Demographic Profile of the Greater Toronto Area 1986 to 2006

Transcription

1

2 Demographic Profile of the Greater Area 1986 to 26 Background The GTA Demographic Profile is an important Action Item of the GTA Agricultural Action Committee through the GTA Agricultural Action Plan 1. The GTA Agricultural Action Plan (Action Plan) was developed through partnership amongst the Regions of Durham, Halton, Peel, and York, the City of, the GTA Federations of Agriculture and the Province. The Action Plan provides a GTA-wide framework to keep the GTA agricultural industry competitive through the identification of 37 action items in the areas of economic development, education/marketing, land use policy, accountability and responsibility. The GTA Agricultural Action Committee was established to ensure the implementation of the Actions identified in the GTA Agricultural Action Plan and to champion the agricultural industry sector in the Greater Area. Regional efforts towards implementing the Action Plan are also being coordinated through the Regional Planning Commissioners of Ontario GTA Caucus. Introduction The GTA Demographic Profile depicts demographic trends in the Greater Area from 1986 to 26 by using Statistics Canada data from five Census collection periods: 1986, 1991, 1996, 21, and 26. The GTA Demographic Profile was developed to identify emerging consumer groups and provides background to additional Action Items, identified in the GTA Agricultural Action Plan. The Profile also provides the agricultural industry with Statistics Canada Census Data to assist in identifying GTA markets and their geographic location through population, immigration, and economic Census data. Some of the highlights of the Profile include identification of emerging consumer groups, opportunities for potential markets, commodities farming, and agricultural specialty products for niche markets. This document was prepared by the GTA Regional Agricultrual Working Group, which consists of planning and economic development staff from the four GTA Regions and the City of ; under the direction of the RPCO - GTA Caucus. Defined terms are italicized within the text of this document and definitions are provided in the Glossary of Terms, found on pages 27 and 28 (1) GTA Agricultural Action Plan, 25 March 29 1

3 2

4 Table of Contents Section One: Population Profile Population Growth...4 Population Density...4 Map 1: Population Per Square Kilometre in the Greater Area, 26 Census...5 Age of Population...6 Map 2: Percent of the Population Aged 45 to 64 Years in the Greater Area, 26 Census...7 Map 3: Percent of the Population Aged 65 Years and Over in the Greater Area, 26 Census...8 Section Two: Immigration Profile Growth in Immigration... 1 Map 4: Percent of the Population Who are Immigrants in the Greater Area, 26 Census Origins of Immigration Map 5: Percent of the Population Who are European-Born Immigrants in the Greater Area, 26 Census Map 6: Percent of the Population Who are Asian-Born Immigrants in the Greater Area, 26 Census Languages Map 7: Percent of the Population That Exclusively Speaks English in the Greater Area, 26 Census Map 8: Percent of the Population That Exclusively Speaks a Non-Official Language at Home in the Greater Area, 26 Census Ethnic Origins and Visible Minorities Section Three: Economic Profile Education... 2 Map 9: Percent of the Population That Has Had Some Post Secondary Education in the Greater Area, 26 Census Employment Income Map 1: Labour Force Unemployment Rate of Residents in the Greater Area, 26 Census Map 11: Median Household Income in the Greater Area, 26 Census Map 12: Percent of the Population Living in Low Income in the Greater Area, 26 Census Section Four: Access to Information Summary Glossary of Terms

5 Demographic Profile of the Greater Area (GTA), Section One: Population Growth, Population Density and Age of Population Population Growth The GTA is comprised of four upper tier municipalities: Durham, Halton, Peel, York, and the City of. In 1986, the GTA was home to 3.7 million people. By 26, this figure had increased by 49% (or almost 2 million people) to 5.5 million people. Peel and York grew by over 5, people each, while s population increased by over 31, people, Durham s population increased by 235, people and Halton s population increased by just under 168, people. Refer to Table 1 and Chart 1. Population Density In 26, there was an average of 779 people per square kilometre in the GTA. This figure varies significantly amongst municipalities. has the highest population density in the GTA with 4, people per square kilometre, compared to almost 1, people per square kilometre in Peel, approximately 5 people per square kilometre in York and Halton, and just over 2 people per square kilometre in Durham. Refer to Table 2 and Map 1. Table 1: Population Growth, 1986 to 26* Regional Municipality Durham Halton Peel York Total , , ,169 2,192,721 35,62 3,733, ,7 313, ,798 2,275,771 54,981 4,235, , , ,526 2,385, ,445 4,628, ,91 375, ,948 2,481, ,254 5,81, , ,256 1,159,45 2,53, ,712 5,555,912 Table 2: Population Density, * Area in Square Kilometres 1986 People per Square Kilometre 1991 People per Square Kilometre 1996 People per Square Kilometre 21 People per Square Kilometre 26 People per Square Kilometre , , , , , Peel 1, York 1, Durham 2, Halton GTA 7, Chart 1: Population in GTA Municipalities, 1986 to 26* Population 6,, 5,, 4,, 3,, 2,, 1,, Census Year Peel York Durham Halton GTA The GTA s population has increased by almost 2 million people (or 49%) from 3.7 million in 1986 to 5.5 million in 26 Places to Grow 2 forecasts the GTA population by 221 of 7,18, people and 7,96, people by *Sources: Statistics Canada, 1986 Census of Population, Catalogue No. (Part 1: , Sept. 1987; Part 2: , Sept. 1998). Statistics Canada, 1991 Census of Population, Catalogue No , Fourth Quarter Statistics Canada, 1996 Census of Population, Catalogue No. 95F181XDB967, June 9, 1998 Statistics Canada, 21 Census of Population, Catalogue No. 95F495XCB212, October 22, 23 No X262, May 1, 28 (2) Places to Grow, Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe, 26

