DETECTION, ANALYSIS AND RISK ASSESSMENT OF COAL FIRES IN NORTHERN CHINA (ID 5345)
|
|
- Byron Jackson
- 8 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 DETECTION, ANALYSIS AND RISK ASSESSMENT OF COAL FIRES IN NORTHERN CHINA (ID 5345) Chriian Ficher (1), Jing Li (2), Jianjun Wu (3), Chrioph Erhler (1), Weiguo Jiang (3), Shan Guo (4), Bo Yang (5) (1) German Aeropace Cener, German Remoe Sening Daa Cener, Dep. Land Surface, Germany, (2) Sae Key Laboraory of Earh Surface Procee and Reource Ecology, Beijing Normal Univeriy, Beijing ,P.R. China, (3) Academy of Diaer Reducion & Emergency Managemen, Beijing Normal Univeriy, Beijing , P.R. China, (4) Chinee Academy of Science, Iniue for Remoe Sening Applicaion, P.O. Box 9718, Beijing P.R. China, (5) College of Reource and Environmen Science, Hunan Normal Univeriy, Changha , P.R. China, ABSTRACT Unconrolled combuion of coal i a eriou problem on a global cale. Since coal can eaily be oxidied and ofen ha a prominen elf-heaing capaciy, many coal ype have a endency o combu ponaneouly once ufficien oxygen i available and naural cooling i prevened. The rapid expanion of unconrolled mall-cale coal mining aciviie during he la year and he increaing amoun of no adequae cloed down and now abandoned coal mine ie are uppoed o have led o an increae of human-induced coal fire. Thu, coalfield fire need o be no only invenoried a regional cale hrough rapid and co effecive mehod, bu alo aeed, moniored and ecured, wherever appropriae. Thi lead o major reearch and echnological developmen objecive: Eay-o-ue, rouine remoe and in-iu monioring echnique, baed on airborne and pace borne imagery, o become par in an inegraed long-erm monioring framework. 1. INTRODUCTION Comprehenive udie have focued on wo differen region locaed in he Ningxia Hui Auonomou Region and in he Xinjiang Uyghur Auonomou Region. Boh area under inveigaion are heavily affeced by evere coal fire ince year on differen place wihin he coalfield. Beide uburface coal fire, urface coal fire occur direcly on oucropping eam and on place where mall-cale mining ook place. The deerminaion of he fire radiaive energy (FRE) ha been inroduced a a remoe ening echnique o quanify fore and graland fire. Variou mehod for fire deecion and FRE quanificaion have been developed, which can be caegoried ino ingle-band algorihm and muli-band algorihm. The nowaday commonly ued bi-pecral algorihm for hermal imagery wa inroduced by [1]. I ake advanage of he non-linear naure of he Planck funcion o calculae fire emperaure and fire ie on a ub-pixel bai. Thi bi-pecral fire emperaure and fire area can be ued o eimae FRE [2]. In conra [3] ue a ingle band algorihm o direcly derive FRE of a ub-pixel fire componen. In oppoie o burning vegeaion fire, he coal fire radiaive energy (CFRE) i comparably mall a mo fire are covered by bedrock. Reference [4] conduced a eniiviy udy on he ASTER, ETM+ and BIRD TIR aellie enor yem and found ASTER and ETM+ uiable for energy releae quanificaion uing a ingle band mehod. Single band mehod rely on he robu demarcaion of background pixel and fire influenced anomalou pixel. Algorihm for an auomaic exracion of local coal fire relaed anomalie, applicable on LANDSAT, ASTER and MODIS ha been developed by [5] and [6], allowing he exracion of hermally anomalou pixel wih regard o heir urrounding background emperaure. A long-erm monioring and CFRE quanificaion analyi on muliple emporal eparaed TIR cene i feaible only when a reliable fire pixel idenificaion independen from environmenal facor can be guaraneed. However, all coal fire anomaly deecion algorihm have problem in diinguihing beween coal fire induced hermal anomalie and anomalie induced by ambien condiion like inhomogeneou urface heaing by he irradiaion of he un. Limied repeaabiliy of he anomaly deecion due o amopheric and climaic influence i a furher challenge. Finally a aellie TIR daa e i no deermined excluively by he iuaion a recording ime bu alo by he hiory of environmenal facor which may lead o energy accumulaion. Baed on comprehenive field work aciviie, he following apec have been conidered in deail: (i) differen emiiviy value of ypical rock covering he Proc. Dragon 2 Final Reul & Dragon 3 KickOff Sympoium Beijing, P.R. China (ESA SP-704, January 2013)
2 fire one, (ii) olar radiaion budge ha influence he emperaure of he opographic urface and correponding emiion, epecially a nigh ime and (iii) he energy balance of he urface ielf, a a reul of weaher condiion and local urface parameer. Simulaneou grid baed urface and uburface. 2. SURFACE ENERGY BALANCE Uually coal fire burn in he underground reuling in a urface hermal anomaly, which i highly dependen on modificaion due o hea conducion and hea capaciy of he covering bedrock. Alo weaher condiion and unligh expoure how a rong impac. To improve he underanding of hi complex amophere-urface-uburface yem, an energy balance model for he opographic urface wa implemened. The model coni of hree linked par, which are (i) aenuaion of olar irradiaion in he amophere, (ii) energy converion a he urface and (iii) dieminaion of emperaure in he uburface. Thi approach eem uiable for he moly arid region of he Norhern Chinee coal bel. Aenuaion of olar irradiaion in he amophere A implified clear-ky amophere model i ued in par (i). Baed on [7] ome change are made primarily o enhance he accuracy and numerical robune. A e of wavelengh independen amopheric ranmiion coefficien i calculaed from laiude, eaon and local ime of he modelled area encompaing Rayleigh caering, aerool caering and aborpion a well a aborpion due o waer vapour, oone and amopheric gae. Thee coefficien are ued in he amopheric correcion algorihm o pli op-of-he-amophere olar irradiance ino aenuaed direc and diffue componen. Thi model i baed on andard amopheric condiion and empirical correlaion. I can be eaily enhanced if addiional daa are available, e.g. oal waer vapour column, cloud coverage and unhine hour, meaured a regular ime uing MODIS or MERIS daa e, or even beer by poible acce o more deailed and coninuouly recorded weaher informaion. Energy converion a he urface Variou energy balance erm are modelled in par (ii) including horwave and longwave balance, enible hea flux deniy E enible and ground hea flux deniy E ground. The ne radiaion flux deniy E ne i he um of all incoming and ougoing radian flux deniie horwave and longwave. Effec of elevaion, orienaion and lope on E ne are conidered, which include elf hadowing, ground refleced irradiaion and inciden angle. Focu ha been e on arid deerlike environmen hu he laen hea flux deniy E laen i no modelled. Senible hea flux deniy E enible i calculaed uing he bulk aerodynamic mehod (3) wih he conan air deniy pa (kg m-³) and pecific hea of air a conan preure Ca (J kg-1 K-1). The driving force of he hea exchange i he emperaure gradien beween urface and air T - Ta (K). The aerodynamic reiance ra ( m-1) i dependen on wind peed and urface roughne. E enible T T p a C a a (3) r a In cae he wind peed approache ero he urbulen hea ranfer proce ceae and aerodynamic reiance ra approache infiniy. Thi virually op any energy lo of he urface due o enible