky? Secure (net) Very secure Fairly secure Shaky (net) Fairly shaky Very shaky Don t know (net) Secure (net) Very secure Fairly secure Shaky (net) Fairly shaky Very shaky Don t know (net) Bloomberg LA Times Poll Oct 14, 2008 Page 11 of 16

12 Q38. Say that you had to come up with $1,000 in cash for an emergency by next week. Would it be very easy, fairly easy, fairly difficult, or very difficult for you to come up with $1,000 in cash by next week? Easy (net) Very easy Fairly easy Difficult (net) Fairly difficult Very difficult Impossible (vol) Don t know (net) Easy (net) Very easy Fairly easy Difficult (net) Fairly difficult Very difficult Impossible (vol) Don t know (net) Q39. Thinking about jobs, income, savings, and anything else that might contribute to your household's financial security, do you or do you not feel that your household's financial security is threatened right now? Does the threat to your financial security make you very worried, somewhat worried, not very worried, or not worried at all? Not threatened Worried (net) Very worried Somewhat worried Not worried (net) Not too worried Not worried at all Don t know (net) Not threatened Worried (net) Very worried Somewhat worried Not worried (net) Not too worried Not worried at all Don t know (net) Bloomberg LA Times Poll Oct 14, 2008 Page 12 of 16

13 Q40. In general, do you think there is too much, too little, or about the right amount of government regulation of business? Too much Too little Right amount Don t know Too much Too little Right amount Don t know Q41. In thinking about the financial situation that the country is in right now, is the country facing a serious economic crisis, a problem but not a crisis, or not much of a problem at all? Serious crisis N/crisis (net) Problem but not a crisis Not much of a problem at all Don t know (net) Serious crisis N/crisis (net) Problem but not a crisis Not much of a problem at all Don t know (net) Bloomberg LA Times Poll Oct 14, 2008 Page 13 of 16

14 Q42. As you may have heard, last week Congress passed a bill that provides up to seven hundred billion dollars to help stabilize the financial markets. Do you think lawmakers did the right or wrong thing for the country when it passed this financial package? Right thing (net) Right thing - strongly Right thing - somewhat Wrong thing (net) Wrong thing - somewhat Wrong thing - strongly Don t know (net) Right thing (net) Right thing - strongly Right thing - somewhat Wrong thing (net) Wrong thing - somewhat Wrong thing - strongly Don t know (net) Q43. How confident are you that the financial package will stabilize the market and keep the economy from getting worse: Very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not confident at all? Confidence (net) Very confident Somewhat confident No Confidence (net) Not too confident Not confident at all Don t know (net) Confidence (net) Very confident Somewhat confident No Confidence (net) Not too confident Not confident at all Don t know (net) Bloomberg LA Times Poll Oct 14, 2008 Page 14 of 16

15 Q44. If you knew that one of the candidates for Congress in your district voted to pass the financial bill to help stabilize the markets, would that make you more or less likely to vote to re-elect them in November, or would it not affect your vote one way or the other? No effect More likely Less likely Don t know No effect More likely Less likely Don t know Q45. Are you in favor of or opposed to the federal government providing assistance to individual homeowners who are facing foreclosure? Favor (net) Strongly in favor Somewhat in favor Oppose (net) Somewhat opposed Strongly opposed Don t know (net) Favor (net) Strongly in favor Somewhat in favor Oppose (net) Somewhat opposed Strongly opposed Don t know (net) Q46. Some people are saying that lack of regulation is partly responsible for the current financial and housing crisis, do you agree or disagree with that? Agree Disagree Don t know Agree Disagree Don t know Bloomberg LA Times Poll Oct 14, 2008 Page 15 of 16

16 Q47. Have any of the following things happened to you, or to any member of your household, within the last 12 months: has anyone been fired or laid off work, or lost part-time work, or was temporarily laid off, or had to accept a lower- paying position at work, or had work hours cut back, or had overtime work cut back? None (vol) Fired or laid off Lost part-time work Temporarily laid off Lower-paying position Work hours cut back Overtime cut back Don t know None (vol) Fired or laid off Lost part-time work Temporarily laid off Lower-paying position Work hours cut back Overtime cut back Don t know Bloomberg LA Times Poll Oct 14, 2008 Page 16 of 16