6 Map 1: Population Per Square Kilometre in the Greater Area, 26 Census Lake Simcoe Legend Population Density Georgina Brock East Gwillimbury Caledon Major Lakes Newmarket King Census Tract Boundary Municipal Boundary Aurora Uxbridge Whitchurch-Stouffville Vaughan Halton Hills Richmond Hill Scugog Brampton Lake Scugog Markham Pickering Milton Mississauga Whitby Ajax Burlington ³ Oshawa Clarington Oakville Lake Ontario 5 1 Kilometres Source: No XWE (Census Consolidated Subdivision), October 18, 26 2 No XWE (Census Tract), February 14, 27 No X265, May 1, 28 This map has been produced from a variety of sources. The Region of Durham does not make any representations concerning the accuracy, likely results, or reliability of the use of the materials. The Region hereby disclaims all representations and warranties. Within the area illustrated on this map, the data are presented by Census Tract, except for the Townships of Brock and Scugog, within the Regional Municipality of Durham, which are presented by Census Consolidated Subdivision. Population Density data derived from Statistics Canada, 26 Census, Release 1, using the "Population, 26-1% data" data field, divided by the "Land area in square kilometres, 26" data field. Digital cartography and geographic analysis by David Perkins, The Regional Municipality of Durham Planning Department, August 28. 5

7 Age of Population In 26, the median age (which divides the population equally into younger and older halves) in every GTA municipality was over 35 years. Peel had the lowest median age (35.6 years) followed by York (37.5 years), Durham (37.7 years), and Halton (with 38.4 years each). People aged to 19 years comprised 25% of the GTA s population in 26. Within the GTA municipalities, this figure varied from 22% in to 28% in Peel, York and Durham. Over one in three people in the GTA (37%) were between the ages of 2 and 44 years. Another 25% of the GTA s population were aged 45 to 65 years, while only 12% were 65 years or older. recorded the highest proportion of people aged 65 years and older (14%) followed by Halton (12%), Durham (11%), York (1%) and Peel (9%). Although the 12% seniors figure for the GTA population seems small, it has been steadily increasing from eight percent in 1986, and will start to accelerate in the upcoming 211 census as the first of the baby boom generation reaches this age bracket. Refer to Pie Chart and Maps 2 and 3. Population by Age in GTA, years and older, 664,895, 12% -19 years, 1,46,56, 25% There are fewer young people aged -19 years and more seniors aged 65 years and over in than in the other GTA municipalities years, 1,44,88, 25% 2-44 years, 2,79,575, 38% Source: Statistics Canada, 26 Census of Population, Catalogue No X262, May 1, 28 Contrary to the popular belief that empty-nesters and retirees flock to new lifestyles in Florida, Muskoka or downtown condos, the overwhelming statistical evidence is that people age in place. Most of the elderly remain in the family home as long as they can and few permanently migrate elsewhere 2. 6 (2) Places to Grow, Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe, 26

8 Map 2: Percent of the Population Aged 45 to 64 Years in the Greater Area, 26 Census Lake Simcoe Legend Georgina Population years, percent.% - 17.% 17.1% - 2.% 2.1% - 23.% Brock 23.1% - 26.% 26.1% - 29.% 29.1% - 32.% East Gwillimbury 32.1% - 35.% 35.1% - 6.% Caledon Major Lakes Newmarket King Census Tract Boundary Municipal Boundary Aurora Uxbridge Whitchurch-Stouffville Vaughan Halton Hills Richmond Hill Scugog Brampton Lake Scugog Markham Pickering Milton Mississauga Whitby Ajax Burlington ³ Oshawa Clarington Oakville Lake Ontario 5 1 Kilometres Source: No XWE (Census Consolidated Subdivision), October 18, 26 2 No XWE (Census Tract), February 14, 27 No X265, May 1, 28 This map has been produced from a variety of sources. The Region of Durham does not make any representations concerning the accuracy, likely results, or reliability of the use of the materials. The Region hereby disclaims all representations and warranties. Within the area illustrated on this map, the data are presented by Census Tract, except for the Townships of Brock and Scugog, within the Regional Municipality of Durham, which are presented by Census Consolidated Subdivision. Population Aged years data derived from Statistics Canada, 26 Census, Release 2, summing various subfields of the "Total population by sex and age groups - 1% data" data field, dividing that sum by the above field, multiplied by 1. Digital cartography and geographic analysis by David Perkins, The Regional Municipality of Durham Planning Department, August

9 Map 3: Percent of the Population Aged 65 Years and Over in the Greater Area, 26 Census Lake Simcoe Legend Population 65 Years And Over Georgina. % - 4. % 4.1 % - 8. % 8.1 % % 12.1 % % 16.1 % - 2. % Brock 2.1 % % 24.1 % % 28.1 % % East Gwillimbury Major Lakes Census Tract Boundary Municipal Boundary Caledon Newmarket King Aurora Uxbridge Whitchurch-Stouffville Vaughan Halton Hills Richmond Hill Scugog Brampton Lake Scugog Markham Pickering Milton Mississauga Whitby Ajax Burlington Oakville Clarington Lake Ontario 5 1 Kilometres 8 Oshawa Source: No XWE (Census Consolidated Subdivision), October 18, 26 2 No XWE (Census Tract), February 14, 27 No X265, May 1, 28 This map has been produced from a variety of sources. The Region of Durham does not make any representations concerning the accuracy, likely results, or reliability of the use of the materials. The Region hereby disclaims all representations and warranties. Within the area illustrated on this map, the data are presented by Census Tract, except for the Townships of Brock and Scugog, within the Regional Municipality of Durham, which are presented by Census Consolidated Subdivision. Population Aged 65 Years and Over data derived from Statistics Canada, 26 Census, Release 2, summing various subfields of the "Total population by sex and age groups - 1% data" data field and dividing that sum by the above field, multiplied by 1. Digital cartography and geographic analysis by David Perkins, The Regional Municipality of Durham Planning Department, August 28. ³