hea flux. E ne E enible E laen E ground 0 (4) The oal energy balance a he opographic urface for bare oil i given by equaion (4). In heory he balance i cloed, real meauremen aemp however how a gap E gap which encompae no only error in meauremen bu alo in mehodology (e.g. urface energy orage, cale effec, ec.). In he model hi deviaion E gap from he energy equilibrium i ued o compue a correcion offe ΔT for he emperaure eimae of he urface layer. E gap ~ T (5) Formula (6) relae urface layer emperaure change ΔT (K) over a ime inerval d () o he energy equilibrium deviaion E gap (W m -2 ). The hea capaciy C (J m -3 K -1 ) inroduce rock pecific warming behaviour ino he formula. dt E gap d *C T T -1 *C E gap (6) Here he layer hickne (m) characerie a hypoheical affeced oil volume which gain or loe an energy amoun E gap leading o a change in emperaure). However difficulie aroe in calibraing o a cerain value uing field daa. Reference [8] preen anoher calculaion approach uing fracional inegraion propoing ha he ground hea flux deniy i compleely deermined by he hiory of urface oil emperaure. In revere, when given he oil hea flux deniy E, he oil emperaure
3 T g can be calculaed. For he urface i lead o formula (7). Auming ha only he deviaion E gap from he energy equilibrium can caue a change in urface emperaure and ha i ac like an addiional flux deniy in he upper layer hen olving he inegral for he dicree ime ep [0 ] give expreion (8). and T () T g T T k C 2 k C 0 E E d gap (7) (8) Thi formula i in analogy o formula (6) bu bypae he need of inroducing a new variable o be deermined empirically. Anoher advanage i he reduced eniiviy o error in he eimae of he rock pecific parameer volumeric hea conduciviy k (J m -1-1 K -1 ) and hea capaciy C (J m -3 K -1 ) due o he quare roo dependence Dieminaion of emperaure in he uburface Par (iii) uilie he mehod of implici Euler finie difference (9) for modelling he hea conducion in verical direcion hrough he uburface layer [9]. Dicree ep in ime Δ and pace Δ pan up a imepace grid. Saring from an iniial condiion (a given emperaure profile a ime =0) and boundary condiion (emperaure a urface =0 and boom =N) for each ime-pace node in he grid a emperaure i calculaed. The lower boundary condiion i e o a conan emperaure auming no diurnal or annual variaion a ha deph. For imulaing he hea ource of a uburface coal fire hi lower boundary condiion i e o a higher value. The value of he upper boundary condiion i adaped every ime ep and mimic he diurnal emperaure wave. Boh boundary condiion and rock pecific parameer volumeric hea conduciviy k (J m -1-1 K -1 ) and hea capaciy C (J m -3 K -1 ) deermine he emperaure profile. varying. Compared o meauremen a oher fire locaion in Rujiqou and Shuixi Gou marix emiion in Wuda (all area are locaed in Ningxia Hui Auonomou Region, P.R. China) wa order of magniude lower owing o he fac of he uburface being olid andone. Bu he field meauremen howed a ignifican par of he energy o be ranpored by exhau gae and correponding hea convecion if a yem of fiure and crack doe exi. Thi non-radiaive par a well a all laeral energy fluxe canno be oberved by remoe ening. Modelling reul Baed on he clear-ky irradiance, opography, climae facor and a uburface hea ource he model calculae he urface emperaure conidering all major energy balance erm for an arid environmen. Aenuaion and lag of he diurnal urface emperaure wave on i way ino deeper oil/rock layer i modelled by incorporaing he ground hea flux and hu a link beween urface emperaure and uburface emperaure a arbirary deph i eablihed, cp. Figure 1. T C 2 T k 2 (9) 1 T T C Δ 2k T Δ 1 1 T T Δ 1 Δ Δ Δ 1 1 T Δ Lacking repreenaive field meauremen and deerminaion mehod hea convecion wa no implemened ye. Ga flux meauremen have hown ha he role of convecion can only be decribed in a limied way up o now, bu i i o be conidered highly Figure 1: Two example of modelled oil emperaure for one day. (a) how he developmen of oil emperaure a 1cm, 5cm, 20cm and 80cm deph, (b) how emperaure profile for variou ime. Damping and phae hif of he diurnal urface emperaure wave are clearly viible.
4 Comparing modelled wih meaured uburface emperaure i became obviou ha precipiaion rongly affec he energy balance by promoing hea conducion and laen hea flux. 3. CFRE SIMULATION The oal emied energy flux E (W m -2 ) over all wavelengh of a grey body wih emiiviy ε (-) and a emperaure T (K) can be calculaed according o Formula 8, where σ (W m -2 K -4 ) i he Sefan- Bolmann conan. E T 4 (8) Uing Formula 9 he CFRE can be calculaed from he difference in oal emied energy flux E of a grey body a coal fire induced urface emperaure T fire and a grey body a background/ambien emperaure T bg muliplied by he anomaly area A (m 2 ). CFRE E( T ) E( T ) A (9) fire Feeding he model wih he appropriae daa a imulaion of he urface emperaure above a coal fire a well a he ie and eaon pecific naural background urface emperaure no influenced by he coal fire for any deired ime i poible. Wih he help of Formula (9) a imulaed CFRE can be calculaed or ummed up over a longer period. 4. Poenial of variou aellie yem for coal fire monioring Seniiviy of a pecific aellie yem o coal fire depend on i pecral band and reoluion a well a on he noie level. A nigh, which i he mo favourable ime for coal fire deecion, he coal fire radiance can be approximaed by he radiance of a black body. Figure 2 illurae he pecral diribuion of he black body radiance a a funcion of i emperaure a ypical coal fire urface emperaure from 20 K above he background o 600 K a well a ypical pecral band of aellie enor in he amopheric ranparency window in he hor-wave infrared (SWIR1: µm and SWIR2: µm), mid-infrared (MIR: 3-5 µm) and hermal infrared (TIR1: µm and TIR2: µm) pecral range. bg Figure 2: Black body radiance a a funcion of wavelengh and emperaure. Shaded are ypical pecral band of aellie imaging yem: SWIR1: μm (ASTER channel 4), SWIR2: μm (ASTER channel 7), MIR: μm (BIRD MIR channel), TIR1: μm (ASTER channel 12), TIR2: μm (ASTER channel 13); he doed line how he minimal deecable ignal of he ASTER SWIR channel in he high-gain mode; he dahed line repreen he radiance of a background wih an aumed emperaure of 300 K The eniiviy of variou enor o coal fire are characeried by he fire area A F,min and he coal fire radiaive energy ha reul in he fire/background conra of e.g. 1.3 (i.e. he ignal of he fire pixel i 30% larger han he ignal of a background pixel). For he SWIR channel, i i aumed ha he fire pixel ignal exceed e.g. by a facor of 3 he minimal deecable ignal. Thee parameer are evidenly proporional o he enor pixel area: A q F, min min A pix and (10) CFRE 4 4 min ( TF Tbg ) q min A pix k min A Where q min i he minimal deecable fire proporion in a pixel, σ i he Sefan-Bolmann conan, T F i he fire urface emperaure, T bg i he background emperaure ha i aumed o be equal o 300 K, 4 4 kmin ( TF Tbg ) * qmin.i he minimal deecable SFRP relaed o he uni pixel area pix Here he parameer q min and k min depend only on he enor band and on he fire emperaure bu no on he enor reoluion and hu characerie he eniiviy of variou pecral band regardle of he enor reoluion.
