Introduction II. The Fieller Method
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1
2 ρ ψ = φ
3 ρ = β φ = β = β + ε ε σ 2 β = σ = 㭗匷 㭗匷 ( ( ) ) β β σ ψ ψ ρ = φ ρ = β φ = β % ψ ψ + ψ + = = β σ = σ β β = β σ ± > ( ψ ψ ) = β = β = > > < é ( )% { } ( ) ( ) = β β ψ {( β ) ( β ) ψ } ± { ( ) ( σ σ ψ + σ ) ψ }
4 ( )% ( ) ψ ( ) ( ) β β ψ ( )% ψ {( β ) ( β ) ψ} { ( ) ( ) } σ σ ψ + σ ψ = ψ + ψ + = ρ φ = β + ε ( Z ) ( Z ) [ ] = γ + θ + ε 1 R =[ ] γ = ρ φ θ + Z = R R + R 1 Z = A A R R ( )% γ
5 ( γ γ) σ ( Z M Z )( γ γ ) ( ) ( ) M = - Z Z Z Z ( ) ( ) ( ρ ψφ) ( ) ω ω = ψ λ ρ ψφ φ φ ω ω φ φ ω ( ) Ω = σ Z1M Z1 λ ( ) ψ ρ = φ ρ φ φ = % φ = φ = ( γ γ) σ ( Z M Z )( γ γ ) = ( ) % ( ) = ( ) %
6 % ( ) = + + ( ) ( ) ε = % = = % % % % = + % ( + ) ± + + ( ) σ σ σ % % %
7 é
8 噇 é
9
10 㭗匷㭗匷㭗匷㭗匷 1 ρ ρ φ φ
11 㭗匷㭗匷㭗匷㭗匷 ρ φ ρ φ
12 㭗匷㭗匷㭗匷㭗匷 1 㭗匷㭗匷㭗匷㭗匷㭗匷 㭗匷㭗匷㭗匷㭗匷㭗匷 㭗匷㭗匷㭗匷㭗匷㭗匷 - 㭗匷㭗匷㭗匷㭗匷 σ
13 㭗匷㭗匷㭗匷㭗匷 㭗匷
14 㭗匷㭗匷㭗匷㭗匷 㭗匷
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