10 9

11 Demographic Profile of the Greater Area (GTA), Section Two: Growth in Immigration, Origins of Immigration, Languages, Ethnic Origins and Visible Minorities Growth in Immigration In the GTA, immigrants (people born outside of Canada) comprise increasingly large portions of the total population. In 1986, 35% of the GTA s population or 1,295, people were immigrants. By 26, this figure had increased to 44% or 2,42, people. In 26, had the highest percentage of immigrants in the GTA (5%), followed by Peel (49%), York (43%), Halton (25%) and Durham (2%). This trend has remained consistent since In 26, immigrants comprised over half of the population in several lower tier municipalities, including Markham (57%), Mississauga (52%), and Richmond Hill (52%). Every lower tier municipality in the GTA had approximately 1% immigrants in 26. Refer to Chart 2 and Map 4. Chart 2: Percentage of Immigrants in the GTA's Population by Municipality* From 1986 to 26, the proportion of immigrants increased in every GTA municipality. In 26, 44% (2,42,) of the GTA population were immigrants Census Year Peel York Durham Halton GTA High levels of immigration are expected for, among other things, to moderate the effects of an aging population 2. 1 *Sources: Statistics Canada, 1986 Census of Population, Catalogue No. (Part 1: , Sept. 1987; Part 2: , Sept. 1998). Statistics Canada, 1991 Census of Population, Catalogue No , Third Quarter Statistics Canada, 1996 Census of Population, Catalogue No. 95F181XDB967, June 9, 1998 Statistics Canada, 21 Census of Population, Catalogue No. 95F495XCB212, October 22, 23 No X262, May 1, 28 (2) Places to Grow, Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe, 26

12 Map 4: Percent of the Population Who are Immigrants in the Greater Area, 26 Census Lake Simcoe Legend Percent Immigrants Georgina % - 1. % 1.1 % - 2. % 2.1 % - 3. % 3.1 % - 4. % Brock 4.1 % - 5. % 5.1 % - 6. % 6. % % East Gwillimbury 7.1 % - 8. % Major Lakes Census Tract Boundary Caledon Municipal Boundary Newmarket King Aurora Uxbridge Whitchurch-Stouffville Vaughan Halton Hills Richmond Hill Scugog Brampton Lake Scugog Markham Pickering Milton Mississauga Whitby Ajax Burlington Oakville Oshawa Clarington Lake Ontario 5 1 Kilometres ³ Source: No XWE (Census Consolidated Subdivision), October 18, 26 2 No XWE (Census Tract), February 14, 27 No X265, May 1, 28 This map has been produced from a variety of sources. The Region of Durham does not make any representations concerning the accuracy, likely results, or reliability of the use of the materials. The Region hereby disclaims all representations and warranties. Within the area illustrated on this map, the data are presented by Census Tract, except for the Townships of Brock and Scugog, within the Regional Municipality of Durham, which are presented by Census Consolidated Subdivision. Percent Immigrants data derived from Statistics Canada, 26 Census, Release 4, using the "Immigrants" data field divided by the "Total population by immigrant status and place of birth, 2% sample data" data field multiplied by 1. Digital cartography and geographic analysis by David Perkins, The Regional Municipality of Durham Planning Department, August

13 Origins of Immigration From 1986 to 26, 79% of immigrants settling in the GTA have primarily reported their place of birth as Europe or Asia. In 1986 and 1991 over 5% of the GTA s immigrants were born in Europe and less than 3% were born in Asia. By 26, 48% of all GTA immigrants were born in Asia while 31% were born in Europe. Refer to Table 3 and Maps 5 and 6. Table 3: GTA Percentage Growth in Origin of Immigration to 26* Origin Europe Asia % 19% % 27% % 33% 21 33% 39% In 26, the top five countries of birth place for immigrants in the GTA were: India (about 225, people, or 9% of all immigrants); The People s Republic of China (about 193, people, or 8% of all immigrants); The United Kingdom (about 15, people, or 6% of all immigrants); Italy (about 134, people, or 5.6% of all immigrants); and, 26 31% 48% The Philippines (about 132, people, or 5.5% of all immigrants). The top five countries of birth place for immigrants in 26 varied amongst the GTA municipalities. Durham and Halton reported the United Kingdom as the top place of birth for immigrants. In Peel, India was the most reported country of birth place for immigrants, while in the People s Republic of China was most reported. The Special Administrative Region of Hong Kong was the most reported place of birth for York s immigrants. In 26, the top five countries of birth place for recent immigrants (who arrived in Canada between January 1, 21 and May 16, 26) were all in Asia: India (about 78, people, or 17% of all recent immigrants); People s Republic of China (about 65, people, or 14% of all recent immigrants); Pakistan (about 38, people, or 8% of all recent immigrants); The Philippines (about 33, people, or 7% of all recent immigrants); and, Sri Lanka (about 17,5 people, or 4% of all recent immigrants). The People s Republic of China and India were the top countries for place of birth for recent immigrants in four of the five GTA municipalities: China for and York, and India for Peel and Halton. In Durham, the top place of birth for recent immigrants was The Philippines. Over 293, immigrants and over 61, recent immigrants were born in countries that were grouped together into the all other places of birth category. The large numbers of immigrants and recent immigrants included in the all other places of birth category illustrates that the GTA is a culturally diverse area, although there were more recent immigrants from India and The People s Republic of China than the all other places of birth category. In 26, 79% of the GTA s immigrants were born in either Asia (48%) or Europe (31%) 12 *Sources: Statistics Canada, 1986 Census of Population, Catalogue No. (Part 1: , Sept. 1987; Part 2: , Sept. 1998). Statistics Canada, 1991 Census of Population, Catalogue No , Third Quarter Statistics Canada, 1996 Census of Population, Catalogue No. 95F181XDB967, June 9, 1998 Statistics Canada, 21 Census of Population, Catalogue No. 95F495XCB212, October 22, 23 No X262, May 1, 28