5 The channel of ome aellie enor, which can be ued for coal fire monioring, are compared in he order of prioriy in Table 1. The following channel have been analyed: SWIR2 ( μm), TIR1 ( μm) and TIR2 ( μm) channel of he Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emiion and Reflecion Radiomeer (ASTER) on he Terra aellie, SWIR2 ( μm) and TIR2 ( μm) channel of he Infrared Mulipecral Scanner (IRMSS) on he CBERS2 aellie, MIR ( μm) and TIR1 ( μm) channel of he Bi-pecral Infrared Deecion (BIRD) aellie (hough he BIRD aellie ha opped funcioning, imilar camera will be inalled on he TET-1 aellie launched in July 2012), SWIR2 ( μm), MIR ( ), TIR1 ( μm) and TIR2 ( μm) channel of he Moderae Reoluion Imaging Specroradiomeer (MODIS) on he Terra and Aqua aellie. In pie of he fac ha he MIR pecral range i mo eniive o fire, he BIRD MIR channel wih a paial reoluion of 370 m i only he hird mo eniive channel a all emperaure. A low emperaure cloe o he background emperaure, he mo eniive are he higher-reoluion TIR channel of he ASTER and IRMSS enor, while a a emperaure of 400 K or more he mo eniive i he ASTER SWIR2 channel. The IRMSS SWIR2 channel i he econd mo eniive channel a a emperaure of 500 K or more. The eniiviy of he low-reoluion channel of MODIS o coal fire i ignificanly wore. Table 1: Minimal deecable fire area and SFRP by aellie enor [10]] 5. CFRE eimaion Baed on he inveigaion decribed wihin he previou chaper, a coal fire region nex o ciy of Wuda, Ningxia Hui Auonomou Region, wa applied o nine ASTER nigh ime image, which cover all he eaon of year The muli-emporal ASTER image were co-regiered uing heir geo-referencing informaion. Figure 3:Muli-emporal CFRE analyi of he Wuda coal fire area (calculaed CFRE 0-1 MW pixel) The obained reul how he poibiliy o deec and monior coal fire wih a high degree of plauibiliy. The informaion from he modelled urface energy balance cheme decreae he number of pixel wih high uncerainy and pixel howing poible fale alarm. 6. RISK ASSESSMENT AT A REGIONAL SCALE Rik analyi and aemen of underground coal fire a a regional cale play a crucial role in coal fire deecion, fighing, and monioring, and achievemen in coal fire miigaion. Reul can provide a reaonable cienific guide for fire fighing engineering, and even for reource allocaion, ulimaely improving he efficiency of fire exinguihing a a whole. They may alo be ued a inpu parameer for underground coal fire monioring and early warning yem. Rik for hi and all oher purpoe decribe he poibiliy of damage or lo. I conain hree diinc apec: (i) he probabiliy of a haard o occur, (ii) he vulnerabiliy and (iii) he ulimae expoure o he haard [11] hi i all baic ock of claical rik
6 heory and ha been widely applied in many reearch field, epecially in hoe relaed o diaer [12]. Coal fire, however, are differen from oher diaer and o coal fire rik or underground coal fire rik have been newly developed a academic erm for hi reearch field. Their meaning, in fac, may refer o wo differen ype of rik, baed on reearch emphai: (i) he probabiliy of occurrence of underground coal fire, and (ii) he expeced loe of naural reource and environmenal a well a human damage brough on by he fire [13] and [14]. Index yem Thu, i ha been focued on he fir ype of rik aiming in quanifying he probabiliy of coal combuion in paial exen and burning ineniy. From he impac facor on regional underground coal fire developmen, ga conen; poroiy; coal rank; brilene; moiure, ah, and ulfur/pyrie conen; coal meamorphim; a well a geological age, hickne, and angle of coal eam were eleced a evaluaion indice for ponaneou combuion endency. Coal eam deph, faul, anicline, lope/apec, and fracure were eleced a evaluaion indice for coal expoure o oxygen. Precipiaion and emperaure, finally, a well a wind, populaion deniy, and mining ype and diribuion were reained a poenial coal fire caue or rigger. Baed upon hee hree index group, a regional rik aemen index yem of underground coal fire developmen wa eablihed. Mehodological Aemen The mehod for regional rik aemen of underground coal fire developmen applied here re upon hree baic operaion: daa inegraion and proceing, coal fire rik evaluaion modelling, and validaion. One main pillar of he mehod i he aemen of ponaneou combuion endency, coal expoure o oxygen, and analyi of poenial fire caue or rigger (ee Formulae 11-14). The dicree mechanim of underground coal fire developmen, however, are ill being reearched, and he echnologie in ue canno a ye fully idenify and diinguih beween he conribuion of each of hee facor. In our udy, herefore, we proceeded from he aumpion ha he impac of each group of indice on coal fire developmen i of equal value. In order o quanify underground coal fire rik more accuraely, paial overlay wa applied o he um of all indice on a 1km 1km grid, o ha rik value for each ingle grid quare could be obained.: R =V combuion +V conac +V caue (11) V combuion = a + a + a +L+ a (12) V conac = b + b + b +L+ b (13) V caue = c + c + c +L+ c (14) In he formulae above, R i he rik of underground coal fire developmen a a regional cale. V combuion ignifie ponaneou combuion endency, V conac coal expoure o oxygen, and caue coal fire caue or rigger. a 1 ~ an are n indice of coal ponaneou combuion endency, b 1 ~ b m are m indice of coal expoure o oxygen; c 1 ~ c k are k indice of poenial coal fire rigger. The applicaion of he naural break mehod, a mehod now exenively ued for claificaion of uch daa cluer, depended in hi cae on he diribuion of daa; reul, indeed, mainained heir aiical characeriic (ArcGIS 9.0). A applied here, he mehod worked wih five level of regional underground coal fire rik: no rik, low rik, medium rik, high rik, and exremely high rik. Given ha if here i no coal, here i no coal fire rik ; value for he grid quare ouide he coalfield were aumed o be 0. Figure 4 decribe he Mehodology for rik aemen of underground coal fire developmen a a regional cale. Figure 4: Rik aemen of underground coal fire developmen a a regional cale Validaion of he mehod The paial diribuion of he differen underground coal fire rik level a per under our aemen i hown in Figure 5. No-rik area are mainly found ouide coalfield region. Exremely high-rik area are concenraed in norhern Xinjiang, from Wuu, Urumchi, and Turfan Bain o Hami; ome maller po are in he cenre, from Baicheng and Lunai o Kuerle and Yangxia, forming a coal fire rik bel.
7 High rik area are predominan in Balikun in he eaern par of Xinjiang, a well a in a line from Wuqia, Yecheng, and Minfeng o Qiemo. In norhern Xinjiang, ha i, around Tacheng, Kelamayi, and Yili, he rik of underground coal fire developmen i very low. 20 coal fire one in Xinjiang have already been exinguihed, ye unil 2008, anoher 22 fire were newly dicovered [15]. The coninued occurrence of coal fire, ogeher wih he re-igniion of ancien and (parly) exinguihed one, i a eriou challenge o fire fighing aciviie. Figure 5: Spaial diribuion of underground coal fire rik level in he province of Xinjiang For he paial diribuion of underground coal fire rik level in Xinjiang, he general paern how ha exremely high coal fire rik are in middle and ouh par, while low rik diribue in norhwe according o he reul, fire one falling ino exreme high and high coal fire rik area can occupy up o 61.54%. There are fewer fire one falling ino low rik coal fire area. Six fire one fall ino no coal fire rik area, and wo of hem are falling ino he daa miing area. The phenomenon i caue of he difference formaion ime of he fire one daa and coal field boundary daa. 7. Concluion and Recommendaion The preened model bridge he gap o far exiing beween coal fire modelling in he uburface uing finie elemen, e.g. a propoed by [16] mehod and urface emperaure meauremen from pace. Focuing on remoe ening, he model can ai in validaing land urface emperaure derived from remoe ening daa and can erve a background for coal fire radiaive energy (CFRE) quanificaion. Wih he abiliy o imulae ho po emperaure baed on in-iu meauremen, verificaion daa can be creaed o criically review CFRE releae compued from aellie daa. The energy balance model a hand give a coheren decripion of he amophere-urfaceuburface yem. However ome apec are miing, namely laen hea flux and hea ranpor by convecion, limiing he model o arid e ie wih compac bedrock. Epecially climae daa wih a high emporal reoluion are required o model he variable environmenal condiion and heir influence adequaely. If uch daa i available in fuure, implemenaion of hee apec i raighforward. The analyi of he muliemporal ASTER TIR daa over he Wuda e ie how ha muli-emporal proceing allow o decreae he TIR hrehold for deecion of coal eam fire and hu o increae he deecable CFRE. Thi approach can be ued when a ufficienly large obervaion record covering variou eaon i available. Addiional e of he mulipecral approach and opimiaion of i parameer for pecific coal fire area are clearly required and can hopefully be done wihin upcoming TIR paceborne miion. One opporuniy for furher inveigaion i he BIRD-like experimenal mall aellie TET-1 carrying an advanced IR yem on board. The aellie ha been launched by German Aeropace Cener in July 2012 and will provide fir daae in The Reul for regional rik aemen of underground coal fire developmen in Xinjiang are conidered a very aifying; hey may provide very well inpu for planning and implemening fire fighing campaign on a macrocopic level in he region. There are ill ome deail abou he mehod ha need furher dicuion and refinemen: fir, a regard coal fire caue or rigger, local lieracy rae, economic performance and land ue ype hould be included in order o refine human impac analyi and complemen he enire index yem. Second, hough he mehod i baed upon he hypohei ha he conribuion of each coal fire rik index i equal, hi may no alway be he cae in realiy for example, human aciviie may acually have a much larger impac. The weighed value of each index, hence, will be a poin of cruiny in furher reearch. In order o avoid he furher lo of valuable energy reource in he fuure, long erm monioring, obervaion and ecuring echnique needed o be developed, eed and implemened. Thi include monioring and conrol meaure for acive mining area aociaed wih a cerain rik of ponaneou coal fire igniion due o he geological depoi rucure, naural boundary condiion and human aciviie, e.g. unconrolled mall cale mining, a monioring of unouched and unmined coal field wih a noable rik of ponaneou igniion and an effecive and appropriae conrol of uccefully exinguihed fire area/one o preven re-igniion dynamic.
