Short Term Canadian Natural Gas Deliverability,

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1 Short Term Canadian Natural Gas Deliverability, Presentation to NARUC Conference By Dr. John S. Bulger, Member February 2006

2 Canadian National Energy

3 Currently has 8 Members Chairman Kenneth Vollman Vice-Chairman Gaétan Caron Rowland Harrison The and its Members John Bulger Elizabeth Quarshie Deborah Emes Carmen Dybwad Patricia McCunn Miller

4 National Energy An independent quasi-judicial regulatory tribunal established in 1959 Report to Parliament through the Minister of Natural Resources Responsible for administering: the National Energy Act (NEB Act) the Oil and Gas Operations Act (COGO Act)

5 What does the NEB do? Regulatory role: Interprovincial and international pipelines Pipeline transportation, tolls and tariffs International and designated interprovincial power lines Exports of oil, natural gas and electricity Frontier oil and gas activities outside of Accord areas (COGO Act) Advisory role

6 Major Oil & Gas Pipelines In Enbridge Pipelines (NW) Westcoast Energy Trans Mountain Pipe Line ANG Pipeline Alliance Pipeline Express Pipeline Foothills Pipe Lines Cochin Pipe Lines Enbridge Pipelines Trans PipeLines Trans Québec & Maritimes Pipeline Trans-Northern Pipelines Enbridge Pipelines Vector Maritimes and Northeast Pipeline Sable Offshore Energy Inc.

7 Goals Goal 1 NEB-regulated facilities and activities are safe and secure, and perceived to be so. Goal 2 NEB-regulated facilities are built and operated in a manner that protects the environment and respects the rights of those affected. Goal 3 Canadians benefit from efficient energy infrastructure and markets. Goal 4 The NEB fulfills its mandate with the benefit of effective public engagement. Goal 5 The NEB delivers quality outcomes through innovative leadership and effective processes.

8 Natural Gas Production in WCSB Nova Scotia Offshore

9 The WCSB = Solution Gas + Conventional + Unconventional

10 Solution Gas Produced in conjunction with oil Historically ~ 8.5% of gas production in WCSB

11 Conventional Gas Wells 91.5% of gas production in WCSB Deliverability = Existing Gas Wells + Future Gas Wells

12 Bcf/d National Energy WCSB Production History Solution Gas and Conventional Gas Wells Soln Gas Pre

13 Production Rate, MMcf/d National Energy Average Conventional Gas Well Performance Projected 2006 Projected 2007 Projected Cumulative Production, MMcf

14 National Energy Unconventional Gas- NGC Production by Connection Year pre

15 NGC Development in Alberta NGC Production and Well Drilling Mannville Net Coal > 4m Annual NGC Wells Drille MMcf/d Horseshoe Canyon Net Coal > 2m

16 Offshore Nova Scotia

17 Production, MMcf/d National Energy Offshore Nova Scotia Deliverability Thebaud Venture N Triumph Alma S Venture Compression

18 Alaska Gas Pipeline National Energy Other Potential Sources of Gas from Mackenzie Gas Pipeline Prince Rupert Kitimat Gros Cacouna Rabaska Canaport Bear Head

19 Bcf/d National Energy Conclusion Solution Gas WCSB Old Gas Wells WCSB New Gas Wells East Coast Offshore Alberta - NGC

20 Short Term Canadian Natural Gas Deliverability, Available at: EMAGasSTDeliverability2005_2007/ EMAGasSTDeliverability2005_2007_e.htm

21 Extra Slides

22 0.125 National Energy NGC Average Connection Performance MMcf/d Month of Production 2003 NGC Avg Well, 614 Connections 2004 NGC Avg Well, 1434 Connections Avg NGC Conn 1st Decline Avg NGC Conn 2nd Decline SE AB Avg Conventional Gas Well- 2004

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