14 Map 5: Percent of the Population Who are European-Born Immigrants in the Greater Area, 26 Census Lake Simcoe Legend Percent European Immigrants Georgina.% - 4.% 4.1% - 7.% 7.1% - 1.% 1.1% - 13.% Brock 13.1% - 16.% 16.1% - 2.% 2.1% - 25.% East Gwillimbury 25.1% - 45.% Major Lakes Census Tract Boundary Caledon Municipal Boundary Newmarket King Aurora Uxbridge Whitchurch-Stouffville Vaughan Halton Hills Richmond Hill Scugog Brampton Lake Scugog Markham Pickering Milton Mississauga Whitby Ajax Burlington Oakville Oshawa Clarington Lake Ontario 5 1 Kilometres Source: No XWE (Census Consolidated Subdivision), October 18, 26 2 No XWE (Census Tract), February 14, 27 No X265, May 1, 28 This map has been produced from a variety of sources. The Region of Durham does not make any representations concerning the accuracy, likely results, or reliability of the use of the materials. The Region hereby disclaims all representations and warranties. Within the area illustrated on this map, the data are presented by Census Tract, except for the Townships of Brock and Scugog, within the Regional Municipality of Durham, which are presented by Census Consolidated Subdivision. ³ Percent European Immigrants data derived from Statistics Canada, 26 Census, Release 4, using the "Europe" data field divided by the "Total population by immigrant status and place of birth, 2% sample data" data field multiplied by 1. Digital cartography and geographic analysis by David Perkins, The Regional Municipality of Durham Planning Department, August

15 Map 6: Percent of the Population Who are Asian-Born Immigrants in the Greater Area, 26 Census Lake Simcoe Georgina Legend Percent Asian Immigrants.% - 1.% 1.1% - 5.% Brock 5.1% - 1.% 1.1% - 2.% 2.1% - 25.% 25.1% - 35.% East Gwillimbury 35.1% - 45.% 45.1% % Caledon Major Lakes Newmarket King Census Tract Boundary Municipal Boundary Aurora Uxbridge Whitchurch-Stouffville Vaughan Halton Hills Richmond Hill Scugog Brampton Lake Scugog Markham Pickering Milton Mississauga Whitby Ajax Burlington Clarington Oakville Lake Ontario 5 1 Kilometres 14 Oshawa Source: No XWE (Census Consolidated Subdivision), October 18, 26 2 No XWE (Census Tract), February 14, 27 No X265, May 1, 28 This map has been produced from a variety of sources. The Region of Durham does not make any representations concerning the accuracy, likely results, or reliability of the use of the materials. The Region hereby disclaims all representations and warranties. Within the area illustrated on this map, the data are presented by Census Tract, except for the Townships of Brock and Scugog, within the Regional Municipality of Durham, which are presented by Census Consolidated Subdivision. Percent Asian Immigrants data derived from Statistics Canada, 26 Census, Release 4, using the "Asia" data field divided by the "Total population by immigrant status and place of birth, 2% sample data" data field multiplied by 1. Digital cartography and geographic analysis by David Perkins, The Regional Municipality of Durham Planning Department, August 28. ³

16 Languages From 1986 to 26, at least two out of three GTA residents reported speaking only English in the home. In 1986, Italian was the second most common solely-spoken language in the home (after English), followed by Chinese. In 1991, 1996 and 21, the top three most common solely spoken languages in homes across the GTA were English, Chinese and Italian. In 26, the top three most common solely spoken languages in homes across the GTA were Chinese n.o.s. (not otherwise specified), Punjabi, and Tamil,(after English). All GTA municipalities reported English as the most common solely spoken language at home in all Census years. In 26, Durham and Halton reported English at over 9% of all single responses, English was solely spoken by 72% of York residents, 71% of Peel residents, and 67% of residents. Refer to Chart 3 and Maps 7 and 8. In and York, Cantonese and Chinese n.o.s were reported as the second and third most solely spoken languages. In Peel, languages originating in the Indian sub-continent comprised almost ten percent of all residents; Punjabi was spoken by almost 7% and Urdu by almost three percent of their residents. In Durham and Halton, the second most solely spoken language was Urdu in Durham, and Punjabi tied with Spanish in Halton, although the percentages were lower at.4% and.6% respectively, and the absolute numbers were even lower still, at about 2, and 2,6 residents respectively. The increasing incidence of multiple languages being spoken in GTA homes, the large number of non-official home languages reported and the decreasing proportion of residents that speak only English in the home indicates that the GTA is a linguistically diverse region. Chart 3: Population that Speaks Only English At Home in the GTA* 4,5, 4,, Population 3,5, 3,, 2,5, 2,, 1,5, 1,, 79% of Population 78% of Population 74% of Population 65% of Population 71% of Population From 1986 to 26 the proportion of residents that speak only English in GTA homes has decreased. 5, Census Year *Sources: Statistics Canada, 1986 Census of Population, Catalogue No. (Part 1: , Sept. 1987; Part 2: , Sept. 1998). Statistics Canada, 1991 Census of Population, Catalogue No , Third Quarter Statistics Canada, 1996 Census of Population, Catalogue No. 95F181XDB967, June 9, 1998 Statistics Canada, 21 Census of Population, Catalogue No. 95F495XCB212, October 22, 23 No X262, May 1, 28 15