8 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The auhor graefully acknowledge he ouanding uppor from ESA/MOST during he DRAGON2 programme. DRAGON2 formed an excellen plaform for cienific reearch wihin an inernaional framework. The uppor from Leon Maldonado and he ASTER projec cience eam a Je Propulion Laboraory, Paadena, for providing he ASTER cene i graefully acknowledged. The auhor alo like o hank Mr. Jia Yaorong from Wuhai Energy Co. Ld and Mr. Cai from he Fire Fighing Bureau in Xinjiang and heir eam for he comprehenive uppor during he field campaign. REFERENCES 1. Doier, J. (1981). A mehod of aellie idenificaion of urface emperaure field of ubpixel reoluion. Remoe Sening of Environmen, vol. 11, Wooer, M.J., Zhukov, B. & Oerel, D. (2003). Fire radiaive energy for quaniaive udy of bioma burning: derivaion from he BIRD experimenal aellie and comparion o MODIS fire produc. Remoe Sening of Environmen, vol. 86, Kaufman, Y.J., Juice, C.O., Flynn, L.P., Kendall, J.D., Prin, E.M., Giglio, L., Ward, D.E., Menel, W.P., & Seer, A.W. (1998). Poenial global fire monioring from EOS-MODIS. Journal of Geophyical Reearch, vol. 103, Telaff, A. (2004). Coal fire quanificaion uing ASTER, ETM and BIRD aellie inrumen daa. Dieraion, Faculy of Geocience, Ludwig- Maximilian-Univeriy, Munich. 5. Zhukov, B., Loren, E., Oerel, D., Wooer, M. & Rober, G. (2005): Experience of deecion and quaniaive characeriaion of fire during he experimenal mall aellie miion BIRD. Forchungberich , DLR. 6. Küner, C., Zhang, J., Li, J., Voig, S., Mehl, H. & Wagner, W. (2007). Deecing unknown coal fire: Synergy of auomaed coal fire rik area delineaion and improved hermal anomaly exracion. Inernaional Journal of Remoe Sening, vol. 28(20), Wang, J., & Bra, R.L. (1999). Ground hea flux eimaed from urface oil emperaure. Journal of Hydrology, vol. 216: Roema, A., Guan, H. & Veld, H. (2000). Simulaion of ponaneou combuion, o udy he caue of coal fire in he Rujigou Bain. Fuel, vol, 80, Zhukov, B. (2009). Senor poenial evaluaion and algorihm developmen for deecion and radiaive power evaluaion of coal eam fire. Inernal DLR- Repor. 11. Huang, C.F. (2004). Rik aemen of naural diaer: Theory & Pracice. Beijing: Science Pre. 12. Timohy, W.C., Sara, E.G., Maria de Lourde & Romo Aguilar. (2009). Vulnerabiliy o environmenal haard in he Ciudad Juare (Mexico)-EL Pao (USA) meropoli: A model for paial rik aemen in rannaional conex. Applied Geography, vol, 2, Prakah, A. & Vekerdy, Z. (2004). Deign and implemenaion of a dedicaed prooype GIS for coal fire inveigaion in norh China. Inernaional Journal of Coal Geology, vol, 59, Peng, G.X., Li J. & Chen, Y.H. (2007). NORIZAN Abdul-paah3 A fore fire rik aemen uing ASTER image in peninular Malayia. Journal of China Univeriy of Mining & Technology, vol. 17(2), Cai, Z.Y. (2008). Repor of inveigaion of Quergou fire one in Xinjiang., Xinjiang Coal Fire Fighing and Engineering Bureau. Inernal Repor. 16. Weßling, S. (2007). The inveigaion of underground coal fire oward a numerical approach for hermally, hydraulically and chemically coupled procee. Dieraion, Deparmen of Elecrical Engineering, Informaion Technology, Phyic, Braunchweig Univeriy of Technology. 7. Iqbal, M. (1983). An inroducion o olar radiaion. New York, Academic Pre.
Heat demand forecasting for concrete district heating system
Hea demand forecaing for concree diric heaing yem Bronilav Chramcov Abrac Thi paper preen he reul of an inveigaion of a model for hor-erm hea demand forecaing. Foreca of hi hea demand coure i ignifican
More informationCHAPTER 11 NONPARAMETRIC REGRESSION WITH COMPLEX SURVEY DATA. R. L. Chambers Department of Social Statistics University of Southampton
CHAPTER 11 NONPARAMETRIC REGRESSION WITH COMPLEX SURVEY DATA R. L. Chamber Deparmen of Social Saiic Univeriy of Souhampon A.H. Dorfman Office of Survey Mehod Reearch Bureau of Labor Saiic M.Yu. Sverchkov
More informationHow has globalisation affected inflation dynamics in the United Kingdom?
292 Quarerly Bullein 2008 Q3 How ha globaliaion affeced inflaion dynamic in he Unied Kingdom? By Jennifer Greenlade and Sephen Millard of he Bank Srucural Economic Analyi Diviion and Chri Peacock of he
More informationA Comparative Study of Linear and Nonlinear Models for Aggregate Retail Sales Forecasting
A Comparaive Sudy of Linear and Nonlinear Model for Aggregae Reail Sale Forecaing G. Peer Zhang Deparmen of Managemen Georgia Sae Univeriy Alana GA 30066 (404) 651-4065 Abrac: The purpoe of hi paper i
More informationSimulation of Bio-Agent Release in a Room or Offi ce Space
Simulaion of Bio-Agen Releae in a Room or Offi ce Space Sephen M. Scorpio, Rober P. Roger, and Alan Brand Indoor oxic agen releae ha become a poibiliy of grea concern. Thi aricle preen a numerical fl ow-field
More informationChapter 1.6 Financial Management
Chaper 1.6 Financial Managemen Par I: Objecive ype quesions and answers 1. Simple pay back period is equal o: a) Raio of Firs cos/ne yearly savings b) Raio of Annual gross cash flow/capial cos n c) = (1
More informationEmpirical heuristics for improving Intermittent Demand Forecasting
Empirical heuriic for improving Inermien Demand Forecaing Foio Peropoulo 1,*, Konanino Nikolopoulo 2, Georgio P. Spihouraki 1, Vailio Aimakopoulo 1 1 Forecaing & Sraegy Uni, School of Elecrical and Compuer
More information2.4 Network flows. Many direct and indirect applications telecommunication transportation (public, freight, railway, air, ) logistics
.4 Nework flow Problem involving he diribuion of a given produc (e.g., waer, ga, daa, ) from a e of producion locaion o a e of uer o a o opimize a given objecive funcion (e.g., amoun of produc, co,...).
