IAEA's Tools and Capacity Building for Energy Planning in Africa



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Transcription:

's Tools and Capacity Building for Energy Planning in Africa IRENA-ECREEE Workshop on Energy Planning 10-12 December 2012, Abidjan, Cote D Ivoire Mario TOT Planning and Economic Studies Section Department of Nuclear Energy International Atomic Energy Agency

Planning of Provision of Energy Services requires careful and timely assessment of all energy supply and demand options, selection of suitable energy portfolio and designing of energy strategies consistent with the national sustainable development objectives

assistscountries to build national capacity and expertise in energy system analysis and planning, so that countries are able to chart out their own national energy strategies

's Energy Assessment Tools MAED Energy Demand Analysis MESSAGE Energy Supply Optimisation WASP Power Generation Expansion FINPLAN Financial Analysis of Energy Plans SIMPACTS Environmental Impacts EBS Energy Statistics and Balances ISED Sustainability Indicators

's Capacity Building Transfer tools to and train local experts Distance learning and hands-on training Expert missions and fellowships Online support to the users Technical guidance and assistance in conducting national studies Support institutions building for energy planning Multilingual user interface tools and elearning Model updates Teachers' trainings

Capacity Building for Africa National Projects Trainings Expert Missions Fellowships Scientific Visits National Workshops Regional (AFRA) Project 6

Current National Projects on Energy Planning

-AFRA Cooperation Energy is one of the priority areas in AFRA programme supports AFRA objectives and provides technical assistance through regional projects on capacity building for energy analysis and planning in Africa

-AFRA Regional Projects 2007-2011 Strengthening Planning Capabilities for Sustainable Energy Development 2012-2015 Planning for Sustainable Energy Development Evaluation of energy opportunities at regional level Strengthening regional integration Accessibility and affordability of energy, security of supply and environmental protection Provide tools to improve and support regional cooperation and decision making

Impact of -AFRA Activities Burkina Faso "The project allowed the General Directorate of Energy to have a study completed on the feasibility of the diversification of the sources of energy" Mali "Knowledge of energy planning and the tools used were increased" Senegal "The project has provided an aid to decision-making in energy policy"...

Project Scientific Consultant Assessment of -AFRA Activities "It is apparent that the project has made a significant impact in the area of energy planning and energy plans have been produced with the aid of the 's models. Increasingly, senior government officials are realizing that these models are aids to support their proposed energy policies."

-AFRA Project Activities Developed Models of Electricity Pools using 's energy systems assessment tool MESSAGE

Main WAPP numbers 276 mil. inhabitants 10 GW installed power 65 TWh generation 50 TWh consumption Nigeria largest system Large potential to develop hydro resources Power pool in operation 13

Countries in training Burkina Faso Benin Togo Cote d'ivoire Ghana Mali Nigeria Senegal Liberia Gambia Guinea Guinea-Bisaau Sierra Leone Niger Tunisia Cameroon 14

WAPP Area Model and Training GW 250 200 150 100 50 0 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Dist.Solar PV Mini Hydro Dist. Biomass Dist. Oil Net Imports Wind Solar Thermal Solar PV Biomass Hydro Nuclear Gas Oil Coal Peak Cent. Sys. elearning training Face-to-face training Input data, user manual and model available to all project counterparts Continuous support available 1,000 900 Dist.Solar PV Mini Hydro 800 Dist. Biomass 700 Dist. Oil Net Imports 600 Wind TWh 500 Solar Thermal Solar PV 400 300 Biomass Hydro Nuclear 200 100 Gas Oil Coal 0 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Final Demand

Planned -AFRA Activities for 2013 Coordination among project counterparts for WAPP and SAPP areas Energy statistics and balances trainings in cooperation with AFRE Teachers' trainings in energy demand analysis Development of sub-regional modelsfor other African areas Training for small/isolated systems

Develops tools for energy system assessments Provides capacity building in energy planning and assists countries in building national and regional expertise in energy system analysis Partners and cooperates with other international organisations and initiatives

Way Forward? Energy needs are increasing Difficulties in providing energy services are enormous Timely planning activities have to consider all energy supply and demand options Regional cooperation brings benefits to all parties concerned offers analytical framework, continuous capacity building and support for energy systems assessments and development of regional and national energy strategies, plans and actions

atoms for peace.