17 Map 7: Percent of the Population That Exclusively Speaks English in the Greater Area, 26 Census Lake Simcoe Legend Georgina Percent English Speakers At Home % - 4% 41% - 5% 51% - 6% 61% - 7% Brock 71% - 8% 81% - 9% 91% - 95% East Gwillimbury 96% - 1% Major Lakes Caledon Census Tract Boundary Newmarket King Municipal Boundary Aurora Uxbridge Whitchurch-Stouffville Vaughan Halton Hills Richmond Hill Scugog Brampton Lake Scugog Markham Pickering Milton Mississauga Whitby Ajax Burlington Oakville Clarington Lake Ontario 5 1 Kilometres 16 Oshawa Source: No XWE (Census Consolidated Subdivision), October 18, 26 2 No XWE (Census Tract), February 14, 27 No X265, May 1, 28 This map has been produced from a variety of sources. The Region of Durham does not make any representations concerning the accuracy, likely results, or reliability of the use of the materials. The Region hereby disclaims all representations and warranties. Within the area illustrated on this map, the data are presented by Census Tract, except for the Townships of Brock and Scugog, within the Regional Municipality of Durham, which are presented by Census Consolidated Subdivision. Percent of the Population that exclusively speaks English at home data derived from Statistics Canada, 26 Census, Release 4, using the "(Single responses) English" data field divided by the "Total population by language spoken at home 2% sample data" data field multiplied by 1. Digital cartography and geographic analysis by David Perkins, The Regional Municipality of Durham Planning Department, September 28. ³

18 Map 8: Percent of the Population That Exclusively Speaks a Non-Official Language at Home in the Greater Area, 26 Census Legend Lake Simcoe Georgina Percent Non-Official Language Speakers % - 5% 6% - 1% 11% - 15% 16% - 2% Brock 21% - 3% 31% - 4% 41% - 5% 51% - 69% East Gwillimbury Major Lakes Census Tract Boundary Caledon Municipal Boundary Newmarket King Aurora Uxbridge Whitchurch-Stouffville Vaughan Halton Hills Richmond Hill Scugog Brampton Lake Scugog Markham Pickering Milton Mississauga Whitby Ajax Burlington ³ Oshawa Clarington Oakville Lake Ontario 5 1 Kilometres Source: No XWE (Census Consolidated Subdivision), October 18, 26 2 No XWE (Census Tract), February 14, 27 No X265, May 1, 28 This map has been produced from a variety of sources. The Region of Durham does not make any representations concerning the accuracy, likely results, or reliability of the use of the materials. The Region hereby disclaims all representations and warranties. Within the area illustrated on this map, the data are presented by Census Tract, except for the Townships of Brock and Scugog, within the Regional Municipality of Durham, which are presented by Census Consolidated Subdivision. Percent of the Population that exclusively speaks a Non-Official Language at home data derived from Statistics Canada, 26 Census, Release 4, using the "(Single responses) Non-Official Languages" data field divided by the "Total population by language spoken at home - 2% sample data" data field multiplied by 1. Digital cartography and geographic analysis by David Perkins, The Regional Municipality of Durham Planning Department, September

19 Ethnic Origins and Visible Minorities In the GTA the top ethnic origin in 26 was English with 18% of responses, followed by Canadian (14%), Scottish (12%), Irish (11%), Chinese (1%), East Indian (9%), and Italian (9%). Between 21 and 26 in the GTA, English and Canadian switched top spot, while Chinese and Indian overtook Italian. English was the top response for ethnic origin for all of the municipalities within the GTA except for Peel, where East Indian had 18% of responses and English had 14% of responses. Chinese was a close second to English in, with 13% and 14% respectively. Over 2 different ethnic origins were reported, illustrating the rich diversity of ethnic origins in the GTA. In 21 and 26, South Asians comprised the largest portion of all visible minorities in the GTA. In Peel, South Asians were 24% of the total population, compared to 16% in 21, while in Halton, this figure was 4% in 26 and 3% in 21. In 26, in, South Asian visible minorities were 12% of the population and Chinese were 11% of the population. Only York and Durham reported different largest visible minority groups: Chinese was 16% of the total population in York whereas Black people comprised 6% of Durham s total population. South Asians, however, were the second most prevalent minority group in both York (9%), and Durham (4%). Refer to Table 4. Table 4: Percentage Growth for Visible Minorities by GTA Region to 26* Regional Municipality Durham Halton Peel York % 7% 31% 37% 24% 21 12% 9% 38% 43% 3% 26 17% 13% 5% 47% 37% 18 *Sources: Statistics Canada, 1996 Census of Population, Catalogue No. 95F181XDB967, June 9, 1998 Statistics Canada, 21 Census of Population, Catalogue No. 95F495XCB212, October 22, 23 No X262, May 1, 28