More informationHow Much Can Taxes Help Selfish Routing?
How Much Can Taxe Help Selfih Rouing? Tim Roughgarden (Cornell) Join wih Richard Cole (NYU) and Yevgeniy Dodi (NYU) Selfih Rouing a direced graph G = (V,E) a ource and a deinaion one uni of raffic from
More informationPerformance Center Overview. Performance Center Overview 1
Performance Cener Overview Performance Cener Overview 1 ODJFS Performance Cener ce Cener New Performance Cener Model Performance Cener Projec Meeings Performance Cener Execuive Meeings Performance Cener
More informationCalculation of variable annuity market sensitivities using a pathwise methodology
cuing edge Variable annuiie Calculaion of variable annuiy marke eniiviie uing a pahwie mehodology Under radiional finie difference mehod, he calculaion of variable annuiy eniiviie can involve muliple Mone
More informationFortified financial forecasting models: non-linear searching approaches
0 Inernaional Conference on Economic and inance Reearch IPEDR vol.4 (0 (0 IACSIT Pre, Singapore orified financial forecaing model: non-linear earching approache Mohammad R. Hamidizadeh, Ph.D. Profeor,
More informationFormulating Cyber-Security as Convex Optimization Problems
Formulaing Cyber-Securiy a Convex Opimizaion Problem Kyriako G. Vamvoudaki, João P. Hepanha, Richard A. Kemmerer, and Giovanni Vigna Univeriy of California, Sana Barbara Abrac. Miion-cenric cyber-ecuriy
More informationTwo-Group Designs Independent samples t-test & paired samples t-test. Chapter 10
Two-Group Deign Independen ample -e & paired ample -e Chaper 0 Previou e (Ch 7 and 8) Z-e z M N -e (one-ample) M N M = andard error of he mean p. 98-9 Remember: = variance M = eimaed andard error p. -
More informationµ r of the ferrite amounts to 1000...4000. It should be noted that the magnetic length of the + δ
Page 9 Design of Inducors and High Frequency Transformers Inducors sore energy, ransformers ransfer energy. This is he prime difference. The magneic cores are significanly differen for inducors and high
More informationOn the Connection Between Multiple-Unicast Network Coding and Single-Source Single-Sink Network Error Correction
On he Connecion Beween Muliple-Unica ework Coding and Single-Source Single-Sink ework Error Correcion Jörg Kliewer JIT Join work wih Wenao Huang and Michael Langberg ework Error Correcion Problem: Adverary
More informationOptimal Path Routing in Single and Multiple Clock Domain Systems
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON COMPUTER-AIDED DESIGN, TO APPEAR. 1 Opimal Pah Rouing in Single and Muliple Clock Domain Syem Soha Haoun, Senior Member, IEEE, Charle J. Alper, Senior Member, IEEE ) Abrac Shrinking
More informationHow To Solve An Uncerain Daa Problem
Robu Bandwidh Allocaion Sraegie Oliver Heckmann, Jen Schmi, Ralf Seinmez Mulimedia Communicaion Lab (KOM), Darmad Univeriy of Technology Merckr. 25 D-64283 Darmad Germany {Heckmann, Schmi, Seinmez}@kom.u-darmad.de
More informationOPTIMAL BATCH QUANTITY MODELS FOR A LEAN PRODUCTION SYSTEM WITH REWORK AND SCRAP. A Thesis
OTIMAL BATH UANTITY MOELS FOR A LEAN ROUTION SYSTEM WITH REWORK AN SRA A Thei Submied o he Graduae Faculy of he Louiiana Sae Univeriy and Agriculural and Mechanical ollege in parial fulfillmen of he requiremen
More informationAppendix D Flexibility Factor/Margin of Choice Desktop Research
Appendix D Flexibiliy Facor/Margin of Choice Deskop Research Cheshire Eas Council Cheshire Eas Employmen Land Review Conens D1 Flexibiliy Facor/Margin of Choice Deskop Research 2 Final Ocober 2012 \\GLOBAL.ARUP.COM\EUROPE\MANCHESTER\JOBS\200000\223489-00\4
More informationChapter 13. Network Flow III Applications. 13.1 Edge disjoint paths. 13.1.1 Edge-disjoint paths in a directed graphs
Chaper 13 Nework Flow III Applicaion CS 573: Algorihm, Fall 014 Ocober 9, 014 13.1 Edge dijoin pah 13.1.1 Edge-dijoin pah in a direced graph 13.1.1.1 Edge dijoin pah queiong: graph (dir/undir)., : verice.
More informationChapter 7. Response of First-Order RL and RC Circuits
Chaper 7. esponse of Firs-Order L and C Circuis 7.1. The Naural esponse of an L Circui 7.2. The Naural esponse of an C Circui 7.3. The ep esponse of L and C Circuis 7.4. A General oluion for ep and Naural
More informationCross-sectional and longitudinal weighting in a rotational household panel: applications to EU-SILC. Vijay Verma, Gianni Betti, Giulio Ghellini
Cro-ecional and longiudinal eighing in a roaional houehold panel: applicaion o EU-SILC Viay Verma, Gianni Bei, Giulio Ghellini Working Paper n. 67, December 006 CROSS-SECTIONAL AND LONGITUDINAL WEIGHTING
More informationPRACTICES AND ISSUES IN OPERATIONAL RISK MODELING UNDER BASEL II
Lihuanian Mahemaical Journal, Vol. 51, No. 2, April, 2011, pp. 180 193 PRACTICES AND ISSUES IN OPERATIONAL RISK MODELING UNDER BASEL II Paul Embrechs and Marius Hofer 1 RiskLab, Deparmen of Mahemaics,
More informationEquity Valuation Using Multiples. Jing Liu. Anderson Graduate School of Management. University of California at Los Angeles (310) 206-5861
Equiy Valuaion Uing Muliple Jing Liu Anderon Graduae School of Managemen Univeriy of California a Lo Angele (310) 206-5861 jing.liu@anderon.ucla.edu Doron Niim Columbia Univeriy Graduae School of Buine
More informationFormulating Cyber-Security as Convex Optimization Problems Æ
Formulaing Cyber-Securiy a Convex Opimizaion Problem Æ Kyriako G. Vamvoudaki,João P. Hepanha, Richard A. Kemmerer 2, and Giovanni Vigna 2 Cener for Conrol, Dynamical-yem and Compuaion (CCDC), Univeriy
More informationExplore the Application of Financial Engineering in the Management of Exchange Rate Risk
SHS Web o Conerence 17, 01006 (015) DOI: 10.1051/ hcon/01517 01006 C Owned by he auhor, publihed by EDP Science, 015 Explore he Applicaion o Financial Engineering in he Managemen o Exchange Rae Rik Liu
More informationPrincipal components of stock market dynamics. Methodology and applications in brief (to be updated ) Andrei Bouzaev, bouzaev@ya.
