Reshaping Natural Gas Infrastructure:

Transcription

1 Reshaping Natural Gas Infrastructure: Connecting New Supply to Liquid & Growing Markets Steve Pardy Manager, Business Development Oct. 24, 2012

2 Agenda Union Gas and Dawn Growing Ontario Demand Changing Supply Flows Infrastructure Response 2

3 Union Gas: Who we are Integrated distribution, transmission & storage company Strong market connectivity Dawn Storage Hub deep & liquid trading hub Distribution Transmission Dawn Storage Hub Retail Customers: Annual Throughput: 1.4 million 498 Bcf Annual Throughput: Transmission Pipe: Distribution Pipe: 38,967 Markets Served: 834 Bcf Storage: 157 Bcf 2,947 mi Ontario, Quebec, U.S. Northeast Underground Facilities: Markets Served: 23 Ontario, Quebec, Marketers 3

4 The Dawn Storage Hub Largest integrated natural gas storage facility in Canada Connected to 34 underground storage pools in Ontario Strong 365 day markets in Ontario, Quebec, and eastern Canada Interconnects with 10 major pipelines Robust existing pipeline infrastructure with plans to expand One of the Top 3 physically traded hubs in North America 100 companies active at Dawn trading 10 Bcf/d 6 of North America s Top 10 traders active at Dawn Averaged approximately 3 Bcf per day over-the-counter in 2011 Full suite of customizable storage & transportation services available Dawn provides direct access to most of North America s major supply basins, including the Utica and Marcellus 4

5 Ontario s Energy Landscape Ontario s economy depends on industry and other energyintensive businesses Ontario s economic competitiveness requires competitive energy prices Energy is a major cost input Ontario needs access to new sources of diverse, reliable and affordable natural gas Industrial power prices in Ontario need to remain competitive with other jurisdictions 5

6 Ontario Demand Growth 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 Ontario power generation fuel mix (MW) 37,845 MW 30,006 MW Demand Response Renewables Natural Gas Hydroelectric Coal Nuclear Significant growth projected in natural gas fired power generation 6

7 Ontario Demand Growth Mining Ring of Fire Gold Chromite Petrochemical Switching from crude to ethane based feedstock NOVA Chemicals (Canada) Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) for the transportation market Shell Canada 7

8 North American Gas Supply Changes BC Growth Alberta Decline Midcontinent Growth Gulf Coast Growth Offshore Gulf Decline Marcellus & Utica Growth Supply changes create challenges & opportunities 8

9 Alberta Gas Supply Regional demand to consume majority of forecasted production Oil sands consumption combined with a decline in Alberta supply is forecast to reduce Alberta supply available for export out-of-province to less than 2 Bcf/d by

10 British Columbia Gas Supply Competition for growing B.C. natural gas reserves Market Growth Opportunities for B.C. Supply: Proposed LNG export terminals in Canada and the U.S. Pacific Northwest Alberta and British Columbia domestic market demand Traditional market demand in the U.S. Pacific Northwest and Midwest U.S. Eastern North American market demand, including Ontario PRINCE RUPERT KITIMAT LNG Exports VANCOUVER Station 2 BC Interior & Lower Mainland Horn River Montney EDMONTON Alberta & Eastern Canada CALGARY Many significant markets will compete to source gas supply from the Horn River and Montney shale basins in British Columbia SEATTLE U.S. Pacific Northwest Exports PORTLAND U.S. Midwest 10

11 Western Canadian Gas Supply Continued decline of WCSB exports to eastern markets expected Since 2007, TCPL Mainline exports to eastern markets have dropped ~3+ PJ/d that trend is expected to continue 11

12 Serving Canadian & US Markets East of Toronto Need for infrastructure to bridge supply & demand Declining WCSB Supply to Ontario Kirkwall Exports 2010: 1.5 Bcf/d : < 0.5 Bcf/d Parkway - TCPL 2010: 1.9 Bcf/d : 2.9 Bcf/d Ontario, Quebec & Exports into US N.E. Utica & Marcellus Supplies to Ontario Utica, Marcellus & Midwest Supplies to Ontario Kirkwall Imports 2010: ~ 0.0 Bcf/d : > 0.5 Bcf/d Continued increases in supply at Dawn are required to serve market demand 12

13 Parkway West Project Enhancing the reliability of deliveries east of Parkway Parkway West Project addresses two significant concerns: Reliability for Parkway deliveries providing security of supply for markets east of Parkway, including the GTA Lack of space for growth on the existing Parkway property Proposed Facilities: Loss of Critical Unit (LCU) horsepower Second feed to GTA system New property west of existing site ~$215 million estimated capital cost November 2014/2015 in-service Proposed Parkway West Station Union (Existing) Union (New) Enbridge TCPL M M C Existing Parkway Station HWY 407 Parkway West provides reliability & security of supply for customers east of Parkway and provides space for additional infrastructure as demands at Parkway continue to increase 13

14 Potential Expansion Projects Brantford Kirkwall 13.9 km(8.4 mi) 48 looping Target 2015 in-service Parkway D Compression ~20,000 HP proposed at Parkway West Target 2015 in-service Parkway(GTA) Measurement New interconnect with Enbridge providing third feed to GTA Target 2015 in-service Brantford- Kirkwall Loop Parkway D Compression Interest of 0.7 Bcf/d expressed in recent open season for Dawn-Parkway transportation to serve demand in Ontario, Quebec and other key eastern markets 14

15 Kirkwall Flow Reversal Changing the direction of traditional gas flows in Ontario Addition of 42 valves, piping and controls to allow for bi-directional flow through the Kirkwall Custody Transfer Station Required for Marcellus gas supply to access the Dawn-Parkway system Kirkwall to become a receipt and delivery point $4.7 million estimated capital cost November 1, 2012 in-service Union Gas introduced several new OEB approved services to facilitate movement of gas from the Marcellus into Ontario (M12-X, C1 Kirkwall to Dawn, C1 Kirkwall to Parkway) Kirkwall Flow Reversal Allows Marcellus Shale supply to access the Dawn Parkway system at Kirkwall, creating a path from the production basin to Ontario s market 15

16 NEXUS Gas Transmission Project Aligning supply push & market pull New pipeline to connect Utica & Marcellus Shale supplies to U.S. Midwest, Northeast and Ontario markets Strong development partners: DTE Energy, Enbridge and Spectra Energy 250-mile large diameter pipeline delivering at least 1 Bcf/d In-service as early as November 2016 Uses existing infrastructure and utility corridors as much as possible Firm path to Dawn Hub with interconnects to major markets MichCon, Consumers, Vector, Tecumseh and Dawn Require interest in firm capacity to anchor the project New pipeline infrastructure required to connect new supplies to eastern Canadian and US Midwest markets 16

17 Key Messages Dawn is liquid and deep good spot to buy and sell gas Natural gas flow changes represent an opportunity for Marcellus & Utica producers to access Dawn Ontario represents a strong and growing market for natural gas with diverse, reliable and affordable sources of supply driving industrial growth and competitive energy prices Significant storage capacity & liquid trading point at the Dawn Hub represents an increasingly attractive point to source supply in Ontario Union Gas maintains robust pipeline infrastructure with plans to expand to connect supply to Ontario, Quebec and other Eastern North American markets 17