20 19

21 Demographic Profile of the Greater Area (GTA), Section Three: Education, Employment and Income Education More GTA residents reported having educational qualifications in 26 than in The proportion of the population with less than a high school education decreased from 4% in 1986 to 2% in 26. At the same time, the share of people with education at a college or university increased from about one quarter of the population (or 24% in both categories) to one third of the population for university (32%) and 23% for college. The portion of the population whose highest level of education was a high school diploma doubled from 13% in 1986 to 26% in 26. Within the GTA, had the highest percentage of people aged 15 years and over with a university education (35%) followed by York (32%), Halton (31%), Peel (29%) and Durham (19%). Durham led all regions with a college or trades education with 31%; all other regions were in the twenties. The percentage of people 15 years and over with less than a high school education was consistent throughout the GTA at between 19% and 21% with the exception of Halton which had 16%. Refer to Pie Charts and Map 9. Highest Level of Education of GTA Residents, 1986 Highest Level of Education of GTA Residents, 1991 Highest Level of Education of GTA Residents, 1996 University, 698,45, 24% No high school graduation certificate or diploma, 1,182,85, 39% University, 1,265,45, 34% No high school graduation certificate or diploma, 1,131,18, 3% University, 1,76,4, 29% No high school graduation certificate or diploma, 1,119,2, 31% College or trades certificate/diploma, 78,93, 24% High school graduation certificate or diploma, 38,16, 13% College or trades certificate/diploma, 832,53, 22% High school graduation certificate or diploma, 55,84, 14% College or trades certificate/diploma, 955,21, 26% High school graduation certificate or diploma, 56,385, 14% Statistics Canada, 1986 Census of Population, Catalogue No. (Part 1: , Sept. 1987; Part 2: , Sept. 1998). Statistics Canada, 1991 Census of Population, Catalogue No , Third Quarter Statistics Canada, 1996 Census of Population, Catalogue No. 95F181XDB967, June 9, 1998 Highest Level of Education of GTA Residents, 21 Highest Level of Education of GTA Residents, 26 University, 1,218,735, 33% No high school graduation certificate or diploma, 863,89, 23% University, 1,48,48, 31% No high school graduation certificate or diploma, 884,25, 2% College or trades certificate/diploma, 1,145,535, 31% High school graduation certificate or diploma, 483,345, 13% College or trades certificate/diploma, 1,31,36, 23% High school graduation certificate or diploma, 1,151,865, 26% 2 Statistics Canada, 21 Census of Population, Catalogue No. 95F495XCB212, October 22, 23 No X262, May 1, 28

22 Map 9: Percent of the Population That Has Had Some Post Secondary Education in the Greater Area, 26 Census Lake Simcoe Legend Georgina Percent With Post Secondary % - 4% 4% - 45% 45% - 5% Brock 5% - 55% 55% - 6% 6% - 65% East Gwillimbury 65% - 7% 7% - 86% Major Lakes Caledon Census Tract Boundary Newmarket King Municipal Boundary Aurora Uxbridge Whitchurch-Stouffville Vaughan Halton Hills Richmond Hill Scugog Brampton Lake Scugog Markham Pickering Milton Mississauga Whitby Ajax Burlington ³ Oshawa Clarington Oakville Lake Ontario 5 1 Kilometres Source: No XWE (Census Consolidated Subdivision), October 18, 26 2 No XWE (Census Tract), February 14, 27 No X265, May 1, 28 This map has been produced from a variety of sources. The Region of Durham does not make any representations concerning the accuracy, likely results, or reliability of the use of the materials. The Region hereby disclaims all representations and warranties. Within the area illustrated on this map, the data are presented by Census Tract, except for the Townships of Brock and Scugog, within the Regional Municipality of Durham, which are presented by Census Consolidated Subdivision. Percent of the Population with some post secondary education data derived from Statistics Canada, 26 Census, Release 6, using the sum of three data subfields all entitled "Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma" added to the sum of three data subfields all entitled "College, CEGEP or other non- university certificate or diploma" added to the sum of three data subfields all entitled "University certificate, diploma or degree", divided by the sum of the parent fields and multiplied by 1. The parent fields have the common title, "Total population by highest certificate, diploma or degree - 2% sample data", differing only by the age ranges: years, years, and 65 years and over. Digital cartography and geographic analysis by David Perkins, The Regional Municipality of Durham Planning Department, September

23 Employment In the GTA, the percentage of people aged 15 years and older participating in the labour force (by working or seeking work) was approximately 7% from 1986 through to 26. During this time period, the unemployment rate fluctuated from 6% in 1986 to 9% in 1996 and back down to 6% in 21 and 26. Refer to Map 1. In 26, the top four occupations in the GTA were occupations in sales and service; business, finance and administration; trades, transport and equipment operators and related occupations; and in management. Some of the GTA municipalities deviated from this pattern, but only in the relative order, and not by significant amounts. Peel and York recorded more business, finance and administrative occupations than sales and service occupations. Income From 1986 to 26, median household incomes (the income level that equally divides all households into richer and poorer halves) increased in all GTA municipalities, not only for the twenty years as a whole, but for each five year increment, with the only exceptions being and York with slight decreases between 1991 and Halton recorded the largest 2 year increase (almost $4,), followed by York and Durham (with increases of $37, and $36, respectively). In Peel and median household incomes increased by $3, and $16, respectively. Refer to Chart 4 and Map 11. In the GTA, the percentage of the population living in low income (below before tax low income cut-offs, or LICO) was lower in 1986 (13%) than in 26 (18%). Within this time period, the highest low income rates were recorded in 1996, in every GTA municipality. In 1996, one in five GTA residents (or 2%) lived in low income. In each Census year, the percentage of people living in low income in was nearly double that of any other GTA municipality. With only a slight deviation in Durham, in each GTA municipality the percentage of the population living in low income increased from 1986 to 1991 and again from , decreased from 1996 to 21, and increased again from In Durham this LICO figure decreased only by a half percent from , but otherwise followed the same pattern. In 26, had the highest percentage of people living in low income (24.5%) followed by Peel (14.5%), York (13%), Durham (9%) and Halton (8.5%). Refer to Chart 5 and Map 12. Chart 5: Percent of the Population Living in Low Income* Income Chart 4: Median Household Income in GTA Municipalities* $9, $81,928 $83,496 $8, $72,655 $75,397 $7, $6, $52,833 $5, $42,753 $45,197 $43,518 $4, $39,62 $33,231 $3, $2, $1, $ Peel York Durham Halton Municipality Percent Peel York Durham Halton GTA Municipality Places to Grow 2 forecasts the GTA employment in 221 of 3,77, people and 4,3, people in *Sources: Statistics Canada, 1986 Census of Population, Catalogue No. (Part 1: , Sept. 1987; Part 2: , Sept. 1998). Statistics Canada, 21 Census of Population, Catalogue No. 95F495XCB212, October 22, 23 No X262, May 1, 28 (2) Places to Grow, Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe, 26