Principal componens of sock marke dynamics Mehodology and applicaions in brief o be updaed Andrei Bouzaev, bouzaev@ya.ru Why principal componens are needed Objecives undersand he evidence of more han one
More informationChapter 6: Business Valuation (Income Approach)
Chaper 6: Business Valuaion (Income Approach) Cash flow deerminaion is one of he mos criical elemens o a business valuaion. Everyhing may be secondary. If cash flow is high, hen he value is high; if he
More informationThe International Investment Position of Jamaica: An Estimation Approach
WP/04 The Inernaional Invemen Poiion of Jamaica: An Eimaion Approach Dane Docor* Economic Informaion & Publicaion Deparmen Bank of Jamaica Ocober 2004 Abrac Thi paper eek o inroduce he inernaional invemen
More informationProcess Modeling for Object Oriented Analysis using BORM Object Behavioral Analysis.
Proce Modeling for Objec Oriened Analyi uing BORM Objec Behavioral Analyi. Roger P. Kno Ph.D., Compuer Science Dep, Loughborough Univeriy, U.K. r.p.kno@lboro.ac.uk 9RMW FKMerunka Ph.D., Dep. of Informaion
More informationPROFIT TEST MODELLING IN LIFE ASSURANCE USING SPREADSHEETS PART ONE
Profi Tes Modelling in Life Assurance Using Spreadshees PROFIT TEST MODELLING IN LIFE ASSURANCE USING SPREADSHEETS PART ONE Erik Alm Peer Millingon 2004 Profi Tes Modelling in Life Assurance Using Spreadshees
More informationSELF-EVALUATION FOR VIDEO TRACKING SYSTEMS
SELF-EVALUATION FOR VIDEO TRACKING SYSTEMS Hao Wu and Qinfen Zheng Cenre for Auomaion Research Dep. of Elecrical and Compuer Engineering Universiy of Maryland, College Park, MD-20742 {wh2003, qinfen}@cfar.umd.edu
More informationModule 4. Single-phase AC circuits. Version 2 EE IIT, Kharagpur
Module 4 Single-phase A circuis ersion EE T, Kharagpur esson 5 Soluion of urren in A Series and Parallel ircuis ersion EE T, Kharagpur n he las lesson, wo poins were described:. How o solve for he impedance,
More informationDYNAMIC MODELS FOR VALUATION OF WRONGFUL DEATH PAYMENTS
DYNAMIC MODELS FOR VALUATION OF WRONGFUL DEATH PAYMENTS Hong Mao, Shanghai Second Polyechnic Universiy Krzyszof M. Osaszewski, Illinois Sae Universiy Youyu Zhang, Fudan Universiy ABSTRACT Liigaion, exper
More informationMorningstar Investor Return
Morningsar Invesor Reurn Morningsar Mehodology Paper Augus 31, 2010 2010 Morningsar, Inc. All righs reserved. The informaion in his documen is he propery of Morningsar, Inc. Reproducion or ranscripion
More informationMACROECONOMIC FORECASTS AT THE MOF A LOOK INTO THE REAR VIEW MIRROR
MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS AT THE MOF A LOOK INTO THE REAR VIEW MIRROR The firs experimenal publicaion, which summarised pas and expeced fuure developmen of basic economic indicaors, was published by he Minisry
More informationThe Twin Agency Problems in Corporate Finance - On the basis of Stulz s theory -
The Twin Agency Problem in Corporae Finance - On he bai of Sulz heory - Von der Fakulä für Machinenbau, Elekroechnik und Wirchafingenieurween der Brandenburgichen Technichen Univeriä Cobu zur Erlangung
More information16.512, Rocket Propulsion Prof. Manuel Martinez-Sanchez Lecture 26: Turbopumps
6.5, Rocke Propulion Prof. Manuel Marinez-Sanchez Lecure 6: Turbopump Turbopump Componen The mechanical componen of he preurizaion cycle (pump and urbine) are nex o be conidered. An excellen recen urvey
More informationThe Application of Multi Shifts and Break Windows in Employees Scheduling
The Applicaion of Muli Shifs and Brea Windows in Employees Scheduling Evy Herowai Indusrial Engineering Deparmen, Universiy of Surabaya, Indonesia Absrac. One mehod for increasing company s performance
More informationUsefulness of the Forward Curve in Forecasting Oil Prices
Usefulness of he Forward Curve in Forecasing Oil Prices Akira Yanagisawa Leader Energy Demand, Supply and Forecas Analysis Group The Energy Daa and Modelling Cener Summary When people analyse oil prices,
More informationOPERATION MANUAL. Indoor unit for air to water heat pump system and options EKHBRD011ABV1 EKHBRD014ABV1 EKHBRD016ABV1
OPERAION MANUAL Indoor uni for air o waer hea pump sysem and opions EKHBRD011ABV1 EKHBRD014ABV1 EKHBRD016ABV1 EKHBRD011ABY1 EKHBRD014ABY1 EKHBRD016ABY1 EKHBRD011ACV1 EKHBRD014ACV1 EKHBRD016ACV1 EKHBRD011ACY1
More informationA Note on Using the Svensson procedure to estimate the risk free rate in corporate valuation
A Noe on Using he Svensson procedure o esimae he risk free rae in corporae valuaion By Sven Arnold, Alexander Lahmann and Bernhard Schwezler Ocober 2011 1. The risk free ineres rae in corporae valuaion
More informationModule 3 Design for Strength. Version 2 ME, IIT Kharagpur
Module 3 Design for Srengh Lesson 2 Sress Concenraion Insrucional Objecives A he end of his lesson, he sudens should be able o undersand Sress concenraion and he facors responsible. Deerminaion of sress
More informationMaking a Faster Cryptanalytic Time-Memory Trade-Off
Making a Faser Crypanalyic Time-Memory Trade-Off Philippe Oechslin Laboraoire de Securié e de Crypographie (LASEC) Ecole Polyechnique Fédérale de Lausanne Faculé I&C, 1015 Lausanne, Swizerland philippe.oechslin@epfl.ch
More informationWATER MIST FIRE PROTECTION RELIABILITY ANALYSIS
WATER MIST FIRE PROTECTION RELIABILITY ANALYSIS Shuzhen Xu Research Risk and Reliabiliy Area FM Global Norwood, Massachuses 262, USA David Fuller Engineering Sandards FM Global Norwood, Massachuses 262,
More informationCHARGE AND DISCHARGE OF A CAPACITOR
REFERENCES RC Circuis: Elecrical Insrumens: Mos Inroducory Physics exs (e.g. A. Halliday and Resnick, Physics ; M. Sernheim and J. Kane, General Physics.) This Laboraory Manual: Commonly Used Insrumens:
More informationPROFITS AND POSITION CONTROL: A WEEK OF FX DEALING
PROFITS AND POSITION CONTROL: A WEEK OF FX DEALING Richard K. Lyon U.C. Berkeley and NBER Thi verion: June 1997 Abrac Thi paper examine foreign exchange rading a he dealer level. The dealer we rack average
More informationTSG-RAN Working Group 1 (Radio Layer 1) meeting #3 Nynashamn, Sweden 22 nd 26 th March 1999
TSG-RAN Working Group 1 (Radio Layer 1) meeing #3 Nynashamn, Sweden 22 nd 26 h March 1999 RAN TSGW1#3(99)196 Agenda Iem: 9.1 Source: Tile: Documen for: Moorola Macro-diversiy for he PRACH Discussion/Decision
More informationINTRODUCTION TO FORECASTING
INTRODUCTION TO FORECASTING INTRODUCTION: Wha is a forecas? Why do managers need o forecas? A forecas is an esimae of uncerain fuure evens (lierally, o "cas forward" by exrapolaing from pas and curren
More informationMathematics in Pharmacokinetics What and Why (A second attempt to make it clearer)
Mahemaics in Pharmacokineics Wha and Why (A second aemp o make i clearer) We have used equaions for concenraion () as a funcion of ime (). We will coninue o use hese equaions since he plasma concenraions
More informationPolicies & Procedures. I.D. Number: 1071
Policie & Procedure Tile: Licened Pracical Nure (LPN ) ADDED SKILLS (Aigned Funcion) Auhorizaion: [x] SHR Nuring Pracice Commiee I.D. Number: 1071 Source: Nuring Dae Revied: Sepember 2004 Dae Effecive:
More informationHow To Calculate Price Elasiciy Per Capia Per Capi
Price elasiciy of demand for crude oil: esimaes for 23 counries John C.B. Cooper Absrac This paper uses a muliple regression model derived from an adapaion of Nerlove s parial adjusmen model o esimae boh
More informationIndividual Health Insurance April 30, 2008 Pages 167-170
Individual Healh Insurance April 30, 2008 Pages 167-170 We have received feedback ha his secion of he e is confusing because some of he defined noaion is inconsisen wih comparable life insurance reserve
More informationII.1. Debt reduction and fiscal multipliers. dbt da dpbal da dg. bal
Quarerly Repor on he Euro Area 3/202 II.. Deb reducion and fiscal mulipliers The deerioraion of public finances in he firs years of he crisis has led mos Member Saes o adop sizeable consolidaion packages.