24 Map 1: Labour Force Unemployment Rate of Residents in the Greater Area, 26 Census Lake Simcoe Georgina Legend Unemployment Rate Brock East Gwillimbury Caledon Major Lakes Newmarket King Census Tract Boundary Municipal Boundary Aurora Uxbridge Whitchurch-Stouffville Vaughan Halton Hills Richmond Hill Scugog Brampton Lake Scugog Markham Pickering Milton Mississauga Whitby Ajax Burlington Oakville Oshawa Clarington Lake Ontario 5 1 Kilometres Source: No XWE (Census Consolidated Subdivision), October 18, 26 2 No XWE (Census Tract), February 14, 27 No X265, May 1, 28 This map has been produced from a variety of sources. The Region of Durham does not make any representations concerning the accuracy, likely results, or reliability of the use of the materials. The Region hereby disclaims all representations and warranties. ³ Within the area illustrated on this map, the data are presented by Census Tract, except for the Townships of Brock and Scugog, within the Regional Municipality of Durham, which are presented by Census Consolidated Subdivision. Unemployment rate data derived from Statistics Canada, 26 Census, Release 6, using the field "Unemployment rate", which is a subfield of the field "Total population 15 years and over by labour force activity - 2% sample data". Digital cartography and geographic analysis by David Perkins, The Regional Municipality of Durham Planning Department, September

25 Map 11: Median Household Income in the Greater Area, 26 Census Lake Simcoe Legend Median Income $ - $4 Georgina $41 - $5 $51 - $6 $61 - $7 $71 - $8 $81 - $9 Brock $91 - $1 $11 - $ Major Lakes East Gwillimbury Census Tract Boundary Municipal Boundary Caledon Newmarket King Aurora Uxbridge Whitchurch-Stouffville Vaughan Halton Hills Richmond Hill Scugog Brampton Lake Scugog Markham Pickering Milton Mississauga Whitby Ajax Burlington Clarington Oakville Lake Ontario 5 1 Kilometres 24 Oshawa Source: No XWE (Census Consolidated Subdivision), October 18, 26 2 No XWE (Census Tract), February 14, 27 No X265, May 1, 28 This map has been produced from a variety of sources. The Region of Durham does not make any representations concerning the accuracy, likely results, or reliability of the use of the materials. The Region hereby disclaims all representations and warranties. Within the area illustrated on this map, the data are presented by Census Tract, except for the Townships of Brock and Scugog, within the Regional Municipality of Durham, which are presented by Census Consolidated Subdivision. Median Household Income data derived from Statistics Canada, 26 Census, Release 8, using the "Median household income $" data field, which is a sub-field of the "Household income in 25 of private households - 2% sample data" data field. Digital cartography and geographic analysis by David Perkins, The Regional Municipality of Durham Planning Department, September 28.

26 Map 12: Percent of the Population Living in Low Income in the Greater Area, 26 Census Lake Simcoe Georgina Legend Percent Low Income % - 5% 6% - 1% Brock 11% - 15% 16% - 2% 21% - 25% East Gwillimbury 26% - 3% 31% - 4% 41% - 73% Caledon Major Lakes Newmarket King Census Tract Boundary Municipal Boundary Aurora Uxbridge Whitchurch-Stouffville Vaughan Halton Hills Richmond Hill Scugog Brampton Lake Scugog Markham Pickering Milton Mississauga Whitby Ajax Burlington Oakville Oshawa Clarington Lake Ontario 5 1 Kilometres Source: No XWE (Census Consolidated Subdivision), October 18, 26 2 No XWE (Census Tract), February 14, 27 No X265, May 1, 28 This map has been produced from a variety of sources. The Region of Durham does not make any representations concerning the accuracy, likely results, or reliability of the use of the materials. The Region hereby disclaims all representations and warranties. Within the area illustrated on this map, the data are presented by Census Tract, except for the Townships of Brock and Scugog, within the Regional Municipality of Durham, which are presented by Census Consolidated Subdivision. ³ Percentage of the Population Living in Low Income data derived from Statistics Canada, 26 Census, Release 8, using the "Prevalence of low income before tax in 25 %" data field, which is a sub-field of the "Total persons in private households - 2% sample data" data field. Digital cartography and geographic analysis by David Perkins, The Regional Municipality of Durham Planning Department, September

27 Demographic Profile of the Greater Area (GTA), Section Four: Access to Information To access the GTA Demographic Profile, in pdf format, visit the GTA Agricultural Action Committee 3 and the Regional Planning Commissioners of Ontario - GTA Caucus 4 websites. All of the data presented in the GTA Demographic Profile is at the Greater Area scale. To find more information about a specific geographic area, visit the Statistics Canada Census 5 website. Specifically, the 26 Census Tract Profile 6 online tools. These tools allow you to search for information by postal code, interactive map or census tract number to gain access to the variables included in the Profile along with over a hundred additional variables. At the site, Statistics Canada has comprehensive user-friendly tutorial to help you navigate through the information. 26 (3) (4) (5)www12.statcan.ca/census-recensement/index-eng.cfm (6)www12.statcan.ca/census-recensement/26/dp-pd/prof/92-597/index.cfm?Lang=E

28 Summary The GTA Demographic Profile depicts demographic trends in the Greater Area from 1986 to 26 by using Statistics Canada data from five Census collection periods: 1986, 1991, 1996, 21, and 26. The GTA Demographic Profile was developed to identify emerging consumer groups and provides background to additional Action Items, identified in the GTA Agricultural Action Plan 1. The Profile also provides the agricultural industry with Statistics Canada Census Data to assist in identifying GTA markets and their geographic location through population, immigration, and economic Census data. In summary, the GTA Demographic Profile identifies an increase in the GTA population of almost 2 million people, from 1986 to 26. The Profile illustrates increases in population density and speaks to an aging population which appears to be aging in place and not, as often believed, migrating elsewhere. Glossary of Terms As per the Province s Places to Grow, Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe, 26, high levels of immigration are expected, for among other things, to moderate the effects of an aging population. From 1986 to 26, the proportion of immigrants increased in every GTA municipality. While English is still, by far, the most common solely spoken language at home, other languages, such as, Chinese, Punjabi and Tamil are becoming more dominant in GTA homes. In the same time period, the level of education of GTA residents has increased by 2%. While median household incomes also increased in all GTA municipalities. The GTA Demographic Profile is a compilation of Statistics Canada Census Data for the Greater Area, by census tract, which highlights the changing demographics and the diversity of the GTA as seen through population, immigration, and economic Census data. The following defined terms are italicized within the text of this document. Age Refers to the age at last birthday (as of the census reference date, May 16, 26). Baby Boom Generation Persons generally born between 1947 and Education Information generally indicating the person s most advanced academic certificate, diploma or degree achieved. Employment Persons who, during the week (Sunday to Saturday) prior to Census Day (May 16, 26): 1) did any work at all for pay or in self-employment or without pay in a family farm, business or professional practice; 2) were absent from their job or business, with or without pay, for the entire week because of a vacation, an illness, a labour dispute at their place of work, or any other reasons. Ethnic Origin Refers to the ethnic or cultural origins of the respondent's ancestors. Greater Area (GTA) Refers to the Regions of Durham, Halton, Peel, York and the City of. Immigrants Refers to people who are, or have been, landed immigrants in Canada. A landed immigrant is a person who has been granted the right to live in Canada permanently by immigration authorities. (1) GTA Agricultural Action Plan, 25 27

29 Income Refers to the total money income received from the following sources during calendar year 25 by persons 15 years of age and over: - wages and salaries (total) - net farm income - net non-farm income from unincorporated business and/or professional practice - child benefits - Old Age Security pension and Guaranteed Income Supplement - benefits from Canada or Quebec Pension Plan - benefits from Employment Insurance - other income from government sources - dividends, interest on bonds, deposits and savings certificates, and other investment income - retirement pensions, superannuation and annuities, including those from RRSPs and RRIFs - other money income. Low Income Refers to the position of an economic family, or a person 15 years of age and over not in an economic family, in relation to Statistics Canada's low income before tax cut-offs (LICOs). LICOs refers to income levels at which families or persons not in economic families spend 2% more than average of their before tax income on food, shelter and clothing. Lower Tier Municipality Means a municipality that forms part of an upper-tier municipality for municipal purposes (Municipal Act, 21). Median Age The age separating the higher half of the sample population from the lower half. That is, the ages of the first half of the population are below the median, while those of the second half are above the median. Median Household Income The household total income (the sum of the total incomes of all members of that household) separating the higher half of the total household incomes from the lower half. That is, the incomes of the first half of the households are below the median, while those of the second half are above the median. Non-official Home Language Refers to the languages spoken most often at home, not including the official languages of English and French, by the individual at the time of the census. Place of Birth Refers to the country where the respondent was born. Places to Grow The Ontario government's program to manage growth and development in Ontario in a way that supports economic prosperity, protects the environment and helps communities achieve a high quality of life. The foundation of the Places to Grow initiative is the Places to Grow Act, 25. This legislation helps the Province identify and designate growth plan areas and develop strategic growth plans for those communities, in discussion with local officials, stakeholders, residents, and other public groups. 28 Population Density Persons per square kilometre. Recent Immigrants Immigrants who landed in Canada between January 1, 21 and Census Day, May 16, 26. Solely Spoken Language Refers to the language spoken most often or on a regular basis at home by the individual at the time of the census. Statistics Canada Census The census provides a statistical portrait of Canada and its people. The most recent census was on May 16, 26. Data Unemployment Rate Refers to the unemployed, expressed as a percentage of the labour force, in the week (Sunday to Saturday) prior to Census Day (May 16, 26). Upper Tier Municipality Refers to a municipality of which two or more lower-tier municipalities form part for municipal purposes (Municipal Act, 21). Visible Minorities Refers to the visible minority group to which the respondent belongs. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as 'persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-caucasian in race or non-white in colour'.