More informationNew Evidence on Mutual Fund Performance: A Comparison of Alternative Bootstrap Methods. David Blake* Tristan Caulfield** Christos Ioannidis*** and
New Evidence on Muual Fund Performance: A Comparion of Alernaive Boorap Mehod David Blake* Trian Caulfield** Chrio Ioannidi*** and Ian Tonk**** June 2014 Abrac Thi paper compare he wo boorap mehod of Koowki
More informationAnalysis of Pricing and Efficiency Control Strategy between Internet Retailer and Conventional Retailer
Recen Advances in Business Managemen and Markeing Analysis of Pricing and Efficiency Conrol Sraegy beween Inerne Reailer and Convenional Reailer HYUG RAE CHO 1, SUG MOO BAE and JOG HU PARK 3 Deparmen of
More informationDEMAND FORECASTING MODELS
DEMAND FORECASTING MODELS Conens E-2. ELECTRIC BILLED SALES AND CUSTOMER COUNTS Sysem-level Model Couny-level Model Easside King Couny-level Model E-6. ELECTRIC PEAK HOUR LOAD FORECASTING Sysem-level Forecas
More informationMultiprocessor Systems-on-Chips
Par of: Muliprocessor Sysems-on-Chips Edied by: Ahmed Amine Jerraya and Wayne Wolf Morgan Kaufmann Publishers, 2005 2 Modeling Shared Resources Conex swiching implies overhead. On a processing elemen,
More informationDividend taxation, share repurchases and the equity trap
Working Paper 2009:7 Deparmen of Economic Dividend axaion, hare repurchae and he equiy rap Tobia Lindhe and Jan Söderen Deparmen of Economic Working paper 2009:7 Uppala Univeriy May 2009 P.O. Box 53 ISSN
More informationMarket Liquidity and the Impacts of the Computerized Trading System: Evidence from the Stock Exchange of Thailand
36 Invesmen Managemen and Financial Innovaions, 4/4 Marke Liquidiy and he Impacs of he Compuerized Trading Sysem: Evidence from he Sock Exchange of Thailand Sorasar Sukcharoensin 1, Pariyada Srisopisawa,
More informationTheoretical evaluation of the sediment/water exchange description in generic compartment models (SimpleBox)
Miniry of Enironmen and Energy Naional Enironmenal eearch Iniue Theoreical ealuaion of he edimen/waer exchange decripion in generic comparmen model (SimpleBox) NEI Technical epor No. 360 July 00 [Blank
More informationTEMPORAL PATTERN IDENTIFICATION OF TIME SERIES DATA USING PATTERN WAVELETS AND GENETIC ALGORITHMS
TEMPORAL PATTERN IDENTIFICATION OF TIME SERIES DATA USING PATTERN WAVELETS AND GENETIC ALGORITHMS RICHARD J. POVINELLI AND XIN FENG Deparmen of Elecrical and Compuer Engineering Marquee Universiy, P.O.
More informationChapter 8 Student Lecture Notes 8-1
Chaper Suden Lecure Noes - Chaper Goals QM: Business Saisics Chaper Analyzing and Forecasing -Series Daa Afer compleing his chaper, you should be able o: Idenify he componens presen in a ime series Develop
More information1. BACKGROUND 1-1 Traffic Flow Surveillance
Auo-Recogniion of Vehicle Maneuvers Based on Spaio-Temporal Clusering. BACKGROUND - Traffic Flow Surveillance Conduced wih kinds of beacons mouned a limied roadside poins wih Images from High Aliude Plaforms
More informationA Natural Feature-Based 3D Object Tracking Method for Wearable Augmented Reality
A Naural Feaure-Based 3D Objec Tracking Mehod for Wearable Augmened Realiy Takashi Okuma Columbia Universiy / AIST Email: okuma@cs.columbia.edu Takeshi Kuraa Universiy of Washingon / AIST Email: kuraa@ieee.org
More informationResearch on Inventory Sharing and Pricing Strategy of Multichannel Retailer with Channel Preference in Internet Environment
Vol. 7, No. 6 (04), pp. 365-374 hp://dx.doi.org/0.457/ijhi.04.7.6.3 Research on Invenory Sharing and Pricing Sraegy of Mulichannel Reailer wih Channel Preference in Inerne Environmen Hanzong Li College
More informationMaintenance scheduling and process optimization under uncertainty
Compuers and Chemical Engineering 25 (2001) 217 236 www.elsevier.com/locae/compchemeng ainenance scheduling and process opimizaion under uncerainy C.G. Vassiliadis, E.N. Piikopoulos * Deparmen of Chemical
More informationSkySails Tethered Kites for Ship Propulsion and Power Generation: Modeling and System Identification. Michael Erhard, SkySails GmbH, Hamburg, Germany
SkySails Tehered Kies for Ship Propulsion and Power Generaion: Modeling and Sysem Idenificaion Michael Erhard, SkySails GmbH, Hamburg, Germany Conens Inroducion SkySails Marine and Power Simple Model Sensors
More informationHotel Room Demand Forecasting via Observed Reservation Information
Proceedings of he Asia Pacific Indusrial Engineering & Managemen Sysems Conference 0 V. Kachivichyanuul, H.T. Luong, and R. Piaaso Eds. Hoel Room Demand Forecasing via Observed Reservaion Informaion aragain
More informationNanocubes for Real-Time Exploration of Spatiotemporal Datasets
Nanocube for RealTime Exploraion of Spaioemporal Daae Lauro Lin, Jame T Kloowki, and arlo Scheidegger Fig 1 Example viualizaion of 210 million public geolocaed Twier po over he coure of a year The daa
More informationVector Autoregressions (VARs): Operational Perspectives
Vecor Auoregressions (VARs): Operaional Perspecives Primary Source: Sock, James H., and Mark W. Wason, Vecor Auoregressions, Journal of Economic Perspecives, Vol. 15 No. 4 (Fall 2001), 101-115. Macroeconomericians
More information11/6/2013. Chapter 14: Dynamic AD-AS. Introduction. Introduction. Keeping track of time. The model s elements
Inroducion Chaper 14: Dynamic D-S dynamic model of aggregae and aggregae supply gives us more insigh ino how he economy works in he shor run. I is a simplified version of a DSGE model, used in cuing-edge
More informationAutomatic measurement and detection of GSM interferences
Auomaic measuremen and deecion of GSM inerferences Poor speech qualiy and dropped calls in GSM neworks may be caused by inerferences as a resul of high raffic load. The radio nework analyzers from Rohde
More informationGUIDE GOVERNING SMI RISK CONTROL INDICES
GUIDE GOVERNING SMI RISK CONTROL IND ICES SIX Swiss Exchange Ld 04/2012 i C O N T E N T S 1. Index srucure... 1 1.1 Concep... 1 1.2 General principles... 1 1.3 Index Commission... 1 1.4 Review of index
More informationReal-time Particle Filters
Real-ime Paricle Filers Cody Kwok Dieer Fox Marina Meilă Dep. of Compuer Science & Engineering, Dep. of Saisics Universiy of Washingon Seale, WA 9895 ckwok,fox @cs.washingon.edu, mmp@sa.washingon.edu Absrac
More informationProstate Cancer. Options for Localised Cancer
Prosae Cancer Opions for Localised Cancer You or someone you know is considering reamen opions for localised prosae cancer. his leafle is designed o give you a shor overview of he opions available. For
More informationCLASSIFICATION OF REINSURANCE IN LIFE INSURANCE
CLASSIFICATION OF REINSURANCE IN LIFE INSURANCE Kaarína Sakálová 1. Classificaions of reinsurance There are many differen ways in which reinsurance may be classified or disinguished. We will discuss briefly
More informationFeasibility of Quantum Genetic Algorithm in Optimizing Construction Scheduling
Feasibiliy of Quanum Geneic Algorihm in Opimizing Consrucion Scheduling Maser Thesis Baihui Song JUNE 2013 Commiee members: Prof.dr.ir. M.J.C.M. Herogh Dr. M. Blaauboer Dr. ir. H.K.M. van de Ruienbeek
More informationReputation and Social Network Analysis in Multi-Agent Systems
Repuaion and Social Neork Analyi in Muli-Agen Syem Jordi Sabaer IIIA - Arificial Inelligence Reearch Iniue CSIC - Spanih Scienific Reearch Council Bellaerra, Caalonia, Spain jabaer@iiia.cic.e Carle Sierra
More informationLong Term Spread Option Valuation and Hedging
Long Term Spread Opion Valuaion and Hedging M.A.H. Demper, Elena Medova and Ke Tang Cenre for Financial Reearch, Judge Buine School, Univeriy of Cambridge, Trumpingon Sree, Cambridge CB 1AG & Cambridge
More informationDistributing Human Resources among Software Development Projects 1
Disribuing Human Resources among Sofware Developmen Proecs Macario Polo, María Dolores Maeos, Mario Piaini and rancisco Ruiz Summary This paper presens a mehod for esimaing he disribuion of human resources
More informationNASDAQ-100 Futures Index SM Methodology
NASDAQ-100 Fuures Index SM Mehodology Index Descripion The NASDAQ-100 Fuures Index (The Fuures Index ) is designed o rack he performance of a hypoheical porfolio holding he CME NASDAQ-100 E-mini Index
More informationCommon Virtual Path and Its Expedience for VBR Video Traffic
RADIOENGINEERING, VOL. 7, NO., APRIL 28 73 Coon Virual Pah and I Exedience for VBR Video Traffic Erik CHROMÝ, Ivan BAROŇÁK De. of Telecounicaion, Faculy of Elecrical Engineering and Inforaion Technology
More informationJournal Of Business & Economics Research September 2005 Volume 3, Number 9
Opion Pricing And Mone Carlo Simulaions George M. Jabbour, (Email: jabbour@gwu.edu), George Washingon Universiy Yi-Kang Liu, (yikang@gwu.edu), George Washingon Universiy ABSTRACT The advanage of Mone Carlo
More informationCaring for trees and your service
Caring for rees and your service Line clearing helps preven ouages FPL is commied o delivering safe, reliable elecric service o our cusomers. Trees, especially palm rees, can inerfere wih power lines and
More informationNewton s Laws of Motion
Newon s Laws of Moion MS4414 Theoreical Mechanics Firs Law velociy. In he absence of exernal forces, a body moves in a sraigh line wih consan F = 0 = v = cons. Khan Academy Newon I. Second Law body. The
More informationRisk Modelling of Collateralised Lending
Risk Modelling of Collaeralised Lending Dae: 4-11-2008 Number: 8/18 Inroducion This noe explains how i is possible o handle collaeralised lending wihin Risk Conroller. The approach draws on he faciliies
More informationChapter 8: Regression with Lagged Explanatory Variables
Chaper 8: Regression wih Lagged Explanaory Variables Time series daa: Y for =1,..,T End goal: Regression model relaing a dependen variable o explanaory variables. Wih ime series new issues arise: 1. One
More informationUSE OF EDUCATION TECHNOLOGY IN ENGLISH CLASSES
USE OF EDUCATION TECHNOLOGY IN ENGLISH CLASSES Mehme Nuri GÖMLEKSİZ Absrac Using educaion echnology in classes helps eachers realize a beer and more effecive learning. In his sudy 150 English eachers were
More informationPhysical Topology Discovery for Large Multi-Subnet Networks
Phyical Topology Dicovery for Large Muli-Subne Nework Yigal Bejerano, Yuri Breibar, Mino Garofalaki, Rajeev Raogi Bell Lab, Lucen Technologie 600 Mounain Ave., Murray Hill, NJ 07974. {bej,mino,raogi}@reearch.bell-lab.com
More informationResearch and Development for Critical Infrastructure Protection. John Davis Commissioner
Research and Developmen for Criical Infrasrucure Proecion John Davis Commissioner R&D Issue for Criical Infrasrucure Proecion Wha should be done? Wha invesmen is needed? Who should do i? Wha is he proper
More informationHow To Understand The Long Run Behavior Of Aving Rae
Subience Conumpion and Riing Saving Rae Kenneh S. Lin a, Hiu-Yun Lee b * a Deparmen of Economic, Naional Taiwan Univeriy, Taipei, 00, Taiwan. b Deparmen of Economic, Naional Chung Cheng Univeriy, Chia-Yi,
More informationAppendix A: Area. 1 Find the radius of a circle that has circumference 12 inches.
Appendi A: Area worked-ou s o Odd-Numbered Eercises Do no read hese worked-ou s before aemping o do he eercises ourself. Oherwise ou ma mimic he echniques shown here wihou undersanding he ideas. Bes wa
More informationEn vue de l'obtention du. Présentée par Mujtaba Hassan AGHA Le 30 Octobre 2009
HÈE En vue de l'obenion du DOCORA DE L UNIVERIÉ DE OULOUE Délivré par Iniu Naional Polyechnique de ouloue Dicipline ou pécialié : Génie Induriel Préenée par Mujaba Haan AGHA Le 3 Ocobre 29 ire : Inegraed
More informationAcceleration Lab Teacher s Guide
Acceleraion Lab Teacher s Guide Objecives:. Use graphs of disance vs. ime and velociy vs. ime o find acceleraion of a oy car.. Observe he relaionship beween he angle of an inclined plane and he acceleraion
More informationDC-DC Boost Converter with Constant Output Voltage for Grid Connected Photovoltaic Application System
DC-DC Boos Converer wih Consan Oupu Volage for Grid Conneced Phoovolaic Applicaion Sysem Pui-Weng Chan, Syafrudin Masri Universii Sains Malaysia E-mail: edmond_chan85@homail.com, syaf@eng.usm.my Absrac
More informationModule 8. Three-phase Induction Motor. Version 2 EE IIT, Kharagpur
Module 8 Three-phae Induction Motor Verion EE IIT, Kharagpur Leon 33 Different Type of Starter for Induction Motor (IM Verion EE IIT, Kharagpur Inructional Objective Need of uing arter for Induction motor
More informationChapter Four: Methodology
Chaper Four: Mehodology 1 Assessmen of isk Managemen Sraegy Comparing Is Cos of isks 1.1 Inroducion If we wan o choose a appropriae risk managemen sraegy, no only we should idenify he influence ha risks
More information